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Firefly AB (SE:FIRE)
:FIRE
Sweden Market
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Firefly AB (FIRE) AI Stock Analysis

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SE:FIRE

Firefly AB

(FIRE)

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Outperform 78 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
kr211.00
▲(32.70% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/22/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance—particularly minimal leverage, solid margins, and strong ROE—supported by constructive technicals with the price above major moving averages. The main constraints are a premium P/E and fundamental deceleration signals (slower growth and declining free cash flow growth), partially offset by the high dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Minimal Leverage
Extremely low leverage materially reduces financial risk, interest burden, and refinancing dependence. The conservative balance sheet gives Firefly flexibility to fund operations, withstand cyclical demand, and pursue growth without substantial balance-sheet strain.
Negative Factors
Revenue Growth Deceleration
The sharp moderation in revenue growth raises questions about the pace of market expansion and customer adoption. If sustained, slower growth could limit operating leverage and make future profit increases more dependent on efficiency or pricing.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Minimal Leverage
Extremely low leverage materially reduces financial risk, interest burden, and refinancing dependence. The conservative balance sheet gives Firefly flexibility to fund operations, withstand cyclical demand, and pursue growth without substantial balance-sheet strain.
Read all positive factors

Firefly AB (FIRE) vs. iShares MSCI Sweden ETF (EWD)

Firefly AB Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Firefly AB (publ), a company established in Stockholm, Sweden, in 1969, specializes globally in the development and sale of industrial fire prevention and protection systems for process industries. The firm operates through two primary business se...
How the Company Makes Money
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Firefly AB Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong overall fundamentals: healthy profitability (TTM gross margin ~39.9%, EBIT margin ~12.0%, net margin ~8.7%), exceptionally low leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.0035; total debt under 1M), and strong ROE (~24%). Offsets are slowing revenue growth (~5.8% TTM versus much stronger 2022–2023), margin normalization versus 2024, and weaker recent free cash flow growth (about -18% TTM) with inconsistent cash conversion (OCF/NI ~0.55).
Income Statement
84
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
92
Very Positive
Cash Flow
72
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue520.56M503.25M497.06M477.93M384.43M300.23M
Gross Profit210.32M204.97M204.75M178.67M134.06M111.87M
EBITDA70.47M66.30M78.04M60.96M46.46M26.64M
Net Income54.52M47.56M54.83M45.24M34.84M18.82M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets268.57M307.75M303.00M288.45M219.37M192.80M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments35.06M80.08M67.87M52.96M32.95M52.66M
Total Debt690.00K1.53M2.06M1.94M2.16M0.00
Total Liabilities121.83M118.78M127.67M140.69M143.58M122.43M
Stockholders Equity146.74M188.97M175.33M147.77M75.79M70.37M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow42.91M45.84M38.77M36.25M-5.56M23.87M
Operating Cash Flow45.46M50.44M42.54M41.21M-1.44M32.55M
Investing Cash Flow-2.45M-4.60M1.53M-5.01M-4.33M-8.89M
Financing Cash Flow-60.11M-33.18M-29.27M-18.55M-15.00M-12.60M

Firefly AB Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price159.00
Price Trends
50DMA
166.17
Positive
100DMA
170.71
Positive
200DMA
176.42
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
3.54
Negative
RSI
66.99
Neutral
STOCH
74.89
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SE:FIRE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 159 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 167.55, below the 50-day MA of 166.17, and below the 200-day MA of 176.42, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 3.54 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.99 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 74.89 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SE:FIRE.

Firefly AB Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
kr1.11B25.956.29%8.56%25.74%
67
Neutral
kr33.92B18.9214.93%3.63%-1.94%8.99%
63
Neutral
kr517.71M12.872.83%4.44%
61
Neutral
kr84.05B15.0513.98%3.25%-5.74%0.13%
57
Neutral
€9.70B-67.179.90%-38.94%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
51
Neutral
kr104.84M39.0016.19%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SE:FIRE
Firefly AB
185.00
12.38
7.17%
SE:LOOMIS
Loomis AB
524.00
123.16
30.72%
SE:SECU.B
Securitas AB
146.70
1.00
0.68%
SE:SGG
Sensys Gatso Group AB
44.90
1.30
2.98%
SE:TSEC
Tempest Security AB
10.00
-4.80
-32.43%
SE:VSURE
Verisure Plc
9.38
-6.62
-41.35%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 22, 2026