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Arctic Blue Beverages AB (SE:ARCTIC)
:ARCTIC
Sweden Market

Arctic Blue Beverages AB (ARCTIC) AI Stock Analysis

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SE:ARCTIC

Arctic Blue Beverages AB

(ARCTIC)

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Neutral 42 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:42Neutral
Price Target:
kr0.12
▼(-36.32% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/19/26
Overall score is low, driven primarily by very weak financial performance (deep losses, negative gross profit in 2025, persistent cash burn, and negative equity with debt). Technicals are also unfavorable with a weak long-term trend and negative MACD. Valuation offers limited support due to negative earnings and no stated dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Brand differentiation (Nordic/Arctic ingredients)
A distinct Arctic/Nordic product identity gives a durable consumer differentiation in premium spirits, supporting brand loyalty, specialty retail listings and export appeal. Such positioning helps sustain pricing power and shelf standout if execution and quality persist.
Diversified distribution channels
Multiple sales channels reduce single-market dependence and provide flexible revenue levers across retail, hospitality and export. This structural diversification aids resilience to localized shocks and supports longer-term scaling if distribution relationships are maintained.
Signs of operational stabilization in 2025
Improved cash burn and a modest revenue rebound in 2025 suggest initial operational stabilization. If sustained, this trend can reduce immediate refinancing needs, buy time for margin fixes and validate any restructuring, making a path toward break-even more attainable.
Negative Factors
Negative shareholders' equity
Negative equity reflects accumulated losses and severely limits financial flexibility. It raises creditor and covenant risk, complicates access to debt or equity financing, and increases sensitivity to adverse shocks, making sustained recovery materially harder without external capital.
Persistent negative operating and free cash flow
Consistent negative operating and free cash flow exhausts liquidity and mandates external funding. This constrains investment in marketing, distribution and product development, raises dilution or refinancing risk, and reduces runway to execute strategic fixes over the medium term.
Gross profit turned sharply negative in 2025
A negative gross profit means cost of goods exceeded revenue, indicating fundamental product-cost or pricing issues. This undermines viability because SG&A cuts alone can't restore margins; durable recovery requires repricing, cost restructuring, or product changes to restore unit economics.

Arctic Blue Beverages AB (ARCTIC) vs. iShares MSCI Sweden ETF (EWD)

Arctic Blue Beverages AB Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionArctic Blue Beverages AB (publ) produces and sells handcrafted beverages in Finland, Sweden, Canada, Japan, Australia, and internationally. The company offers arctic blue gin, navy strength, rose, cask vintage, laku, oat, long drinks, and tonic original products, as well as cocktails under the ARCTIC BLUE brand name. It sells its products through distributors. Arctic The company was founded in 2017 and is based in Stockholm, Sweden.
How the Company Makes MoneyThe company makes money primarily by selling its spirits (e.g., gin and related beverage products) under its own brands. Revenue is generated through wholesale and distribution-driven sales to alcohol retail monopolies or liquor retailers (where applicable by country), as well as sales to bars, restaurants, and hospitality venues (on-trade). Additional revenue can come from export sales via local importers/distributors and from listing/placement arrangements that increase availability in retail networks. If the company operates or participates in direct-to-consumer channels (such as brand webshops, tastings, or visitor experiences), those can contribute incremental revenue; however, specific details on the scope of such activities and named partnerships are not publicly available in the provided context and are therefore null.

Arctic Blue Beverages AB Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial profile is very weak: persistent large operating/net losses, revenue contraction since 2022 (only a modest rebound in 2025), sharply negative gross profit in 2025, ongoing negative operating/free cash flow (FCF about -12.0M in 2025), and elevated balance-sheet risk with negative equity since 2024 alongside meaningful debt.
Income Statement
12
Very Negative
The company remains deeply unprofitable across the period, with large operating and net losses every year. Revenue has been shrinking since 2022 (down from ~9.4M in 2022 to ~5.0M in 2025), although 2025 shows a modest rebound versus 2024. Profitability deteriorated materially in 2025 as gross profit turned sharply negative (implying cost of sales exceeded revenue), and operating losses remain very large relative to sales, signaling a business model that has not yet reached a sustainable cost structure.
Balance Sheet
8
Very Negative
Balance sheet risk is elevated: shareholders’ equity turned negative in 2024 and worsened further in 2025, which typically indicates accumulated losses and reduced financial flexibility. Debt increased substantially versus earlier years (from near-zero in 2020–2022 to ~21.4M in 2024 and ~14.4M in 2025), while total assets have declined from 2022 levels. The combination of negative equity and meaningful debt load makes funding risk and refinancing sensitivity high.
Cash Flow
10
Very Negative
Cash generation is weak and consistently negative: operating cash flow has been negative in every reported year except 2020 (which was roughly breakeven), and free cash flow is also persistently negative, including ~-12.0M in 2025. While cash burn improved from 2024 to 2025, the business still requires external financing to fund operations. Cash flow performance also appears volatile year-to-year, which increases execution and liquidity risk.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.96M5.13M6.42M9.44M8.75M
Gross Profit-12.36M1.34M1.41M518.00K4.03M
EBITDA-13.76M-13.21M-15.78M-35.79M-14.37M
Net Income-15.54M-16.70M-18.36M-37.95M-15.37M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.10M14.77M12.86M24.64M20.78M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.99M764.00K367.00K1.63M1.02M
Total Debt14.36M21.39M446.00K0.000.00
Total Liabilities22.19M29.26M10.59M4.97M2.87M
Stockholders Equity-9.09M-14.50M2.27M19.66M17.91M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-12.01M-16.36M-9.94M-31.86M-19.86M
Operating Cash Flow-11.89M-14.58M-9.94M-31.86M-19.86M
Investing Cash Flow-154.00K-620.00K2.36M0.00-859.00K
Financing Cash Flow15.31M15.59M6.29M32.28M18.24M

Arctic Blue Beverages AB Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.19
Price Trends
50DMA
0.16
Negative
100DMA
0.17
Negative
200DMA
0.43
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Positive
RSI
22.48
Positive
STOCH
34.09
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SE:ARCTIC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.19 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.15, above the 50-day MA of 0.16, and below the 200-day MA of 0.43, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 22.48 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 34.09 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SE:ARCTIC.

Arctic Blue Beverages AB Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
61
Neutral
kr2.91B15.144.40%19.47%46.15%
57
Neutral
kr121.74M17.545.91%
56
Neutral
kr526.38M21.640.51%22.02%127.51%
42
Neutral
-0.50-1.47%-15.75%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SE:ARCTIC
Arctic Blue Beverages AB
0.13
-0.83
-86.55%
SE:NNH
New Nordic Healthbrands AB
19.65
4.95
33.67%
SE:VIVA
Viva Wine Group AB
32.50
-7.85
-19.45%
SE:SNX
Premium Snacks Nordic AB
38.70
17.64
83.76%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 19, 2026