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S&W Seed Company (SANW)
OTHER OTC:SANW

S&W Seed Company (SANW) AI Stock Analysis

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SANW

S&W Seed Company

(OTC:SANW)

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Rating:41Neutral
Price Target:
$1.50
▲(971.43% Upside)
Action:N/ADate:07/18/25
SANW's overall stock score of 41 reflects major concerns, primarily driven by weak financial performance with persistent losses, high leverage, and declining revenue. Negative corporate events, including default and delisting, further weigh on the outlook. Technical indicators confirm a bearish trend, and valuation offers no support with negative earnings. While the earnings call shows some operational improvements, these are insufficient to offset broader risks.
Positive Factors
Operational Efficiency
Achieving positive adjusted EBITDA reflects successful cost-saving initiatives and improved operational efficiencies, which can enhance long-term profitability and competitiveness.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
A significant revenue decline indicates challenges in market demand or competitive positioning, which can impact long-term growth prospects and financial stability.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Operational Efficiency
Achieving positive adjusted EBITDA reflects successful cost-saving initiatives and improved operational efficiencies, which can enhance long-term profitability and competitiveness.
Read all positive factors

S&W Seed Company (SANW) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

S&W Seed Company Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
S&W Seed Company, an agricultural company, engages in breeding, growing, processing, and selling alfalfa and sorghum seeds. It also offers sunflower, wheat germplasm, wheat, and pasture seeds. The company sells its seeds to distributors and dealer...
How the Company Makes Money
S&W Seed Company generates revenue through the sale of its seed products to farmers, distributors, and agricultural companies. The company's key revenue streams include the commercialization of proprietary seed varieties, licensing of seed genetic...

S&W Seed Company Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 15, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 14, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed outlook for S&W Seed Company. While the company achieved its first positive adjusted EBITDA quarter in many years and made significant operational improvements, the impact of Chinese tariffs on US sorghum exports significantly affected revenue and profitability forecasts. Despite these challenges, the company remains optimistic about the long-term potential of its high-margin sorghum traits.
Positive Updates
First Positive Adjusted EBITDA Quarter
S&W Seed Company reported its first positive adjusted EBITDA quarter in many years, indicating operational improvements and strategic focus on high-margin products.
Negative Updates
Impact of Tariffs on US Sorghum Market
Retaliatory tariffs by China on US agricultural products, including sorghum, led to decreased exports, increased domestic inventories, and depressed farm gate prices, prompting some farmers to switch from sorghum to more profitable crops.
Read all updates
Q3-2025 Updates
Negative
First Positive Adjusted EBITDA Quarter
S&W Seed Company reported its first positive adjusted EBITDA quarter in many years, indicating operational improvements and strategic focus on high-margin products.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
During the S&W Seed Company's third-quarter fiscal year 2025 conference call, guidance was updated to reflect a decrease in full-year revenue expectations to between $29 million and $31 million, down from previous estimates of $34.5 million to $38 million. This revision was primarily due to the impact of tariffs on U.S. sorghum exports to China, which affected sorghum seed purchases and led to a projected adjusted EBITDA of negative $8.5 million to negative $7 million. Despite these challenges, the company achieved a positive adjusted EBITDA of $244,000 in the third quarter, a significant improvement from a negative $2.2 million in the same period last year. S&W also reported strong gross margin improvements, reaching 37.7% compared to 24.6% the previous year. The company remains optimistic about the long-term prospects of its high-margin sorghum traits and is focused on strategic alternatives to enhance shareholder value, with ongoing efforts to expand internationally and develop new products.

S&W Seed Company Financial Statement Overview

Summary
S&W Seed Company's financial performance is weak, with significant losses reflected in a negative Net Profit Margin of -85.7% and declining revenue (-17.8% growth). The balance sheet shows high leverage with a Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 4.6 and a negative ROE of -525.7%. While cash flow improved with positive Free Cash Flow of $497K, it remains insufficient to offset broader profitability issues, warranting a low score.
Income Statement
25
Negative
Balance Sheet
15
Very Negative
Cash Flow
35
Negative
BreakdownTTMSep 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue37.76M60.44M73.52M71.35M84.05M79.58M
Gross Profit7.89M15.81M14.54M6.36M13.68M14.93M
EBITDA-14.24M-15.01M25.85M-27.34M-10.69M-11.80M
Net Income-32.24M-30.03M14.41M-36.32M-19.11M-19.75M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets69.61M120.73M151.99M133.79M151.47M155.96M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments354.50K294.01K3.40M2.06M3.53M4.12M
Total Debt21.94M54.32M56.49M51.08M47.22M43.09M
Total Liabilities42.79M75.69M77.89M82.38M77.08M74.62M
Stockholders Equity32.94M44.99M68.76M51.37M74.42M81.46M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow497.70K-7.18M-20.01M-20.47M-15.30M-7.74M
Operating Cash Flow-403.17K-5.64M-18.98M-18.37M-14.22M-5.76M
Investing Cash Flow-62.84K5.88M8.37M-909.43K2.47M-10.29M
Financing Cash Flow649.78K-3.35M11.95M17.14M10.89M17.05M

S&W Seed Company Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price0.14
Price Trends
50DMA
0.07
Positive
100DMA
0.11
Negative
200DMA
0.68
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.02
Negative
RSI
74.40
Negative
STOCH
<0.01
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SANW, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 0.14 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.08, above the 50-day MA of 0.07, and below the 200-day MA of 0.68, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 74.40 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of <0.01 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for SANW.

S&W Seed Company Risk Analysis

S&W Seed Company disclosed 49 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. S&W Seed Company reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

S&W Seed Company Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
47
Neutral
$36.74M-3.8166.22%31.61%37.02%
41
Neutral
$236.15K>-0.01-45.02%-7.27%
41
Neutral
$2.87M-0.08-46.64%-29.40%-535.63%
40
Underperform
$922.89K-0.52-179.10%-10.77%97.27%
39
Underperform
$4.51M
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SANW
S&W Seed Company
0.11
-4.84
-97.78%
AQB
AquaBounty Technologies
0.88
0.22
34.62%
SDOT
Sadot Group
1.55
-19.65
-92.69%
LOCL
Local Bounti Corporation
1.64
-1.84
-52.87%
EDBL
Edible Garden AG , Inc.
1.01
-20.29
-95.26%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 18, 2025