tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Ryvyl (RVYL)
NASDAQ:RVYL
US Market

Ryvyl (RVYL) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
222 Followers

Top Page

RVYL

Ryvyl

(NASDAQ:RVYL)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 43 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:43Neutral
Price Target:
$7.00
▲(42.28% Upside)
The score is primarily weighed down by weak financial performance (declining revenue, large losses, negative equity, and negative cash flows). Technicals also remain bearish with the stock below key moving averages and negative MACD. Corporate events add some offset from regained Nasdaq compliance and merger progress, but are tempered by the share-based class action settlement.
Positive Factors
Nasdaq listing compliance preserved
Maintaining Nasdaq listing removes delisting risk and preserves access to U.S. capital markets and institutional investors. This structural stability supports future financing, M&A execution and liquidity needs over months, critical while the company pursues a strategic merger.
Strategic merger filing (Form S-4) with RTB Digital
A filed S-4 signals a concrete, structural pivot toward advertising-driven Web3 media and SaaS revenue, which could diversify revenue streams beyond payments. If approved and integrated, the merger materially reshapes the business model and market addressable over the medium term.
Merger partner secured committed financing
Committed convertible financing increases likelihood of merger closing and supplies immediate capital to the combined entity. The note’s conversion mechanics, warrants and lock-up terms are structural protections that can reduce near-term dilution and support post-close liquidity.
Negative Factors
Declining revenue and large operating losses
Sustained top-line decline and deep net losses indicate structural weakness in product-market fit or pricing. Persistent negative margins erode cash runway, constrain reinvestment in product and sales, and force reliance on external financing, raising execution risk over several months.
Negative equity and high leverage
Negative equity and elevated leverage reduce financial flexibility, increase cost of capital and can impair ability to raise non-dilutive funding. These structural balance-sheet weaknesses magnify downside risk if revenues remain pressured and complicate merger integration planning.
Share-based settlement and capital structure overhang
Settling litigation with stock issuance and a put option creates potential future repurchase obligations and share overhang. This structurally increases dilution risk, may constrain management’s capital allocation choices, and can undermine investor confidence during a crucial merger process.

Ryvyl (RVYL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Ryvyl Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGreenBox POS, a technology company, engages in the development, marketing, and sale of blockchain-based payment solutions. Its blockchain-based systems facilitate, record, and store a volume of tokenized assets, representing cash or data, on a blockchain-based ledger. The company's products include QuickCard Payment System, a physical and virtual cash management system, including software that facilitates deposits, cash, and e-wallet management; point of sale solutions comprising software and hardware; and Loopz software solution, a mobile delivery service operations management solution with automated dispatch functionality. It serves customers in various industries, including foreign exchange, retail, and e-commerce sectors. The company was formerly known as ASAP Expo, Inc. GreenBox POS was incorporated in 2007 and is based in San Diego, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyRyvyl generates revenue primarily through transaction fees charged to merchants for payment processing services. Each time a transaction is processed through its platform, Ryvyl collects a percentage of the transaction value as a fee. In addition to transaction fees, the company earns revenue from subscription-based services that provide merchants with access to premium features and analytics tools. Ryvyl may also engage in partnerships with other financial institutions or technology providers, which can create additional revenue streams through joint offerings or referral arrangements. These partnerships enhance the company's market reach and enable it to tap into new customer segments, contributing positively to its overall earnings.

Ryvyl Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 14, 2024
(Q3-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 01, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed outlook. While there were significant international growth and strategic partnerships, challenges such as revenue decline and financial restructuring indicate underlying issues. The sentiment is balanced by strong prospects for future growth.
Q3-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
International Revenue Growth
International revenue grew 96% year-over-year in Q3 2024, with notable achievements in Europe despite some delays in software integrations.
Increase in Processing Volumes
Processing volumes reached $1.123 billion in Q3 2024, a 31% increase from Q3 2023, with international volumes at $952 million.
Visa Direct Expansion
Expansion of Visa Direct integration to 13 countries, leveraging Visa's global network to fuel revenue growth.
Launch of NanoKard
Successfully launched NanoKard in Q3 2024, targeting high-demand sectors for high-margin processing opportunities.
Private Label Partnership
A new private label partnership went live, expected to generate licensing revenue starting December 2024.
Cost Reduction
Operating expenses decreased to $7.3 million in Q3 2024 from $9.1 million in Q3 2023, reflecting lower G&A and R&D expenses.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline
Revenue for Q3 2024 was $12.6 million, down from $17.5 million in Q3 2023, impacted by slow growth in the EU.
Negative Adjusted EBITDA
Adjusted EBITDA was a negative $1.7 million in Q3 2024 compared to $50,000 in Q3 2023.
Challenges in U.S. Operations
U.S. operations faced challenges, though there was a sequential growth of over 10% in Q3 2024.
Balance Sheet Restructuring
A memorandum of understanding was announced to restructure the balance sheet, indicating financial strains.
Company Guidance
During the Q3 2024 earnings call for RYVYL Inc., the company provided optimistic guidance for future performance metrics. They experienced a significant increase in international revenue, which surged by 96% year-over-year, despite some delays in European software integrations. The international transaction volumes rose from $781 million in Q2 2024 to $952 million in Q3 2024. RYVYL aims to achieve processing volumes exceeding $4 billion for the year 2024. However, they adjusted their revenue guidance to a range of $56 million to $60 million due to third-quarter impacts and anticipate substantial revenue growth in 2025. The company is also focusing on expanding its Visa Direct integration, which now reaches 13 countries, and expects to see initial licensing revenue from a new private label partnership starting in December 2024. Overall, RYVYL forecasts continued momentum into 2025, with a strategic emphasis on high-margin market segments and leveraging advanced technologies like blockchain and AI for operational enhancements.

Ryvyl Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Weak fundamentals: revenue declined (-21.71% TTM) with a deeply negative net margin (-56.37%). Balance sheet risk is elevated with negative equity and high leverage, while cash flow is also pressured with negative operating and free cash flow.
Income Statement
35
Negative
Ryvyl's income statement reveals significant challenges, with negative net profit margins and declining revenue growth. The TTM data shows a gross profit margin of 42.68%, but the net profit margin is deeply negative at -56.37%, indicating substantial losses. Revenue has decreased by 21.71% in the TTM period, highlighting a concerning trend. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, reflecting operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet presents a mixed picture with high leverage and negative equity. The debt-to-equity ratio is negative, indicating more debt than equity, which poses a financial risk. The return on equity is positive at 5.42% in the TTM, but this is due to negative equity, which distorts the metric. The equity ratio is not available due to negative equity, further complicating the financial stability assessment.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
Cash flow analysis shows negative operating and free cash flows in the TTM, with a free cash flow growth rate of -137.16%. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating cash flow challenges. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is positive at 1.16, suggesting some ability to cover net losses with free cash flow, albeit limited.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue35.42M56.00M65.87M32.91M26.30M8.53M
Gross Profit15.12M22.43M25.71M16.12M16.23M3.70M
EBITDA-11.45M-20.30M-33.78M-6.13M-29.43M-3.48M
Net Income-19.97M-26.82M-53.10M-49.24M-35.27M-5.01M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets23.41M122.28M128.66M97.66M114.05M12.26M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.16M2.60M12.18M13.96M89.05M0.00
Total Debt2.63M21.07M20.32M63.39M79.57M1.40M
Total Liabilities26.64M123.77M105.17M99.58M84.58M11.88M
Stockholders Equity-3.22M-1.49M23.49M-1.92M29.47M385.24K
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-6.02M21.14M33.05M-9.51M-27.32M-4.17M
Operating Cash Flow-4.13M21.19M33.16M-9.34M-27.17M-4.16M
Investing Cash Flow-76.93M-1.81M2.29M-47.65M-2.66M-6.65K
Financing Cash Flow7.32M-241.00K-3.01M-10.05M116.06M5.24M

Ryvyl Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price4.92
Price Trends
50DMA
8.27
Negative
100DMA
9.91
Negative
200DMA
15.61
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.49
Negative
RSI
53.05
Neutral
STOCH
48.36
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RVYL, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 4.92 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.56, below the 50-day MA of 8.27, and below the 200-day MA of 15.61, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.49 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.05 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 48.36 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for RVYL.

Ryvyl Risk Analysis

Ryvyl disclosed 23 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Ryvyl reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Ryvyl Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
49
Neutral
$10.09M-3.29-25.73%0.16%-36.86%
44
Neutral
$10.03M-3.08-93.31%68.56%89.48%
43
Neutral
$7.33M-0.13-993.23%-44.25%82.71%
41
Neutral
$16.34M>-0.01-415.08%16.50%
40
Underperform
$1.40M-0.13-46.76%-15.10%-177.14%
39
Underperform
$6.90M-0.06-30.70%82.02%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RVYL
Ryvyl
6.90
-35.45
-83.71%
BLIN
Bridgeline Digital
0.85
-0.96
-53.09%
TAOP
Taoping
1.56
-6.62
-80.93%
CETX
Cemtrex
1.78
-37.82
-95.51%
DTSS
Datasea
1.38
-0.62
-31.00%
HUBC
Hub
3.11
-98.69
-96.95%

Ryvyl Corporate Events

Delistings and Listing ChangesM&A TransactionsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Ryvyl Files Form S-4 Advancing RTB Digital Merger
Positive
Jan 20, 2026

On January 16, 2026, RYVYL regained compliance with Nasdaq’s minimum bid price rule after its shares maintained a closing bid of at least $1.00 for ten consecutive trading days from January 2 to January 15, 2026, leading Nasdaq to cancel a previously scheduled delisting hearing and confirm continued listing of the company’s common stock on the Nasdaq Capital Market without any change to its capital structure. In a January 20, 2026 announcement, the company also disclosed that it has filed a Form S-4 registration statement with U.S. regulators in connection with its previously announced merger with RTB Digital, Inc. (Roundtable), noting that all material conditions to the deal have been met except for SEC approval of the filing and customary closing conditions, marking a key step toward completing the transaction while preserving shareholder equity and listing status.

The most recent analyst rating on (RVYL) stock is a Sell with a $4.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ryvyl stock, see the RVYL Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Ryvyl Files S-4 for Roundtable Web3 Media Acquisition
Positive
Jan 15, 2026

On January 15, 2026, RYVYL announced that it had publicly filed a registration statement on Form S-4 and a related proxy statement/prospectus with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission in connection with its proposed acquisition of Web3 media platform provider RTB Digital, Inc., known as Roundtable. The merger, which is subject to SEC effectiveness of the filing, shareholder approvals and other customary conditions, is expected to close in the third quarter of 2026 and would pivot RYVYL’s business to focus on Roundtable’s advertising-driven Web3 media operations, signaling a strategic shift from its traditional payments base toward a digital media and Web3-centric revenue model with potentially significant implications for shareholders, customers and employees if successfully completed.

The most recent analyst rating on (RVYL) stock is a Hold with a $5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ryvyl stock, see the RVYL Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Ryvyl’s Merger Partner Secures $10 Million Convertible Financing
Positive
Jan 9, 2026

On January 5, 2026, RTB Digital, Inc., the anticipated merger partner of RYVYL Inc., executed a binding term sheet with UTXO Management, an affiliate of 210k Capital, for a $10 million secured convertible note investment that mirrors RTB’s prior $33 million funding, bringing RTB’s recent capital raises to $43 million and, if the merger closes, adding to RYVYL’s shareholder equity without altering the exchange ratio for existing RYVYL stockholders. The note, whose proceeds will be held in Bitcoin, will automatically convert into RYVYL equity at a pre-money valuation of $200 million upon consummation of the merger, and is accompanied by 20% warrant coverage, price-protection mechanisms via additional warrants if the fully diluted valuation at closing is below $200 million, as well as a 12‑month lock‑up on resulting shares and a right of first refusal for RYVYL on any post-lock‑up share sales, together underscoring a capital structure designed to support the planned merger while managing dilution and market overhang risks for existing investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (RVYL) stock is a Hold with a $4.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ryvyl stock, see the RVYL Stock Forecast page.

Financial DisclosuresLegal ProceedingsPrivate Placements and Financing
Ryvyl Issues Shares to Settle Securities Class Action
Negative
Jan 9, 2026

On January 2, 2026, Ryvyl Inc. issued 122,164 shares of its common stock to settle a securities class action filed in February 2023 in the U.S. District Court for the Southern District of California, which alleged that the company and certain executives misrepresented the state of its internal controls and materially misstated financial results for 2021 and early 2022. The settlement, formalized in a July 9, 2025 agreement and approved by the court, forms part of a $1 million cash-and-stock resolution and followed a series of amended complaints and partial rulings on motions to dismiss; as part of the deal, Ryvyl also granted a put option allowing the settlement class to sell the shares back to the company under specified price conditions, potentially affecting its future capital structure and share overhang.

The most recent analyst rating on (RVYL) stock is a Hold with a $4.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ryvyl stock, see the RVYL Stock Forecast page.

Delistings and Listing ChangesRegulatory Filings and ComplianceShareholder MeetingsStock Split
Ryvyl Announces Major Reverse Stock Split and Share Changes
Neutral
Dec 30, 2025

At its December 15, 2025 annual meeting, RYVYL’s shareholders approved increasing the company’s authorized common shares from 100 million to 500 million and authorized a reverse stock split at a ratio set by the board, after which the company filed amendments in Nevada on December 19 and December 30, 2025 to implement these changes. The board ultimately set a 1-for-35 reverse stock split of the company’s common stock, effective January 1, 2026 with trading on a split-adjusted basis beginning January 2, 2026 on Nasdaq, a move the company says is aimed at lifting its share price to maintain compliance with Nasdaq’s $1 minimum bid requirement and potentially make the stock more attractive to investors, while leaving total authorized shares unchanged, eliminating fractional shares by rounding up, and proportionally adjusting all outstanding preferred stock, options, RSUs and warrants.

The most recent analyst rating on (RVYL) stock is a Sell with a $0.20 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ryvyl stock, see the RVYL Stock Forecast page.

Delistings and Listing ChangesRegulatory Filings and ComplianceShareholder MeetingsStock Split
Ryvyl Implements Measures to Address Nasdaq Compliance
Neutral
Dec 17, 2025

RYVYL Inc. announced the approval of key proposals during its 2025 Annual Meeting on December 15, 2025, including a reverse stock split and an increase in authorized shares, aimed at addressing Nasdaq listing compliance issues. Following Nasdaq’s delisting notice due to bid price deficiency, RYVYL has filed an appeal and plans to implement the reverse stock split to resolve compliance concerns, backed by a merger with Roundtable that has secured sufficient capital for stockholder equity. These actions are expected to strengthen the company’s market position and satisfy Nasdaq listing standards, though uncertainties remain regarding the outcome.

The most recent analyst rating on (RVYL) stock is a Hold with a $0.32 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ryvyl stock, see the RVYL Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Ryvyl Amends Securities Purchase Agreement with RTB Digital
Positive
Dec 12, 2025

Ryvyl Inc., a Nevada corporation, announced an amendment to its Securities Purchase Agreement with RTB Digital, Inc., initially disclosed in October 2025. The amendment, dated December 9, 2025, increases the purchase price for 50,000 shares of Series C Preferred Stock by $1,500,000, bringing the total to $6,500,000, and raises the Stated Value per share from $100.00 to $130.00. This adjustment reflects a strategic financial maneuver to enhance the company’s capital structure, with all other terms of the agreement remaining unchanged.

The most recent analyst rating on (RVYL) stock is a Hold with a $0.31 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ryvyl stock, see the RVYL Stock Forecast page.

Legal Proceedings
Ryvyl’s Settlement Receives Preliminary Court Approval
Neutral
Nov 21, 2025

On November 14, 2025, the United States District Court for the Southern District of California granted preliminary approval for a proposed settlement involving Ryvyl Inc. This settlement, executed on September 30, 2025, addresses consolidated shareholder derivative actions against certain current and former officers and directors of the company, including related litigation in Nevada. The court’s decision mandates that notice of the settlement be provided to all stockholders as of September 30, 2025, potentially impacting the company’s legal standing and stakeholder relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (RVYL) stock is a Sell with a $0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ryvyl stock, see the RVYL Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesM&A Transactions
Ryvyl Announces CFO for Planned Merger
Positive
Nov 6, 2025

On November 6, 2025, RYVYL Inc. announced that Aly Madhavji will guide the company and RTB Digital, Inc. through their planned merger and will serve as the Chief Financial Officer of the merged entity. This strategic move aims to leverage Madhavji’s expertise in blockchain investments to enhance the company’s position in the digital media and Web3 sectors, potentially impacting its market operations and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (RVYL) stock is a Hold with a $0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ryvyl stock, see the RVYL Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Ryvyl CEO Fredi Nisan Resigns, George Oliva Steps In
Neutral
Oct 31, 2025

On October 28, 2025, Fredi Nisan announced his resignation as a director and his retirement as CEO of RYVYL Inc., effective October 30 and October 31, 2025, respectively. The board has appointed George Oliva, the current CFO with extensive experience in corporate finance, as the Interim CEO, indicating a seamless transition in leadership without any internal disagreements.

The most recent analyst rating on (RVYL) stock is a Hold with a $0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ryvyl stock, see the RVYL Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsShareholder Meetings
Ryvyl Reschedules Annual Meeting Post-Merger Announcement
Neutral
Oct 30, 2025

On October 29, 2025, RYVYL Inc. announced the rescheduling of its 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders from October 30 to December 15, 2025, to accommodate new shareholders following a merger agreement with RTB Digital, Inc. (Roundtable). This merger, involving a Web3 digital media SaaS company, has generated significant interest, reflected in over 450 million shares of trading activity. The merger aims to integrate Roundtable’s advanced blockchain technology and media platform, potentially impacting RYVYL’s market positioning and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (RVYL) stock is a Hold with a $0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ryvyl stock, see the RVYL Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 24, 2026