Ryvyl (RVYL) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $10.37M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 23.39M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 2.58
• Revenue Growth: -23.82%
• EPS Growth: 56.13%
• Country: US
• Employees: 95
• Sector: Technology
• Sector Strength: 87
• Industry: Software - Infrastructure
• EPS (TTM): N/A
• Shares Outstanding: 15,957,396
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 712,100
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 23,385,665
• PEG Ratio: -0.07
• Price to Book (P/B): -2.20
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: -1.00
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 3.20
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 0.14
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 1.50
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: -0.28
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0

• Rating: 41 Neutral
• Price Target: $0.50 ▼(-23.08%Downside)

Ryvyl's overall stock score reflects significant financial and operational challenges. The most impactful factors are the negative financial performance and poor valuation metrics. Technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, and recent corporate events highlight regulatory compliance issues, adding further risk.

Positive Factors

European Market Growth

European growth is driven by RYVYL's ability to make quick risk assessments using proprietary algorithms, allowing the company to process transaction pools that other processors avoid and generate higher returns.

Global Expansion

RYVYL significantly expanded its global payments footprint, extending Visa Direct services to 16 countries from 5.

Revenue Growth

RYVYL's overall transaction processing volume is expected to reach $4.5B in 2024 up 47% year over year, suggesting that revenue should improve next year.

Negative Factors

Growth Uncertainty

Analyst remains unsettled on projections due to revenue reporting volatility, such as divested or spin-off business and constant flux of regulatory requirements, especially in the U.S.

North American Market Decline

A healthy $48.9M business in North America in 2023 is expected to fall 63% to $18.2M for FY24, indicating inconsistencies in the region.

Revenue Reporting Volatility

A myriad of factors has contributed to Ryvyl's revenue reporting volatility, such as divested or spin-off business and the constant flux of regulatory requirements, especially in the U.S.

Ryvyl Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Ryvyl (RVYL) is a fintech company specializing in providing payment processing solutions and financial technology services. The company operates primarily in the financial services sector, offering a suite of products that cater to businesses looking to streamline their payment processes, enhance security, and utilize innovative payment technologies. Ryvyl's core services include electronic payments, secure transaction solutions, and financial data analytics.

How the Company Makes Money

Ryvyl makes money through a diverse set of revenue streams centered around its payment processing and financial technology services. The company generates revenue by charging transaction fees for processing payments on behalf of its clients. These fees can vary based on the volume and nature of transactions processed. Additionally, Ryvyl offers subscription-based services and software solutions that provide enhanced security and analytics capabilities, contributing to its recurring revenue. Key partnerships with financial institutions and businesses also play a significant role in driving earnings, as they expand Ryvyl's reach and client base, facilitating more transactions and thus increasing revenue potential.

Ryvyl Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Ryvyl's financial performance is weakened by declining revenues, significant net losses, and high leverage with negative equity. While positive operating cash flow offers some liquidity relief, the overall financial position is precarious.

Income Statement

Ryvyl's income statement reveals a challenging financial situation. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) data shows a gross profit margin of 40.04%, which is decent, but the company is still suffering from negative EBIT and EBITDA margins, indicating operational inefficiencies. The drastic revenue decline from the previous year, with a negative revenue growth rate of -14.96%, further highlights the company's struggle to maintain its market position. The net profit margin is deeply negative at -47.91%, reflecting significant net losses.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet indicates a precarious financial position for Ryvyl, with a negative stockholders' equity of -$1.49 million, suggesting potential solvency issues. The debt-to-equity ratio is not meaningful due to negative equity, but the company's total debt of $3.70 million against substantial liabilities points to a high leverage situation. The equity ratio is negative as well, which is a critical risk factor.

Cash Flow

The cash flow statement shows some positive aspects, with a robust operating cash flow of $21.19 million and a free cash flow of $21.14 million in the TTM period. However, the free cash flow growth rate is negative at -36.03%, which raises concerns about future liquidity. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive due to high operating cash flow despite net losses, which is a strength in cash management.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	54.36M	56.00M	65.87M	32.91M	26.30M	8.53M
Gross Profit	22.11M	22.43M	25.71M	16.12M	16.89M	3.70M
EBITDA	-20.18M	-20.30M	-33.78M	-5.02M	-29.39M	-3.48M
Net Income	-26.89M	-26.82M	-53.10M	-49.24M	-26.45M	-6.16M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	108.07M	122.28M	128.66M	97.66M	132.67M	12.26M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	2.98M	2.60M	12.18M	13.96M	89.56M	-120.11K
Total Debt	23.12M	21.07M	20.32M	63.11M	60.84M	1.40M
Total Liabilities	111.16M	123.77M	105.17M	99.58M	87.17M	11.88M
Stockholders Equity	-3.08M	-1.49M	23.49M	-1.92M	45.51M	385.24K
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-12.97M	21.14M	33.05M	-9.51M	-27.32M	-4.17M
Operating Cash Flow	-9.91M	21.19M	33.16M	-9.34M	-27.17M	-4.16M
Investing Cash Flow	-3.06M	-1.81M	2.29M	-47.65M	-2.66M	-6.65K
Financing Cash Flow	1.76M	-241.00K	-3.01M	-10.05M	116.06M	5.24M

Ryvyl Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 0.65
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RVYL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.65 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.76, below the 50-day MA of 0.77, and below the 200-day MA of 1.18, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of 0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 43.78 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 32.91 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for RVYL.

Ryvyl Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
Sector *	63 Neutral	$34.04B	6.14	-11.52%	1.82%	5.53%	-18.79%
APCX	45 Neutral	$8.15M	―	-220.48%	―	-25.38%	67.34%
DTSS	45 Neutral	$14.66M	―	-501.24%	―	141.65%	60.23%
RVYL	41 Neutral	$10.37M	―	-309.32%	―	-23.82%	56.13%
HUBC	38 Underperform	$5.67M	―	163.42%	―	-30.70%	82.02%

Ryvyl Corporate Events

Ryvyl Faces Nasdaq Noncompliance Over Stock Price

On June 12, 2025, RYVYL Inc. received a notice from Nasdaq indicating noncompliance with the minimum bid price requirement, as its stock price fell below $1.00 for 30 consecutive days. The company has until December 9, 2025, to regain compliance, with the possibility of an additional grace period if necessary. Additionally, RYVYL Inc. is addressing previous noncompliance with Nasdaq’s equity requirements and has made board changes, with Brett Moyer replacing David Montoya as a director. The company is also enhancing its business plan and exploring acquisitions to strengthen its digital asset offerings, contingent on raising $100 million and shareholder approvals.

Ryvyl Granted Nasdaq Extension for Compliance Plan

On April 8, 2025, RYVYL Inc. received a notification from Nasdaq indicating non-compliance with the minimum stockholders’ equity requirement due to a reported negative equity of $1.5 million as of December 31, 2024. In response, RYVYL submitted a compliance plan, which Nasdaq accepted, granting an extension until October 6, 2025, to meet the listing requirement. The company is actively working to raise the necessary financing to regain compliance, but there is no assurance of success, which could result in delisting if conditions are not met.

Ryvyl Extends Discussions on Subsidiary Sale Agreement

Ryvyl Inc. has entered into a stock purchase agreement with a purchaser for the sale of its indirect subsidiary, Ryvyl (EU) EAD, based in Bulgaria, for $15 million. However, the company has not exercised its rights to terminate the agreement or extend the standstill period, leading to the expiration of its right to terminate the SPA. Despite this, the purchaser has decided not to finalize the purchase immediately, allowing for further discussions until May 16, 2025.

Ryvyl Grants RSAs to Executives and Employees

On March 14, 2025, Ryvyl Inc.’s Compensation Committee approved a salary increase for CFO George Oliva to $375,000, retroactive to January 1, 2025. Additionally, the company granted restricted stock unit awards to key executives and employees, including 380,000 RSAs each for Executive Vice President Ben Errez and CEO Fredi Nisan, and 272,000 RSAs for CFO George Oliva, under its 2023 Amended and Restated Equity Incentive Plan. These RSAs, granted on April 8, 2025, will vest between May 15, 2025, and February 18, 2028.