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Sturm Ruger & Company (RGR)
NYSE:RGR

Sturm Ruger & Company (RGR) AI Stock Analysis

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RGR

Sturm Ruger & Company

(NYSE:RGR)

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Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
$34.00
▲(6.45% Upside)
Sturm Ruger & Company's overall stock score reflects a balance of financial stability and strategic initiatives against challenges in profitability and valuation. The company's low leverage and cash generation are positive, but declining margins and high P/E ratio are significant concerns. The earnings call provided a mixed outlook with both achievements and challenges.
Positive Factors
Strong Cash Position
A strong cash position and no debt provide financial flexibility and stability, allowing the company to invest in growth opportunities and weather economic downturns.
Product Innovation
Continued focus on product innovation helps maintain competitive advantage and drives revenue growth by meeting evolving consumer demands.
Strategic Capital Allocation
Returning capital to shareholders demonstrates financial health and commitment to enhancing shareholder value, reinforcing investor confidence.
Negative Factors
Declining Profitability Margins
Declining profitability margins indicate challenges in cost management and pricing power, potentially impacting long-term financial performance.
Market Headwinds
Market headwinds can limit growth opportunities and pressure sales, requiring strategic adjustments to sustain performance in a challenging environment.
Removal from S&P 600
Removal from the S&P 600 may reduce visibility and attractiveness to investors, potentially impacting stock liquidity and institutional interest.

Sturm Ruger & Company (RGR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Sturm Ruger & Company Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSturm Ruger & Company, Inc. is a leading American firearms manufacturer based in Southport, Connecticut. Founded in 1949, the company specializes in the design, manufacture, and sale of a wide range of firearms, including rifles, pistols, and revolvers. Sturm Ruger operates in the outdoor products sector, catering to various markets including law enforcement, military, and civilian shooting enthusiasts. The company's core product offerings include popular models such as the Ruger 10/22 rifle, the Ruger SR1911 pistol, and the Ruger Mini-14 rifle, among others.
How the Company Makes MoneySturm Ruger generates revenue primarily through the sale of firearms and related products. The company's revenue model is based on direct sales to distributors, retailers, and consumers, with a significant portion of its earnings coming from the retail market. Key revenue streams include the sale of firearms, ammunition, and accessories. Additionally, Sturm Ruger benefits from a strong brand reputation and a loyal customer base, which drives repeat purchases. The company also engages in strategic partnerships with distributors and retailers to enhance its market reach. Economic factors, such as changes in gun legislation and consumer demand for firearms, significantly influence its earnings. Sturm Ruger's focus on innovation and product development further contributes to its revenue by introducing new models that appeal to a broad audience.

Sturm Ruger & Company Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 25, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted significant achievements in terms of sales growth and strong financial management, but these were balanced by notable challenges, including a decrease in earnings, market headwinds, and costs associated with new facilities. Overall, while there are promising developments, the impact of current market conditions and operational costs cannot be overlooked.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Year-over-Year Sales Growth
Despite market challenges, the company achieved year-over-year sales growth with net sales for Q3 2025 at $126.8 million compared to $122.3 million in Q3 2024.
Strong Cash Position and No Debt
As of September 27, 2025, the company had $81 million in cash and short-term investments, a current ratio of 3.5:1, and remained debt-free.
New Product Sales Contribution
Innovative new products accounted for $41 million or 34% of net firearms sales, including high-demand items like the RXM pistol and second-generation Ruger American Rifle.
Strategic Capital Allocation
The company returned $13 million to shareholders in Q3 2025 through dividends and share repurchases, totaling $36 million returned year-to-date.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Earnings Per Share
Diluted earnings per share dropped to $0.10 in Q3 2025 from $0.28 in Q3 2024, with the company reporting a pretax loss of $2.1 million.
Market Headwinds Impact
The firearms market is facing a downturn, with overall market trends down 10% to 15% and NICS checks down roughly 4% year-to-date compared to 2024.
Cost Challenges with New Facility
The new Hebron, Kentucky facility incurred $1.9 million in acquisition and operating costs, impacting profitability without generating revenue yet.
Company Guidance
During Sturm, Ruger & Company's Q3 2025 earnings call, significant financial metrics and strategic guidance were discussed. Net sales for the quarter increased to $126.8 million from $122.3 million in Q3 2024, although diluted earnings per share dropped to $0.10 from $0.28 in the prior year. The company incurred a pretax loss of $2.1 million, primarily due to $1.9 million in costs related to the new Hebron, Kentucky facility. Year-to-date, net sales reached $395 million, with a loss of $0.48 per share, compared to $389.9 million in sales and $1.15 earnings per share in the same period of 2024. The company generated $13 million in cash from operations in Q3 and $39 million year-to-date, with $28 million spent on capital expenditures, including $15 million for the Anderson acquisition. Additionally, Ruger returned $13 million to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases during the quarter. The company is focused on product innovation, introducing several new firearms that accounted for 34% of net firearms sales, and plans further launches, including the Glenfield Firearms line and the reintroduction of the Ruger Red Label shotgun. Ruger maintains a debt-free balance sheet with $81 million in cash and short-term investments, and it continues to prioritize strategic capital allocation and long-term shareholder value.

Sturm Ruger & Company Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Sturm Ruger & Company shows financial stability with low leverage and positive cash flow generation. However, declining revenue and profitability margins pose challenges. The company needs to address these issues to improve its financial performance and sustain growth in the competitive Aerospace & Defense industry.
Income Statement
65
Positive
The income statement shows a declining trend in revenue and profitability over the years. The TTM data indicates a significant drop in gross profit margin to 16.95% and net profit margin to 1.07%, reflecting challenges in maintaining profitability. Revenue growth has been negative in recent years, indicating a downward trajectory. However, the company has managed to maintain positive net income, which is a positive aspect.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet is strong with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.0071 in the TTM period, indicating low leverage and financial stability. Return on equity has decreased over time, with the TTM ROE at 1.85%, suggesting reduced profitability from equity. The equity ratio remains healthy, reflecting a solid capital structure.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows a positive free cash flow growth rate of 11.49% in the TTM period, indicating improved cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is close to 1, suggesting efficient cash conversion. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is below 1, indicating potential constraints in cash available for reinvestment or distribution.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue540.77M535.64M543.77M595.84M730.74M568.87M
Gross Profit87.38M114.42M133.62M180.09M279.56M191.44M
EBITDA16.32M59.94M81.41M134.32M232.91M148.75M
Net Income2.60M30.56M48.22M88.33M155.90M90.40M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets342.32M384.03M398.82M484.76M442.34M348.26M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments80.84M105.48M117.66M224.31M221.01M141.15M
Total Debt1.91M1.75M2.17M3.04M1.48M1.72M
Total Liabilities62.69M64.45M67.10M168.03M78.68M83.56M
Stockholders Equity279.63M319.58M331.72M316.74M363.66M264.70M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow42.52M34.68M18.11M49.50M143.56M119.58M
Operating Cash Flow58.79M55.50M33.90M77.23M172.34M143.81M
Investing Cash Flow-7.58M-13.79M40.86M13.21M-107.54M-43.89M
Financing Cash Flow-42.65M-46.86M-124.76M-46.31M-63.91M-115.19M

Sturm Ruger & Company Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price31.94
Price Trends
50DMA
37.44
Negative
100DMA
37.13
Negative
200DMA
37.13
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.88
Negative
RSI
43.18
Neutral
STOCH
54.49
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RGR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 31.94 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 31.20, below the 50-day MA of 37.44, and below the 200-day MA of 37.13, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.88 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 43.18 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 54.49 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for RGR.

Sturm Ruger & Company Risk Analysis

Sturm Ruger & Company disclosed 17 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Sturm Ruger & Company reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Sturm Ruger & Company Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
66
Neutral
$397.01M26.0629.71%50.99%612.36%
64
Neutral
$476.08M48.202.71%5.84%-9.08%-71.62%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
60
Neutral
$509.26M246.830.87%1.94%3.90%-92.10%
49
Neutral
$237.73M-3.88-11.01%-279.70%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RGR
Sturm Ruger & Company
31.94
-3.71
-10.41%
SWBI
Smith & Wesson Brands
10.70
0.29
2.79%
POWW
AMMO
2.03
0.99
95.19%
BYRN
Byrna Technologies
17.47
-9.95
-36.29%

Sturm Ruger & Company Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Sturm Ruger Reports Q3 2025 Sales Growth Amid Challenges
Positive
Nov 7, 2025

On November 6, 2025, Sturm, Ruger & Company held a conference call to discuss its Q3 2025 financial results, highlighting a challenging market environment with pressures from tariffs, interest rates, and inflation. Despite a 10-15% decline in the firearms market, the company achieved year-over-year sales growth, driven by strategic operational initiatives and product innovation. The company reported net sales of $126.8 million and diluted earnings of $0.10 per share, with significant investments in new facilities and product lines. The acquisition of a facility in Hebron, Kentucky, and the focus on new product introductions are part of the company’s strategy to enhance efficiency and profitability.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Sturm Ruger Adopts Stockholder Rights Plan Amid Beretta Move
Neutral
Oct 14, 2025

On October 14, 2025, Sturm, Ruger & Company’s Board of Directors adopted a limited-duration stockholder rights plan in response to Beretta Holding S.A.’s significant accumulation of Ruger’s common stock. The plan, effective immediately and expiring on October 13, 2026, aims to protect stockholder value by preventing Beretta from gaining control without fair compensation and ensuring the Board can fulfill its fiduciary duties. The Rights Plan allows stockholders to purchase additional shares at a discount if any entity acquires 10% or more of the company’s stock, with certain exceptions for passive institutional investors.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025