Orange Polska SA (PL:OPL)
:OPL
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Orange Polska SA
(OPL)
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Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
zł9.50
▲(3.94% Upside)
Action:N/ADate:09/14/25
The overall score of 62 for Orange Polska SA is driven primarily by solid financial performance, with strong revenue growth and margins, though tempered by declining free cash flow and moderate balance sheet stability. A reasonable valuation with an attractive dividend yield adds support, while the lack of technical data limits upside in that area.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The robust revenue growth rate indicates strong market demand and effective business strategies, enhancing the company's competitive position and potential for future expansion.
Negative Factors
Increasing Debt Levels
Rising debt levels can increase financial risk and interest obligations, potentially limiting the company's ability to invest in growth and affecting long-term financial stability.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue Growth
The robust revenue growth rate indicates strong market demand and effective business strategies, enhancing the company's competitive position and potential for future expansion.
Read all positive factors
Orange Polska SA (OPL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
zł17.99B
Dividend Yield5.31%
Average Volume (3M)880.42K
Price to Earnings (P/E)17.6
Beta (1Y)0.45
Revenue Growth0.22%
EPS Growth19.95%
CountryPL
Employees8,915
SectorCommunication Services
Sector Strength97
IndustryTelecommunications Services
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.05
Shares Outstanding1,312,357,500
10 Day Avg. Volume1,108,490
30 Day Avg. Volume880,425
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-1.02
Price to Book (P/B)0.99
Price to Sales (P/S)1.02
P/FCF Ratio17.39
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)0.75
Revenue Forecast (FY)zł13.44B
Orange Polska SA Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Orange Polska SA (OPL) is a leading telecommunications operator in Poland, part of the Orange Group, one of the world's largest telecom companies. OPL provides a wide range of services, including mobile and fixed-line telephony, broadband internet...
How the Company Makes Money
Orange Polska generates revenue primarily through its telecommunications services, which include mobile voice and data services, fixed-line internet and telephony, and digital television subscriptions. Key revenue streams consist of monthly subscr...
Orange Polska SA Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Feb 18, 2026
(Q4-2025)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 22, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed a broadly positive tone: the company reported sustained revenue and EBITDA growth, strong wholesale momentum, rapid expansion of fiber and 5G coverage, improved cash generation (PLN 1.0bn organic cash flow) and upgraded midterm cash targets. Key strategic initiatives—transformation, AI deployment, and FiberCo progress—support the optimistic guidance. Headwinds include weaker real estate disposals, one-off costs (restructuring provision, higher depreciation and finance costs), modest overall mobile ARPO growth (brand mix dilution), competitive pressure in B2B, and some regulatory/legal uncertainties. On balance, the positive operational and financial trends, upgraded guidance and material shareholder returns outweigh the negatives.Positive Updates
Top-line and profitability growth
Revenues and EBITDAaL grew by over 4% year-over-year in 2025 (Q4 revenues +4.6% YoY; full-year EBITDAaL growth ~4%), driven by core telecom services and wholesale expansion (core telecom +5.5%). Q4 EBITDAaL rose ~6% supported by a 5% increase in direct margin.
Negative Updates
Weaker-than-expected real estate disposals
Sales of real estate were lower than expected in 2025, causing eCapEx to be met only at the low end of the guidance and delaying some transaction cash inflows into 2026; the real estate market was described as challenging.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive
Negative
Top-line and profitability growth
Revenues and EBITDAaL grew by over 4% year-over-year in 2025 (Q4 revenues +4.6% YoY; full-year EBITDAaL growth ~4%), driven by core telecom services and wholesale expansion (core telecom +5.5%). Q4 EBITDAaL rose ~6% supported by a 5% increase in direct margin.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The company guided that for 2026 it expects revenue growth in the low single digits, EBITDAaL to increase 3–5%, and to keep eCapEx broadly stable at PLN 1.8 billion (same absolute level as 2025), which should drive organic cash flow of at least PLN 1.1 billion (versus PLN 1.0 billion in 2025); mid‑term targets were upgraded to an EBITDAaL CAGR in the low‑ to mid‑single digits (with the high end now more likely), a steady annual eCapEx commitment of PLN 1.8 billion, a reduction in CapEx intensity toward ~13% of revenues (13.8% in 2025), and organic cash flow of at least PLN 1.4 billion by 2028 (≥40% above 2025, implying a double‑digit CAGR); management also reiterated that the 5G rollout peak will be in the 2026–28/29 window and confirmed a recommended cash dividend of PLN 0.61 per share (up 15% y/y) as the floor for the plan.Orange Polska SA Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
75
Positive
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
| Breakdown | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 13.13B | 12.73B | 12.97B | 12.49B | 11.93B |
| Gross Profit | 1.19B | 5.21B | 5.20B | 5.05B | 5.14B |
| EBITDA | 3.77B | 4.03B | 3.85B | 3.70B | 4.84B |
| Net Income | 762.00M | 913.00M | 818.00M | 724.00M | 1.67B |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 27.01B | 26.60B | 26.83B | 26.77B | 26.16B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 518.00M | 546.00M | 796.00M | 1.03B | 933.00M |
| Total Debt | 7.26B | 7.07B | 7.15B | 7.75B | 7.78B |
| Total Liabilities | 13.48B | 12.96B | 13.38B | 13.31B | 13.55B |
| Stockholders Equity | 13.52B | 13.64B | 13.44B | 13.45B | 12.61B |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | 769.00M | 995.00M | 1.16B | 616.00M | 902.00M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 3.60B | 3.41B | 3.45B | 2.94B | 3.10B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -2.59B | -2.17B | -2.05B | -2.00B | -1.16B |
| Financing Cash Flow | -1.04B | -1.49B | -1.63B | -850.00M | -1.37B |
Orange Polska SA Technical Analysis
Positive
9.14
Price Trends
13.08
Positive
11.57
Positive
10.30
Positive
Market Momentum
0.27
Positive
53.66
Neutral
57.29
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PL:OPL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 9.14 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 13.57, below the 50-day MA of 13.08, and below the 200-day MA of 10.30, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.27 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 53.66 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 57.29 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PL:OPL.
Orange Polska SA Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
PL:OPL
Orange Polska SA
13.71
5.24
61.77%
PL:CPS
Cyfrowy Polsat SA
11.61
-4.26
-26.84%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.