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Orange Polska SA (PL:OPL)
:OPL
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Orange Polska SA (OPL) AI Stock Analysis

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PL:OPL

Orange Polska SA

(OTC:OPL)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
zł9.50
▲(3.94% Upside)
Orange Polska SA's overall stock score is driven by its solid financial performance and attractive valuation. However, technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, which could pose short-term challenges. The company's strong dividend yield and reasonable P/E ratio provide a cushion against market volatility.

Orange Polska SA (OPL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Orange Polska SA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOrange Polska SA (OPL) is a leading telecommunications operator in Poland, part of the Orange Group, one of the world's largest telecom companies. OPL provides a wide range of services, including mobile and fixed-line telephony, broadband internet, and digital television. The company caters to both residential and business customers, offering innovative solutions and technologies to enhance connectivity and digital experiences.
How the Company Makes MoneyOrange Polska generates revenue primarily through its telecommunications services, which include mobile voice and data services, fixed-line internet and telephony, and digital television subscriptions. Key revenue streams consist of monthly subscription fees from mobile and fixed-line customers, one-time activation fees, and sales of handsets and other equipment. Additionally, OPL earns income from value-added services such as content partnerships, cloud services, and IoT solutions. Strategic partnerships with technology and content providers further enhance its offerings and contribute to revenue growth. The company's focus on expanding its fiber-optic network and enhancing customer experience also plays a crucial role in driving customer retention and attracting new subscribers.

Orange Polska SA Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 22, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a positive quarter for Orange Polska with strong revenue and EBITDA growth, particularly in the mobile and wholesale segments. However, challenges persist in the B2B segment, and there are some risks that need addressing. Overall, the positive aspects significantly outweigh the negative ones.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Revenues increased by 9.3% year-over-year with a significant spike in IT&IS sales and consistent contribution from core telecom services. Wholesale revenues also showed accelerated growth.
Mobile Segment Performance
Net customer additions in the mobile segment exceeded 100,000, the highest in more than 4 years. Mobile ARPO also showed improvement.
Solid EBITDA Growth
Q3 EBITDA grew by almost 3% year-over-year, driven by a combination of high margin from core business and cost discipline.
Positive Wholesale Prospects
Wholesale revenue growth accelerated with new fiber optics backhaul business contributing to future prospects.
Negative Updates
B2B Segment Under Pressure
The B2B segment faced challenges with slower growth due to a high comparable base from last year and a softer IT market.
Provision for Risks
A provision for risks, claims, and litigations of PLN 45 million was created in Q2 2025, indicating potential uncertainties.
Company Guidance
In the call transcript discussing Orange Polska's Q3 2025 results, the guidance provided highlighted a range of metrics and strategic insights. The company reported a robust 9.3% year-over-year increase in revenues, with notable growth in IT&IS sales and core telecom services, driving a nearly 3% increase in EBITDA despite a challenging comparable base. The eCapEx for the year-to-date stood at over PLN 1.1 billion, aligning with their annual plans, while organic cash flow remained stable compared to the previous year. The company also achieved significant commercial success, particularly in the mobile segment with net customer additions exceeding 100,000, marking the highest growth in over four years. The wholesale business showed an accelerated dynamic, contributing over PLN 20 million more than previous quarters, with expectations of further growth. The company expressed confidence in meeting its 2025 objectives and enhancing shareholder value through its Lead the Future strategy.

Orange Polska SA Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Orange Polska SA demonstrates strong revenue growth and profitability, supported by stable margins and a balanced capital structure. However, the increase in debt levels and declining free cash flow growth present potential risks. Overall, the company is financially sound but should monitor its leverage and cash flow closely to maintain stability.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Orange Polska SA shows a strong revenue growth rate of 27.3% in the TTM, indicating robust expansion. The gross profit margin remains stable around 40.9%, and the net profit margin is at 7.17%, reflecting healthy profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are solid at 11.4% and 31.5%, respectively, suggesting efficient operations. However, the slight decline in revenue growth in the previous year highlights potential volatility.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.56 indicates moderate leverage, which is manageable but slightly higher than the industry average. Return on equity is at 6.8%, showing decent profitability from shareholders' investments. The equity ratio stands at 49.1%, reflecting a balanced capital structure. While the balance sheet is stable, the increasing debt levels over the years warrant caution.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Operating cash flow is strong, with a coverage ratio of 46.5%, but free cash flow has decreased by 28.75% in the TTM, indicating potential cash flow challenges. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 23.9%, suggesting limited cash generation relative to profits. While cash flow from operations is robust, the decline in free cash flow growth is a concern.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue12.84B12.73B12.97B12.49B11.93B11.51B
Gross Profit5.25B5.21B5.20B5.05B5.14B4.97B
EBITDA4.08B4.03B3.85B3.70B4.84B3.25B
Net Income920.00M913.00M818.00M724.00M1.67B46.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets27.07B26.60B26.83B26.77B26.16B24.30B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments648.00M546.00M796.00M1.03B933.00M358.00M
Total Debt7.44B7.07B7.15B7.75B7.78B8.69B
Total Liabilities13.78B12.96B13.38B13.31B13.55B13.70B
Stockholders Equity13.29B13.64B13.44B13.45B12.61B10.60B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow855.00M995.00M1.16B616.00M902.00M769.00M
Operating Cash Flow3.58B3.41B3.45B2.94B3.10B3.00B
Investing Cash Flow-2.90B-2.17B-2.05B-2.00B-1.16B-2.06B
Financing Cash Flow-781.00M-1.49B-1.63B-850.00M-1.37B-989.00M

Orange Polska SA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price9.14
Price Trends
50DMA
9.04
Positive
100DMA
9.02
Positive
200DMA
8.90
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.03
Negative
RSI
60.13
Neutral
STOCH
69.18
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PL:OPL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 9.14 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.15, above the 50-day MA of 9.04, and above the 200-day MA of 8.90, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.13 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 69.18 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PL:OPL.

Orange Polska SA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
zł12.31B13.776.46%5.65%0.22%19.95%
63
Neutral
€7.46B16.052.48%3.79%5.79%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PL:OPL
Orange Polska SA
9.38
2.12
29.23%
PL:CPS
Cyfrowy Polsat SA
11.08
-3.27
-22.79%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 28, 2025