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Orange Polska SA
(OPL)
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Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
zł10.00
▼(-31.32% Downside)
Action:N/A
Date:09/16/25
The stock’s score is anchored by stable and profitable core operations, a balanced capital structure, and a notably attractive valuation driven by a low P/E and high dividend yield. However, liquidity and flexibility are tempered by weaker recent free cash flow trends, and the technical outlook is neutral given the absence of positive or negative signals. The standout strength is value, but moderate execution and cash flow risks keep the overall score at a solid, above-average level.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The robust revenue growth rate indicates strong market demand and effective business strategies, enhancing the company's competitive position and potential for future expansion.
Negative Factors
Increasing Debt Levels
Rising debt levels can increase financial risk and interest obligations, potentially limiting the company's ability to invest in growth and affecting long-term financial stability.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue Growth
The robust revenue growth rate indicates strong market demand and effective business strategies, enhancing the company's competitive position and potential for future expansion.
Read all positive factors
Orange Polska SA (OPL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
zł20.01B
Dividend Yield4%
Average Volume (3M)880.42K
Price to Earnings (P/E)23.4
Beta (1Y)0.43
Revenue Growth5.19%
EPS Growth-5.11%
CountryPL
Employees8,139
SectorCommunication Services
Sector Strength97
IndustryTelecommunications Services
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.65
Shares Outstanding1,312,357,500
10 Day Avg. Volume1,108,490
30 Day Avg. Volume880,425
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-1.02
Price to Book (P/B)0.99
Price to Sales (P/S)1.02
P/FCF Ratio17.39
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)0.83
Revenue Forecast (FY)zł13.44B
Orange Polska SA Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Operating in Poland, Orange Polska S.A. and its affiliates deliver a broad spectrum of telecommunication solutions. The company furnishes mobile and fixed-line services, encompassing voice calls, messaging, digital content, and access to the inter...
How the Company Makes Money
Orange Polska generates revenue primarily through its telecommunications services, which include mobile voice and data services, fixed-line internet and telephony, and digital television subscriptions. Key revenue streams consist of monthly subscr...
Orange Polska SA Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Jul 27, 2026
(Q2-2026)
| Next Earnings Date:Oct 26, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed a predominantly positive picture: strong top-line acceleration (Q2 +12%, H1 ~7.6%), improved profitability (H1 EBITDA ~6.2% growth), significant net income (+24% H1) and materially stronger cash generation (OCF H1 +43%) that supported upward revisions to full-year guidance (EBITDA >6%, OCF ≥ PLN 1.2bn). Commercial momentum in mobile, fiber, B2B (IT&IS) and wholesale underpinned results, while cost-transformation kept indirect costs flat. Key risks and caveats include the lumpy and lower-margin nature of IT&IS and wholesale projects, working capital needs, some one-off real estate proceeds boosting cash, higher depreciation from 5G and the expectation that exceptional IT&IS growth may moderate in H2. On balance, the positive achievements and upgraded guidance outweigh the listed caveats.Positive Updates
Strong Top-Line Growth (Q2 and H1 2026)
Q2 revenues grew 12% year-on-year, driven by core telecom services, IT&IS and wholesale. H1 revenue growth was ~7.6% year-on-year, prompting management to raise full-year revenue guidance to low- to mid-single-digit growth.
Negative Updates
Q2 EBITDA Growth Limited Relative to Revenue
Despite 12% revenue growth in Q2, EBITDA rose only 3% year-on-year. Part of the explanation is the exceptionally high comparable base in 2025 (PLN 75 million one-off from a rollout agreement) and the lower margins of the IT&IS revenue mix.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Strong Top-Line Growth (Q2 and H1 2026)
Q2 revenues grew 12% year-on-year, driven by core telecom services, IT&IS and wholesale. H1 revenue growth was ~7.6% year-on-year, prompting management to raise full-year revenue guidance to low- to mid-single-digit growth.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management raised 2026 guidance, now expecting full‑year revenues to grow by low‑ to mid‑single digits, EBITDAaL to increase by above 6% (with upside of ~1–2% under perfect execution) and operating organic cash flow of at least PLN 1.2 billion (implying >20% growth in 2026). The upgrade rests on strong H1 results — revenues +7.6% YoY, EBITDAaL +6.2% YoY — and Q2 momentum (revenues +12% YoY, EBITDA +3% YoY), plus robust cash generation (organic cash flow ≈ PLN 0.5bn in H1, +43% YoY), higher net income (H1 ≈ PLN 576m, +24% YoY), disciplined economic CapEx (H1 eCapEx PLN 725m, -9% YoY) and flat indirect costs from the transformation program.Orange Polska SA Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
79
Positive
Balance Sheet
73
Positive
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 13.51B | 13.13B | 12.73B | 12.97B | 12.49B | 11.93B |
| Gross Profit | 1.23B | 1.08B | 5.21B | 5.20B | 5.05B | 5.14B |
| EBITDA | 4.00B | 3.77B | 4.03B | 3.85B | 3.70B | 4.84B |
| Net Income | 873.00M | 762.00M | 913.00M | 818.00M | 724.00M | 1.67B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 27.09B | 27.01B | 26.60B | 26.83B | 26.77B | 26.16B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 754.00M | 518.00M | 546.00M | 796.00M | 1.03B | 933.00M |
| Total Debt | 7.19B | 7.26B | 7.07B | 7.15B | 7.75B | 7.78B |
| Total Liabilities | 13.79B | 13.48B | 12.96B | 13.38B | 13.31B | 13.55B |
| Stockholders Equity | 13.29B | 13.52B | 13.64B | 13.44B | 13.45B | 12.61B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 1.38B | 769.00M | 995.00M | 1.16B | 616.00M | 902.00M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 3.44B | 3.60B | 3.41B | 3.45B | 2.94B | 3.10B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -1.84B | -2.59B | -2.17B | -2.05B | -2.00B | -1.16B |
| Financing Cash Flow | -1.50B | -1.04B | -1.49B | -1.63B | -850.00M | -1.37B |
Orange Polska SA Technical Analysis
Positive
14.56
Price Trends
14.89
Positive
14.44
Positive
12.41
Positive
Market Momentum
0.22
Negative
57.38
Neutral
45.12
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PL:OPL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 14.56 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.71, below the 50-day MA of 14.89, and above the 200-day MA of 12.41, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.22 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.38 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 45.12 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PL:OPL.
Orange Polska SA Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
PL:OPL
Orange Polska SA
15.44
7.29
89.39%
PL:CPS
Cyfrowy Polsat SA
17.05
2.34
15.91%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.