Progyny (PGNY)
NASDAQ:PGNY
US Market

Progyny (PGNY) AI Stock Analysis

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Progyny

(NASDAQ:PGNY)

78Outperform
Progyny's robust financial performance and positive technical indicators contribute significantly to its overall score. The company's high P/E ratio suggests a premium valuation, while recent earnings call insights highlight strategic growth and client retention but also underline challenges such as client loss and margin impacts. The recent director appointment further supports strategic leadership enhancements.
Positive Factors
Government Policy
The Trump Administration supports expanding access to IVF, which could positively impact PGNY.
Market Share
PGNY is expected to gain significant market share, with health plans generally viewing it as high-quality and reasonably priced.
Negative Factors
Consumption Decline
The decline in consumption reported by PGNY may have been impacted by an increase in the unemployment rate.
EBITDA Margins
Implied adjusted EBITDA margin guidance is a little light versus estimates and consensus with the 16% midpoint a percentage point below FY24 margin of 17%.

Progyny (PGNY) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Progyny Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionProgyny, Inc., a benefits management company, specializes in fertility and family building benefits solutions for employers in the United States. Its fertility benefits solution includes differentiated benefits plan design, personalized concierge-style member support services, and selective network of fertility specialists. The company also offers Progyny Rx, an integrated pharmacy benefits solution that provides its members with access to the medications needed during their treatment. In addition, it provides surrogacy and adoption reimbursement programs for employers. The company was formerly known as Auxogyn, Inc. and changed its name to Progyny, Inc. in 2015. Progyny, Inc. was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyProgyny makes money through its fertility benefits management services provided to self-insured employers. The company's revenue model is largely based on contracts with these employers, who pay Progyny for administering its fertility benefits plans to their employees. The key revenue streams include service fees for managing the fertility benefits, as well as fees for each fertility treatment cycle covered under the plan, such as IVF or egg freezing. Progyny leverages partnerships with a network of fertility specialists and clinics to provide high-quality care and negotiate favorable rates, which also contributes to its profitability. The company's ability to deliver better clinical outcomes and cost savings for employers further enhances its value proposition and aids in securing and retaining clients.

Progyny Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Progyny has shown substantial revenue growth and maintains healthy gross profit margins. The balance sheet is strong with low debt levels and significant shareholder equity growth. Cash flow statements indicate effective cash management, although there are fluctuations in profit margins and equity ratios.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Progyny has demonstrated robust revenue growth over the years, with a significant increase from $229.7M in 2019 to $1.17B in 2024. The company maintains healthy gross profit margins, averaging around 20% over the past few years. Net profit margin has seen improvement, though it remains somewhat volatile, with a decrease from 2023 to 2024. The EBIT and EBITDA margins indicate steady operational efficiency, further supporting a positive outlook.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
Progyny's balance sheet is strong with low debt levels, evident by a low debt-to-equity ratio. The company's stockholders' equity has grown significantly, indicating strong shareholder returns. However, the equity ratio has slightly declined over the years, suggesting an increasing reliance on liabilities. Overall, the balance sheet reflects financial stability and a conservative capital structure.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
The company exhibits a consistent positive operating cash flow, with strong free cash flow generation. Though free cash flow growth has been inconsistent, the operating cash flow to net income ratio indicates efficient cash management. The reliance on financing activities has decreased, showcasing a self-sustaining cash flow profile.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.17B1.09B786.91M500.62M344.86M
Gross Profit
253.36M238.80M167.32M112.14M70.06M
EBIT
67.45M62.18M23.34M32.34M8.35M
EBITDA
67.45M64.47M24.94M33.64M10.25M
Net Income Common Stockholders
54.34M62.04M30.36M65.77M46.46M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
227.95M371.09M189.30M119.42M109.30M
Total Assets
607.10M756.62M542.99M358.06M253.93M
Total Debt
19.27M19.39M7.71M7.42M8.32M
Net Debt
-143.04M-77.91M-112.36M-83.99M-61.99M
Total Liabilities
185.04M203.19M166.02M106.24M86.98M
Stockholders Equity
422.06M553.43M376.97M251.82M166.95M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
173.70M185.17M77.15M23.91M35.17M
Operating Cash Flow
179.10M188.81M80.39M26.04M36.20M
Investing Cash Flow
195.79M-200.53M-43.87M8.77M-40.03M
Financing Cash Flow
-309.88M-11.07M-7.86M-13.70M-6.25M

Progyny Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price23.09
Price Trends
50DMA
22.11
Positive
100DMA
19.10
Positive
200DMA
20.70
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.23
Negative
RSI
63.45
Neutral
STOCH
80.68
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PGNY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 23.09 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 21.30, above the 50-day MA of 22.11, and above the 200-day MA of 20.70, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.23 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.45 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 80.68 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PGNY.

Progyny Risk Analysis

Progyny disclosed 57 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Progyny reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Progyny Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (48)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$1.91B40.8511.14%7.22%-9.84%
71
Outperform
$6.47B55.2530.71%69.33%
69
Neutral
$3.28B2.80%56.54%
48
Neutral
$6.86B1.11-50.22%2.47%16.71%1.53%
45
Neutral
$1.41B-52.46%-1.26%-338.56%
45
Neutral
$1.83B-14.75%-32.45%80.24%
43
Neutral
$123.01M-54.13%-1.81%70.88%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PGNY
Progyny
23.09
-12.58
-35.27%
TDOC
Teladoc
7.76
-6.57
-45.85%
HIMS
Hims & Hers Health
31.05
16.06
107.14%
AMWL
American Well
7.17
-7.99
-52.70%
CLOV
Clover Health Investments
3.59
2.85
385.14%
OSCR
Oscar Health
12.97
-0.96
-6.89%

Progyny Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 27, 2025 | % Change Since: 0.92% | Next Earnings Date: May 7, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a positive end to 2024 with strong revenue and client growth, high client retention, and successful new product launches. However, challenges include the loss of a major client, potential lower utilization rates, and increased investments impacting margins. Overall, the highlights outweigh the lowlights, indicating a positive outlook despite some hurdles.
Highlights
Exceeded Revenue and EBITDA Guidance
Revenue and adjusted EBITDA for the fourth quarter of 2024 were above the high end of Progyny's guidance ranges.
Strong Sales and Product Development
Progyny added 1.1 million new covered lives and over 80 new logos, with 40% of new logos adopting new services in maternity, postpartum, and menopause.
High Client Retention
Progyny retained 99% of its clients and expanded its health plan partners, including Cigna as its first national health plan partner.
Record ART Cycles
The company performed more than 15,800 ART cycles in the fourth quarter, marking the highest quarterly total ever.
Continued Market Leadership
Progyny reported entering its 10th year as a premier solution in family building, with clinical outcomes better than national averages.
Lowlights
Loss of Major Client
Progyny lost a large client, impacting its revenue growth projections for 2025, with the client contributing to 12% of 2024 revenues.
Lower Utilization Rates
Female utilization for 2024 was slightly lower than in 2023, and projections for 2025 suggest a potential decrease in utilization rates.
Increased Investments Impacting Margins
Progyny plans to increase investments in digital solutions and integration of recent acquisitions, impacting operating margins.
Company Guidance
During the call, Progyny, Inc. provided guidance for both the first quarter and full year 2025. They anticipate revenue for the first quarter to be between $300 million to $318 million, reflecting growth of 8% to 14%. For the full year 2025, they project revenue between $1.175 billion to $1.225 billion, indicating a growth of 1% to 5%. This guidance includes the impact of a significant client transition, estimated to contribute $37 million to $40 million of revenue in the first half of the year. Adjusted EBITDA is expected to range from $53 million to $57 million for the first quarter, and $188 million to $201 million for the full year. Additionally, they forecast net income between $45 million to $53.9 million for 2025, with adjusted earnings per diluted share anticipated to be between $1.52 and $1.62, based on approximately 92 million fully diluted shares. The company expects to continue investing in digital assets and integration of recent acquisitions, projecting an increase in both capital expenditures and operational expenses.

Progyny Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Progyny Strengthens Leadership with New Director Appointment
Positive
Jan 16, 2025

Progyny, Inc. announced the appointment of Debra Morris as a Class III director effective January 16, 2025. This appointment, which also includes her joining the Compensation Committee of the Board, is part of the company’s ongoing efforts to strengthen its leadership. Ms. Morris brings a wealth of experience from her previous roles in companies such as AccessHope, LLC, Apria, Inc., and Sitel Group. Her appointment is expected to enhance Progyny’s strategic operations and governance.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.