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Progyny (PGNY)
NASDAQ:PGNY
US Market

Progyny (PGNY) AI Stock Analysis

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PGNY

Progyny

(NASDAQ:PGNY)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$19.50
▲(11.43% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/28/26
Overall score reflects strong financial quality (robust free cash flow and low leverage) and a constructive earnings update (raised guidance, strong renewals, and buyback), offset by weak technicals (price below major moving averages with negative MACD) and a valuation that is not particularly cheap (P/E ~27 with no dividend yield provided).
Positive Factors
Strong cash generation
Sustained OCF and FCF that exceed reported net income show high cash conversion and earnings quality. This durable cash flow funds investments, share repurchases, and product expansion, reduces financing dependence, and provides resilience through macro cycles over the next several quarters.
Conservative balance sheet / low leverage
Very low leverage and a growing equity base give Progyny durable financial flexibility. With minimal debt servicing needs, the company can invest in network growth, absorb client churn, or pursue acquisitions without compromising liquidity or raising costly external capital in stressed markets.
High client retention and expanding commercial traction
Near-perfect renewals plus meaningful new-logo and lives additions indicate stickiness of employer contracts and strong product-market fit. Durable retention and ongoing expansions underpin predictable recurring revenue and create a scalable base for cross-sell and geographic or product extension.
Negative Factors
Modest profitability margins
Mid-single-digit net margins limit internal reinvestment capacity and leave less buffer for margin compression from higher medical inflation or pricing pressure. Over a multi-quarter horizon, low incremental margins can restrain free cash flow upside relative to revenue growth.
Client concentration / large account churn risk
Dependence on a small number of large clients creates revenue volatility when contracts end or transition. Large-client churn can create quarterly lumps and complicate forecasting, requiring sustained new-logo activity to offset single-account losses over the medium term.
Slower pipeline and missed covered-lives target
Sales cadence sensitivity to macro uncertainty and employer decision timelines can delay covered-lives growth. Persistently slower pipeline conversion reduces near-term revenue momentum and makes multi-quarter growth dependent on consistent new-sales execution and product adoption.

Progyny (PGNY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Progyny Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionProgyny, Inc., a benefits management company, specializes in fertility and family building benefits solutions for employers in the United States. Its fertility benefits solution includes differentiated benefits plan design, personalized concierge-style member support services, and selective network of fertility specialists. The company also offers Progyny Rx, an integrated pharmacy benefits solution that provides its members with access to the medications needed during their treatment. In addition, it provides surrogacy and adoption reimbursement programs for employers. The company was formerly known as Auxogyn, Inc. and changed its name to Progyny, Inc. in 2015. Progyny, Inc. was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyProgyny generates revenue primarily through its fertility benefits management services, which are offered to employers as part of their employee benefits packages. The company charges employers a fee for access to its comprehensive fertility solutions, which typically includes a per-employee-per-month (PEPM) fee model. This model allows Progyny to secure predictable and recurring revenue streams. Additionally, Progyny collaborates with various healthcare providers and fertility clinics, which can also contribute to its earnings through referral agreements and service contracts. The company’s strong partnerships with employers across diverse industries further enhance its revenue potential, as it continuously expands its client base and increases the adoption of its fertility benefits solutions.

Progyny Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Fertility and Family Building Clients
Fertility and Family Building Clients
Counts employer groups and other clients that buy Progyny’s fertility and family-building benefits, revealing sales momentum, market penetration, contract scale, and concentration risk from large customers.
Chart InsightsClient counts have grown steadily with clear selling‑season step-ups, reflecting accelerating account wins that underpinned recent guidance raises—management cited ~900k new lives and ~80 new logos plus near‑100% renewals. That momentum largely offsets a discrete large-client transition that pressured revenue this year, but risks remain: new covered lives slightly missed the 1M target and pipeline conversion has slowed amid macro uncertainty. Watch upcoming quarters for sustained conversion of pipeline and uptake of the new supplemental and global offerings.
Data provided by:The Fly

Progyny Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 07, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Progyny had a strong performance this quarter with revenue and profitability exceeding expectations, a successful selling season, and a high client renewal rate. However, challenges included slightly lower than expected new covered lives and impact from a large client loss. Overall, the positive aspects significantly outweigh the negative, indicating strong business momentum.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue and Profitability Exceeded Expectations
Progyny reported a very strong third quarter with revenue and profitability that exceeded the high end of guidance ranges. Revenue growth was 9% on an as-reported basis, with a 23% gross margin and a 17.5% adjusted EBITDA margin.
Full Year Guidance Raised
For the third consecutive quarter, Progyny raised its full-year guidance, increasing the midpoint of revenue guidance by more than $70 million above the original range.
Successful Selling Season
Progyny added over 80 new logos and approximately 900,000 lives, reflecting strong demand for their solutions despite macroeconomic challenges.
Near 100% Client Renewal Rate
Progyny achieved nearly 100% renewal of existing clients in covered lives for 2026, showcasing strong client retention and satisfaction.
Strong Cash Flow and Share Repurchase Program
Generated more than $50 million in operating cash flow this quarter, bringing the total to a record $156 million over the first 9 months. Announced a new share repurchase program for up to $200 million.
Introduction of New Supplemental Plan
Progyny announced a first-of-its-kind supplemental plan for fertility and family building, targeting small and midsized companies.
Negative Updates
Lower Than Expected New Covered Lives
The addition of 900,000 new covered lives was slightly below the 1 million goal, partly due to some employers not accelerating their decision-making process.
Impact of Large Client Loss
Third-quarter revenue growth was negatively impacted by the transition of care agreement ending with a large former client as of June 30, 2025.
Economic Uncertainty and Healthcare Cost Inflation
The sales pipeline built slower than expected, largely due to macroeconomic uncertainty and high macro medical cost inflation.
Company Guidance
During the Progyny, Inc. earnings call, the company reported a strong third quarter with revenue and profitability exceeding the high end of their guidance ranges. They raised their full-year revenue guidance by over $70 million, driven by adding over 80 new logos and approximately 900,000 lives, reflecting their market leadership. They achieved a near 100% client renewal rate for 2026, with nearly 30% of clients expanding benefits. Progyny also announced a new share repurchase program of up to $200 million, driven by a record $156 million in operating cash flow for the first nine months of the year. Their supplemental plan for fertility and family building, targeting small and midsize companies, and the newly launched Progyny Global offering are expected to expand their market reach. Overall, Progyny remains confident about its growth trajectory into next year and beyond.

Progyny Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong fundamentals supported by excellent free cash flow (OCF/FCF exceeding net income in 2024–2025), very low leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.05), and solid multi-year revenue growth with improving gross margin. Profitability is positive but still relatively modest (mid-single-digit net margins), and margins are below the elevated 2020–2021 period.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Revenue has expanded strongly over the last several years, with continued growth in 2024 and 2025. Profitability is positive with mid-single-digit EBITDA margins and mid-single-digit net margins in 2024–2025, and gross margin has improved year over year (about 21.7% in 2024 to ~23.6% in 2025). Offsetting this, net margin is below the unusually high level seen in 2020–2021, and profitability remains relatively modest versus the company’s growth profile.
Balance Sheet
86
Very Positive
The balance sheet looks conservative: debt is very low relative to equity (debt-to-equity ~0.05 in 2024–2025), suggesting limited financial leverage risk. Equity has grown versus earlier years, supporting a stronger capital base. Return on equity remains healthy (roughly 11%–13% in 2023–2025), though it is meaningfully lower than the elevated returns posted in 2020–2021, indicating the business is now operating with more normalized profitability.
Cash Flow
90
Very Positive
Cash generation is a key strength: operating cash flow and free cash flow are both robust and exceed net income in 2024–2025, indicating strong cash conversion and earnings quality. Free cash flow stepped down in 2024 versus 2023 but rebounded sharply in 2025, and free cash flow remains consistently high relative to reported profits across the full period shown.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.29B1.17B1.09B786.91M500.62M
Gross Profit304.48M253.36M238.80M167.32M112.14M
EBITDA100.38M70.63M64.47M24.94M33.64M
Net Income58.52M54.34M62.04M30.36M65.77M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets742.43M607.10M756.62M542.99M358.06M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments310.10M227.95M371.09M189.30M119.42M
Total Debt24.00M19.27M19.39M7.71M8.65M
Total Liabilities226.39M185.04M203.19M166.02M106.24M
Stockholders Equity516.04M422.06M553.43M376.97M251.82M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow191.78M173.70M185.17M77.15M23.91M
Operating Cash Flow210.19M179.10M188.81M80.39M26.04M
Investing Cash Flow-159.01M195.79M-200.53M-43.87M8.77M
Financing Cash Flow-99.36M-309.88M-11.07M-7.86M-13.70M

Progyny Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price17.50
Price Trends
50DMA
22.42
Negative
100DMA
23.02
Negative
200DMA
22.58
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.40
Positive
RSI
30.92
Neutral
STOCH
26.83
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PGNY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 17.5 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 19.20, below the 50-day MA of 22.42, and below the 200-day MA of 22.58, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.40 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 30.92 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 26.83 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for PGNY.

Progyny Risk Analysis

Progyny disclosed 57 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Progyny reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Progyny Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$1.43B43.8311.37%11.41%8.70%
70
Outperform
$2.68B126.390.01%19.01%38.68%
69
Neutral
$595.93M37.765.87%0.52%3.68%5.62%
60
Neutral
$661.35M78.87-1.85%14.33%93.62%
53
Neutral
$957.99M-6.16-14.24%-2.37%77.85%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
46
Neutral
$333.80M-0.27-69.22%-16.65%-71.92%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PGNY
Progyny
17.50
-3.41
-16.31%
HSTM
HealthStream
20.30
-10.58
-34.27%
EVH
Evolent Health
2.99
-7.00
-70.07%
TDOC
Teladoc
5.37
-3.50
-39.46%
PHR
Phreesia
10.97
-15.96
-59.26%
PRVA
Privia Health Group
21.68
-1.56
-6.71%

Progyny Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
Progyny Posts Strong Q4 Results and 2026 Growth Outlook
Positive
Feb 26, 2026

Progyny reported fourth-quarter 2025 revenue of $318.4 million, up 6.7% year over year, and full-year 2025 revenue of $1.29 billion, up 10%, driven by growth in clients and covered lives despite the loss of a large client under a transition-of-care agreement. Excluding that client, revenue rose 21% in the quarter and 20% for the year, while gross margin expanded, net income improved modestly to $58.5 million, and record operating cash flow of $210.2 million supported share repurchases of about 6.5 million shares and reinforced its position as a growing player in fertility and family-building benefits.

The company’s fourth-quarter 2025 gross profit increased 21% to $76.9 million, with gross margin rising to 24.1% on efficiencies in care management, and full-year gross profit climbed to $304.5 million with a 23.6% margin. Adjusted EBITDA rose to $51.4 million in the quarter and $222.1 million for the year, with stable margins, as Progyny invested in platform expansion and integration of acquisitions while issuing 2026 guidance that points to a tenth consecutive year of revenue growth and continued expansion among large employers and into the fully insured segment.

The most recent analyst rating on (PGNY) stock is a Buy with a $29.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Progyny stock, see the PGNY Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Progyny President’s Employment to End December 2025
Neutral
Dec 17, 2025

Progyny, Inc. announced that the employment of its President, Michael Sturmer, will end on December 31, 2025. While the company expressed gratitude for Mr. Sturmer’s contributions over the past five years, it will not appoint a successor as it has strengthened its executive leadership team with several key appointments in recent years. To maintain continuity on strategic initiatives, Mr. Sturmer will serve as a consultant for Progyny until December 31, 2026, under a new agreement entitling him to an advisory fee and adjusted options benefits.

The most recent analyst rating on (PGNY) stock is a Buy with a $28.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Progyny stock, see the PGNY Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 28, 2026