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Otis Worldwide Corporation (OTIS)
:OTIS

Otis Worldwide (OTIS) AI Stock Analysis

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Otis Worldwide

(NYSE:OTIS)

68Neutral
Otis Worldwide demonstrates strong financial performance with robust cash flow generation and revenue stability. However, the company's high leverage and negative equity pose financial risks. The technical indicators suggest positive momentum, while the earnings call highlights growth in services and effective strategic initiatives. Valuation appears fair, providing a balanced investment case.
Positive Factors
Modernization and Maintenance
In Service, Modernization orders rose 18%, with a 13% increase in backlog on a constant currency basis, and maintenance portfolio units grew by 4.2%.
Order Growth
Americas Q4 orders increased by 15%, sustaining double-digit growth for the second consecutive quarter.
Service Growth
Service growth accelerated, with repair strength expected to continue, supporting top-line growth and margin expansion.
Negative Factors
China Market Challenges
The China construction markets are likely down again, adding concerns with price deflation, credit risks, and rising US trade tensions.
New Equipment Sales
The new equipment sales outlook was guided down due to persistent weakness in China.
Price and Margin Risks
OTIS has rallied approximately 15% following the announced China stimulus measures, but price and margin risks in 2025 are still a concern.

Otis Worldwide (OTIS) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Otis Worldwide Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOtis Worldwide Corporation manufactures, installs, and services elevators and escalators in the United States, China, and internationally. The company operates in two segments, New Equipment and Service. The New Equipment segment designs, manufactures, sells, and installs a range of passenger and freight elevators, as well as escalators and moving walkways for residential and commercial buildings, and infrastructure projects. The Service segment performs maintenance and repair services, as well as modernization services to upgrade elevators and escalators. It had a network of approximately 34,000 service mechanics operating approximately 1,400 branches and offices. The company was founded in 1853 and is headquartered in Farmington, Connecticut.
How the Company Makes MoneyOtis Worldwide generates revenue through two primary streams: new equipment sales and service contracts. The new equipment segment involves the sale and installation of elevators, escalators, and moving walkways, which constitutes a significant portion of their revenue. This includes customized solutions tailored to the specific needs of various building projects across residential, commercial, and infrastructure sectors. The service segment, which often provides a stable and recurring revenue stream, involves maintenance, repair, and modernization services for existing equipment. This includes long-term maintenance contracts that ensure ongoing safety and efficiency of the systems installed by Otis. Additionally, the company benefits from strategic partnerships and alliances, especially in emerging markets, which further contribute to its earnings by expanding its market reach and customer base.

Otis Worldwide Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Otis Worldwide exhibits strong revenue performance and cash flow generation capabilities. However, the balance sheet raises concerns with substantial leverage and negative equity, implying financial risk. The company maintains profitability, but operational efficiencies should be monitored given declining EBIT and EBITDA margins.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Otis Worldwide shows a stable revenue trend with a slight increase in TTM revenue compared to the previous year. The gross profit margin for the TTM is approximately 48.1%, indicating strong profitability. The net profit margin stands at about 11.5%, which is healthy, though EBIT and EBITDA margins have slightly decreased over the years, suggesting some operational efficiency concerns.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The company's balance sheet is a concern with a negative stockholders' equity, indicating liabilities exceed assets. The debt-to-equity ratio is not calculable due to negative equity, but the high total debt level indicates significant leverage. The equity ratio is negative, reflecting financial instability and potential risk in funding operations through debt.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Otis demonstrates strong cash flow generation with a positive free cash flow trend over the years. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust, indicating efficient cash conversion. However, free cash flow growth has been modest, suggesting limited expansion in cash-generating capacity.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
14.26B14.21B13.69B14.30B12.76B
Gross Profit
4.26B4.19B3.92B4.19B3.78B
EBIT
2.01B2.19B2.03B2.11B1.64B
EBITDA
2.23B2.37B2.22B2.31B1.83B
Net Income Common Stockholders
1.65B1.41B1.25B1.25B906.00M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
2.30B1.27B1.19B1.56B1.78B
Total Assets
11.32B10.12B9.82B12.28B10.71B
Total Debt
8.74B7.31B7.08B7.61B6.33B
Net Debt
6.44B6.03B5.89B6.04B4.55B
Total Liabilities
16.04B14.84B14.48B15.26B13.91B
Stockholders Equity
-4.85B-4.92B-4.87B-3.63B-3.83B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
1.44B1.49B1.45B1.59B1.30B
Operating Cash Flow
1.56B1.63B1.56B1.75B1.48B
Investing Cash Flow
-164.00M-183.00M-33.00M-89.00M-353.00M
Financing Cash Flow
-309.00M-1.35B-3.65B58.00M-844.00M

Otis Worldwide Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price101.21
Price Trends
50DMA
97.57
Positive
100DMA
97.59
Positive
200DMA
96.93
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.09
Positive
RSI
55.49
Neutral
STOCH
44.78
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OTIS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 101.21 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 101.02, above the 50-day MA of 97.57, and above the 200-day MA of 96.93, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.09 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 55.49 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 44.78 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for OTIS.

Otis Worldwide Risk Analysis

Otis Worldwide disclosed 28 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Otis Worldwide reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Otis Worldwide Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
JCJCI
75
Outperform
$54.61B31.599.80%1.79%-4.53%-14.72%
EMEMR
72
Outperform
$63.78B26.909.66%1.86%10.29%22.72%
HOHON
71
Outperform
$136.32B24.1433.10%2.10%5.05%2.73%
70
Outperform
$57.17B140.9727.44%1.20%8.62%163.53%
68
Neutral
$40.13B24.88-33.93%1.54%0.37%19.87%
62
Neutral
$8.27B14.032.36%3.08%3.85%-14.32%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
OTIS
Otis Worldwide
101.38
3.92
4.02%
EMR
Emerson Electric Company
115.37
5.63
5.13%
HON
Honeywell International
211.85
17.49
9.00%
JCI
Johnson Controls
84.52
22.12
35.45%
CARR
Carrier Global
67.96
11.28
19.90%

Otis Worldwide Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Jan 29, 2025 | % Change Since: 5.99% | Next Earnings Date: Apr 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a balanced sentiment. While the company showcased strong service performance and successful strategic initiatives like the UpLift program, challenges in the China market and declines in New Equipment orders and profits present notable headwinds.
Highlights
Strong Service Performance
Service segment grew 7.8% in the fourth quarter and accounted for 93% of overall operating profit in 2024. Maintenance portfolio increased more than 4% for the third consecutive year, with a total of 2.4 million units.
Modernization Growth
Modernization orders grew 18% in Q4, with backlog up 13% at constant currency. This includes over 20% growth in Asia Pacific each quarter.
Adjusted Free Cash Flow
Otis generated $682 million of adjusted free cash flow in Q4 2024, the highest quarterly result since spin, driven by excellent collections and reduction in net working capital.
UpLift Program Success
The UpLift program is expected to deliver $200 million in annual run rate savings by the second half of 2025, with approximately $70 million of savings achieved in 2024.
Positive Developments in Americas and Asia Pacific
New Equipment orders increased approximately 11% excluding China, with strong performance in the Americas (mid-teens growth in Q4) and Asia Pacific (greater than 20% growth).
ESG Recognition
Received a gold rating from EcoVadis for the third consecutive year, reflecting strong ESG initiatives aligned with business strategy.
Lowlights
Decline in New Equipment Orders
New Equipment orders declined 4% in Q4, primarily due to challenging market conditions in China, where orders fell more than 20%.
China Market Challenges
China New Equipment sales declined greater than 20% in Q4 due to a backlog down mid-teens and continued soft demand. The market is expected to decline approximately 10% in 2025.
New Equipment Operating Profit Decline
New Equipment operating profit was down $24 million at constant currency for Q4 and down $44 million for the full year, driven by lower volume and unfavorable mix.
EMEA Weakness
EMEA New Equipment orders declined by high-single-digits in Q4, particularly in Western Europe, although the full year was up 3.7%.
Company Guidance
In the fourth quarter of 2024, Otis reported an organic sales growth of 1.9%, largely driven by a 7.8% increase in the Service segment, which includes Maintenance, Repair, and Modernization. The company's Maintenance portfolio grew by over 4% for the third consecutive year, reaching approximately 2.4 million units. Modernization orders surged by 18% in the quarter, contributing to a 13% increase in backlog at constant currency. Despite challenges in the New Equipment market, primarily in China where orders fell over 20%, Otis maintained its overall new equipment market share at 20% and achieved an adjusted EPS growth of 8.2%. The company generated $682 million of adjusted free cash flow, its highest quarterly result since its spin-off, and returned $1.6 billion to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases. Looking ahead, Otis aims to leverage its Service-driven business model to continue expanding margins and expects to achieve $200 million in annual run-rate savings from its UpLift program by the second half of 2025.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.