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OCI N.V. (NL:OCI)
:OCI
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OCI N.V. (OCI) AI Stock Analysis

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NL:OCI

OCI N.V.

(OCI)

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Neutral 50 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
€4.00
▲(5.82% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:06/26/26
The score is held down primarily by weak and volatile fundamentals, especially the recent deterioration in operating results and cash flow. Technical indicators are a positive offset, with price above key moving averages and a positive MACD, but the overbought RSI reduces conviction. Valuation is difficult to support with a negative P/E and an unusually high dividend yield that may signal sustainability risk.
Positive Factors
Deleveraging / Balance Sheet Health
Material debt reduction has lowered financial risk and improved flexibility. Over a 2-6 month horizon this provides enduring buffer against cyclical earnings, supports access to capital or refinancing on better terms, and gives management scope to prioritize operations or selective investment rather than emergency liability management.
Negative Factors
Volatile revenue and earnings
Persistent volatility in revenue and recurrent swings between large profits and losses indicate limited pricing power and exposure to commodity cycles. Over months this undermines forecasting, reduces margin sustainability, complicates capital allocation, and raises execution risk for strategic initiatives.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Deleveraging / Balance Sheet Health
Material debt reduction has lowered financial risk and improved flexibility. Over a 2-6 month horizon this provides enduring buffer against cyclical earnings, supports access to capital or refinancing on better terms, and gives management scope to prioritize operations or selective investment rather than emergency liability management.
Read all positive factors

OCI N.V. (OCI) vs. iShares MSCI Netherlands ETF (EWN)

OCI N.V. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
OCI N.V. operates as an international producer and supplier of natural gas-derived products and industrial chemicals, catering to customers across the agricultural, transportation, and manufacturing industries. The company's activities are organiz...
How the Company Makes Money
OCI makes money primarily by producing and selling commodity chemical products, with revenue largely driven by volumes sold and prevailing market prices for nitrogen-based products. Key revenue streams include: (1) Sales of nitrogen fertilizers (e...

OCI N.V. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial performance is weak and unstable. Income statement results show highly volatile revenue and inconsistent profitability, with negative operating profit and negative EBITDA in 2025. Cash flow quality has deteriorated materially, with negative operating cash flow and deeply negative free cash flow in 2025. The key offset is balance-sheet improvement from major debt reduction, which lowers financial risk, but does not fully compensate for recent operating and cash strain.
Income Statement
38
Negative
Balance Sheet
56
Neutral
Cash Flow
34
Negative
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.09B975.10M1.96B3.71B6.32B
Gross Profit23.70M2.00M-164.60M435.00M1.83B
EBITDA-205.20M38.90M-144.00M565.30M2.47B
Net Income183.70M4.98B-392.00M1.24B570.50M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.84B4.33B8.97B9.77B9.81B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments17.90M2.05B156.90M1.69B1.44B
Total Debt155.30M803.70M2.30B3.15B4.08B
Total Liabilities764.60M2.08B7.02B5.43B6.30B
Stockholders Equity1.07B2.24B926.50M2.32B2.00B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-202.40M-8.20M530.80M2.95B2.02B
Operating Cash Flow-82.20M68.10M695.30M3.35B2.26B
Investing Cash Flow517.57M8.07B-774.30M-390.80M-243.50M
Financing Cash Flow-2.51B-6.13B-818.20M-2.44B-1.50B

OCI N.V. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3.78
Price Trends
50DMA
3.82
Positive
100DMA
3.68
Positive
200DMA
3.52
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.09
Positive
RSI
70.24
Negative
STOCH
73.57
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NL:OCI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3.78 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.98, below the 50-day MA of 3.82, and above the 200-day MA of 3.52, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.09 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 70.24 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 73.57 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NL:OCI.

OCI N.V. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
64
Neutral
€5.44B23.9010.83%2.83%1.08%-24.24%
62
Neutral
€9.86B15.8214.61%3.38%-7.05%32.41%
59
Neutral
€1.20B15.888.84%3.50%-1.61%38.58%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
55
Neutral
€3.38B113.34-0.24%5.41%-4.14%-87.08%
53
Neutral
€994.54M-86.876.84%1.46%11.26%11.66%
50
Neutral
€858.78M-2.88229.25%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NL:OCI
OCI N.V.
4.08
-0.60
-12.84%
NL:AKZA
Akzo Nobel NV
57.58
0.42
0.74%
NL:AMG
AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP NV
29.60
4.45
17.67%
NL:APAM
Aperam S.A.
46.64
20.91
81.24%
NL:CRBN
Corbion NV
20.48
3.20
18.54%
NL:IMCD
IMCD N.V.
88.20
-22.22
-20.13%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 26, 2026