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ASML Holding NV (NL:ASML)
:ASML
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ASML Holding NV (ASML) AI Stock Analysis

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NL:ASML

ASML Holding NV

(ASML)

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Outperform 78 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
€1,402.00
▲(12.70% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:04/16/26
The score is driven primarily by ASML’s outstanding profitability and strong balance-sheet flexibility, partially offset by softer recent free-cash-flow momentum. Technicals are supportive (price above major moving averages with positive MACD), while the elevated P/E and low dividend yield temper the overall rating.
Positive Factors
Technology leadership (EUV)
ASML’s EUV and DUV lithography leadership creates very high technical barriers and limited direct competition. The complexity of EUV systems, long customer design cycles and deep customer relationships produce durable pricing power, installed‑base lock‑in and recurring service revenue that support sustained margins and long‑term market position.
Negative Factors
Softer free cash flow momentum
Free cash flow has declined ~19% TTM despite strong profitability, which may reflect timing of deliveries, higher working capital needs or elevated capex. This weaker FCF momentum reduces near‑term flexibility to accelerate buybacks, raise dividends or fund unplanned supply‑chain investments if demand or capex requirements shift.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Technology leadership (EUV)
ASML’s EUV and DUV lithography leadership creates very high technical barriers and limited direct competition. The complexity of EUV systems, long customer design cycles and deep customer relationships produce durable pricing power, installed‑base lock‑in and recurring service revenue that support sustained margins and long‑term market position.
Read all positive factors

ASML Holding NV (ASML) vs. iShares MSCI Netherlands ETF (EWN)

ASML Holding NV Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
ASML Holding N.V. develops, produces, markets, sells, and services advanced semiconductor equipment systems consisting of lithography, metrology, and inspection related systems for memory and logic chipmakers. The company provides extreme ultravio...
How the Company Makes Money
ASML makes money mainly by selling lithography systems to semiconductor manufacturers and supporting those systems throughout their lifecycle. Its core revenue stream is system sales, including EUV lithography tools (used for advanced logic and me...

ASML Holding NV Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are very strong overall: exceptional profitability (TTM gross margin ~52.8%, EBIT margin ~34.9%, net margin ~29.4%) and a conservatively levered balance sheet (debt-to-equity ~0.14). The main offset is softer recent cash-flow momentum (TTM free cash flow down ~19%), indicating near-term volatility despite solid conversion (~84% of net income).
Income Statement
92
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
90
Very Positive
Cash Flow
80
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue33.69B32.67B28.26B27.56B21.17B18.61B
Gross Profit17.72B17.26B14.08B13.84B10.47B9.65B
EBITDA12.80B12.43B10.18B10.02B7.16B7.21B
Net Income10.01B9.61B7.57B7.84B5.62B5.88B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets48.06B50.57B48.59B39.96B36.30B30.23B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments8.38B13.32B12.74B7.01B7.38B7.59B
Total Debt2.71B2.71B4.69B4.63B4.26B4.58B
Total Liabilities27.23B30.95B30.11B26.51B27.49B20.09B
Stockholders Equity20.83B19.61B18.48B13.45B8.81B10.14B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow8.96B11.08B9.08B3.25B7.22B9.91B
Operating Cash Flow11.13B12.66B11.17B5.44B8.49B10.85B
Investing Cash Flow-4.41B-3.78B-2.61B-2.69B-1.03B-72.00M
Financing Cash Flow-7.83B-8.67B-2.83B-3.00B-7.14B-9.89B

ASML Holding NV Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1244.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1216.57
Positive
100DMA
1178.42
Positive
200DMA
992.27
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
22.32
Positive
RSI
49.20
Neutral
STOCH
27.75
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NL:ASML, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1244 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1258.88, above the 50-day MA of 1216.57, and above the 200-day MA of 992.27, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 22.32 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.20 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 27.75 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NL:ASML.

ASML Holding NV Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
€509.19B39.1252.14%0.73%9.70%16.89%
77
Outperform
€42.22B32.6419.21%0.58%2.03%105.75%
68
Neutral
€21.39B68.7435.84%1.65%4.42%-15.18%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NL:ASML
ASML Holding NV
1,333.00
673.57
102.14%
NL:ASM
ASM International NV
867.60
386.57
80.36%
NL:BESI
BE Semiconductor
265.00
156.83
144.99%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 16, 2026