ASML Holding NV (ASML) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: €245.74B
• Dividend Yield: 1.02%
• Average Volume (3M): 701.35K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 26.4
• Beta (1Y): 2.05
• Revenue Growth: 26.41%
• EPS Growth: 40.19%
• Country: NL
• Employees: 43,129
• Sector: Technology
• Sector Strength: 94
• Industry: Semiconductors
• EPS (TTM): 5.90
• Shares Outstanding: 393,830,700
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 564,167
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 701,350
• PEG Ratio: N/A
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.00
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: 0.00
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: €739.71
• Price Target Upside: 15.47% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 22

• Rating: 67 Neutral
• Price Target: €689.00 ▲(7.56% Upside)

ASML Holding NV's strong financial performance underpins its overall score, supported by high profitability and robust cash flow generation. However, bearish technical indicators and reasonable valuation suggest cautious optimism is warranted.

Positive Factors

Bookings

Bookings for Q2 were better-than-expected, mostly driven by logic, indicating strong demand.

Earnings Performance

ASML reported June '25 quarter revenue, gross margin, and EPS above consensus estimates due to strong High-NA tool sales and equipment upgrades.

Negative Factors

Growth Uncertainty

Lack of growth clarity puts the stock in the penalty box as future growth remains uncertain.

Macroeconomic Uncertainty

Macroeconomic uncertainty and customer-specific uncertainty leave ASML unable to confirm growth for 2026.

ASML Holding NV Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

ASML Holding NV is a Dutch company and currently the largest supplier in the world of photolithography systems for the semiconductor industry. The company specializes in the development and manufacturing of advanced lithography equipment used in the production of integrated circuits. ASML's core products include extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machines, which are critical for producing smaller, more powerful microchips. The company operates primarily in the technology sector, serving major semiconductor manufacturers globally.

How the Company Makes Money

ASML generates revenue primarily through the sale of its lithography systems and related services. The company has a tiered revenue model that includes equipment sales, service contracts, and maintenance agreements. The sale of high-end EUV machines constitutes a significant portion of ASML's revenue, given their complexity and the value they bring to semiconductor manufacturers in producing cutting-edge chips. Additionally, ASML earns recurring revenue from service and maintenance agreements, which involve providing technical support and upgrades to existing customers. The company has established strong partnerships with major players in the semiconductor industry, such as Intel, TSMC, and Samsung, which not only drive sales of new machines but also ensure ongoing revenue through service contracts. Factors contributing to ASML's earnings include the increasing demand for advanced semiconductor technology, the trend towards miniaturization in electronics, and ongoing innovations in lithography technology.

ASML Holding NV Financial Statement Overview

Summary

ASML Holding NV demonstrates strong financial performance with high profitability, solid revenue growth, and efficient cost management. The balance sheet is robust with low debt and high ROE, while cash flow generation supports future growth.

Income Statement

ASML Holding NV demonstrates strong revenue growth and profitability. The Gross Profit Margin remains high at 52.5% TTM, and the Net Profit Margin is robust at 29.3% TTM, indicating efficient cost management. Revenue Growth Rate for the TTM stands at 13.8%, highlighting strong demand and market position. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also strong at 34.8% and 38.5% respectively, reflecting effective operational leverage.

Balance Sheet

The company maintains a solid financial position with a Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 0.21 TTM, indicating prudent use of leverage. Return on Equity (ROE) is impressive at 53.4% TTM, showcasing high profitability relative to shareholder equity. The Equity Ratio is 39.3% TTM, suggesting a stable capital structure, though there is room for improvement in equity proportion.

Cash Flow

ASML's cash flow generation is robust, with a Free Cash Flow Growth Rate of 1.5% TTM, supported by strong operational cash flows. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 1.19 TTM, indicating efficient cash conversion. However, the Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is slightly lower at 0.98 TTM, pointing to moderate capital expenditure levels.

Breakdown	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	28.26B	27.56B	21.17B	18.61B	13.98B
Gross Profit	14.08B	13.84B	10.47B	9.65B	6.63B
EBITDA	10.18B	10.02B	7.16B	7.21B	4.54B
Net Income	7.57B	7.84B	5.62B	5.88B	3.55B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	48.59B	39.96B	36.30B	30.23B	27.27B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	12.74B	7.01B	7.38B	7.59B	7.35B
Total Debt	4.69B	4.63B	4.26B	4.58B	4.68B
Total Liabilities	30.11B	26.51B	27.49B	20.09B	13.40B
Stockholders Equity	18.48B	13.45B	8.81B	10.14B	13.87B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	9.10B	3.25B	7.22B	9.91B	3.63B
Operating Cash Flow	11.17B	5.44B	8.49B	10.85B	4.63B
Investing Cash Flow	-2.61B	-2.69B	-1.03B	-72.00M	-1.35B
Financing Cash Flow	-2.83B	-3.00B	-7.14B	-9.89B	-753.00M

ASML Holding NV Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Neutral
• Last Price: 640.60
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NL:ASML, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 640.6 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 616.45, below the 50-day MA of 649.83, and below the 200-day MA of 656.19, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -4.93 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.68 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 91.30 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for NL:ASML.

ASML Holding NV Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
ASML	67 Neutral	€245.74B	26.38	58.25%	1.02%	26.41%	40.19%
ASM	63 Neutral	€20.78B	39.77	15.11%	0.70%	25.46%	-4.36%
BESI	56 Neutral	€9.90B	57.40	42.88%	1.78%	3.75%	0.10%
Sector *	50 Neutral	AU$1.63B	3.37	-0.63%	3.31%	16.47%	-4.12%