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ALUMEXX N.V. (NL:ALX)
:ALX

ALUMEXX N.V. (ALX) AI Stock Analysis

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NL:ALX

ALUMEXX N.V.

(ALX)

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Neutral 53 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
€1.50
▲(8.70% Upside)
Action:N/ADate:01/30/26
The score is primarily held back by elevated balance-sheet leverage despite improving profitability and cash generation. Technicals add mild support with improving trend and positive MACD, while valuation is a drag due to a negative P/E and no dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
Improved profitability and cash generation
2024's rebound to positive net income with stronger EBITDA/EBIT and materially higher operating/free cash flow indicates the business has regained operating traction. Sustained operating cash conversion supports deleveraging, reinvestment, and long-term viability if management maintains margin discipline.
Stable, high gross margins
Mid-40% gross margins suggest structural pricing power or favorable input/product mix for aluminum access equipment. Persistent gross margins underpin durable EBITDA potential and provide buffer against raw-material swings, supporting consistent operating profitability over the medium term.
Diversified channels and repeat revenue components
A multi-channel distribution model (dealers, retailers, direct) plus consumables and spare-parts sales creates recurring revenue elements and broad market access. This structural mix reduces single-channel exposure and supports steady aftermarket sales and cross-selling over time.
Negative Factors
High financial leverage
Elevated debt relative to equity materially limits financial flexibility and increases default and refinancing risk during cyclicality. Even with improving profits, high leverage constrains capital allocation, raises interest burden sensitivity, and slows the company's ability to invest or absorb shocks long-term.
Thin net margins limit downside cushion
Very low net margins mean small swings in volumes, input costs, or working capital can erode profits quickly. Thin bottom-line returns reduce retained earnings growth, impair the pace of deleveraging and capex funding, and leave limited room for strategic investments without external financing.
Revenue volatility and recent decline
Intermittent top-line performance and a recent revenue decline signal inconsistent demand or execution challenges. Revenue volatility undermines forecasting, compromises steady cash flow generation, and makes it harder to leverage fixed costs and sustain margins as the company scales.

ALUMEXX N.V. (ALX) vs. iShares MSCI Netherlands ETF (EWN)

ALUMEXX N.V. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAlumexx N.V. manufactures and sells scaffoldings, stairs, ladders, accessories, and spare parts. Its products include indoor, outdoor, and folding scaffoldings, as well as other jetties. The company was formerly known as Phelix N.V. and changed its name to Alumexx N.V. in January 2018. Alumexx N.V. was founded in 1991 and is based in Etten-Leur, the Netherlands.
How the Company Makes Money

ALUMEXX N.V. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement and cash flow show a meaningful 2024 rebound (positive net income, stronger EBITDA/EBIT margins, and improved operating/free cash flow), but the balance sheet is a major constraint due to very high leverage (debt roughly 3.7x equity) and thin net margins that reduce downside cushion.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Profitability has improved meaningfully versus 2023, returning to positive net income in 2024 and showing stronger operating performance (EBITDA margin ~15.8% and EBIT margin ~7.7%). Gross margin has been relatively steady around the mid-40% range in 2023–2024, which supports earnings resilience. The key weakness is growth volatility: revenue declined in 2024 after growth in 2023, and results over 2020–2022 show a smaller base and uneven scaling, with net margins currently thin (~1.6%) despite better operating leverage.
Balance Sheet
38
Negative
Leverage remains the primary concern. While total debt fell from 2023 to 2024, the capital structure is still highly debt-heavy with debt at roughly 3.7x equity in 2024 (down from ~7.4x in 2023). Equity is relatively small versus the asset base, which reduces balance-sheet flexibility if operating conditions weaken. A positive is that profitability improved in 2024, lifting return on equity to ~13%, but the company’s high leverage keeps risk elevated.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Cash generation improved substantially in 2024, with operating cash flow (~5.0M) and free cash flow (~4.5M) both materially higher than 2023, indicating better conversion of earnings into cash and improved funding capacity. However, free cash flow declined year over year in 2024 (negative growth), and cash flow performance has been uneven historically (including negative operating and free cash flow in 2021). Overall, current cash flow is supportive, but consistency is not yet proven.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue39.56M39.15M34.36M8.08M6.66M4.13M
Gross Profit6.93M17.57M15.16M2.33M1.45M711.00K
EBITDA4.89M6.20M4.61M320.00K548.00K352.00K
Net Income-397.00K642.00K-124.00K137.00K332.00K173.00K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets35.40M37.05M41.05M3.31M2.35M2.07M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments248.00K125.00K1.12M793.00K333.00K861.00K
Total Debt24.61M18.30M28.70M649.00K97.00K190.00K
Total Liabilities30.87M32.15M37.15M1.73M1.05M1.10M
Stockholders Equity4.53M4.90M3.90M1.58M1.30M971.00K
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.87M4.47M238.00K478.00K-428.00K628.00K
Operating Cash Flow3.24M4.98M990.00K478.00K-428.00K628.00K
Investing Cash Flow-230.00K-462.00K-14.45M90.00K0.00-50.00K
Financing Cash Flow-4.21M-4.28M12.52M-108.00K-100.00K-75.00K

ALUMEXX N.V. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
53
Neutral
€10.87M-56.18-8.74%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NL:ALX
ALUMEXX N.V.
1.50
0.18
13.64%
DE:7GW
Cabka N.V.
1.47
-0.59
-28.64%
DE:8J30
Ebusco Holding N.V.
0.33
-0.18
-35.32%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 30, 2026