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Neurogene Inc. (NGNE)
:NGNE
US Market

Neurogene (NGNE) AI Stock Analysis

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Neurogene

(NASDAQ:NGNE)

30Underperform
Neurogene faces significant financial challenges typical of early-stage biotech firms, with no revenue and substantial losses. The technical analysis indicates a bearish trend, exacerbating concerns about stock performance. Valuation metrics are weak due to negative earnings, although recent corporate developments in their NGN-401 program present a potential long-term positive outlook if successful.
Positive Factors
Clinical Development
NGN-401 has shown impressive efficacy and a tolerable safety profile.
Financial Stability
Neurogene has sufficient cash to provide a runway extending through the NGN-401 pivotal trial.
Regulatory Designation
NGN-401 has received Priority Medicines (PRIME) designation by the European Medicines Agency (EMA).
Negative Factors
Adverse Events
High-dose NGN-401 led to treatment-related serious adverse events and other high-dose patients experienced Grade 2 and 3 treatment-emergent adverse events.
Clinical Risks
Risks include potential delays in advancing candidates and the possibility of not generating favorable clinical data, particularly for NGN-401 in Rett syndrome.

Neurogene (NGNE) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Neurogene Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNeurogene (NGNE) is a biotechnology company focused on developing life-changing genetic medicines to address severe neurological diseases. The company operates within the healthcare and biotechnology sectors, leveraging cutting-edge gene therapy techniques to create innovative treatments that have the potential to transform patient outcomes.
How the Company Makes MoneyNeurogene makes money primarily through the development and commercialization of its gene therapy products. The company's revenue streams include licensing agreements, where it partners with larger pharmaceutical companies to co-develop and market its therapies, and potential sales of approved treatments. Neurogene may also receive funding through research grants, collaborations with academic institutions, and milestone payments from its strategic partnerships, which support its ongoing research and development efforts.

Neurogene Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Neurogene's financial health reflects the typical challenges of early-stage biotech firms, with no revenue and high R&D expenses leading to substantial losses. Cash reserves provide short-term stability, but reliance on external financing and past negative equity highlight financial vulnerabilities.
Income Statement
10
Very Negative
Neurogene has consistently reported zero revenue over the years, highlighting the early-stage nature of its research-focused operations. The company faces substantial net losses, which have increased over time, indicating high operating expenses without corresponding income. This consistent lack of revenue and growing net losses reflect significant financial challenges.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet shows a strong liquidity position with significant cash reserves compared to total debt, evidenced by healthy net debt figures. However, the company's equity ratio has been negative in recent years due to significant accumulated losses, although it turned positive in 2023 and 2024. The high cash position provides some stability, but the negative equity in the past highlights financial distress.
Cash Flow
20
Very Negative
Neurogene's cash flow statements indicate negative operating and free cash flows, consistent with its status as a pre-revenue biotech firm. The company relies heavily on financing activities for cash inflows, which is unsustainable long-term. While free cash flow has improved marginally, the negative cash flow from operations poses a significant risk.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
925.00K0.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit
925.00K-3.26M-3.20M-2.28M-1.82M
EBIT
-82.61M-55.58M-56.52M-50.53M-41.55M
EBITDA
-71.89M-52.29M-51.99M-49.59M-31.46M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-75.14M-36.32M-55.19M-50.52M-33.28M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
312.40M197.16M82.02M70.54M192.56M
Total Assets
335.73M222.57M109.27M101.49M210.52M
Total Debt
12.43M16.25M4.69M5.21M12.12M
Net Debt
-124.16M-131.96M-77.33M-65.33M-180.43M
Total Liabilities
25.36M36.55M255.00M193.36M19.30M
Stockholders Equity
310.38M186.02M-145.74M-91.88M191.22M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-71.41M-51.74M-55.05M-64.77M-26.79M
Operating Cash Flow
-70.60M-51.42M-52.82M-46.40M-24.57M
Investing Cash Flow
-125.26M25.64M-2.23M-18.37M-2.22M
Financing Cash Flow
184.07M92.48M66.53M51.06M77.14M

Neurogene Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price11.36
Price Trends
50DMA
15.36
Negative
100DMA
18.00
Negative
200DMA
30.24
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.67
Negative
RSI
45.11
Neutral
STOCH
86.12
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NGNE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 11.36 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.79, below the 50-day MA of 15.36, and below the 200-day MA of 30.24, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.67 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 45.11 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.12 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for NGNE.

Neurogene Risk Analysis

Neurogene disclosed 86 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Neurogene reported the most risks in the “Tech & Innovation” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Neurogene Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (50)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
50
Neutral
$5.51B2.95-43.70%2.78%16.94%3.59%
46
Neutral
$120.55M-50.61%85.19%
41
Neutral
$124.15M-43.72%190.40%7.54%
40
Underperform
$131.28M-66.10%-53.08%-40.31%
IKIKT
31
Underperform
$148.68M-52.00%-100.00%38.72%
30
Underperform
$162.58M-30.28%-140.77%
27
Underperform
$128.72M-25.95%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NGNE
Neurogene
11.36
-22.28
-66.23%
PRQR
ProQR
1.19
-0.71
-37.37%
KRRO
Korro Bio
13.40
-55.90
-80.66%
IKT
Inhibikase Therapeutics
1.90
-0.23
-10.80%
FDMT
4D Molecular Therapeutics
3.10
-22.20
-87.75%
LYEL
Lyell Immunopharma
0.46
-1.92
-80.67%

Neurogene Corporate Events

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Neurogene Highlights Progress in Rett Syndrome Program
Positive
Jan 13, 2025

Neurogene has updated its corporate presentation, highlighting the progress and future plans for its NGN-401 program for Rett syndrome, which is currently in Phase 1/2 clinical trials. The company is leveraging its proprietary EXACT technology and in-house manufacturing to advance its pipeline and explore market opportunities, positioning itself strategically in the biopharmaceutical sector.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.