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Nucana Plc (NCNA)
NASDAQ:NCNA

Nucana (NCNA) AI Stock Analysis

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NCNA

Nucana

(NASDAQ:NCNA)

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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
$3.50
▲(1.16% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by weak financial performance (no revenue, continued losses, and negative cash flow despite low leverage). Technicals add pressure with a bearish trend (below key moving averages and negative MACD). Valuation offers limited support due to a negative P/E and no dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Proprietary Technology
NuCana's ProTide technology offers a competitive edge by potentially transforming existing chemotherapeutic agents into more effective treatments, which could lead to successful drug development and commercialization.
Cash Management
Strong cash management and low leverage provide financial stability, enabling NuCana to sustain its R&D efforts and navigate the challenges of drug development without immediate financial distress.
Strategic Partnerships
Potential partnerships and collaborations can provide vital funding and resources, enhancing NuCana's ability to advance its drug pipeline and potentially accelerate market entry.
Negative Factors
Lack of Revenue
The absence of revenue generation highlights the risk of financial instability, as the company relies heavily on external funding and successful drug development to achieve future profitability.
Operational Losses
Persistent operational losses without revenue offset strain financial resources, increasing the urgency for successful product development and commercialization to ensure long-term viability.
Equity Decline
Declining equity suggests financial vulnerability, potentially limiting NuCana's ability to raise capital and invest in R&D, which is crucial for advancing its drug pipeline.

Nucana (NCNA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Nucana Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNuCana plc, a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, engages in the development of products for the treatment of cancer. The company develops its products based on its proprietary ProTide technology. Its lead product candidate includes Acelarin, which is in Phase I clinical trial for patients with advanced solid tumors; Phase Ib for patients with recurrent ovarian cancer; Phase Ib clinical trials for the treatment of patients with biliary tract cancer; Phase II clinical trial for the treatment of patients with platinum-resistant ovarian cancer; and Phase III clinical trial for the treatment of patients with pancreatic cancer. The company is also developing NUC-3373, a ProTide transformation of the active anti-cancer metabolite of 5-fluorouracil, which is in Phase I clinical trial for the treatment of patients with advanced solid tumors and in a Phase 1b/2 clinical trial for patients with advanced colorectal cancer; and NUC-7738, a nucleoside analog that is in Phase 1/2 clinical trial for the treatment of patients with advanced solid tumors and hematological tumors. It has a research, collaboration, and license agreement with Cardiff University and University College Cardiff Consultants Ltd. for the design, synthesis, characterization, and evaluation of ProTides; and an assignment, license, and collaboration agreement with Cardiff ProTides Ltd. The company was formerly known as NuCana BioMed Limited and changed its name to NuCana plc in August 2017. NuCana plc was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in Edinburgh, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyNuCana makes money primarily through the development and commercialization of its proprietary ProTide technology-based drugs. The company's revenue model is focused on advancing its pipeline of product candidates through clinical trials and eventually bringing them to market upon regulatory approval. Additionally, NuCana may generate income through strategic partnerships, licensing agreements, and collaborations with other pharmaceutical companies. These partnerships can provide upfront and milestone payments, as well as royalties on product sales. As a clinical-stage company, NuCana's earnings are currently dependent on its ability to successfully develop and commercialize its drug candidates.

Nucana Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Nucana's financials reflect the challenges faced by biotechnology firms in early development stages, with no revenue generation and consistent losses. While the company demonstrates strong cash management and low leverage, the shrinking equity and continued cash burn highlight financial vulnerabilities. The firm’s financial health would benefit significantly from achieving revenue growth and reducing operational losses.
Income Statement
Nucana's income statement shows no revenue generation over the analyzed period, which is typical for early-stage biotechnology companies. However, the continuous negative EBIT and net income indicate ongoing operational losses without revenue offset.
Balance Sheet
The company's high cash reserves relative to debt showcase prudent cash management, but the consistent decline in stockholders' equity raises concerns. The debt-to-equity ratio remains low, suggesting low financial leverage, yet the reduction in equity suggests potential risks if this trend continues.
Cash Flow
Nucana's cash flow statement reflects substantial negative operating cash flow, indicating cash burn typical of R&D-intensive biotech firms. The company maintains liquidity through financing, but the lack of free cash flow growth suggests an ongoing reliance on external funding.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit0.000.000.000.000.000.00
EBITDA-18.94M-22.48M-31.78M-52.15M-41.88M0.00
Net Income-27.52M-19.00M-27.63M-32.02M-40.53M-30.68M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets32.31M14.77M27.81M58.25M77.47M107.79M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments25.25M6.75M17.23M41.91M60.26M87.36M
Total Debt136.00K190.00K396.00K639.00K371.00K645.00K
Total Liabilities6.39M8.82M12.92M19.75M11.93M8.56M
Stockholders Equity25.93M5.95M14.89M38.50M65.55M99.23M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-13.97M-19.41M-26.92M-23.68M-24.89M-23.25M
Operating Cash Flow-13.77M-19.12M-26.44M-23.16M-23.82M-21.62M
Investing Cash Flow47.00K79.00K2.89M120.00K-3.56M-1.31M
Financing Cash Flow27.18M8.18M-53.00K-161.00K-98.00K61.80M

Nucana Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price3.46
Price Trends
50DMA
3.73
Negative
100DMA
3.94
Negative
200DMA
29.61
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.07
Negative
RSI
46.94
Neutral
STOCH
77.42
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NCNA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3.46 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.60, below the 50-day MA of 3.73, and below the 200-day MA of 29.61, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.07 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 46.94 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.42 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for NCNA.

Nucana Risk Analysis

Nucana disclosed 92 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Nucana reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 3 New Risks
1.
We have identified conditions and events that raise substantial doubt about our ability to continue as a going concern, which may hinder our ability to obtain future financing. Q4, 2023
2.
Our internal computer systems, or those of our CROs or other contractors or consultants, may fail or suffer cybersecurity incidents, which could result in a material disruption of our product development programs, and could subject us to liability. Q4, 2023
3.
Unstable market and economic conditions may have serious adverse consequences on our business, financial condition and stock price. Q4, 2023

Nucana Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
51
Neutral
$32.54M-1.68-114.81%37.42%
46
Neutral
$14.98M-0.02-179.40%94.52%
43
Neutral
$6.57M-0.44-74.72%-62.75%23.87%
42
Neutral
$5.01M-1.07-57.43%13.30%22.70%
38
Underperform
$7.88M-1.40-49.00%47.17%26.84%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NCNA
Nucana
3.60
-200.40
-98.24%
XBIO
Xenetic Biosciences
2.19
-1.90
-46.45%
IMRN
Immuron
0.82
-1.15
-58.38%
APRE
Aprea Therapeutics
0.94
-2.48
-72.51%
GLTO
Galecto
20.37
15.28
300.20%

Nucana Corporate Events

NuCana Announces Return of CEO Hugh S. Griffith Following Health Leave
Dec 17, 2025

On December 15, 2025, NuCana announced the return of Hugh S. Griffith as Chief Executive Officer following his health-related leave of absence, reinstating him as the company’s principal executive officer. Andrew Kay, who had been serving as Executive Chairman and acting CEO during this period, has returned to his role as Chairman of the Board. This leadership update marks a return to continuity for NuCana and is expected to support the company’s strategic operations and bolster stakeholder confidence.

NuCana Showcases Promising Results for NUC-7738 in Melanoma Treatment
Dec 10, 2025

On December 10, 2025, NuCana announced the presentation of new clinical data at the ESMO Immuno-Oncology Congress 2025, showcasing the potential of NUC-7738 in treating PD-1 inhibitor-resistant metastatic melanoma. The data demonstrated clinical activity and a favorable safety profile, with partial responses and durable disease control observed in patients. These findings support further clinical advancement and enrollment, potentially leading to a registrational pathway. The study’s positive results were also highlighted in a UK documentary, emphasizing the potential impact on patients who have exhausted current treatment options.

NuCana Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results and Board Resignation
Nov 13, 2025

On November 13, 2025, NuCana plc announced its financial results for the third quarter of 2025. The company reported a significant reduction in operating losses compared to the previous year, with a loss of £779,000 for the quarter, down from £5.3 million in the same period in 2024. Despite the improvement, NuCana continues to face financial challenges, with a total comprehensive loss of £267,000 for the quarter. Additionally, the company announced the resignation of Dr. Bali Muralidhar from its Board of Directors, effective October 21, 2025, noting that the resignation was not due to any disagreements with the company.

NuCana Secures Key Patent for NUC-7738 in China
Nov 5, 2025

On November 5, 2025, NuCana announced the issuance of a new patent by the China National Intellectual Property Administration for NUC-7738’s composition of matter. This patent strengthens NuCana’s global intellectual property strategy and supports opportunities for innovative cancer therapies in China. The patent is a key milestone in the company’s efforts to address unmet needs in cancer treatment, particularly in combination with pembrolizumab for melanoma patients.

NuCana Presents Promising Data on NUC-7738 at ESMO Congress 2025
Oct 20, 2025

On October 18, 2025, NuCana presented promising data at the European Society for Medical Oncology Congress 2025, showcasing the synergistic effects of NUC-7738 in combination with PD-1 inhibitors in treating renal cell carcinoma. The study demonstrated that NUC-7738 enhances the effectiveness of PD-1 inhibitors, potentially offering a new treatment option for cancers resistant to anti-PD-1 therapy. This data reinforces the mechanism of action of NUC-7738 and supports its ongoing clinical development, including the expansion of the Phase 1/2 NuTide:701 study to include more patients with PD-1 inhibitor-resistant melanoma.

NuCana Reports Promising Clinical Data for NUC-3373
Oct 14, 2025

On October 14, 2025, NuCana announced new data from the NuTide:303 clinical study, highlighting the efficacy and safety of NUC-3373 in combination with the PD-1 inhibitor pembrolizumab. The study showed promising results, including significant tumor reduction in heavily pre-treated patients with advanced solid tumors. The findings, published in medRxiv and PLOS ONE, suggest that NUC-3373 enhances immune response and tumor cell death, supporting its potential as part of future cancer treatment regimens.

The most recent analyst rating on (NCNA) stock is a Buy with a $20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nucana stock, see the NCNA Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 30, 2025