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Nucana Plc (NCNA)
NASDAQ:NCNA

Nucana (NCNA) AI Stock Analysis

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NC

Nucana

(NASDAQ:NCNA)

26Underperform
Nucana's stock is heavily influenced by financial vulnerabilities due to consistent losses and cash burn. The technical indicators offer some stability but are overshadowed by the lack of profitability and revenue generation. Valuation metrics remain weak due to negative earnings, highlighting the speculative nature of investment in the company at this stage.

Nucana (NCNA) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Nucana Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNuCana plc, a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, engages in the development of products for the treatment of cancer. The company develops its products based on its proprietary ProTide technology. Its lead product candidate includes Acelarin, which is in Phase I clinical trial for patients with advanced solid tumors; Phase Ib for patients with recurrent ovarian cancer; Phase Ib clinical trials for the treatment of patients with biliary tract cancer; Phase II clinical trial for the treatment of patients with platinum-resistant ovarian cancer; and Phase III clinical trial for the treatment of patients with pancreatic cancer. The company is also developing NUC-3373, a ProTide transformation of the active anti-cancer metabolite of 5-fluorouracil, which is in Phase I clinical trial for the treatment of patients with advanced solid tumors and in a Phase 1b/2 clinical trial for patients with advanced colorectal cancer; and NUC-7738, a nucleoside analog that is in Phase 1/2 clinical trial for the treatment of patients with advanced solid tumors and hematological tumors. It has a research, collaboration, and license agreement with Cardiff University and University College Cardiff Consultants Ltd. for the design, synthesis, characterization, and evaluation of ProTides; and an assignment, license, and collaboration agreement with Cardiff ProTides Ltd. The company was formerly known as NuCana BioMed Limited and changed its name to NuCana plc in August 2017. NuCana plc was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in Edinburgh, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyNuCana makes money primarily through the development and commercialization of its proprietary ProTide technology-based drugs. The company's revenue model is focused on advancing its pipeline of product candidates through clinical trials and eventually bringing them to market upon regulatory approval. Additionally, NuCana may generate income through strategic partnerships, licensing agreements, and collaborations with other pharmaceutical companies. These partnerships can provide upfront and milestone payments, as well as royalties on product sales. As a clinical-stage company, NuCana's earnings are currently dependent on its ability to successfully develop and commercialize its drug candidates.

Nucana Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Nucana's financials reflect the challenges faced by biotechnology firms in early development stages, with no revenue generation and consistent losses. While the company demonstrates strong cash management and low leverage, the shrinking equity and continued cash burn highlight financial vulnerabilities. The firm’s financial health would benefit significantly from achieving revenue growth and reducing operational losses.
Income Statement
10
Very Negative
Nucana's income statement shows no revenue generation over the analyzed period, which is typical for early-stage biotechnology companies. However, the continuous negative EBIT and net income indicate ongoing operational losses without revenue offset.
Balance Sheet
25
Negative
The company's high cash reserves relative to debt showcase prudent cash management, but the consistent decline in stockholders' equity raises concerns. The debt-to-equity ratio remains low, suggesting low financial leverage, yet the reduction in equity suggests potential risks if this trend continues.
Cash Flow
15
Very Negative
Nucana's cash flow statement reflects substantial negative operating cash flow, indicating cash burn typical of R&D-intensive biotech firms. The company maintains liquidity through financing, but the lack of free cash flow growth suggests an ongoing reliance on external funding.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income StatementTotal Revenue
0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit
0.000.000.000.000.000.00
EBIT
-22.81M-32.78M-39.12M-47.91M-36.42M-26.70M
EBITDA
-22.48M-28.89M-52.15M0.000.000.00
Net Income Common Stockholders
-19.00M-27.63M-32.02M-40.53M-30.68M-21.41M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
29.19K17.23M41.91M60.26M87.36M51.96M
Total Assets
0.0027.81M58.25M77.47M107.79M70.27M
Total Debt
0.00396.00K639.00K371.00K645.00K806.00K
Net Debt
29.19K-16.83M-41.27M-59.89M-86.71M-51.16M
Total Liabilities
0.0012.92M19.75M11.93M8.56M6.75M
Stockholders Equity
29.96K14.89M38.50M65.55M99.23M63.52M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-19.41M-26.92M-23.68M-24.89M-23.25M-25.09M
Operating Cash Flow
-19.12M-26.44M-23.16M-23.82M-21.62M-23.83M
Investing Cash Flow
79.00K2.89M120.00K-3.56M-1.31M-145.00K
Financing Cash Flow
8.18M-53.00K-161.00K-98.00K61.80M-47.00K

Nucana Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.79
Price Trends
50DMA
0.93
Negative
100DMA
1.10
Negative
200DMA
2.17
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Negative
RSI
48.86
Neutral
STOCH
49.67
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NCNA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.79 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.86, below the 50-day MA of 0.93, and below the 200-day MA of 2.17, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.86 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 49.67 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for NCNA.

Nucana Risk Analysis

Nucana disclosed 92 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Nucana reported the most risks in the “Tech & Innovation” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Nucana Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (48)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
55
Neutral
$30.67B-414.62%22.97%38.54%
48
Neutral
$6.36B1.14-49.00%2.63%17.14%1.39%
46
Neutral
$66.06M-273.36%194.23%45.50%
45
Neutral
$475.65M-42.91%2.90%
42
Neutral
$86.28M-54.21%-78.55%-0.92%
26
Underperform
$4.48M-183.07%35.70%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NCNA
Nucana
0.79
-5.11
-86.61%
ALNY
Alnylam Pharma
235.74
79.70
51.08%
FATE
Fate Therapeutics
0.75
-5.96
-88.82%
SRNE
Sorrento Therapeutics
0.01
-0.01
-50.00%
ADAP
Adaptimmune Therapeutics
0.26
-1.10
-80.88%
KURA
Kura Oncology
5.89
-14.53
-71.16%
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.