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Nautilus Biotechnolgy (NAUT)
NASDAQ:NAUT
US Market

Nautilus Biotechnolgy (NAUT) AI Stock Analysis

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Nautilus Biotechnolgy

(NASDAQ:NAUT)

33Underperform
Nautilus Biotechnology's overall score is low due to its early-stage financial instability, no revenue, high losses, and delayed product launch. While strong cash reserves provide some stability, the stock's downward trend and valuation challenges reflect its risky nature, appealing primarily to speculative investors.
Positive Factors
Cash Management
Ongoing cash management efforts are encouraging, as well as the progress towards a differentiated proteomics offering.
Cost Management
Cost management and a 16% reduction in force should enable the cash runway to extend to 2027.
Technology Development
The company remains highly confident in its technology, and while disappointing, they feel they are making progress and taking the necessary steps to ensure a successful product commercialization.
Negative Factors
Commercial Launch Delay
Commercial launch now expected in late-2026, delayed from late 2025, due to modifications needed on the assay configuration and surface chemistry.
Internal Milestones
The company was behind on internal milestones with respect to a major broadscale goal of quantifying a significant number of proteins from a complex sample.
Stock Price Impact
NAUT traded down nearly (20%) after another commercial launch timeline delay, this one a push out to late 2026.

Nautilus Biotechnolgy (NAUT) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Nautilus Biotechnolgy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNautilus Biotechnology, Inc., a development stage life sciences company, engages in creating a platform technology for quantifying and unlocking the complexity of the proteome. It develops Nautilus Platform, a proteomics platform that includes end-to-end solution comprised of instruments, consumables, and software analysis. The company was founded in 2016 and is headquartered in Seattle, Washington.
How the Company Makes MoneyNautilus Biotechnology generates revenue primarily through the commercialization of its proteomics platform. The company offers its technology to pharmaceutical companies, academic institutions, and research organizations, which use it to conduct detailed protein analysis. Key revenue streams include the sale of instruments, consumables, and related services required to operate the platform. Additionally, Nautilus may engage in strategic partnerships and collaborations with other entities in the biotech and pharmaceutical industries, which can provide further revenue through joint research projects, licensing agreements, and milestone payments based on the successful achievement of specific research or development goals.

Nautilus Biotechnolgy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Nautilus Biotechnology is in an early growth phase typical of biotech firms, with no revenue and significant operational losses. Despite strong cash reserves and low leverage providing some financial stability, sustained losses and significant cash outflow highlight the challenges in achieving profitability.
Income Statement
15
Very Negative
Nautilus Biotechnology has consistently reported zero revenue, reflecting its early-stage development status typical for biotech firms. The company faces significant net losses, with a negative net profit margin and no gross profit. Revenue growth is non-existent, while operating expenses remain high, adversely affecting EBIT and EBITDA margins.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet shows a relatively strong equity position with a consistent decrease in stockholders' equity over recent years, reflecting ongoing losses. The debt-to-equity ratio is favorable, indicating low leverage, but the negative equity in earlier years signals financial instability. The equity ratio is reasonably high, suggesting a good proportion of assets financed by equity.
Cash Flow
20
Very Negative
The cash flow statement reveals negative free cash flow and operating cash flow, reflecting high cash burn typical for biotech startups. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating cash outflows exceed inflows. However, substantial cash reserves provide a buffer against short-term financial challenges.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
0.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit
0.00-5.71M-3.42M-2.84M-2.35M
EBIT
0.00-76.15M-63.62M-50.50M-15.74M
EBITDA
0.00-74.30M-54.51M-47.47M-13.27M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-70.78M-63.67M-63.74M-50.31M-15.62M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
129.89M173.42M184.47M345.73M76.74M
Total Assets
242.74M305.56M350.05M398.45M85.01M
Total Debt
30.48M34.63M30.33M30.03M4.78M
Net Debt
2.83M15.23M-84.19M-155.59M-31.83M
Total Liabilities
34.01M40.21M35.13M34.87M114.73M
Stockholders Equity
208.73M265.35M314.92M363.58M-29.72M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-61.27M-54.15M-48.13M-41.51M-14.92M
Operating Cash Flow
-59.15M-51.71M-45.81M-39.24M-14.00M
Investing Cash Flow
66.25M-43.73M-25.74M-138.96M-25.28M
Financing Cash Flow
1.14M368.00K562.00K327.45M75.90M

Nautilus Biotechnolgy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.76
Price Trends
50DMA
1.15
Negative
100DMA
1.54
Negative
200DMA
2.08
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.11
Negative
RSI
38.95
Neutral
STOCH
36.00
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NAUT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.76 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.83, below the 50-day MA of 1.15, and below the 200-day MA of 2.08, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.11 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 38.95 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 36.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for NAUT.

Nautilus Biotechnolgy Risk Analysis

Nautilus Biotechnolgy disclosed 69 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Nautilus Biotechnolgy reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Nautilus Biotechnolgy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
51
Neutral
$5.19B3.13-40.94%2.95%17.94%2.00%
45
Neutral
$117.77M-23.91%-13.92%-2.86%
41
Neutral
$109.19M-120.84%-4.42%-12.01%
33
Underperform
$104.62M-64.48%-0.42%
33
Underperform
$95.62M-29.86%-10.58%
TITIL
32
Underperform
$101.37M-37.51%52.54%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NAUT
Nautilus Biotechnolgy
0.76
-1.66
-68.60%
XBIT
XBiotech
2.94
-5.01
-63.02%
OBIO
Orchestra BioMed Holdings
2.85
-1.65
-36.67%
SEER
Seer
1.97
0.30
17.96%
TIL
Instil Bio
15.46
4.75
44.35%
NMRA
Neumora Therapeutics, Inc.
0.65
-9.76
-93.76%

Nautilus Biotechnolgy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 27, 2025 | % Change Since: -46.85% | Next Earnings Date: Apr 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call highlighted significant scientific advancements and partnerships in the proteomics field, with financial strategies extending the company's cash runway. However, a major delay in the product launch timeline and increased net losses weigh heavily on the company's near-term outlook.
Highlights
Significant Progress in Proteoform Analysis
Nautilus demonstrated the world's first quantitative measurement of biological variation in tau proteoforms associated with Alzheimer's disease, spurring interest from potential partners.
Advancements in Broadscale Discovery
Developed a robust multi-affinity probe capable of binding to a variety of proteins with extreme sensitivity, indicating potential application in diverse organisms.
Extended Cash Runway
With a reduction in headcount by approximately 16% and tight financial management, Nautilus now anticipates a cash runway extending through 2027.
Lowlights
Delayed Launch of Proteome Analysis Platform
The launch of the proteome analysis platform has been pushed to late 2026 due to the need for optimization of assay configuration and surface chemistry.
Increase in Net Loss for Fiscal Year 2024
Net loss for fiscal year 2024 increased by 11% year-over-year, from $63.7 million in 2023 to $70.8 million in 2024.
Company Guidance
During the Nautilus Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2024 Earnings Call, the company provided guidance on the launch of its proteome analysis platform, now anticipated for late 2026. Nautilus aims to deliver a game-changing product by optimizing assay configuration and surface chemistry to improve probe performance. Key milestones for 2025 include enabling researchers to access the platform for tau proteoform studies, showcasing assay performance characteristics, and signing tau-related partnerships. Nautilus expects its cash runway to extend through 2027 following a 16% workforce reduction to align resources with development goals. Operating expenses for 2024 totaled $81.5 million, with a net loss of $70.8 million, and the company ended the year with $206 million in cash and investments.

Nautilus Biotechnolgy Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Nautilus Biotechnology Announces Board Changes for 2025
Negative
Feb 27, 2025

Nautilus Biotechnology announced changes in its board of directors for the 2025 annual meeting, with Vijay Pande and Michael Altman stepping down, and Matthew McIlwain transitioning to a Class I director to maintain board balance. The company also reported its financial results for the fourth quarter and fiscal year 2024, highlighting a slight increase in operating expenses and a net loss compared to the previous year. Nautilus plans to launch its proteome analysis platform in late 2026 and has reduced its workforce by 16% to align resources with development goals, aiming to extend its cash runway through 2027.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Nautilus Biotechnology Announces Board Member Departures
Neutral
Jan 31, 2025

On January 27 and 28, 2025, Vijay Pande and Michael Altman informed Nautilus Biotechnology that they will not stand for re-election to the board of directors at the 2025 annual meeting. Their decision is not due to any disagreements with the company’s operations, policies, or practices, indicating stability and alignment in the company’s strategic direction.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.