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MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings Inc (MTSI)
NASDAQ:MTSI
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MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings (MTSI) AI Stock Analysis

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MTSI

MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings

(NASDAQ:MTSI)

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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$180.00
▲(1.17% Upside)
The overall stock score of 61 reflects a mixed outlook for MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings. The most significant factor is the strong technical analysis, indicating bullish momentum. However, financial performance and valuation concerns, particularly the negative profitability and high P/E ratio, weigh heavily on the score. The positive earnings call provides some optimism, highlighting growth and strategic initiatives, but challenges remain in profitability and valuation.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth indicates robust demand across key segments, supporting long-term business expansion and market presence.
New Product Launches
A high number of new product launches enhances MACOM's competitive edge and positions it well to capture emerging market opportunities.
Strategic Partnership
The partnership with HRL strengthens MACOM's technology portfolio, potentially leading to advanced product offerings and market differentiation.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Persistent profitability issues could hinder reinvestment capabilities and long-term financial health, impacting shareholder value.
Rising Operating Expenses
Increasing operating expenses, driven by R&D and employee costs, may pressure margins and require efficient cost management to sustain growth.
Cash Flow Management
Weak cash flow growth can limit MACOM's ability to invest in growth initiatives and manage debt, affecting long-term operational flexibility.

MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings (MTSI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. (MTSI) is a leading provider of high-performance analog semiconductor solutions for a variety of applications, including telecommunications, data center, industrial, and defense markets. The company specializes in designing and manufacturing a wide range of products such as optical components, RF and microwave devices, and integrated circuits that enable high-speed data transmission and processing. MACOM's innovative technology positions it as a key player in the rapidly evolving landscape of communications and electronic systems.
How the Company Makes MoneyMACOM generates revenue primarily through the sale of its semiconductor products across various sectors, including telecommunications, data centers, and industrial applications. The company's key revenue streams include the sale of optical components, RF devices, and microwave integrated circuits. MACOM benefits from long-term partnerships with leading technology firms and telecommunications companies, which provide consistent demand for its advanced solutions. Additionally, the company often engages in customized product development for its customers, allowing it to capture higher margins. Factors contributing to its earnings include the growing demand for high-speed data communication, the expansion of 5G networks, and advancements in industrial automation.

MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
MACOM reported strong financial performance for FY 2025, with significant revenue and EPS growth. The company achieved record revenues in its Data Center and Industrial & Defense segments and launched a number of new products. However, the Telecom segment faced some challenges, and there were increases in inventories and operating expenses. Overall, the positive aspects of the earnings call outweigh the negatives.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue and Growth
Fiscal Year 2025 revenue was $967 million, a 32% increase year-over-year. Adjusted EPS grew by more than 35% to $3.47.
Strong Cash Flow and Financial Position
MACOM generated $193 million in free cash flow and ended the year with $786 million in cash and short-term investments.
Data Center and Industrial & Defense Achievements
Data Center and Industrial & Defense segments reached record revenues, with Data Center up approximately 5% sequentially and Industrial & Defense up approximately 7% sequentially.
New Product Launches
Over 200 new products were launched in FY '25, a record for MACOM, driving financial performance with new product introductions outpacing overall revenue growth.
Strategic Partnership and Technology Licensing
MACOM announced an agreement with Hughes Research Laboratories to transfer their 40-nanometer GaN on Silicon Carbide process, enhancing MACOM's technology portfolio.
Significant Defense Market Growth
Defense market revenue for GaN-based components and products grew over 50% year-over-year.
Negative Updates
Telecom Segment Challenges
Telecom revenue was slightly down sequentially in Q4, indicating some challenges in this segment.
Inventory and Receivables Increase
Inventories increased to $237.8 million, up from $215.4 million, and accounts receivable rose to $148.6 million from $129.5 million, indicating higher balances to support future demand.
Rising Operating Expenses
Total adjusted operating expense for the fourth quarter was $82.1 million, with increases driven by R&D investments and employee-related costs.
Company Guidance
During the call, MACOM provided guidance for the first quarter of fiscal 2026, projecting revenue to be between $265 million and $273 million, and adjusted earnings per share (EPS) to range from $0.98 to $1.02. The company anticipates sequential revenue growth across all its end markets, with the Data Center segment expected to lead with approximately 5% growth, followed by Telecom and Industrial & Defense with low single-digit growth. Adjusted gross margin is forecasted to be between 56.5% and 58.5%. MACOM highlighted a strong backlog and robust bookings, particularly noting that October was one of the best months in years. Moreover, the company anticipates gross margin improvements of 25 to 50 basis points sequentially as it progresses through fiscal 2026, bolstered by increased fab utilization and the launch of more profitable products.

MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings shows a mixed financial performance. Positive revenue growth is overshadowed by significant profitability concerns, with negative net income and EBIT margins. The balance sheet is stable with a reasonable debt-to-equity ratio, but inefficiencies are highlighted by a negative return on equity. Cash flow management is under pressure with declining free cash flow growth, indicating a need for improvement in financial health.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The income statement shows mixed results. While there is a positive revenue growth rate of 6.67% in the TTM, the company is experiencing negative net profit margins at -5.60%, indicating profitability challenges. The gross profit margin is relatively healthy at 53.34%, but the negative EBIT margin suggests operational inefficiencies. Overall, the income statement reflects growth but with significant profitability concerns.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet indicates moderate financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio is at a manageable 0.43, showing a balanced approach to leveraging. However, the return on equity is negative at -4.39%, highlighting inefficiencies in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is not explicitly calculated, but the overall asset base appears stable. The balance sheet suggests a stable but underperforming financial position.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals a decline in free cash flow growth at -4.50%, which is concerning. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.72, indicating that operating cash flows are not fully covering net income, which is negative. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.70, suggesting some level of cash flow generation despite net losses. Overall, cash flow management appears to be under pressure.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue967.26M729.58M648.41M675.17M606.92M
Gross Profit531.44M371.40M362.06M380.59M310.94M
EBITDA39.79M163.91M179.69M304.65M133.49M
Net Income-54.21M76.86M91.58M439.95M37.97M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.10B1.76B1.55B1.57B1.13B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments785.98M581.89M514.53M586.53M344.90M
Total Debt537.99M487.78M487.33M600.43M528.55M
Total Liabilities776.26M629.30M605.64M729.07M662.41M
Stockholders Equity1.33B1.13B947.60M842.75M471.74M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow192.82M140.20M142.22M150.47M130.46M
Operating Cash Flow235.37M162.64M166.92M176.98M148.41M
Investing Cash Flow-328.26M-181.13M36.34M-182.86M-2.58M
Financing Cash Flow58.10M-9.06M-149.02M-28.91M-119.09M

MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price177.91
Price Trends
50DMA
146.91
Positive
100DMA
139.29
Positive
200DMA
127.92
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
6.95
Negative
RSI
66.69
Neutral
STOCH
93.92
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MTSI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 177.91 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 164.69, above the 50-day MA of 146.91, and above the 200-day MA of 127.92, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 6.95 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.69 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 93.92 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MTSI.

MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings Risk Analysis

MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings disclosed 52 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$9.67B41.5723.58%39.37%40.87%
78
Outperform
$10.36B45.6619.66%31.05%30.35%
68
Neutral
$9.38B348.103.86%-12.03%-80.99%
64
Neutral
$9.79B21.407.89%4.13%-2.18%-16.84%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
61
Neutral
$12.95B-4.42%32.58%-173.04%
60
Neutral
$7.92B37.036.30%-7.22%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MTSI
MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings
177.91
35.45
24.88%
LSCC
Lattice Semiconductor
71.41
12.05
20.30%
NVMI
Nova
316.71
126.95
66.90%
RMBS
Rambus
96.21
37.23
63.12%
SWKS
Skyworks Solutions
68.24
-15.98
-18.97%
QRVO
Qorvo
88.25
18.17
25.93%

MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings Corporate Events

MACOM Technology Solutions Reports Strong Fiscal 2025 Results
Nov 7, 2025

MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. is a prominent supplier of semiconductor products, serving industries such as Industrial and Defense, Data Center, and Telecommunications with a broad portfolio that includes RF, Microwave, Analog and Mixed Signal, and Optical semiconductor technologies.

MACOM Technology Solutions Reports Strong FY 2025 Earnings
Nov 7, 2025

MACOM Technology Solutions has reported a robust financial performance for the fiscal year 2025, showcasing significant revenue and earnings per share (EPS) growth. The company achieved record revenues in its Data Center and Industrial & Defense segments and successfully launched numerous new products. Despite facing challenges in the Telecom segment and experiencing increases in inventories and operating expenses, the overall sentiment of the earnings call was positive, with the strengths outweighing the negatives.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 13, 2025