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MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings Inc (MTSI)
NASDAQ:MTSI
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MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings (MTSI) AI Stock Analysis

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MTSI

MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings

(NASDAQ:MTSI)

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Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
$154.00
▼(-9.43% Downside)
MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings' overall stock score is driven primarily by its mixed financial performance and strong technical indicators. While the stock shows bullish momentum, profitability challenges and valuation concerns weigh heavily on the score. The absence of earnings call data and corporate events means these factors do not influence the score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates strong demand for MACOM's products, particularly in high-growth sectors like 5G and defense, supporting long-term expansion.
Market Position
MACOM's leadership in analog semiconductor solutions positions it well to capitalize on growing markets like telecommunications and defense, ensuring sustained relevance.
Balance Sheet Health
A moderate debt-to-equity ratio suggests financial stability, providing MACOM with the flexibility to invest in growth opportunities without excessive leverage.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Negative profitability metrics indicate operational inefficiencies, which could hinder MACOM's ability to reinvest in R&D and maintain competitive advantages.
Cash Flow Concerns
Declining free cash flow growth suggests potential liquidity issues, which may limit MACOM's capacity to fund new projects or weather economic downturns.
Return on Equity
A negative return on equity reflects inefficiencies in generating returns from shareholders' investments, potentially impacting investor confidence and future capital raising.

MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings (MTSI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs and manufactures analog semiconductor solutions for use in wireless and wireline applications across the radio frequency (RF), microwave, millimeter wave, and lightwave spectrum in the United States, China, the Asia Pacific, and internationally. The company offers a portfolio of standard and custom devices, including integrated circuits, multi-chip modules, diodes, amplifiers, switches and switch limiters, passive and active components, and subsystems. Its semiconductor products are electronic components that are incorporated in electronic systems, such as wireless basestations, high-capacity optical networks, radar, and medical systems and test and measurement. The company serves various markets comprising telecommunication that includes carrier infrastructure, which comprise long-haul/metro, 5G, and fiber-to-the-X/passive optical network; industrial and defense, including military and commercial radar, RF jammers, electronic countermeasures, and communication data links, as well as multi-market applications, such as industrial, medical, test and measurement, and scientific applications; and data centers. It sells its products through direct sales force, applications engineering staff, independent sales representatives, resellers, and distributors. The company was founded in 1950 and is headquartered in Lowell, Massachusetts.
How the Company Makes MoneyMACOM generates revenue primarily through the sale of its semiconductor products, which include RF and microwave devices, optical components, and integrated circuits. The company's revenue model is driven by both direct sales to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and indirect sales through distribution channels. Key revenue streams include the telecommunications sector, where demand for 5G and broadband infrastructure is rising, as well as the industrial and defense sectors that require high-performance components. Significant partnerships with major technology firms and contractors in the defense industry also contribute to MACOM's earnings, along with ongoing investments in research and development to innovate and expand its product offerings.

MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
MACOM reported strong financial performance for FY 2025, with significant revenue and EPS growth. The company achieved record revenues in its Data Center and Industrial & Defense segments and launched a number of new products. However, the Telecom segment faced some challenges, and there were increases in inventories and operating expenses. Overall, the positive aspects of the earnings call outweigh the negatives.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue and Growth
Fiscal Year 2025 revenue was $967 million, a 32% increase year-over-year. Adjusted EPS grew by more than 35% to $3.47.
Strong Cash Flow and Financial Position
MACOM generated $193 million in free cash flow and ended the year with $786 million in cash and short-term investments.
Data Center and Industrial & Defense Achievements
Data Center and Industrial & Defense segments reached record revenues, with Data Center up approximately 5% sequentially and Industrial & Defense up approximately 7% sequentially.
New Product Launches
Over 200 new products were launched in FY '25, a record for MACOM, driving financial performance with new product introductions outpacing overall revenue growth.
Strategic Partnership and Technology Licensing
MACOM announced an agreement with Hughes Research Laboratories to transfer their 40-nanometer GaN on Silicon Carbide process, enhancing MACOM's technology portfolio.
Significant Defense Market Growth
Defense market revenue for GaN-based components and products grew over 50% year-over-year.
Negative Updates
Telecom Segment Challenges
Telecom revenue was slightly down sequentially in Q4, indicating some challenges in this segment.
Inventory and Receivables Increase
Inventories increased to $237.8 million, up from $215.4 million, and accounts receivable rose to $148.6 million from $129.5 million, indicating higher balances to support future demand.
Rising Operating Expenses
Total adjusted operating expense for the fourth quarter was $82.1 million, with increases driven by R&D investments and employee-related costs.
Company Guidance
During the call, MACOM provided guidance for the first quarter of fiscal 2026, projecting revenue to be between $265 million and $273 million, and adjusted earnings per share (EPS) to range from $0.98 to $1.02. The company anticipates sequential revenue growth across all its end markets, with the Data Center segment expected to lead with approximately 5% growth, followed by Telecom and Industrial & Defense with low single-digit growth. Adjusted gross margin is forecasted to be between 56.5% and 58.5%. MACOM highlighted a strong backlog and robust bookings, particularly noting that October was one of the best months in years. Moreover, the company anticipates gross margin improvements of 25 to 50 basis points sequentially as it progresses through fiscal 2026, bolstered by increased fab utilization and the launch of more profitable products.

MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings shows a mixed financial performance. Revenue growth is positive at 7.29%, but profitability metrics are weak with negative net profit and EBIT margins. The balance sheet is stable with a reasonable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.45, but the negative return on equity is concerning. Cash flow challenges are evident with a negative free cash flow growth rate of -9.83%.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The TTM data indicates a revenue growth rate of 7.29%, which is a positive sign of growth. However, the company is currently experiencing negative net profit and EBIT margins, indicating profitability challenges. Historically, the company had stronger margins, but recent results show a decline, particularly in EBITDA margin, which has turned negative.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet reflects moderate stability with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.45 in the TTM, which is a reasonable level of leverage for the industry. However, the return on equity has turned negative, suggesting inefficiencies in generating returns from equity. The equity ratio is not explicitly calculated but appears stable given the total assets and equity figures.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals some concerns with a negative free cash flow growth rate of -9.83% in the TTM, indicating potential cash flow challenges. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 0.77, suggesting good cash generation relative to net income, although the free cash flow to net income ratio has declined compared to previous periods.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2019Dec 2018
Income Statement
Total Revenue706.09M729.58M648.41M675.17M499.71M570.40M
Gross Profit373.31M371.40M362.06M380.59M175.84M245.71M
EBITDA-35.56M163.91M179.69M304.65M-282.93M-11.51M
Net Income-99.33M76.86M91.58M439.95M-383.80M-139.98M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.00B1.76B1.55B1.57B1.10B1.48B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments735.23M581.89M514.53M586.53M176.75M192.90M
Total Debt531.55M487.78M487.33M600.43M692.75M694.75M
Total Liabilities739.92M629.30M605.64M729.07M791.68M813.82M
Stockholders Equity1.26B1.13B947.60M842.75M311.49M668.67M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow114.65M140.20M142.22M150.47M-17.26M-16.75M
Operating Cash Flow165.73M162.64M166.92M176.98M20.70M36.29M
Investing Cash Flow-246.13M-181.13M36.34M-182.86M-33.89M-67.12M
Financing Cash Flow58.80M-9.06M-149.02M-28.91M-5.83M-4.45M

MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price170.03
Price Trends
50DMA
135.39
Positive
100DMA
134.89
Positive
200DMA
124.86
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
7.53
Negative
RSI
73.63
Negative
STOCH
85.17
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MTSI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 170.03 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 144.80, above the 50-day MA of 135.39, and above the 200-day MA of 124.86, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 7.53 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 73.63 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.17 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MTSI.

MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings Risk Analysis

MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings disclosed 52 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$9.58B40.3723.58%39.37%40.87%
78
Outperform
$11.46B51.1019.66%31.05%30.35%
72
Outperform
$8.55B322.123.86%-12.03%-80.99%
71
Outperform
$10.35B22.597.89%3.62%-2.18%-16.84%
71
Outperform
$8.05B37.096.30%-7.22%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
60
Neutral
$12.66B-5.12%31.33%-173.04%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MTSI
MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings
170.03
35.54
26.43%
LSCC
Lattice Semiconductor
63.49
10.93
20.80%
NVMI
Nova
307.59
108.31
54.35%
RMBS
Rambus
107.67
51.78
92.65%
SWKS
Skyworks Solutions
69.58
-15.13
-17.86%
QRVO
Qorvo
85.90
17.16
24.96%

MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings Corporate Events

MACOM Technology Solutions Reports Strong Q3 Growth
Aug 8, 2025

MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc., a prominent supplier of semiconductor products, operates in the Industrial and Defense, Data Center, and Telecommunications sectors, offering a diverse portfolio of RF, Microwave, Analog, Mixed Signal, and Optical semiconductor technologies.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 28, 2025