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Vail Resorts (MTN)
NYSE:MTN
MTN Analyst Ratings
Hold
3 Buy
5 Hold
1 Sell
TipRanks enables you to focus on the analyst rating consensus of all analysts or only the top performers in the past 3 months
MTN Stock 12 Month Forecast
Average Price Target
$172.11
▲(13.16% Upside)
| Highest Price Target$237.00 | Average Price Target$172.11 | Lowest Price Target$145.00 |
The highest, average, and lowest price target of all analysts. Click on ‘Top Analysts’ to focus on the best performers.
Detailed List of Analyst Forecasts
Detailed List of Analyst Forecasts
TR | OpenAI - 4o
$160→$165
Hold
8.48%
Upside
Reiterated
10/08/25
AI Generated ArticleAI Generated Article
Morgan Stanley
$155→$146
Hold
-4.01%
Downside
Reiterated
10/01/25
Deutsche Bank
$165→$159
Hold
4.54%
Upside
Reiterated
10/01/25
Barclays
$145
Sell
-4.67%
Downside
Reiterated
09/30/25
Truist Financial
$244→$237
Buy
55.82%
Upside
Reiterated
09/30/25
Jefferies
$163→$158
Hold
3.88%
Upside
Reiterated
09/30/25
Mizuho Securities
$216→$195
Buy
28.21%
Upside
Reiterated
09/30/25
Bank of America Securities
$175→$165
Hold
8.48%
Upside
Reiterated
09/30/25
Vail Resorts: Hold Rating Amidst Slower Growth and Strategic AdjustmentsWe reiterate Neutral, lower estimates and PO to $165 (from $175) based on ~10x FY26E EBITDA vs. 11x FY25E prior given slower growth and market rerating. $842-898M in Resort EBITDA From FY25’s Resort EBITDA of $844M, the key pieces of the bridge are 1) +$8M for 1x CEO transition costs in FY25, 2) +$9M for Australia, and 3) +$38M for net impact of the Resource Efficiency program to get to ~$900M. We estimate MTN’s guide of $842- 898M embeds -6% to 0% core EBITDA growth in FY26 (see Ex 1). Management noted they expect the pass trends to stay similar through the end of the selling season and expect visitation to be down Y/Y as declines in passes are only partially offset by non- pass visitation.
Stifel Nicolaus
$180→$175
Buy
15.06%
Upside
Reiterated
09/30/25
UBS
$169
Hold
11.11%
Upside
Reiterated
09/29/25
Hold Rating for Vail Resorts Amid Decline in Pass Sales and Softer Financial OutlookSeason pass unit sales down -3%, with sales up +1% With Q4 broadly in line, Vail reported sequential deceleration in pass unit sales, with FY guide lighter than investor expectations. Pass product sales through American ski season are down -3% in units and up +1% in sales dollars, given +7% pricing Vail took earlier in the season. This has decelerated from -1% decline in pass units, with sales up +2% a quarter ago. Vail says the decline in units is driven by less tenured renewing guests, those that had a pass for just one year and fewer new pass holders. Management expects Dec'25 season-to-date pass trends to remain consistent with Sept growth rates. Vail says they need to focus more on driving lift ticket sales. Vail says pass unit decline is driven by new pass holders and lower tenured renewing pass holders.
J.P. Morgan
$167
Hold
9.80%
Upside
Upgraded
05/28/25
Macquarie
―
Hold
―
Reiterated
12/10/24
Ranks
Any
Analyst Rating
Any
Upside/ Downside
Any
Action
Any
TR | OpenAI - 4o
$160→$165
Hold
8.48%
Upside
Reiterated
10/08/25
AI Generated ArticleAI Generated Article
Morgan Stanley
$155→$146
Hold
-4.01%
Downside
Reiterated
10/01/25
Deutsche Bank
$165→$159
Hold
4.54%
Upside
Reiterated
10/01/25
Barclays
$145
Sell
-4.67%
Downside
Reiterated
09/30/25
Truist Financial
$244→$237
Buy
55.82%
Upside
Reiterated
09/30/25
Jefferies
$163→$158
Hold
3.88%
Upside
Reiterated
09/30/25
Mizuho Securities
$216→$195
Buy
28.21%
Upside
Reiterated
09/30/25
Bank of America Securities
$175→$165
Hold
8.48%
Upside
Reiterated
09/30/25
Vail Resorts: Hold Rating Amidst Slower Growth and Strategic AdjustmentsWe reiterate Neutral, lower estimates and PO to $165 (from $175) based on ~10x FY26E EBITDA vs. 11x FY25E prior given slower growth and market rerating. $842-898M in Resort EBITDA From FY25’s Resort EBITDA of $844M, the key pieces of the bridge are 1) +$8M for 1x CEO transition costs in FY25, 2) +$9M for Australia, and 3) +$38M for net impact of the Resource Efficiency program to get to ~$900M. We estimate MTN’s guide of $842- 898M embeds -6% to 0% core EBITDA growth in FY26 (see Ex 1). Management noted they expect the pass trends to stay similar through the end of the selling season and expect visitation to be down Y/Y as declines in passes are only partially offset by non- pass visitation.
Stifel Nicolaus
$180→$175
Buy
15.06%
Upside
Reiterated
09/30/25
UBS
$169
Hold
11.11%
Upside
Reiterated
09/29/25
Hold Rating for Vail Resorts Amid Decline in Pass Sales and Softer Financial OutlookSeason pass unit sales down -3%, with sales up +1% With Q4 broadly in line, Vail reported sequential deceleration in pass unit sales, with FY guide lighter than investor expectations. Pass product sales through American ski season are down -3% in units and up +1% in sales dollars, given +7% pricing Vail took earlier in the season. This has decelerated from -1% decline in pass units, with sales up +2% a quarter ago. Vail says the decline in units is driven by less tenured renewing guests, those that had a pass for just one year and fewer new pass holders. Management expects Dec'25 season-to-date pass trends to remain consistent with Sept growth rates. Vail says they need to focus more on driving lift ticket sales. Vail says pass unit decline is driven by new pass holders and lower tenured renewing pass holders.
J.P. Morgan
$167
Hold
9.80%
Upside
Upgraded
05/28/25
Macquarie
―
Hold
―
Reiterated
12/10/24
Best Analysts Covering Vail Resorts
1 Month
xxx
Success Rate
11/24 ratings generated profit
Average Return
-1.57%
reiterated a xxx
rating 9 days ago
Copying xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
trades and holding each position for 1 Month would result in 45.83% of your transactions generating a profit, with an average return of -1.57% per trade.
3 Months
xxx
Success Rate
16/24 ratings generated profit
Average Return
+1.28%
reiterated a xxx
rating 9 days ago
Copying xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
trades and holding each position for 3 Months would result in 66.67% of your transactions generating a profit, with an average return of +1.28% per trade.
1 Year
Success Rate
13/24 ratings generated profit
Average Return
+8.02%
reiterated a buy rating 9 days ago
Copying Benjamin Chaiken's trades and holding each position for 1 Year would result in 54.17% of your transactions generating a profit, with an average return of +8.02% per trade.
2 Years
xxx
Success Rate
11/22 ratings generated profit
Average Return
+7.65%
reiterated a xxx
rating 9 days ago
Copying xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
trades and holding each position for 2 Years would result in 50.00% of your transactions generating a profit, with an average return of +7.65% per trade.
The Best Analyst Covering tool allows you to follow the analysts who have the best success rates and average returns on a specific stock. Only analysts that gave a Buy or Sell rating on the stock in the past 12 months are eligible for inclusion in this tool. Follow the analysts of your choice to receive real-time updates when they publish a new rating.
MTN Analyst Recommendation Trends
Rating
Jun 25
Jul 25
Aug 25
Sep 25
Oct 25
Strong Buy
2
2
1
1
1
Buy
10
11
8
6
3
Hold
12
10
7
9
10
Sell
2
2
1
1
1
Strong Sell
0
0
0
0
0
total
26
25
17
17
15
Each month's total comprises the sum of three months' worth of ratings.
MTN Financial Forecast
MTN Stock Forecast FAQ
What is MTN’s average 12-month price target, according to analysts?
Based on analyst ratings, Vail Resorts’s 12-month average price target is 172.11.
What is MTN’s upside potential, based on the analysts’ average price target?
Vail Resorts has 13.16% upside potential, based on the analysts’ average price target.
Can I see which stocks the top-ranking analysts are rating?
Yes, go to the Analysts’ Top Stocks tool to see stocks with a Strong Buy or Strong Sell analyst rating consensus, according to the top performers.
How can I follow the stock ratings of top Wall Street analysts?
Head over to our Expert Center to see a list of the top 100 Wall Street analysts and follow the analysts of your choice. Visit their profiles for more details about their stock ratings and see how they perform on a stock-by-stock basis.
Is MTN a Buy, Sell or Hold?
Vail Resorts has a consensus rating of Hold which is based on 3 buy ratings, 5 hold ratings and 1 sell ratings.
What is Vail Resorts’s price target?
The average price target for Vail Resorts is 172.11. This is based on 9 Wall Streets Analysts 12-month price targets, issued in the past 3 months.
The highest analyst price target is $237.00 ,the lowest forecast is $145.00. The average price target represents 13.16% Increase from the current price of $152.1.
The highest analyst price target is $237.00 ,the lowest forecast is $145.00. The average price target represents 13.16% Increase from the current price of $152.1.
What do analysts say about Vail Resorts?
Vail Resorts’s analyst rating consensus is a Hold. This is based on the ratings of 9 Wall Streets Analysts.
How can I buy shares of MTN?
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