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Mereo Biopharma Group Plc (MREO)
NASDAQ:MREO

Mereo Biopharma Group Plc (MREO) AI Stock Analysis

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MREO

Mereo Biopharma Group Plc

(NASDAQ:MREO)

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Neutral 45 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
$0.44
▲(4.29% Upside)
Overall score is weighed down primarily by weak financial performance (large losses and ongoing cash burn despite a low-leverage balance sheet) and bearish technicals (below major moving averages with negative MACD). Valuation offers limited support due to negative earnings and no provided dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Balance sheet strength
Very low leverage and meaningful equity provide durable financial flexibility for a clinical-stage biotech. This reduces near-term solvency risk, supports continued R&D spend or partnering negotiations, and gives time to restructure programs without immediate distress.
Near-term cash runway and tighter cost controls
A reported cash balance and disclosed runway through mid-2027, combined with announced cost controls, materially extend planning visibility. This allows the company to complete data analyses, advance select programs and pursue partnerships without immediate fundraising pressure.
Partnering and pipeline diversification
An explicit partnering strategy and existing out-license reduce the firm's need to self-fund all late-stage programs. Collaborations can provide non-dilutive milestones, external development expertise and shared commercialization risk, improving long-term prospects despite single-program setbacks.
Negative Factors
Phase 3 trial failures for setrusumab
Missing primary endpoints in two Phase 3 studies is a durable negative: it raises regulatory and commercial uncertainty, forces program pauses and resource reallocation, and can materially reduce the value of the asset absent compelling subgroup or regulatory paths.
High cash burn and negative free cash flow
Sustained negative operating and free cash flow at this magnitude requires external financing or asset monetization. Over a multimonth horizon, persistent burn increases dilution risk, constrains strategic optionality and pressures management to prioritize deals or cuts over growth initiatives.
Tiny, volatile revenue and deep recurring losses
A minimal and volatile revenue base combined with large recurring losses means no internal cash generation from products. This structural revenue weakness sustains dependency on partners or capital markets and limits predictable reinvestment into development or commercialization over the medium term.

Mereo Biopharma Group Plc (MREO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Mereo Biopharma Group Plc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMereo BioPharma Group plc, a biopharmaceutical company, develops and commercializes therapeutics for the treatment of oncology and rare diseases in the United Kingdom and internationally. Its lead product candidate, etigilimab (OMP-313M32), an antibody T-cell immunoreceptor with Ig and ITIM domains, which is in Phase 1b clinical trial for the treatment of tumor. The company is also developing Navicixizumab (OMP-305B83), which has completed Phase 1b clinical trials for the treatment of the late line ovarian cancer; Acumapimod (BCT-197), a p38 MAP kinase inhibitor that is in Phase II clinical trials to treat acute exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; and Leflutrozole (BGS-649), an oral aromatase inhibitor for the treatment of hypogonadotropic hypogonadism. In addition, it develops rare disease product candidates, including Setrusumab (BPS-804), a novel antibody for the treatment of osteogenesis imperfecta; and Alvelestat (MPH-966), an oral small molecule that is in Phase II clinical trial to treat Alpha-1 antitrypsin deficiency. The company has a collaboration with The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center to evaluate anti-TIGIT therapeutic antibody candidate, etigilimab. Mereo BioPharma Group plc was incorporated in 2015 and is based in London, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyMereo BioPharma Group Plc primarily generates revenue through partnerships and collaborations with other pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies. These partnerships often involve licensing agreements, milestone payments, and royalties related to the development and commercialization of its drug candidates. Additionally, the company may receive funding from grants and research collaborations to support its R&D initiatives. By advancing its clinical-stage programs and successfully bringing its therapeutics to market, Mereo aims to create revenue streams through product sales and continued licensing arrangements.

Mereo Biopharma Group Plc Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials reflect an early-stage biotech profile: very weak profitability and visibility (TTM revenue ~$0.5M vs. net loss ~$41.5M) and heavy cash burn (TTM operating cash flow about -$32.7M; free cash flow about -$33.0M). The balance sheet is a relative positive with very low leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.01) and meaningful equity (~$46.6M), but ongoing losses and burn increase funding dependence risk.
Income Statement
22
Negative
Profitability is weak in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), with a small revenue base ($0.5M) and deep losses (net loss of ~$41.5M), translating to extremely negative profit margins. Revenue has been volatile over time (including years with zero revenue), and while 2021 showed strong profitability, the business has since reverted to sustained, sizable operating losses—suggesting limited earnings visibility near-term.
Balance Sheet
63
Positive
The balance sheet is a relative strength: leverage is very low in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) (debt-to-equity ~0.01) and equity remains solid (~$46.6M) versus total assets (~$53.6M). That said, returns on equity are sharply negative in recent periods due to ongoing losses, and equity has declined versus prior years—highlighting continued burn risk if losses persist.
Cash Flow
28
Negative
Cash generation remains pressured, with TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) operating cash flow of about -$32.7M and free cash flow of about -$33.0M. Free cash flow deterioration versus the prior year (negative growth) underscores ongoing funding dependence. A positive note is that cash burn broadly tracks accounting losses (free cash flow roughly in line with net loss), but the absolute level of outflow remains high relative to the current revenue base.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue500.00K0.0010.00M0.0049.21M0.00
Gross Profit95.54K0.007.43M257.44K25.04M-2.05M
EBITDA-43.45M-40.80M-26.06M-39.98M25.49M-203.41M
Net Income-41.51M-43.25M-29.47M-42.12M17.17M-209.83M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets53.60M76.39M66.50M77.41M170.96M86.08M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments48.70M69.80M57.42M68.18M127.52M32.09M
Total Debt397.00K6.43M5.95M15.37M22.66M24.53M
Total Liabilities7.00M15.42M15.96M26.01M51.95M106.55M
Stockholders Equity46.60M60.97M50.54M51.40M119.01M-20.47M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-33.03M-33.53M-21.55M-48.83M-7.79M-38.65M
Operating Cash Flow-32.71M-32.83M-21.13M-48.82M-7.07M-38.62M
Investing Cash Flow-20.00K-699.00K-419.00K1.99M-568.20K2.04M
Financing Cash Flow248.00K46.15M7.97M200.00K104.80M47.34M

Mereo Biopharma Group Plc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.42
Price Trends
50DMA
1.24
Negative
100DMA
1.57
Negative
200DMA
1.87
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.21
Negative
RSI
29.87
Positive
STOCH
10.63
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MREO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.42 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.51, below the 50-day MA of 1.24, and below the 200-day MA of 1.87, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.21 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 29.87 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 10.63 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MREO.

Mereo Biopharma Group Plc Risk Analysis

Mereo Biopharma Group Plc disclosed 73 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Mereo Biopharma Group Plc reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Mereo Biopharma Group Plc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
60
Neutral
$457.41M-5.62-16.72%11.12%-406.76%
60
Neutral
$280.17M4.5275.90%
57
Neutral
$1.26B-13.83-107.79%-52.08%-69.35%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
50
Neutral
$830.95M-5.8612.32%
45
Neutral
$68.81M-1.60-69.98%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MREO
Mereo Biopharma Group Plc
0.41
-2.80
-87.23%
OMER
Omeros
11.51
2.32
25.24%
VNDA
Vanda
7.60
3.07
67.77%
CAPR
Capricor Therapeutics
24.50
10.17
70.97%
ABEO
Abeona Therapeutics
5.08
-0.80
-13.61%

Mereo Biopharma Group Plc Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Mereo BioPharma Issues Corporate Update on Pipeline and Cash
Neutral
Jan 12, 2026

On January 12, 2026, Mereo BioPharma provided a corporate update detailing the status of its rare disease pipeline and financial position. Following Phase 3 Orbit and Cosmic trials in osteogenesis imperfecta that failed to meet primary fracture-reduction endpoints but showed strong gains in bone mineral density and a consistent safety profile, the company has reduced and delayed pre-commercial and manufacturing activities for setrusumab while conducting further data analyses and considering regulatory interactions with partner Ultragenyx. In parallel, Mereo is pushing ahead with partnering talks and key preparations for a single global Phase 3 trial of alvelestat in alpha-1 antitrypsin deficiency-associated lung disease, and highlighted progress on vantictumab, which has been out-licensed to āshibio for autosomal dominant osteopetrosis type 2 with a Phase 2 study planned for the second half of 2026. The company reported approximately $41 million in cash and cash equivalents as of December 31, 2025, and updated its guidance to indicate this balance is expected to fund operations through mid-2027, underscoring tighter cost controls and providing greater visibility for investors as Mereo navigates mixed clinical outcomes and seeks partners to share late-stage development and commercialization risk.

The most recent analyst rating on (MREO) stock is a Hold with a $0.37 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mereo Biopharma Group Plc stock, see the MREO Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Mereo Biopharma Updates Setrusumab Trials and Cost Controls
Negative
Dec 29, 2025

On December 29, 2025, Mereo BioPharma reported that its Phase 3 ORBIT and COSMIC trials of setrusumab (UX143) in pediatric and young adult patients with osteogenesis imperfecta did not meet their primary endpoints of statistically significant reduction in annualized clinical fracture rates versus placebo and bisphosphonates, respectively, although both studies showed strongly significant improvements in bone mineral density and no change in the safety profile. The company said it is conducting further analyses of the data, particularly in the higher-risk pediatric population where bone density gains were associated with a non-significant reduction in fractures, and in response to the outcome it is tightening cost controls, immediately reducing pre-commercial and manufacturing activities for setrusumab, and continuing efforts to extract value from its broader rare-disease portfolio, including ongoing partnering discussions for alvelestat.

The most recent analyst rating on (MREO) stock is a Buy with a $5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mereo Biopharma Group Plc stock, see the MREO Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 30, 2026