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Mereo Biopharma Group Plc (MREO)
NASDAQ:MREO

Mereo Biopharma Group Plc (MREO) AI Stock Analysis

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MREO

Mereo Biopharma Group Plc

(NASDAQ:MREO)

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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
$0.37
▼(-2.11% Downside)
The score is driven primarily by weak financial performance (large losses and cash burn with minimal revenue) and very bearish technical signals (well below major moving averages with negative MACD). A negative Phase 3 trial update further pressures the outlook, while the low leverage balance sheet provides some offsetting support.
Positive Factors
Low leverage / solid equity
Very low debt and meaningful equity provide structural financial flexibility versus peers. This reduces near-term refinancing risk, supports continued R&D or selective partnering negotiations, and gives the company time to pursue value-extraction strategies without immediate solvency pressure.
Partnering-focused business model
A partnering-centric model de-risks capital requirements by enabling upfront, milestone and royalty structures. For a clinical-stage biotech, this increases probability of non-dilutive funding or asset monetization, allowing the company to advance programs without relying solely on product sales.
Positive BMD and safety readouts in Phase 3
Robust, statistically significant bone mineral density gains and a benign safety profile are durable scientific signals. They can underpin focused regulatory discussions, subgroup analyses, or attractive licensing pitches, preserving a pathway to extract value despite primary endpoint miss.
Negative Factors
Phase 3 primary endpoints missed
Failure to achieve primary fracture endpoints materially lowers approval and commercial prospects for setrusumab. This structurally reduces expected future revenues, weakens bargaining power with partners, and forces strategic reprioritization and resource reallocation across the pipeline.
High cash burn
Sustained negative operating and free cash flow at this scale relative to the balance sheet suggests meaningful runway pressure. Over months, continued burn will necessitate partnering, asset sales, or dilutive financing, which can materially alter strategy and ownership if not resolved.
Minimal revenue and large losses
Extremely low recurring revenue versus sizable net losses indicates limited internal cash generation capacity. Absent successful approvals or licensing, the company's earnings visibility is poor, increasing dependence on external funding and raising the risk of program cutbacks or dilution.

Mereo Biopharma Group Plc (MREO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Mereo Biopharma Group Plc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMereo BioPharma Group plc, a biopharmaceutical company, develops and commercializes therapeutics for the treatment of oncology and rare diseases in the United Kingdom and internationally. Its lead product candidate, etigilimab (OMP-313M32), an antibody T-cell immunoreceptor with Ig and ITIM domains, which is in Phase 1b clinical trial for the treatment of tumor. The company is also developing Navicixizumab (OMP-305B83), which has completed Phase 1b clinical trials for the treatment of the late line ovarian cancer; Acumapimod (BCT-197), a p38 MAP kinase inhibitor that is in Phase II clinical trials to treat acute exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; and Leflutrozole (BGS-649), an oral aromatase inhibitor for the treatment of hypogonadotropic hypogonadism. In addition, it develops rare disease product candidates, including Setrusumab (BPS-804), a novel antibody for the treatment of osteogenesis imperfecta; and Alvelestat (MPH-966), an oral small molecule that is in Phase II clinical trial to treat Alpha-1 antitrypsin deficiency. The company has a collaboration with The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center to evaluate anti-TIGIT therapeutic antibody candidate, etigilimab. Mereo BioPharma Group plc was incorporated in 2015 and is based in London, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyMereo BioPharma Group Plc primarily generates revenue through partnerships and collaborations with other pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies. These partnerships often involve licensing agreements, milestone payments, and royalties related to the development and commercialization of its drug candidates. Additionally, the company may receive funding from grants and research collaborations to support its R&D initiatives. By advancing its clinical-stage programs and successfully bringing its therapeutics to market, Mereo aims to create revenue streams through product sales and continued licensing arrangements.

Mereo Biopharma Group Plc Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mereo Biopharma Group Plc's financial statements reflect a typical early-stage biotech profile with high R&D expenses and no revenue generation, leading to significant losses. The balance sheet shows some financial prudence with moderate leverage, and the strong cash position is essential for ongoing operations. However, persistent cash flow issues and negative profit margins pose challenges to long-term sustainability and profitability.
Income Statement
The income statement shows significant challenges with negative revenue growth, declining EBIT and EBITDA margins, and consistent net losses over the years. The gross profit margin is non-existent due to zero revenue in the latest year. The company faces substantial hurdles to profitability, which is common in early-stage biotech firms focusing on research and development.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet indicates a reasonable equity position with a positive equity ratio and manageable debt levels. However, the debt-to-equity ratio has improved over the past year, suggesting cautious leverage management. The company's total assets decreased, which may affect its capacity to invest in future growth. Nonetheless, the financial stability offers a moderate foundation amidst operational challenges.
Cash Flow
Cash flow analysis reveals a negative free cash flow trend, indicating high cash burn typical for biotech firms in development phases. Operating cash flow remains negative, but there is a strong cash position due to past financing activities. The consistency in raising funds is a positive sign for liquidity, yet the dependency on external financing highlights operational sustainability concerns.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue500.00K0.0010.00M0.0049.21M0.00
Gross Profit95.54K0.007.43M257.44K25.04M-2.05M
EBITDA-43.45M-40.80M-26.06M-39.98M25.49M-203.41M
Net Income-41.51M-43.25M-29.47M-42.12M17.17M-209.83M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets53.60M76.39M66.50M77.41M170.96M86.08M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments48.70M69.80M57.42M68.18M127.52M32.09M
Total Debt397.00K6.43M5.95M15.37M22.66M24.53M
Total Liabilities7.00M15.42M15.96M26.01M51.95M106.55M
Stockholders Equity46.60M60.97M50.54M51.40M119.01M-20.47M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-33.03M-33.53M-21.55M-48.83M
Operating Cash Flow-32.71M-32.83M-21.13M-48.82M
Investing Cash Flow-20.00K-699.00K-419.00K1.99M2.04M
Financing Cash Flow248.00K46.15M7.97M200.00K104.80M47.34M

Mereo Biopharma Group Plc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.38
Price Trends
50DMA
1.71
Negative
100DMA
1.79
Negative
200DMA
2.02
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.44
Positive
RSI
25.30
Positive
STOCH
9.03
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MREO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.38 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.46, below the 50-day MA of 1.71, and below the 200-day MA of 2.02, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.44 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 25.30 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 9.03 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MREO.

Mereo Biopharma Group Plc Risk Analysis

Mereo Biopharma Group Plc disclosed 73 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Mereo Biopharma Group Plc reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Mereo Biopharma Group Plc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
60
Neutral
$433.77M-5.13-16.72%11.12%-406.76%
60
Neutral
$275.83M4.3775.90%
57
Neutral
$1.39B-14.20-107.79%-52.08%-69.35%
52
Neutral
$953.61M-6.6712.32%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
44
Neutral
$61.16M-1.46-69.98%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MREO
Mereo Biopharma Group Plc
0.38
-2.96
-88.50%
OMER
Omeros
13.45
4.66
53.01%
VNDA
Vanda
7.34
2.81
62.03%
CAPR
Capricor Therapeutics
25.55
12.83
100.86%
ABEO
Abeona Therapeutics
5.09
-0.52
-9.27%

Mereo Biopharma Group Plc Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Mereo Biopharma Updates Setrusumab Trials and Cost Controls
Negative
Dec 29, 2025

On December 29, 2025, Mereo BioPharma reported that its Phase 3 ORBIT and COSMIC trials of setrusumab (UX143) in pediatric and young adult patients with osteogenesis imperfecta did not meet their primary endpoints of statistically significant reduction in annualized clinical fracture rates versus placebo and bisphosphonates, respectively, although both studies showed strongly significant improvements in bone mineral density and no change in the safety profile. The company said it is conducting further analyses of the data, particularly in the higher-risk pediatric population where bone density gains were associated with a non-significant reduction in fractures, and in response to the outcome it is tightening cost controls, immediately reducing pre-commercial and manufacturing activities for setrusumab, and continuing efforts to extract value from its broader rare-disease portfolio, including ongoing partnering discussions for alvelestat.

The most recent analyst rating on (MREO) stock is a Buy with a $5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mereo Biopharma Group Plc stock, see the MREO Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 09, 2026