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Medtronic (MDT)
NYSE:MDT

Medtronic (MDT) AI Stock Analysis

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MD

Medtronic

(NYSE:MDT)

77Outperform
Medtronic is well-positioned with strong financial health, evidenced by stable revenue growth and efficient cash flow management. Technical analysis presents a mixed outlook with potential resistance levels. The company is fairly valued with a solid dividend yield. Positive earnings call sentiments and strategic corporate changes further enhance the company's outlook, despite some challenges in specific segments.
Positive Factors
Growth Potential
MDT's fundamental pipeline and bull thesis still look intact, indicating strong growth potential.
Product Demand
MDT has successfully scaled up Sphere 9 catheter production and is meeting strong demand by expanding manufacturing capabilities.
Negative Factors
Financial Performance
Net profit margins have fallen from 16.6% to 11.4%.
Market Competition
Medtronic is at risk of losing 50% of its insulin pump market to GLP-1 drugs.

Medtronic (MDT) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Medtronic Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMedtronic plc is a global leader in medical technology, services, and solutions. Headquartered in Dublin, Ireland, and operationally headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota, Medtronic operates in four major segments: Cardiac and Vascular Group, Minimally Invasive Therapies Group, Restorative Therapies Group, and Diabetes Group. The company develops, manufactures, and markets a wide range of medical devices and technologies to treat various chronic diseases and conditions, including cardiovascular diseases, diabetes, and neurological disorders. Medtronic's mission is to alleviate pain, restore health, and extend life, serving healthcare systems, physicians, and patients in over 150 countries worldwide.
How the Company Makes MoneyMedtronic primarily generates revenue through the sale of medical devices and therapies across its four major business segments. The Cardiac and Vascular Group, which includes products for cardiac rhythm disorders, coronary artery disease, heart valves, and peripheral vascular disease, is a significant contributor to the company's revenue. The Minimally Invasive Therapies Group offers surgical solutions, advanced energy products, and patient monitoring systems. The Restorative Therapies Group provides products for spinal surgery, neuromodulation, and neurovascular therapies. The Diabetes Group focuses on insulin pumps and continuous glucose monitoring systems. Medtronic's revenue model is supported by strategic acquisitions, research and development investments, and collaborations with healthcare providers and institutions. Additionally, the company leverages its global distribution network and strong relationships with healthcare professionals to maintain and grow its market share.

Medtronic Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Medtronic demonstrates solid financial health with stable revenue growth, strong profitability, and efficient cash flow management. Despite moderate leverage, the company maintains a robust equity base, ensuring financial stability.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Medtronic shows strong profitability with a stable Gross Profit Margin of 52.8% in TTM. The Net Profit Margin improved to 12.8% in TTM from 11.4% previous year, indicating efficient cost management. Revenue grew by 2.58% in TTM, showcasing steady growth. EBIT and EBITDA margins also improved, reflecting operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a solid financial structure with a Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 0.54, indicating moderate leverage. Return on Equity stands at 8.63%, reflecting decent profitability for shareholders. The Equity Ratio of 54.9% suggests a strong equity base, enhancing financial stability.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 1.71, highlighting robust cash generation relative to net income. Free Cash Flow increased by 5.13% YoY, indicating effective cash management. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 1.28 underscores strong cash flow coverage.
Breakdown
TTMJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
33.20B32.36B31.23B31.69B30.12B28.91B
Gross Profit
20.88B21.15B20.51B21.54B19.63B19.49B
EBIT
6.05B5.14B5.49B5.75B4.48B4.79B
EBITDA
9.39B8.20B8.47B9.55B8.19B7.83B
Net Income Common Stockholders
4.26B3.68B3.76B5.04B3.61B4.79B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
3.54B8.01B7.96B10.57B10.82B10.95B
Total Assets
29.31B89.98B90.95B90.98B93.08B90.69B
Total Debt
10.56B26.05B24.36B24.11B26.39B24.80B
Net Debt
9.31B24.76B22.82B20.40B22.80B20.66B
Total Liabilities
14.49B39.56B39.28B38.26B41.48B39.82B
Stockholders Equity
14.82B50.21B51.48B52.55B51.43B50.74B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
5.47B5.20B4.58B5.98B4.88B6.02B
Operating Cash Flow
7.29B6.79B6.04B7.35B6.24B7.23B
Investing Cash Flow
-2.14B-2.37B-3.49B-1.66B-2.87B-3.20B
Financing Cash Flow
-5.38B-4.45B-4.96B-5.34B-4.14B-4.20B

Medtronic Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price83.15
Price Trends
50DMA
90.04
Negative
100DMA
86.53
Negative
200DMA
85.05
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.49
Positive
RSI
44.69
Neutral
STOCH
28.93
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MDT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 83.15 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 89.23, below the 50-day MA of 90.04, and below the 200-day MA of 85.05, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.49 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.69 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 28.93 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MDT.

Medtronic Risk Analysis

Medtronic disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Medtronic reported the most risks in the “Legal & Regulatory” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Medtronic Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (48)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
BSBSX
78
Outperform
$132.67B71.909.03%17.60%16.84%
SYSYK
78
Outperform
$131.99B44.5515.26%0.95%10.23%-5.74%
MDMDT
77
Outperform
$106.30B25.198.42%3.38%2.72%4.48%
ZBZBH
73
Outperform
$21.37B24.227.24%0.89%3.84%-9.29%
EWEW
68
Neutral
$40.63B28.1717.17%-4.67%6.23%
61
Neutral
$23.38B42.0027.63%11.34%4.24%
48
Neutral
$6.35B1.19-46.87%2.63%17.16%1.34%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MDT
Medtronic
83.15
2.09
2.58%
BSX
Boston Scientific
91.54
22.88
33.32%
DXCM
Dexcom
61.63
-78.82
-56.12%
EW
Edwards Lifesciences
69.00
-24.05
-25.85%
SYK
Stryker
345.34
-2.36
-0.68%
ZBH
Zimmer Biomet Holdings
104.84
-23.42
-18.26%

Medtronic Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 18, 2025 | % Change Since: -9.70% | Next Earnings Date: May 21, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call was largely positive, highlighting strong revenue growth, advancements in key segments, and successful international expansion. However, some challenges in the surgical portfolio and distributor dynamics were noted.
Highlights
Consistent Revenue Growth
Medtronic achieved mid-single-digit revenue growth for the ninth consecutive quarter, with key areas like cardiac ablation solutions growing by 22%.
Strong Performance in Key Segments
Leadless pacing, neuromodulation, and diabetes grew double-digits, while structural heart and U.S. cranial and spinal technologies grew high-single-digits.
EPS Growth and Margin Improvement
The company reported high-single-digit EPS growth ahead of consensus and guidance, with improvements in both gross and operating margins.
Pipeline Advancements
Advancements in innovation with renal denervation and progress in significant markets like diabetes and cardiac ablation solutions.
Successful International Growth
International markets grew 5%, with high-single-digit growth in Japan and emerging markets showing high-single-digit to double-digit growth.
Lowlights
Impact of Distributor Dynamics
A change in U.S. distributor buying patterns adversely affected surgical performance, costing approximately 200 basis points in growth.
Challenges in Medical Surgical Portfolio
Despite international growth, the U.S. surgical portfolio underperformed due to competitive pressures in the stapling franchise.
Peripheral Vascular Decline
Peripheral vascular performance declined due to volatility in China related to value-based procurement (VBP).
Company Guidance
In the fiscal year 2025 third quarter earnings call, Medtronic reported a consistent mid-single-digit revenue growth, marking the ninth consecutive quarter of such performance. The company highlighted a robust 22% growth in its Cardiac Ablation Solutions and double-digit growth in leadless pacing, neuromodulation, and diabetes segments. Structural heart and U.S. cranial and spinal technologies grew high-single-digits. Medtronic's EPS increased by high-single-digits, surpassing both consensus and the higher end of their guidance range. Additionally, the company anticipates further revenue and EPS acceleration in the fourth quarter, driven by its innovative pipeline and expansion into high-potential markets. The strategic focus on disciplined pricing, operating leverage, and strong free cash flow is expected to deliver significant shareholder value.

Medtronic Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Medtronic Announces Leadership Transition in Finance Department
Neutral
Mar 17, 2025

On March 12, 2025, Jennifer M. Kirk, Medtronic’s Global Controller and Principal Accounting Officer, announced her resignation effective May 2, 2025, to become CEO of Exubrion Therapeutics. Denise L. Blomquist, with a 21-year tenure at Medtronic, will succeed her starting March 17, 2025, ensuring a smooth transition and continuity in the company’s financial leadership.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Medtronic Appoints Thierry Pieton as New CFO
Positive
Jan 21, 2025

Medtronic announced the appointment of Thierry Pieton as Chief Financial Officer effective March 3, 2025. Pieton, who will report to CEO Geoff Martha, joins from Renault Group where he was CFO since March 2022. His extensive experience includes roles at Nissan, GE, and PwC, where he demonstrated strong financial leadership and innovation-driven growth, which aligns with Medtronic’s strategic financial goals. The appointment is expected to enhance Medtronic’s financial operations and strategic initiatives, contributing to its mission of transforming healthcare technology.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.