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Mobileye Global, Inc. Class A (MBLY)
NASDAQ:MBLY
US Market

Mobileye Global, Inc. Class A (MBLY) AI Stock Analysis

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MBLY

Mobileye Global, Inc. Class A

(NASDAQ:MBLY)

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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$12.00
▼(-1.96% Downside)
The score is driven primarily by strong balance-sheet quality and solid cash generation, supported by a positive earnings-call update with raised guidance. Offsetting factors are ongoing losses and earnings volatility, a weak longer-term technical trend, and valuation uncertainty from a negative P/E, with incremental event risk from the announced acquisition.
Positive Factors
Balance Sheet Strength
Minimal leverage and a very large equity base provide durable financial flexibility, allowing Mobileye to fund multi-year R&D, absorb auto-cycle volatility, pursue strategic M&A, and support capital-intensive autonomy development without immediate reliance on debt markets.
Cash Generation
Consistent, sizable operating and free cash flow materially de-risks Mobileye's loss-making GAAP results. Reliable cash generation funds ongoing software and chip development, supports OEM programs, and reduces the need for frequent external financing over the medium term.
Large EyeQ6H Program Wins
High-volume OEM nominations for EyeQ6H create durable hardware and software revenue streams, validate Mobileye's technical leadership, and deepen OEM relationships. Scale across millions of vehicles supports long-term product economics, recurring license and data-service opportunities.
Negative Factors
Negative Profitability & Volatility
Sustained negative operating and net margins coupled with volatile results weaken return on invested capital and risk depleting retained earnings. Over months, continued losses could constrain discretionary investment and force trade-offs between growth initiatives and near-term profitability.
Gross-Margin Pressure from Mix & China Pricing
Structural pricing discrepancies in China and higher mix of lower-margin EyeQ5 programs can depress long-run gross margins. Persistent margin compression limits the company's ability to convert scale into durable profits and reduces cushion for R&D and commercialization of autonomy systems.
Acquisition & Governance Risk (Mentee)
The Mentee deal expands capabilities into humanoid robotics but involves related-party dynamics, cash and stock consideration, and approval complexities. Governance and integration risks could distract management, create execution delays, and pose regulatory or tax uncertainties over the next several quarters.

Mobileye Global, Inc. Class A (MBLY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Mobileye Global, Inc. Class A Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMobileye Global Inc. engages in the development and deployment of advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) and autonomous driving technologies and solutions worldwide. The company offers Driver Assist, which comprise ADAS and autonomous vehicle solutions that covers safety features, such as real-time detection of road users, geometry, semantics, and markings to provide safety alerts and emergency interventions; Cloud-Enhanced Driver Assist, a solution for drivers with interpretations of a scene in real-time; Mobileye SuperVision Lite, a driver assist solution; and Mobileye SuperVision, an operational point-to-point assisted driving navigation solution on various road types and includes cloud-based enhancements, such as road experience management and supports over-the-air updates. It also provides Mobileye Chauffeur, a generation solution; and Mobileye Drive, a Level 4 solution, which comprise a set of autonomous driving technology solutions, such as Self-Driving System & Vehicles and Autonomous Mobility as a Service. The company was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Jerusalem, Israel. Mobileye Global Inc. operates as a subsidiary of Intel Overseas Funding Corporation.
How the Company Makes MoneyMobileye generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily by selling its ADAS and autonomous driving technologies to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) in the automotive industry. The company partners with major automakers to integrate its systems into new vehicle models, earning revenue from both the initial sale of hardware and ongoing software licensing agreements. Additionally, Mobileye benefits from data services and mapping solutions that provide valuable insights for its customers. Strategic collaborations with industry leaders and participation in joint ventures further enhance its market reach and revenue potential, allowing the company to capitalize on the growing demand for vehicle automation and safety technologies.

Mobileye Global, Inc. Class A Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Operating Income by Segment
Operating Income by Segment
Shows profitability across various business units, indicating which segments are driving earnings and where there might be challenges.
Chart InsightsMobileye's operating income experienced volatility, with a significant downturn in early 2024, likely due to inventory issues and macroeconomic challenges. However, the latest earnings call reveals a strong recovery, driven by strategic partnerships and design wins, which are expected to bolster future volumes. Despite potential risks from global trade tensions, Mobileye's simplified supply chain and collaborations with major OEMs position it well for sustained growth, as evidenced by the 83% revenue increase in Q1 2025 and optimistic guidance for the upcoming quarters.
Data provided by:The Fly

Mobileye Global, Inc. Class A Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 27, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
Next Earnings Date:Jan 22, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlights significant revenue growth, increased operating cash flow, and strategic advancements in the ADAS and robotaxi markets. Despite some pressure on gross margins due to product mix and pricing challenges in China, the overall business outlook remains strong with increased guidance and successful strategic initiatives.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue and Operating Cash Flow Growth
Q3 revenue of $504 million was up 4% year-over-year, driven by 8% EyeQ volume growth. Operating cash flow was $167 million in Q3, with a year-to-date total of nearly $500 million, up approximately 150% year-over-year.
Increased Full Year Outlook
Raised the midpoint of full year outlook by 2% for revenue and 11% for adjusted operating income. Compared to initial 2025 guidance, these increases are 7% for revenue and 27% for operating income at the midpoint.
Strong Performance in China
Better-than-expected results in China from shipments to Chinese OEMs and top 10 Western OEM customers.
Surround ADAS Program Wins
Received confirmation from a leading Western OEM for a high-volume EyeQ6 high-based surround ADAS program.
Robotaxi Advancements
Successfully completed the first closed-loop testing with the Holon production vehicle. On track to remove safety drivers in the first U.S. city in 2026.
Negative Updates
Gross Margin Pressure
Gross margin declined by just over 100 basis points year-over-year. EyeQ ASP was down about $0.50 year-over-year, primarily due to higher volume of Chinese OEMs where pricing remains a significant headwind.
EyeQ5 Volume Impact
Higher volume of ADAS programs based on EyeQ5, which carry lower gross margin due to higher costs, creating some continued pressure.
Company Guidance
During the Mobileye 3Q 2025 earnings call, the company provided updated guidance indicating strong performance and optimistic projections for the year. Mobileye reported Q3 revenue of $504 million, reflecting a 4% year-over-year increase. EyeQ volume growth was significant at 8%, well ahead of the 1% growth in vehicle production among its top 10 customers. Mobileye's operating cash flow reached $167 million in Q3 and nearly $500 million year-to-date, marking a 150% increase year-over-year. The company raised the midpoint of its full-year 2025 outlook, increasing revenue expectations by 2% and adjusted operating income by 11% compared to prior guidance. Mobileye anticipates its 2025 volumes to exceed initial guidance by about 2 million units, driven by stronger-than-expected launch activity, ADAS adoption growth, and favorable results in China. The company also highlighted its advancements in surround ADAS, with new customer engagements and confirmed nominations from Western OEMs, positioning it well for future growth in the ADAS and autonomy markets.

Mobileye Global, Inc. Class A Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mobileye Global, Inc. demonstrates financial stability with a strong equity base and no debt, but faces significant profitability challenges. Revenue growth is promising, yet the company struggles with operating and net losses. Positive cash flow metrics suggest potential for improvement if operational efficiencies are realized.
Income Statement
Mobileye Global, Inc. has faced challenges in profitability as evidenced by negative EBIT and Net Income over the periods analyzed. The Gross Profit Margin is relatively stable, indicating some control over cost of goods sold, but significant negative EBIT and Net Income indicate heavy operating expenses or other financial burdens. Revenue has shown growth, particularly from 2024 to 2025, suggesting some potential for future profitability if costs can be managed more effectively.
Balance Sheet
The company maintains a strong equity position with a high Equity Ratio and no debt, suggesting financial stability and low leverage risk. However, consistent negative net income impacts Return on Equity adversely. The robust stockholders' equity and lack of debt provide a stable financial base, though translating this stability into profitability remains a challenge.
Cash Flow
Operating cash flows remain positive, showing the company's ability to generate cash from its core operations. Free cash flow is also positive and shows growth, which is a positive sign. However, the Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio indicates that while cash generation is solid, it does not translate into accounting profits, reflecting the challenges seen in the income statement.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.94B1.65B2.08B1.87B1.39B967.00M
Gross Profit943.00M741.00M1.05B922.00M655.00M376.00M
EBITDA176.00M-2.66B529.00M559.00M469.00M-118.00M
Net Income-336.00M-3.09B-27.00M-82.00M-75.00M-196.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets12.48B12.58B15.89B15.44B16.66B16.46B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.75B1.43B1.21B1.02B616.00M85.00M
Total Debt0.0050.00M51.00M0.000.000.00
Total Liabilities545.00M492.00M964.00M647.00M766.00M620.00M
Stockholders Equity11.94B12.09B14.92B14.79B15.89B15.84B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow628.00M319.00M296.00M435.00M456.00M180.00M
Operating Cash Flow693.00M400.00M394.00M546.00M599.00M271.00M
Investing Cash Flow-86.00M-120.00M-98.00M1.19B-157.00M-965.00M
Financing Cash Flow-152.00M-66.00M-100.00M-1.32B91.00M732.00M

Mobileye Global, Inc. Class A Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price12.24
Price Trends
50DMA
11.59
Negative
100DMA
12.96
Negative
200DMA
14.17
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Negative
RSI
50.28
Neutral
STOCH
58.70
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MBLY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 12.24 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.83, above the 50-day MA of 11.59, and below the 200-day MA of 14.17, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.28 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 58.70 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MBLY.

Mobileye Global, Inc. Class A Risk Analysis

Mobileye Global, Inc. Class A disclosed 58 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Mobileye Global, Inc. Class A reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Mobileye Global, Inc. Class A Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$17.85B65.233.25%2.16%-85.91%
62
Neutral
$3.89B60.426.61%43.16%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
61
Neutral
$9.91B-29.59-2.80%7.61%88.66%
50
Neutral
$1.06B-3.19-192.35%89.90%5.13%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MBLY
Mobileye Global, Inc. Class A
12.24
-3.41
-21.79%
APTV
Aptiv
82.15
22.80
38.42%
AEVA
Aeva Technologies
16.99
12.50
278.40%
HSAI
Hesai Group Sponsored ADR
27.08
11.86
77.92%

Mobileye Global, Inc. Class A Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Mobileye to Acquire Mentee Robotics in $900M Deal
Positive
Jan 6, 2026

On January 5, 2026, Mobileye Global Inc. and its Israeli subsidiary Mobileye Vision Technologies Ltd. agreed to acquire 100% of Israeli company Mentee Robotics Ltd. for a total consideration of about $900 million, to be paid in approximately $612 million in cash and up to 26.2 million shares of Mobileye Class A stock, with Intel, as sole Class B shareholder, and a committee of disinterested directors approving the conflicted-party transaction. The deal, which heavily involves Mobileye’s top executives as major Mentee shareholders and beneficiaries, includes escrow, lock-up and deferred stock components tied to continued employment, option conversions into cash and RSUs, and standard closing conditions and termination rights, underscoring Mobileye’s push to expand its technology portfolio while navigating significant related-party and regulatory, tax and execution risks for investors and other stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (MBLY) stock is a Hold with a $13.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mobileye Global, Inc. Class A stock, see the MBLY Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 07, 2026