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Mobileye Global, Inc. Class A (MBLY)
NASDAQ:MBLY
US Market

Mobileye Global, Inc. Class A (MBLY) AI Stock Analysis

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Mobileye Global, Inc. Class A

(NASDAQ:MBLY)

Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
Mobileye Global, Inc.'s overall score reflects a balance of financial stability and growth potential against profitability challenges and valuation concerns. The company's robust revenue growth and strategic partnerships offer promise, but negative earnings and macroeconomic uncertainties temper the outlook. Positive technical indicators suggest potential for short-term gains, but the lack of profitability remains a significant hurdle for long-term valuation improvement.
Positive Factors
Market Position
Mobileye likely has a leading role to play in the emerging robotaxi market.
Technological Advancements
Mobileye announced a zesty win for its imaging radar, which enhances its position in the market.
Negative Factors
Earnings and Financial Performance
There were downward earnings revisions and slow progress in Mobileye's projects, raising market concerns.
Growth Expectations
The slower ramp of SuperVision volumes with Western OEM customers and now the share loss to an in-house solution increase concerns and lower visibility into the earlier anticipated high-growth opportunity for the company.
Market Challenges
Tariffs could drive a 3% to 7% reduction in volumes to its top 10 customers, or approximately 1mm to 2mm units.

Mobileye Global, Inc. Class A (MBLY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Mobileye Global, Inc. Class A Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMobileye Global Inc. engages in the development and deployment of advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) and autonomous driving technologies and solutions worldwide. The company offers Driver Assist, which comprise ADAS and autonomous vehicle solutions that covers safety features, such as real-time detection of road users, geometry, semantics, and markings to provide safety alerts and emergency interventions; Cloud-Enhanced Driver Assist, a solution for drivers with interpretations of a scene in real-time; Mobileye SuperVision Lite, a driver assist solution; and Mobileye SuperVision, an operational point-to-point assisted driving navigation solution on various road types and includes cloud-based enhancements, such as road experience management and supports over-the-air updates. It also provides Mobileye Chauffeur, a generation solution; and Mobileye Drive, a Level 4 solution, which comprise a set of autonomous driving technology solutions, such as Self-Driving System & Vehicles and Autonomous Mobility as a Service. The company was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Jerusalem, Israel. Mobileye Global Inc. operates as a subsidiary of Intel Overseas Funding Corporation.
How the Company Makes MoneyMobileye generates revenue primarily through the sale of its ADAS and autonomous vehicle systems to automotive manufacturers and suppliers. The company's key revenue streams include direct sales of its vision-based platforms and related technologies, as well as licensing its proprietary software and intellectual property to other companies in the automotive industry. Mobileye's strategic partnerships with leading car manufacturers and technology firms also contribute significantly to its earnings. These collaborations often involve joint development projects and long-term supply agreements, which help Mobileye expand its market reach and drive growth in the adoption of its technologies. Additionally, the company's continuous investment in research and development fuels innovation and maintains its competitive edge in the rapidly evolving automotive sector.

Mobileye Global, Inc. Class A Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 24, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 15.45%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 24, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant revenue growth, strategic partnerships, and increased design win activity, indicating strong business momentum. However, macroeconomic uncertainties and potential tariff impacts pose challenges, while OEM decision-making is slower than expected.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Revenue Growth
Revenue was up 83% year over year, with improved operating margins and operating cash flow at $109 million in Q1.
Strong Design Win Activity
Design wins in Q1 reached 85% of all 2024's projected future volumes, indicating robust demand and potential for further growth.
Strategic Partnerships and Innovations
Mobileye's technology is now included in Ford BlueCruise, and a significant partnership with a Korean OEM was announced.
Expansion in Robotaxi Operations
Collaborations with Lyft and Uber for robotaxi services in Dallas and Los Angeles, respectively, leveraging Mobileye Drive technology.
First Design Win in Eight Years with a European OEM
Mobileye achieved its first design win in about eight years with a European OEM, highlighting renewed interest and confidence in Mobileye's offerings.
Negative Updates
Macroeconomic Uncertainties
Global light vehicle production is uncertain due to trade frictions and potential tariff impacts, affecting production volumes and consumer spending.
Slow OEM Decision-Making
OEM decision-making for advanced products like supervision and chauffeur remains slower than anticipated, potentially delaying future revenue streams.
Potential Impact of Tariffs
S&P IHS forecasted a global production deterioration of around 2% for 2025 due to tariffs, potentially reducing IQ unit volumes by 1.1 to 2.2 million units annually.
Company Guidance
During the Mobileye Global Inc. First Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided an optimistic guidance for the upcoming quarters, reflecting strong business recovery and growth. Revenue for Q1 2025 increased by 83% year-over-year, driven by a recovery from the previous year's inventory issues, and operating cash flow reached $109 million. Mobileye expects Q2 volumes to increase by approximately 7%, mirroring a similar rise in revenue. The company acknowledged uncertainties in global light vehicle production due to trade tensions but emphasized that its simplified supply chain should shield it from direct tariff impacts. Despite potential macroeconomic challenges, Mobileye remains confident in staying within its fiscal year 2025 guidance range, supported by brisk design win activities, which already account for 85% of the total projected future volumes achieved in 2024. Additionally, Mobileye's strategic moves towards multicamera ADAS setups and collaborations with major OEMs such as Volkswagen and Ford BlueCruise underpin its long-term growth potential.

Mobileye Global, Inc. Class A Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mobileye Global, Inc. operates with financial stability due to a strong equity base and no debt, but it faces substantial profitability challenges. Revenue growth is promising, yet the company struggles with operating and net losses. Positive cash flow metrics provide a silver lining, suggesting potential for improvement if operational efficiencies are realized. The focus should be on converting this operational cash strength into net profitability to enhance overall financial health.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Mobileye Global, Inc. has faced challenges in profitability as evidenced by negative EBIT and Net Income over the periods analyzed. The Gross Profit Margin is relatively stable, indicating some control over cost of goods sold, but significant negative EBIT and Net Income indicate heavy operating expenses or other financial burdens. Revenue has shown growth, particularly from 2024 to 2025, suggesting some potential for future profitability if costs can be managed more effectively.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The company maintains a strong equity position with a high Equity Ratio and no debt, suggesting financial stability and low leverage risk. However, consistent negative net income impacts Return on Equity adversely. The robust stockholders' equity and lack of debt provide a stable financial base, though translating this stability into profitability remains a challenge.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Operating cash flows remain positive, showing the company's ability to generate cash from its core operations. Free cash flow is also positive and shows growth, which is a positive sign. However, the Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio indicates that while cash generation is solid, it does not translate into accounting profits, reflecting the challenges seen in the income statement.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.85B1.65B2.08B1.87B1.39B967.00M
Gross Profit
894.00M741.00M1.05B922.00M655.00M376.00M
EBIT
-3.10B-3.23B-33.00M-8.00M-57.00M-212.00M
EBITDA
-2.69B-2.66B529.00M559.00M469.00M251.00M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-2.97B-3.09B-27.00M-82.00M-75.00M-196.00M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
1.51B1.43B1.21B1.02B616.00M85.00M
Total Assets
12.50B12.58B15.58B15.44B16.66B16.46B
Total Debt
0.000.0051.00M58.00M12.00M0.00
Net Debt
-1.51B-1.43B-1.16B-966.00M-604.00M-85.00M
Total Liabilities
449.00M492.00M653.00M647.00M766.00M620.00M
Stockholders Equity
12.05B12.09B14.92B14.79B15.89B15.84B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
396.00M319.00M296.00M435.00M456.00M180.00M
Operating Cash Flow
469.00M400.00M394.00M546.00M599.00M271.00M
Investing Cash Flow
-123.00M-120.00M-98.00M1.19B-157.00M-965.00M
Financing Cash Flow
-58.94M-66.00M-100.00M-1.32B91.00M732.00M

Mobileye Global, Inc. Class A Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price15.24
Price Trends
50DMA
15.01
Positive
100DMA
15.47
Negative
200DMA
15.35
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.18
Positive
RSI
43.63
Neutral
STOCH
18.65
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MBLY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 15.24 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 16.16, above the 50-day MA of 15.01, and below the 200-day MA of 15.35, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.18 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.63 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 18.65 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MBLY.

Mobileye Global, Inc. Class A Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$15.17B11.1415.52%-2.47%-43.12%
BWBWA
76
Outperform
$7.33B26.595.38%1.32%-8.22%-52.61%
65
Neutral
$2.79B-0.30%23.48%97.67%
62
Neutral
$6.90B11.052.80%4.27%2.67%-24.92%
62
Neutral
$1.30B-113.70%95.90%10.38%
61
Neutral
$12.89B-22.18%-0.38%-1681.25%
QSQS
46
Neutral
$2.58B-39.86%6.49%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MBLY
Mobileye Global, Inc. Class A
15.24
-12.36
-44.78%
BWA
BorgWarner
33.07
0.33
1.01%
APTV
Aptiv
67.25
-3.70
-5.21%
AEVA
Aeva Technologies
23.06
20.30
735.51%
QS
QuantumScape
4.34
-0.75
-14.73%
HSAI
Hesai Group Sponsored ADR
20.07
15.36
326.11%

Mobileye Global, Inc. Class A Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Christine Pambianchi Resigns from Mobileye Board
Neutral
Apr 3, 2025

On April 2, 2025, Christine Pambianchi announced her resignation from Mobileye Global Inc.’s board of directors, effective April 25, 2025, following her departure from Intel Corporation, the controlling shareholder. Her resignation was not due to any disagreements with Mobileye’s operations or policies.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.