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Mobileye Global, Inc. Class A (MBLY)
NASDAQ:MBLY
US Market

Mobileye Global, Inc. Class A (MBLY) AI Stock Analysis

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MBLY

Mobileye Global, Inc. Class A

(NASDAQ:MBLY)

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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$11.00
▲(9.13% Upside)
The score is supported mainly by strong balance-sheet flexibility and positive free cash flow, plus constructive earnings-call momentum and product wins. It is held back by weak/volatile profitability and a bearish technical trend, with limited valuation support due to a negative P/E and no dividend.
Positive Factors
Balance Sheet Strength
Mobileye’s essentially debt-free balance sheet provides lasting financial flexibility to fund R&D, absorb industry cyclicality, and execute strategic deals. Low leverage materially reduces solvency risk and preserves optionality for capex, tooling or opportunistic M&A over the next 2–6 months and beyond.
Consistent Cash Generation
Sustained operating and free cash flow despite accounting losses underpins internal funding for product development and commercialization. Reliable cash conversion supports continued investment in IQ roadmap and robotics, lowering reliance on external financing and strengthening medium-term financial resilience.
Product Leadership & OEM Wins
Significant design wins (IQ6, Surround ADAS) with top OEMs and a large installed IQ base create durable competitive advantages. Scale and OEM relationships support sticky licensing and recurring revenue, improving long-run unit economics and positioning Mobileye to capture growing ADAS content per vehicle.
Negative Factors
Persistent Profitability Volatility
Continued net losses and volatile profitability limit return metrics and indicate reliance on adjusted results. Until GAAP profitability is consistent, ROE and retained-earnings reinvestment remain constrained, increasing sensitivity to cost or demand shocks and weakening long-term shareholder value creation.
Gross-Margin Pressure from Mix/Dual-Chip
OEM programs requiring dual chips and adverse vehicle mix structurally reduce per-chip ASPs and compress gross margins. These product-level economics are durable across program lifecycles and may cap operating margins and free cash flow unless offset by cost reductions or higher-value content.
Acquisition & Related-Party Risk (Mentee)
The ~$900M Mentee deal adds execution, integration and governance risk given insider ties and contingent stock/cash structure. It increases near-term OpEx and complicates accounting/GAAP metrics; failure to integrate or regulatory pushback could impair returns and heighten investor scrutiny over the medium term.

Mobileye Global, Inc. Class A (MBLY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Mobileye Global, Inc. Class A Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMobileye Global Inc. engages in the development and deployment of advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) and autonomous driving technologies and solutions worldwide. The company offers Driver Assist, which comprise ADAS and autonomous vehicle solutions that covers safety features, such as real-time detection of road users, geometry, semantics, and markings to provide safety alerts and emergency interventions; Cloud-Enhanced Driver Assist, a solution for drivers with interpretations of a scene in real-time; Mobileye SuperVision Lite, a driver assist solution; and Mobileye SuperVision, an operational point-to-point assisted driving navigation solution on various road types and includes cloud-based enhancements, such as road experience management and supports over-the-air updates. It also provides Mobileye Chauffeur, a generation solution; and Mobileye Drive, a Level 4 solution, which comprise a set of autonomous driving technology solutions, such as Self-Driving System & Vehicles and Autonomous Mobility as a Service. The company was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Jerusalem, Israel. Mobileye Global Inc. operates as a subsidiary of Intel Overseas Funding Corporation.
How the Company Makes MoneyMobileye generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily by selling its ADAS and autonomous driving technologies to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) in the automotive industry. The company partners with major automakers to integrate its systems into new vehicle models, earning revenue from both the initial sale of hardware and ongoing software licensing agreements. Additionally, Mobileye benefits from data services and mapping solutions that provide valuable insights for its customers. Strategic collaborations with industry leaders and participation in joint ventures further enhance its market reach and revenue potential, allowing the company to capitalize on the growing demand for vehicle automation and safety technologies.

Mobileye Global, Inc. Class A Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
EyeQ and SuperVision Revenue
EyeQ and SuperVision Revenue
Tracks sales from key product lines, reflecting the success and market acceptance of these technologies in the automotive sector.
Chart InsightsMobileye's EyeQ and SuperVision revenue shows a volatile trend with a notable dip in early 2024, but recent quarters indicate recovery. The latest earnings call highlights a 15% year-over-year revenue increase and raised full-year outlook, driven by strong demand and strategic partnerships with OEMs like Volkswagen. However, gross margin pressures and a cautious Q4 outlook suggest potential challenges. The company's advanced product success and increased supervision volumes position it well for future growth, but competitive pressures remain a concern for sustained momentum.
Data provided by:The Fly

Mobileye Global, Inc. Class A Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 22, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed a decidedly positive operational and financial performance for 2025 — with double-digit revenue growth, markedly higher adjusted operating profit and strong cash flow — and highlighted important product wins (IQ6, Surround ADAS) and strategic moves (Menti acquisition) that position the company for long-term growth. Notable near-term headwinds include guidance that is conservative for 2026 (flattish to +5% revenue), expected gross margin pressure from mix and generational cost dynamics, FX exposure from shekel appreciation, supply-chain memory volatility, and incremental OpEx from Menti R&D. Overall, the positives (strong topline/earnings growth, product design wins, technology advances and customer demand signals) outweigh the manageable near-term challenges.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth Exceeds Guidance
Full-year 2025 revenue was $1.9 billion, up 15% year-over-year and slightly above the high end of prior guidance.
Strong Profitability and Cash Generation
Full-year adjusted operating income was $280 million, up 45% year-over-year; adjusted operating margin improved to 15% (up ~300 basis points). Operating cash flow increased by more than 50%.
Robust IQ Volume
2025 IQ volume reached 35.6 million units (above prior expectation of 32–34M). Company sees ~9M units per quarter trend and expects ~10M IQ units in Q1 2026 (supporting ~19% YoY growth in Q1). Full-year 2026 midpoint assumes slightly above 37M units.
Major Product Wins for Next-Gen ADAS
IQ6 high-chip won first two major programs with two of the largest OEMs (including Volkswagen), and Surround ADAS is positioned for high-volume integration across major vehicle categories.
Robotaxi / Drive Momentum with Volkswagen & Moya
Partnerships and Waymo commercialization are cited as proof points; Volkswagen ecosystem expansion to an expected 100,000 units by 2033 and planned commercialization in six cities (including LA) in 2027—targeting thousands of vehicles across launch cities.
Technology Innovations Accelerating AV and Robotics
Introduced artificial community intelligence (ACI) for planning, sim-to-wheel transfer techniques, and a fast-think/slow-think VLM architecture to improve precision, scalability and teleoperator replacement potential.
Strategic Acquisition of Menti Robotics
Acquisition adds a vertically integrated humanoid robotics platform with continuous passive learning, expected customer POCs (high double digits in 2026), and commercialization roadmap toward 2028 with synergies to Mobileye simulation and VLM tech.
Order & Inventory Signals
Customer order flows increased late in 2025; Tier-one customer inventories ended 2025 extremely low, implying potential replenishment and near-term upside to shipments.
Negative Updates
Gross Margin Pressure Guidance
Company expects gross margin to be down somewhat year-over-year in 2026 driven by continuation of IQ5-related cost savings dynamics, vehicle mix headwinds, and a dual-chip program impact.
Conservative 2026 Revenue Growth Outlook
2026 revenue guidance of $1.9B–$1.98B implies flattish to ~5% growth, reflecting a more conservative posture despite recent demand signals.
FX Headwind from Shekel Appreciation
Appreciation of the Israeli shekel (noted ~10–12% year) increases payroll/headcount costs in USD; company is >50% hedged for 2026 but still expects a meaningful FX headwind partially offset by workforce efficiency initiatives.
Temporary Nonrecurring Costs
Q4 included a $7 million nonrecurring expense related to workforce efficiency/terminations that modestly affected results for the quarter.
China OEM Volume Uncertainty
Company expects Chinese OEM volume to decline by ~0.5 million units in 2026 versus 2025 (2025 was a bit above 3 million); short-term visibility into China order flow is limited.
Mix & ASP Impact from Dual-Chip Program
A new OEM program requiring two IQ4 chips per car increases gross profit dollars per vehicle but lowers average selling price and gross margin on a per-chip basis; estimated mix impact ~ $0.80 year-on-year per vehicle on ASP/gross margin metrics.
Supply-Chain Risk: Memory Volatility
Memory availability/pricing has become a broader automotive concern; Mobileye sees indirect exposure via tier-one suppliers and is monitoring and mitigating, but supply or pricing volatility could pose upside risk to costs or production timing.
Advanced Products Not Material to 2026 Guidance
Drive/robotaxi revenue (including Porsche/Audi supervision/volumes) is not expected to contribute meaningfully to 2026 guidance; some program timing shifted modestly into early 2027.
Company Guidance
The company reiterated 2026 guidance for revenue of $1.90–$1.98 billion (flattish to +5% yr/yr) with IQ unit volume at slightly above 37 million for the year (10 million in Q1 and then a bit over 9 million per quarter), noting Q1 IQ shipments of ~10M support ~19% year‑over‑year growth in Q1; 2025 results to frame this include revenue of $1.9B (+15% YoY), adjusted operating income of $280M (+45% YoY) and a 15% adjusted operating margin (+~300 bps), operating cash flow up >50%, and 2025 IQ volume of 35.6M (vs prior 32–34M guidance) with Q4 IQ ~8.2M (and a $7M one‑time workforce expense in Q4). The 2026 outlook assumes top‑10 customer production down ~2% while Mobileye volume with them is up ~6% at the midpoint (including ~700k units for a dual‑IQ4 program), a ~0.5M unit decline vs 2025 for China OEM (~3M in 2025), somewhat lower gross margin driven by continued IQ5 cost saves, mix and the dual‑chip impact, and operating expenses rising to ~ $1.1B (+~10% vs 2025, roughly +5% underlying inflation plus Menti R&D), with FX/shekel headwinds largely partially offset by workforce efficiencies and payroll hedges covering >50% of 2026 exposure.

Mobileye Global, Inc. Class A Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mixed fundamentals: a very strong, near-zero-debt balance sheet (high solvency flexibility) and consistently positive operating/free cash flow support resilience, but the income statement remains the key overhang with recent revenue softness and meaningfully negative net profitability (despite improvement from 2024 to 2025).
Income Statement
46
Neutral
Revenue has been volatile, with strong growth in 2021–2022 but declines in 2024–2025 (down ~0.2% and ~2.3%). Gross margin has remained relatively resilient (~45–50%), but profitability is the key weakness: net margins were deeply negative in 2024 (driven by a very large loss) and remained meaningfully negative in 2025. The sharp improvement from 2024 to 2025 is a positive trajectory, but the business is still not consistently profitable.
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
The balance sheet is a clear strength, with essentially no leverage (debt-to-equity near zero and total debt at or near $0–$51M against ~$11.9B–$15.9B of equity across the period). This provides significant financial flexibility and lowers solvency risk. The main weakness is weak returns on equity due to net losses (ROE negative across all years, especially in 2024).
Cash Flow
74
Positive
Cash generation is solid despite accounting losses: operating cash flow has been positive every year shown and reached ~$602M in 2025, with free cash flow also positive (~$523M in 2025). Cash conversion looks healthy with operating cash flow exceeding net income in loss years (coverage above 1.0 in 2021, 2022, 2024, and 2025). The key watch-outs are volatility and a recent decline in free cash flow in 2025 (down ~16.7% year over year), following prior swings.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.89B1.65B2.08B1.87B1.39B
Gross Profit904.00M741.00M1.05B922.00M655.00M
EBITDA140.00M-2.66B529.00M559.00M469.00M
Net Income-392.00M-3.09B-27.00M-82.00M-75.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets12.49B12.58B15.89B15.44B16.66B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.84B1.43B1.21B1.02B616.00M
Total Debt0.0050.00M51.00M0.000.00
Total Liabilities611.00M492.00M964.00M647.00M766.00M
Stockholders Equity11.88B12.09B14.92B14.79B15.89B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow523.00M319.00M296.00M435.00M456.00M
Operating Cash Flow602.00M400.00M394.00M546.00M599.00M
Investing Cash Flow-91.00M-120.00M-98.00M1.19B-157.00M
Financing Cash Flow-106.00M-66.00M-100.00M-1.32B91.00M

Mobileye Global, Inc. Class A Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price10.08
Price Trends
50DMA
11.07
Negative
100DMA
12.57
Negative
200DMA
13.93
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.27
Positive
RSI
40.93
Neutral
STOCH
16.15
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MBLY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 10.08 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.91, below the 50-day MA of 11.07, and below the 200-day MA of 13.93, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.27 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.93 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 16.15 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MBLY.

Mobileye Global, Inc. Class A Risk Analysis

Mobileye Global, Inc. Class A disclosed 58 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Mobileye Global, Inc. Class A reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Mobileye Global, Inc. Class A Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$16.65B61.943.25%2.16%-85.91%
62
Neutral
$4.39B57.726.61%43.16%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
61
Neutral
$8.26B-20.91-3.27%7.61%88.66%
50
Neutral
$861.55M-2.69-192.35%89.90%5.13%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MBLY
Mobileye Global, Inc. Class A
10.08
-5.93
-37.04%
APTV
Aptiv
78.01
15.33
24.46%
AEVA
Aeva Technologies
14.35
10.24
249.15%
HSAI
Hesai Group Sponsored ADR
25.87
10.60
69.42%

Mobileye Global, Inc. Class A Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Mobileye to Acquire Mentee Robotics in $900M Deal
Positive
Jan 6, 2026

On January 5, 2026, Mobileye Global Inc. and its Israeli subsidiary Mobileye Vision Technologies Ltd. agreed to acquire 100% of Israeli company Mentee Robotics Ltd. for a total consideration of about $900 million, to be paid in approximately $612 million in cash and up to 26.2 million shares of Mobileye Class A stock, with Intel, as sole Class B shareholder, and a committee of disinterested directors approving the conflicted-party transaction. The deal, which heavily involves Mobileye’s top executives as major Mentee shareholders and beneficiaries, includes escrow, lock-up and deferred stock components tied to continued employment, option conversions into cash and RSUs, and standard closing conditions and termination rights, underscoring Mobileye’s push to expand its technology portfolio while navigating significant related-party and regulatory, tax and execution risks for investors and other stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (MBLY) stock is a Hold with a $13.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mobileye Global, Inc. Class A stock, see the MBLY Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 23, 2026