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Luminar Media Group Inc (LRGR)
OTHER OTC:LRGR
US Market

Luminar Media Group (LRGR) AI Stock Analysis

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LRGR

Luminar Media Group

(OTC:LRGR)

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Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
$0.74
▼(-3.77% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/03/26
The score is held back primarily by weak cash generation (negative operating and free cash flow despite reported profitability) and some balance-sheet leverage risk. These are partly offset by strong recent reported margins/revenue growth and a technically constructive uptrend, while valuation remains demanding with a high P/E and no dividend yield provided.
Positive Factors
High margins & revenue growth
Sustained high gross and operating margins alongside strong revenue growth indicate a scalable, high‑margin business model with pricing leverage and low variable costs. Over several quarters this supports durable profitability if customer retention and incremental sales persist.
Improved balance sheet
Restoring positive equity materially reduces solvency risk and improves financial flexibility. A stronger balance sheet supports capital formation, lowers short‑term default risk, and gives management runway to execute multi‑quarter growth plans or raise capital on better terms.
High trailing ROE
A very high trailing ROE implies efficient use of limited equity capital and strong conversion of earnings to shareholder value. If maintained through consistent operations, high ROE supports attractive long‑term returns and efficient reinvestment of cash into growth initiatives.
Negative Factors
Weak cash conversion
Negative operating and free cash flow despite reported net income signals poor earnings quality and cash conversion. Over months this forces reliance on external financing, increases dilution or debt risk, and constrains the company’s ability to self‑fund growth or absorb shocks.
Rising leverage / small asset base
Higher leverage combined with a modest asset base raises financial fragility: a smaller cushion amplifies operational shocks and debt servicing demands. This limits strategic flexibility and heightens refinancing and default risk if cash flows do not improve within quarters.
Profitability volatility / prior losses
A sharp step‑up in profitability after multi‑year losses suggests earnings may be cyclical or one‑off rather than structurally entrenched. Such volatility complicates forecasting and reduces confidence that current margins will persist absent clear, durable operational or market shifts.

Luminar Media Group (LRGR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Luminar Media Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLuminar Media Group, Inc., a development stage company, focuses on providing professional services to the music recording industry in the United States. It engages in the production of recordings; management of the manufacture of CDs and Internet uploading of music files; and management of the manufacture of promotional merchandise, such as T-shirts and caps. The company was formerly known as Golden Edge Entertainment, Inc. and change its name to Luminar Media Group, Inc. in August 2016. Luminar Media Group, Inc. was founded in 2010 and is based in Toronto, Canada.
How the Company Makes Money

Luminar Media Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement shows a strong TTM turnaround with high margins and ~42% revenue growth, but cash flow is a major red flag with negative operating and free cash flow (~-$2.0M) that does not match reported profitability. Balance sheet is improved with positive equity, though leverage has risen, adding funding and durability risk if cash conversion doesn’t improve.
Income Statement
74
Positive
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) shows a sharp step-up in scale and profitability: revenue of ~$6.3M with strong gross margin (~77.7%) and solid operating profitability (EBIT margin ~44.3%), translating to a healthy net margin (~29.2%). Growth is also very strong (revenue growth ~42%). The key weakness is volatility versus prior annual periods, where 2024 and earlier were loss-making with negative margins, suggesting the current profitability may be less proven and potentially less stable.
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
The balance sheet improved meaningfully versus earlier years (which showed negative equity), with TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) stockholders’ equity of ~$3.7M against total debt of ~$2.7M (debt-to-equity ~0.73). That said, leverage has risen versus 2024 (debt-to-equity ~0.42), and the business has a relatively small asset base (~$7.4M), which can increase sensitivity to operating swings. Return on equity is very high in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), but given the sharp turnaround from prior losses, it may reflect a rebound effect rather than a long-running, steady return profile.
Cash Flow
28
Negative
Cash generation is the weakest area: TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) operating cash flow is negative (~-$2.0M) and free cash flow is also negative (~-$2.0M), with free cash flow declining versus the prior period (growth ~-24.9%). This is a notable mismatch against reported profitability (positive net income in TTM), indicating earnings are not currently converting into cash and the company may require external funding or balance-sheet capacity to sustain operations and growth.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.27M881.63K45.30K42.99K0.000.00
Gross Profit4.87M0.00-35.06K42.99K0.000.00
EBITDA2.79M-338.00K7.89K-30.52K158.84K48.30K
Net Income1.83M-251.00K-212.00K-273.00K-95.55K-169.00K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets7.40M3.18M368.00K33.68K779.0081.58K
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments540.98K590.36K16.12K19.00K0.000.00
Total Debt2.72M679.08K406.49K299.85K165.25K170.25K
Total Liabilities2.78M1.72M525.85K569.49K201.17K202.76K
Stockholders Equity3.71M1.63M-157.84K-535.81K-200.39K-121.18K
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.98M-1.97M-576.78K-53.42K0.00-140.25K
Operating Cash Flow-1.97M-1.97M-576.78K-53.42K0.00-140.25K
Investing Cash Flow-224.32K0.000.000.000.000.00
Financing Cash Flow2.22M2.56M573.89K72.42K0.00140.25K

Luminar Media Group Risk Analysis

Luminar Media Group disclosed 11 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Luminar Media Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Luminar Media Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
64
Neutral
$494.13M-4.10-57.08%133.20%-253.98%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
60
Neutral
$28.65M34.02
45
Neutral
$570.97M-3.09-221.24%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LRGR
Luminar Media Group
0.58
0.46
380.83%
ANGX
Angel Studios Inc Class A
3.51
-7.69
-68.66%
FUSE
Fusemachines
1.38
-10.43
-88.31%
KWM
K WAVE MEDIA
0.75
-5.16
-87.36%
UMAC
Unusual Machines Inc.
13.44
5.07
60.57%
RFAI
RF Acquisition Corp II
10.87
0.55
5.33%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 03, 2026