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Loar Holdings Inc. (LOAR)
NYSE:LOAR
US Market

Loar Holdings Inc. (LOAR) AI Stock Analysis

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LOAR

Loar Holdings Inc.

(NYSE:LOAR)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$69.00
▲(4.66% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/13/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (improving margins, sharply reduced leverage, and materially better free cash flow) and supportive forward guidance from the earnings call. These positives are tempered by weak technical trend signals and a very high P/E valuation, which increases downside risk if growth or margin execution disappoints.
Positive Factors
Margin Expansion
Sustained margin expansion across gross, operating and EBITDA levels indicates durable improvements in pricing, cost structure and mix (aftermarket/OEM/defense). Higher margins amplify cash flow and provide a buffer if revenue growth softens, supporting reinvestment and resilience.
Material Deleveraging
Sharp reduction of debt to nominal levels materially lowers financial risk and interest burden, increasing balance-sheet flexibility. This de-risking gives management capacity to invest, pursue bolt-on M&A or withstand cyclical downturns without immediate refinancing pressure.
Strong Cash Generation
High operating cash flow and FCF close to net income demonstrate strong cash conversion and earnings quality. Reliable FCF supports capex, deleveraging, and funded acquisitions, improving long-term funding options and lowering reliance on external capital.
Negative Factors
Modest Top-line Growth
Modest TTM revenue growth limits the company’s ability to scale earnings organically and increases reliance on margin expansion and acquisitions to meet investor expectations. If margin gains reverse or M&A disappoints, earnings growth could stall despite improved profitability metrics.
Acquisition Financing & Integration Risk
Large incremental borrowings to fund the LMB acquisition raise financing and integration risk: assumed debt and elevated leverage could pressure interest costs and covenants if synergies lag. Successful integration is necessary to justify the strategic expansion into fans/motors.
Cash-Flow Volatility
Pronounced year-to-year cash-flow swings suggest working-capital or cyclical volatility that reduces predictability of FCF. Variable cash conversion complicates capital allocation, makes servicing new acquisition-related debt risker, and raises sensitivity to demand cycles.

Loar Holdings Inc. (LOAR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Loar Holdings Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLoar Holdings, Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of niche aerospace and defense components for aircraft, aerospace and defense systems. The company was founded on August 21, 2017 and is headquartered in White Plains, NY.
How the Company Makes Moneynull

Loar Holdings Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials show a clear inflection: profitability and margins improved meaningfully (TTM net margin ~13%, operating margin ~21%), leverage was dramatically reduced (debt down to ~14M), and cash generation strengthened with strong free cash flow relative to net income (~90%). Key watch items are modest TTM revenue growth (~4.5%) and potential cash-flow volatility after large multi-year swings.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Profitability improved meaningfully: TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) net margin is ~13% versus ~6% in 2024 and losses in 2022–2023, while gross margin has remained strong and steady (~47–50%). Operating profitability is also solid with TTM operating margin ~21% and EBITDA margin ~31%. The main offset is that the reported revenue growth rate in TTM is modest (~4.5%) versus stronger growth in earlier years, suggesting the growth trajectory has cooled even as margins expanded.
Balance Sheet
86
Very Positive
Leverage has materially de-risked: total debt dropped sharply from ~545M (2023) and ~286M (2024) to ~14M in TTM, with low debt relative to equity (debt-to-equity ~0.25). Equity has expanded substantially and the return on equity improved to ~5.6% in TTM from ~2.0% in 2024 and negative in 2022–2023. The key watch item is that returns are improving but still moderate for the asset base, implying execution needs to remain strong to sustain higher profitability.
Cash Flow
84
Very Positive
Cash generation strengthened significantly: TTM operating cash flow (~112M) and free cash flow (~99M) are well above 2024 levels, and free cash flow is close to net income (about 90%), indicating earnings quality is generally good. Cash conversion has also improved versus the weak 2022–2023 period when free cash flow was minimal. A potential risk is volatility across years (very weak 2023, then sharp rebound), which may reflect working-capital swings or normalization effects that warrant monitoring.
BreakdownDec 2025Mar 2025Dec 2023Dec 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue496.28M402.82M317.48M239.43M
Gross Profit261.32M198.82M154.26M111.50M
EBITDA157.24M124.24M107.52M73.42M
Net Income72.15M22.23M-4.62M-2.47M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.03B1.45B1.05B994.52M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments84.83M54.07M21.49M35.50M
Total Debt13.96M286.43M545.48M496.44M
Total Liabilities855.12M362.11M632.30M572.55M
Stockholders Equity1.17B1.09B418.14M421.97M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow99.26M46.10M679.00K5.34M
Operating Cash Flow112.28M54.97M12.81M13.27M
Investing Cash Flow-520.88M-392.13M-72.56M-181.83M
Financing Cash Flow439.23M370.02M45.72M135.31M

Loar Holdings Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price65.93
Price Trends
50DMA
69.05
Negative
100DMA
69.91
Negative
200DMA
73.97
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.52
Positive
RSI
44.64
Neutral
STOCH
26.58
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LOAR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 65.93 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 68.43, below the 50-day MA of 69.05, and below the 200-day MA of 73.97, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.52 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.64 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 26.58 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for LOAR.

Loar Holdings Inc. Risk Analysis

Loar Holdings Inc. disclosed 49 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Loar Holdings Inc. reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Loar Holdings Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$6.17B88.226.31%25.38%237.96%
67
Neutral
$6.74B42.262.18%
67
Neutral
$13.77B312.463.55%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
58
Neutral
$6.14B53.707.41%0.89%-0.37%-34.97%
55
Neutral
$4.88B-73.03-2.08%8.63%72.72%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LOAR
Loar Holdings Inc.
65.93
-0.50
-0.75%
HXL
Hexcel
80.96
23.73
41.46%
MRCY
Mercury Systems
81.35
35.01
75.55%
AMTM
Amentum Holdings, Inc.
27.65
8.62
45.30%
KRMN
Karman Holdings Inc.
104.06
66.98
180.64%

Loar Holdings Inc. Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Loar Holdings Secures Loan and Completes LMB Acquisition
Positive
Dec 29, 2025

On December 23, 2025, Loar Holdings Inc. amended its existing credit agreement to secure a $445 million incremental term loan, providing financing to support its acquisition strategy, cover related fees and expenses, and fund working capital and general corporate purposes. On the same date, Loar Group completed the previously announced acquisition of LMB, paying $367 million in cash plus the assumption of net debt, with the transaction financed through cash on hand and borrowings under the amended credit agreement, marking a significant expansion of Loar’s capabilities in high-performance fans and motors and strengthening its position in specialized aerospace and industrial components; the company publicly announced the closing of the deal in a press release issued on December 26, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (LOAR) stock is a Buy with a $83.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Loar Holdings Inc. stock, see the LOAR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 13, 2026