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Curtiss-Wright (CW)
NYSE:CW

Curtiss-Wright (CW) AI Stock Analysis

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CW

Curtiss-Wright

(NYSE:CW)

75Outperform
Curtiss-Wright exhibits strong financial performance and a positive earnings outlook, supported by strategic acquisitions and a robust order book. However, valuation concerns and technical resistance suggest caution. The stock's overall score reflects its strengths in financial growth and positive market sentiment but is tempered by valuation and technical analysis considerations.
Positive Factors
Earnings
Curtiss-Wright reported adjusted EPS of $3.27, which was above consensus by 6% and above internal estimates by 5%.
Financial Performance
The company's 2025 outlook is largely ahead of consensus with expected sales around $3.36 billion at the midpoint and EPS of about $12.25.
Negative Factors
Stock Performance
Both the 4Q24 print and the 2025 guidance came in ahead of sell-side consensus which wasn't enough for investors with the stock down 1% yesterday and down another 4% today (vs. S&P500 up 1% and flat).
Valuation
Valuation keeps analysts on the sidelines, as significant multiple expansion may be normalizing with investor realization that this is going to take a while.

Curtiss-Wright (CW) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Curtiss-Wright Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCurtiss-Wright Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides engineered products, solutions, and services to the aerospace, defense, general industrial, and power generation markets worldwide. worldwide. It operates through three segments: Aerospace & Industrial, Defense Electronics, and Naval & Power. The Aerospace & Industrial segment offers industrial vehicle products, such as electronic throttle control devices, joysticks, and transmission shifters; sensors, controls and electro-mechanical actuation components used in commercial and military aircraft; and surface technology services, including shot peening, laser peening, and coatings. The Defense Electronics segment provides commercial off-the-shelf embedded computing board-level modules, data acquisition and flight test instrumentation equipment, integrated subsystems, instrumentation and control systems, turret aiming and stabilization products, and weapons handling systems; avionics and electronics; flight test equipment; and aircraft data management solutions. The Naval & Power segment offers hardware, pumps, pump seals, control rod drive mechanisms, valves, fastening systems, specialized containment doors, airlock hatches, spent fuel management products, and fluid sealing products for nuclear power plants and nuclear equipment manufacturers; and naval propulsion and auxiliary equipment, including coolant pumps, power-dense compact motors, generators, steam turbines, valves, and secondary propulsion systems, as well as ship repair and maintenance services primarily to the U.S. navy. Curtiss-Wright Corporation was founded in 1929 and is headquartered in Davidson, North Carolina.
How the Company Makes MoneyCurtiss-Wright makes money through a multi-faceted revenue model that includes the sale of high-performance, engineered products and services across its three major segments. The Commercial/Industrial segment generates revenue by providing motion control solutions and specialized sensors for industries such as automotive, aerospace, and industrial automation. The Defense segment earns revenue by supplying integrated electronic systems, control systems, and other critical components for military applications. The Power segment contributes to earnings by offering products and services for nuclear and fossil power generation, including valves, pumps, and control technologies. Significant partnerships with major defense contractors and industrial companies, as well as government contracts, further bolster Curtiss-Wright's revenue streams.

Curtiss-Wright Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Curtiss-Wright demonstrates strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth, robust profit margins, and effective cash flow generation. The company maintains a healthy balance sheet with moderate leverage, though the rising debt levels should be monitored. The Aerospace & Defense industry context favors the company's stability and growth outlook.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Curtiss-Wright shows a robust financial performance with a consistent increase in total revenue from $2.39 billion in 2020 to $3.12 billion in 2024. The gross profit margin improved to 36.95% in 2024 from 34.64% in 2020, indicating effective cost management. The net profit margin also increased to 12.97% in 2024 from 8.42% in 2020, reflecting enhanced profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins remain strong, demonstrating operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The company's balance sheet reflects solid financial health with a Debt-to-Equity ratio of 0.49 in 2024, indicating moderate leverage. The Return on Equity (ROE) improved to 16.53% in 2024, suggesting effective utilization of equity. The equity ratio of 49.14% signifies a strong equity base, although the increase in total debt from $905.76 million in 2019 to $1.20 billion in 2024 warrants attention.
Cash Flow
88
Very Positive
Curtiss-Wright exhibits impressive cash flow metrics with a substantial increase in free cash flow from $213.68 million in 2020 to $483.30 million in 2024. The operating cash flow to net income ratio remains strong, indicating efficient cash generation. The free cash flow to net income ratio also reflects solid cash conversion, underscoring the company's capability to generate cash effectively.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
3.12B2.85B2.56B2.51B2.39B
Gross Profit
1.15B1.07B954.61M933.36M841.23M
EBIT
528.60M484.60M328.80M299.45M288.85M
EBITDA
674.59M630.63M548.20M509.13M414.50M
Net Income Common Stockholders
404.98M354.51M294.35M262.83M201.39M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
385.04M406.87M256.97M171.00M198.25M
Total Assets
4.99B4.62B4.45B4.10B4.02B
Total Debt
1.20B1.20B1.39B1.18B1.19B
Net Debt
812.08M788.33M1.13B1.01B993.11M
Total Liabilities
2.54B2.29B2.46B2.28B2.23B
Stockholders Equity
2.45B2.33B1.99B1.83B1.79B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
483.30M403.42M256.56M346.56M213.68M
Operating Cash Flow
544.27M448.09M294.78M387.67M261.18M
Investing Cash Flow
-283.31M-35.52M-325.87M-42.40M-532.53M
Financing Cash Flow
-271.49M-273.40M129.43M-369.13M82.08M

Curtiss-Wright Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price319.98
Price Trends
50DMA
322.47
Negative
100DMA
342.10
Negative
200DMA
329.45
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-2.38
Negative
RSI
51.37
Neutral
STOCH
86.35
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CW, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 319.98 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 317.14, below the 50-day MA of 322.47, and below the 200-day MA of 329.45, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -2.38 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.37 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.35 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for CW.

Curtiss-Wright Risk Analysis

Curtiss-Wright disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Curtiss-Wright reported the most risks in the “Legal & Regulatory” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Curtiss-Wright Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
DRDRS
76
Outperform
$9.66B45.638.73%0.25%14.44%26.36%
CWCW
75
Outperform
$12.09B30.4016.95%0.26%9.69%14.65%
73
Outperform
$9.51B33.9128.00%0.93%8.31%14.74%
WWWWD
71
Outperform
$10.09B28.4416.82%0.60%7.38%26.61%
TXTXT
64
Neutral
$11.88B15.1111.63%0.12%0.14%-5.38%
63
Neutral
$8.57B791.85
14.77%
63
Neutral
$4.29B11.055.73%232.30%4.75%-5.69%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CW
Curtiss-Wright
318.48
70.61
28.49%
DRS
Leonardo Drs
35.91
14.72
69.47%
TXT
Textron
64.98
-27.51
-29.74%
WWD
Woodward
169.58
23.63
16.19%
BWXT
BWX Technologies
103.86
11.27
12.17%
SARO
StandardAero, Inc.
25.48
-7.49
-22.72%

Curtiss-Wright Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 12, 2025 | % Change Since: -6.36% | Next Earnings Date: May 7, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Curtiss-Wright's earnings call highlighted strong financial performance in 2024, driven by record-breaking results and strategic acquisitions. However, challenges in specific segments like Defense Electronics and General Industrial, as well as mixed results in Naval & Power, indicate areas needing improvement. The overall sentiment is positive, with a confident outlook for 2025.
Highlights
Record Financial Results in 2024
Curtiss-Wright achieved record financial results in 2024, with double-digit growth in sales and operating income, a 16% increase in diluted earnings per share, and a record adjusted free cash flow of $483 million.
Strong Order Book and Backlog
The company reported a 20% year-over-year increase in orders, reaching a record $3.7 billion, with a total backlog up 20% to more than $3.4 billion.
Successful Acquisitions and Share Repurchases
In 2024, Curtiss-Wright expanded its commercial nuclear portfolio with the acquisitions of WSC and Ultra Energy and repurchased $250 million in stock, including a $100 million accelerated repurchase in December.
Positive 2025 Financial Outlook
Curtiss-Wright projects mid-single-digit organic sales growth in 2025, with operating income growth expected to exceed sales growth and diluted EPS anticipated to grow 11% to 14%.
Lowlights
Underperformance in Defense Electronics
The Defense Electronics segment experienced year-over-year and sequential revenue declines due to under absorption, timing issues, and unfavorable mix.
Challenges in General Industrial Market
The General Industrial market faced lower global off-highway and specialty industrial vehicle sales as customers reduced inventory levels.
Mixed Performance in Naval & Power Segment
Despite sales growth, profitability in the Naval & Power segment was impacted by unfavorable mix and lower international aircraft arresting systems revenues.
Company Guidance
During the Curtiss-Wright Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2024 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided a comprehensive financial outlook for 2025, projecting a mid-single-digit organic sales growth and total growth of 7% to 8%, including acquisitions. Operating income is expected to grow 10% to 12%, with operating margin expanding by 40 to 60 basis points to reach an 18% midpoint. Diluted earnings per share (EPS) is anticipated to increase by 11% to 14%, ranging from $12.10 to $12.40. The company also forecasts a strong free cash flow between $485 million and $505 million, with a conversion rate exceeding 105%. The order book for 2024 showed a 20% increase, reaching a record $3.7 billion, driven by strong demand in key segments like Defense Electronics and Naval & Power.

Curtiss-Wright Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Curtiss-Wright Announces Leadership Transition with McDonald
Neutral
Nov 14, 2024

Curtiss-Wright Corporation has announced the retirement of Paul J. Ferdenzi, its long-serving Vice President, General Counsel, and Corporate Secretary, who will be succeeded by George P. McDonald. McDonald, who has been with the company since 1999, will assume the new role effective immediately, reporting to CEO Lynn M. Bamford. This leadership transition is part of a formal succession plan, ensuring continuity in the company’s executive team. The company praised Ferdenzi’s 25-year tenure for his leadership and significant contributions to Curtiss-Wright’s legal and corporate endeavors.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.