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Valor Holdings Co., Ltd. (JP:9956)
:9956
Japanese Market
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Valor Holdings Co., Ltd. (9956) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:9956

Valor Holdings Co., Ltd.

(9956)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
¥4,028.00
▲(19.53% Upside)
Action:Downgraded
Date:05/15/26
The score is driven primarily by solid but not exceptional financial performance: steady growth and improving profitability are offset by thin net margins and volatile free cash flow. Valuation is supportive with a moderate P/E and modest yield, while technical signals are mixed with price above moving averages but negative MACD and otherwise neutral momentum.
Positive Factors
Steady Revenue Growth
Consistent multi-year top-line growth (2026 +6.4%) reflects enduring consumer demand and execution across store formats. Sustained revenue gains support scale benefits in procurement and merchandising, improving unit economics and enabling steady reinvestment in stores and operations.
Negative Factors
Structurally Thin Net Margins
Very narrow net margins constrain the firm's buffer against commodity cost inflation, price competition or markdowns. Limited bottom-line room reduces capacity to absorb shocks, hampers sustainable earnings growth and restricts long-run returns to shareholders and reinvestment flexibility.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Steady Revenue Growth
Consistent multi-year top-line growth (2026 +6.4%) reflects enduring consumer demand and execution across store formats. Sustained revenue gains support scale benefits in procurement and merchandising, improving unit economics and enabling steady reinvestment in stores and operations.
Read all positive factors

Valor Holdings Co., Ltd. (9956) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Valor Holdings Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Valor Holdings Co., Ltd. operates supermarkets and home centers in Japan. The company also operates drug stores, sports clubs, and pet shops. In addition, it engages in the agricultural production, food manufacturing and processing, logistics, mat...
How the Company Makes Money
Valor Holdings generates revenue primarily through retail sales to consumers at its stores, with the largest driver being the sale of food and grocery products (including fresh foods and packaged foods) and complementary daily necessities. Its ear...

Valor Holdings Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Steady revenue growth and improving profitability versus the 2023 trough support results, with moderate leverage and improving ROE. However, structurally thin net margins and notably volatile free cash flow/cash conversion limit earnings resilience and quality.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
66
Positive
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue868.53B924.11B854.43B807.79B759.98B732.52B
Gross Profit253.98B248.94B226.87B213.83B200.83B193.54B
EBITDA49.39B54.72B47.05B45.28B41.46B42.09B
Net Income14.24B16.48B13.65B11.95B7.60B9.02B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets481.05B514.86B460.07B444.81B417.11B410.37B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments28.76B32.98B22.63B29.60B21.48B23.26B
Total Debt119.00B147.94B128.57B123.05B118.78B125.45B
Total Liabilities290.21B311.54B272.02B265.48B249.58B247.85B
Stockholders Equity173.42B185.25B171.21B164.07B152.75B148.71B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.0010.68B5.10B15.04B13.05B22.00M
Operating Cash Flow0.0052.18B37.77B38.45B36.23B24.36B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-46.96B-39.89B-26.05B-25.72B-26.73B
Financing Cash Flow0.004.59B-4.69B-4.56B-12.33B-4.12B

Valor Holdings Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3370.00
Price Trends
50DMA
3683.23
Positive
100DMA
3585.34
Positive
200DMA
3232.03
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-6.83
Negative
RSI
51.02
Neutral
STOCH
58.79
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9956, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3370 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3675.00, below the 50-day MA of 3683.23, and above the 200-day MA of 3232.03, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -6.83 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.02 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 58.79 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:9956.

Valor Holdings Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
¥204.07B13.073.01%8.62%43.25%
73
Outperform
¥205.92B18.467.56%2.70%3.54%-6.91%
68
Neutral
¥307.95B9.384.97%2.01%-0.23%-16.92%
66
Neutral
¥198.96B11.702.18%8.15%21.40%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
58
Neutral
¥172.91B-33.751.77%18.80%-479.11%
57
Neutral
¥182.99B8.931.44%0.66%114.22%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:9956
Valor Holdings Co., Ltd.
3,605.00
1,216.99
50.96%
JP:2659
SAN-A CO
3,220.00
414.82
14.79%
JP:8242
H2O Retailing Corporation
2,555.00
619.52
32.01%
JP:3222
United Super Markets Holdings, Inc.
832.00
-44.60
-5.09%
JP:8273
Izumi Co., Ltd.
952.00
-111.79
-10.51%
JP:8278
Fuji Co., Ltd.
2,097.00
74.89
3.70%

Valor Holdings Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Valor Holdings Corrects Disclosure in Takeover Response Policy Notice
May 14, 2026
Valor Holdings has issued a correction to its recent announcement on amendments to its basic policy on corporate control and the renewal of its takeover response policy regarding large-scale purchases of its shares. The company clarified that the ...
Valor Holdings Renews Takeover Response Policy Ahead of 2026 Shareholder Meeting
May 13, 2026
Valor Holdings has decided to revise and renew its existing policy governing large-scale purchases of its shares, effectively continuing its long-standing takeover defense framework first introduced in 2008. The renewed Policy on Response to Large...
Valor Holdings Posts Mixed April Results as Supermarkets Outperform Pharmacies
May 13, 2026
Valor Holdings reported April 2026 monthly business results for its key retail segments in the first month of the fiscal year ending March 2027. Supermarkets posted solid year-on-year growth at existing stores, with total sales up 3.7%, driven by ...
Valor Holdings Updates Capital-Efficient Management Measures
May 13, 2026
Valor Holdings Co., Ltd. announced that it has updated its measures for achieving management that is conscious of cost of capital and stock price, revising a framework first disclosed in May 2025. The company says the revisions are based on a fres...
Valor Holdings Revamps Board and Audit Committee to Strengthen Governance
May 13, 2026
Valor Holdings Co., Ltd. has announced a slate of board and committee changes, including the reappointment of Chairperson and CEO Masami Tashiro and other incumbent directors, along with the promotion of Chubu Ryutsu president Takehiko Yamada to d...
Valor Holdings Raises Year-End Dividend, Lifts Annual Payout Forecast
May 13, 2026
Valor Holdings Co., Ltd., a Japanese retailer listed on the TSE Prime and NSE Premier markets, emphasizes stable and continuous shareholder returns while maintaining internal reserves to support future business development and financial stability....
Valor Holdings Lifts Earnings, Cash Flow and Dividend as Revenue Nears ¥1 Trillion
May 13, 2026
Valor Holdings posted strong results for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2026, with operating revenue rising 8.2% to ¥924.1 billion and profit attributable to owners of parent climbing 20.7% to ¥16.5 billion. Profitability metrics improv...
Valor Holdings Posts Strong Supermarket Growth but Home Centers Lag in FY2026
Apr 10, 2026
Valor Holdings reported year-on-year growth rates for the fiscal year ended March 2026 across its main retail segments, showing solid gains in supermarkets and more modest improvement in pharmacies. Existing supermarket stores posted a 10.2% incre...
Valor Holdings Reports Mixed February Results With Strong Supermarkets and Weak Home Centers
Mar 10, 2026
Valor Holdings has reported preliminary monthly business results for February in its fiscal year ending March 2026, covering supermarkets, pharmacies and home improvement stores across its 1,527-outlet network. The figures are year-on-year growth ...
Valor Holdings to Forge Capital and Business Alliance with Kohnan Shoji
Feb 20, 2026
Valor Holdings has agreed a basic capital and business alliance framework with Osaka-based home center operator Kohnan Shoji, alongside non-tender and shareholders’ agreements related to Kohnan’s planned tender offer for Alleanza Holdi...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 15, 2026