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GOURMET KINEYA CO., LTD.
(9850)
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Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
¥1,002.00
▲(2.77% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/18/26
The score is primarily held back by weakening profitability and limited free-cash-flow cushion despite improving leverage. Technicals are mildly supportive with the stock trading slightly above key moving averages, but momentum is mixed. Valuation is reasonable on P/E, though the low dividend yield and recent margin compression reduce attractiveness.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth Trend
Consistent top-line growth since FY2021 and a 3% YoY rise in FY2026 reflect durable demand recovery for the restaurant chain. A stable revenue base supports scale economics, helps absorb fixed costs, and provides a platform for margin recovery and steady cash generation over the next several months.
Negative Factors
Margin Compression
Sharp margin erosion over recent years indicates structural pressure from higher costs or weaker pricing power. Extremely thin net margins leave little buffer against input cost shocks or footfall volatility, constraining the firm's ability to rebuild profitability and fund strategic initiatives sustainably.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue Growth Trend
Consistent top-line growth since FY2021 and a 3% YoY rise in FY2026 reflect durable demand recovery for the restaurant chain. A stable revenue base supports scale economics, helps absorb fixed costs, and provides a platform for margin recovery and steady cash generation over the next several months.
Read all positive factors
GOURMET KINEYA CO., LTD. (9850) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)
Market Cap
¥22.10B
Dividend Yield0.62%
Average Volume (3M)29.23K
Price to Earnings (P/E)97.8
Beta (1Y)0.38
Revenue Growth4.79%
EPS Growth-65.31%
CountryJP
Employees966
SectorGeneral
Sector StrengthN/A
IndustryRestaurants
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)9.85
Shares Outstanding22,910,275
10 Day Avg. Volume25,440
30 Day Avg. Volume29,226
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-1.51
Price to Book (P/B)2.37
Price to Sales (P/S)0.50
P/FCF Ratio66.86
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
GOURMET KINEYA CO., LTD. Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Gourmet Kineya Co.,Ltd. manages a network of dining establishments. This company was originally known as Ryogoku Foods Co., Ltd. before officially rebranding to Gourmet Kineya Co.,Ltd. in September 1986. Founded in 1967, the firm maintains its cor...
How the Company Makes Money
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GOURMET KINEYA CO., LTD. Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
54
Neutral
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
46
Neutral
| Breakdown | Mar 2026 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 44.09B | 42.07B | 37.03B | 29.89B | 23.27B |
| Gross Profit | 15.10B | 14.42B | 12.78B | 10.28B | 7.37B |
| EBITDA | 1.61B | 1.94B | 2.41B | 255.02M | 2.22B |
| Net Income | 225.19M | 649.19M | 1.10B | -1.15B | 513.93M |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 30.95B | 31.46B | 37.69B | 38.83B | 40.17B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 5.13B | 5.51B | 12.29B | 13.06B | 12.86B |
| Total Debt | 13.34B | 13.95B | 20.56B | 23.40B | 23.49B |
| Total Liabilities | 21.40B | 22.05B | 28.79B | 30.99B | 31.09B |
| Stockholders Equity | 9.34B | 9.25B | 8.75B | 7.68B | 8.82B |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | 331.87M | 275.85M | 249.14M | -467.62M | 1.80B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 1.59B | 1.65B | 1.47B | 483.21M | 2.56B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -1.17B | -1.56B | 564.27M | -233.47M | 287.52M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -769.77M | -6.79B | -2.84B | -92.27M | 2.80B |
GOURMET KINEYA CO., LTD. Technical Analysis
Positive
975.00
Price Trends
959.80
Positive
972.46
Negative
970.56
Negative
Market Momentum
1.71
Negative
57.19
Neutral
79.35
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9850, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 975 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 948.85, above the 50-day MA of 959.80, and above the 200-day MA of 970.56, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.71 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.19 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 79.35 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:9850.
GOURMET KINEYA CO., LTD. Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
70 Outperform | ¥147.01B | 61.16 | ― | 1.71% | 6.78% | -27.06% | |
63 Neutral | ¥117.79B | 25.46 | ― | 0.70% | 6.85% | 45.60% | |
61 Neutral | ¥215.28B | 38.27 | ― | 0.69% | 10.76% | 48.44% | |
60 Neutral | ¥56.79B | 33.28 | ― | 0.56% | 2.94% | 78.37% | |
55 Neutral | $6.65B | 3.83 | -15.92% | 6.20% | 10.91% | 7.18% | |
53 Neutral | ¥22.10B | 97.77 | ― | 0.62% | 4.79% | -65.31% | |
53 Neutral | ¥101.91B | 24.91 | ― | 0.37% | 19.62% | 71.58% |
* General Sector Average
JP:9850
GOURMET KINEYA CO., LTD.
963.00
34.59
3.73%
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3,800.00
116.37
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3,361.00
30.46
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Matsuya Foods Holdings Co., Ltd.
4,900.00
-1,065.97
-17.87%
GOURMET KINEYA CO., LTD. Corporate Events
Gourmet Kineya Revamps Board and Committees to Bolster Governance
May 13, 2026
Gourmet Kineya Co., Ltd. has announced a slate of director candidates, including CEO Atsushi Mukumoto and several outside directors, to be formally approved at the 60th Ordinary General Meeting of Shareholders on June 24, 2026. The company also ou...
Gourmet Kineya Maintains Year-End Dividend at ¥7 Per Share for FY2026
May 13, 2026
Gourmet Kineya Co., Ltd. has approved a year-end dividend of ¥7 per share for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2026, matching both its prior forecast and the previous year’s payout. The total dividend distribution will be ¥160 milli...
Gourmet Kineya Books Impairment Charges and Reverses Doubtful Debt Reserve in FY2026
May 13, 2026
Gourmet Kineya has reported several one-off accounting items for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2026, including an extraordinary income of ¥325.532 million from reversing an allowance for doubtful accounts after the financial condition of a ...
Gourmet Kineya Misses Profit Forecast as Cost Pressures Mount
May 13, 2026
Gourmet Kineya Co., Ltd., a Japan-based food service operator listed on the TSE Prime Market, derives its earnings from restaurant and related operations and from its non-consolidated parent entity. The company’s performance is influenced by...
Gourmet Kineya Posts Profit Slump but Maintains Dividend and Signals 2027 Recovery
May 13, 2026
Gourmet Kineya Co., Ltd. reported a 4.8% increase in net sales to ¥44,089 million for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2026, but operating profit dropped 44.7% to ¥523 million and profit attributable to owners of parent fell 65.3% to ...
Gourmet Kineya Sets New Board and Committee Lineup Ahead of June Meeting
May 13, 2026
Gourmet Kineya Co., Ltd. has announced a slate of director candidates, including CEO Atsushi Mukumoto and several outside directors, to be formally approved at its 60th Ordinary General Meeting of Shareholders on June 24, 2026. The move signals co...
Gourmet Kineya Confirms Stable Year-End Dividend of ¥7 Per Share
May 13, 2026
Gourmet Kineya’s board has approved a year-end dividend of ¥7 per share for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2026, matching its prior forecast and the previous year’s payout. The total dividend distribution will be ¥160 millio...
Gourmet Kineya Books Asset Impairments and Doubtful-Account Adjustments in FY2026 Results
May 13, 2026
Gourmet Kineya Co., Ltd. reported several extraordinary items for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2026, including the reversal of a 325.532 million yen allowance for doubtful accounts tied to a subsidiary whose financial condition has improved. Be...
Gourmet Kineya Misses Profit Forecasts as Rising Costs and Impairment Losses Hit Earnings
May 13, 2026
Gourmet Kineya Co., Ltd. reported that consolidated results for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2026, fell short of its most recent forecast, with operating profit, ordinary profit, and profit attributable to owners of parent all declining markedl...
Gourmet Kineya Profit Slumps Despite Higher Sales, Targets Recovery in FY2027
May 13, 2026
Gourmet Kineya Co., Ltd. reported a 4.8% rise in net sales to ¥44.1 billion for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2026, but operating profit fell 44.7% to ¥523 million and profit attributable to owners of parent dropped 65.3% to ¥225 ...
Gourmet Kineya Forms Airline Catering JV With Kobe Bussan to Drive Overseas Growth
Mar 31, 2026
Gourmet Kineya Co., Ltd. will establish MEAL HUB Co., Ltd. as a joint venture with Kobe Bussan Co., Ltd., initially wholly owned by Kobe Bussan and later capitalized so that Kobe Bussan holds about 82% and Gourmet Kineya about 18%. The JV will eng...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.