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Trusco Nakayama Corporation (JP:9830)
:9830
Japanese Market

Trusco Nakayama Corporation (9830) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:9830

Trusco Nakayama Corporation

(9830)

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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
¥2,460.00
▲(2.33% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:02/18/26
The score is driven primarily by mixed financial performance: steady growth and a sound balance sheet are offset by weaker cash conversion and negative free cash flow in the last two years. Valuation is supportive with a low P/E and moderate dividend yield, while technicals are cautious as the stock trades below key shorter-term moving averages with weak momentum.
Positive Factors
Recurring MRO demand (business model)
Trusco Nakayama's core MRO distribution model sells consumables, replacement parts and tools that are repeatedly purchased by manufacturers and contractors. This recurring demand creates predictable baseline revenue, supports long-term customer relationships, and favors scale benefits in purchasing, inventory and logistics.
Negative Factors
Weak cash generation / negative FCF
Declining operating cash flow and consecutive negative free cash flow reduce financial flexibility for reinvestment or shareholder returns. If working-capital drag or elevated capex persists, the company may need external financing or cutbacks, weakening its ability to sustainably fund growth and inventory needs.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Recurring MRO demand (business model)
Trusco Nakayama's core MRO distribution model sells consumables, replacement parts and tools that are repeatedly purchased by manufacturers and contractors. This recurring demand creates predictable baseline revenue, supports long-term customer relationships, and favors scale benefits in purchasing, inventory and logistics.
Read all positive factors

Trusco Nakayama Corporation (9830) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Trusco Nakayama Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Trusco Nakayama Corporation operates as a specialized trading company in Japan and internationally. The company engages in the wholesale of machine tools, distribution equipment, environmental safety equipment, and other equipment; and metal produ...
How the Company Makes Money
Trusco Nakayama Corporation generates revenue primarily through the wholesale distribution of its extensive product lineup. The company's revenue model is based on the sale of tools and equipment to retailers and industrial clients, often leveragi...

Trusco Nakayama Corporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Steady multi-year revenue growth and generally solid operating profitability, supported by a sound balance sheet. Offsetting this, margins have compressed, leverage has increased, and cash generation is a major weakness with declining operating cash flow and negative free cash flow in 2024–2025.
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
71
Positive
Cash Flow
42
Neutral
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue309.80B320.04B295.02B268.15B246.45B226.83B
Gross Profit58.95B61.18B55.64B51.32B45.49B40.74B
EBITDA27.85B28.39B26.07B24.75B21.36B19.95B
Net Income17.33B15.88B16.09B12.27B10.63B11.60B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets298.21B308.36B271.48B246.04B226.29B223.84B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments56.69B47.59B41.35B43.28B39.40B41.47B
Total Debt80.00B80.00B56.50B50.00B45.00B52.00B
Total Liabilities118.45B122.11B97.48B85.32B75.29B81.41B
Stockholders Equity179.75B186.25B174.00B160.72B151.00B142.43B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-10.31B-6.27B3.63B8.36B8.05B
Operating Cash Flow0.008.18B13.02B14.80B12.18B15.93B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-21.57B-18.27B-13.11B-5.17B-4.60B
Financing Cash Flow0.0019.64B3.24B1.93B-9.11B-2.24B

Trusco Nakayama Corporation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2404.00
Price Trends
50DMA
2412.68
Negative
100DMA
2395.13
Negative
200DMA
2327.33
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-7.16
Negative
RSI
52.80
Neutral
STOCH
79.82
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9830, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2404 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2333.60, below the 50-day MA of 2412.68, and above the 200-day MA of 2327.33, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -7.16 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.80 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 79.82 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:9830.

Trusco Nakayama Corporation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
¥113.65B14.203.38%10.74%-26.50%
78
Outperform
¥47.00B5.273.87%2.66%-11.41%
73
Outperform
¥53.32B13.473.00%16.06%31.78%
67
Neutral
¥156.80B6.771.72%32.43%39.26%
67
Neutral
¥32.05B14.304.05%-3.82%18.03%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
61
Neutral
¥157.93B9.982.42%9.74%6.48%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:9830
Trusco Nakayama Corporation
2,395.00
643.51
36.74%
JP:3176
Sanyo Trading Co., Ltd.
1,638.00
337.87
25.99%
JP:7456
Matsuda Sangyo Co., Ltd.
6,510.00
3,230.07
98.48%
JP:8052
Tsubakimoto Kogyo Co., Ltd.
2,769.00
766.51
38.28%
JP:8061
Seika Corporation
3,155.00
1,816.67
135.74%
JP:8103
Meiwa Corporation
795.00
180.63
29.40%

Trusco Nakayama Corporation Corporate Events

Trusco Nakayama Raises Dividend Forecast Under Unique Payout Policy
Feb 18, 2026
Trusco Nakayama has revised its dividend forecast, raising the expected annual dividend for the current fiscal year to 58.50 yen per share from the previously projected 55.50 yen. The year-end dividend is now forecast at 28.50 yen per share, while...
Trusco Nakayama Raises Year-End Dividend, Lifts Annual Payout to ¥60
Feb 13, 2026
Trusco Nakayama Corporation’s board has approved a year-end dividend of 29.50 yen per share for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025, up from the previously forecast 28.50 yen and exceeding the prior year’s year-end dividend of 28.0...
Trusco Nakayama Lifts Sales and Operating Profit but Sees Slight Earnings Decline in 2025
Feb 13, 2026
Trusco Nakayama reported consolidated net sales of ¥320.0 billion for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025, up 8.5% year on year, with operating profit rising 14.2% to ¥22.8 billion and ordinary profit up 12.4% to ¥22.5 billion. ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 18, 2026