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Tsubakimoto Kogyo Co., Ltd.
(8052)
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Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
¥2,961.00
▲(11.27% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/12/26
The score is driven primarily by strong underlying financial position (especially the very conservative balance sheet and steady profitability) and supportive valuation (low P/E and solid dividend yield). These positives are tempered by the 2026 shift to negative operating/free cash flow and weak price trend versus key moving averages.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet
An almost debt-free balance sheet and minimal leverage materially reduce financial risk and interest burden. This durability gives the company flexibility to fund operations, absorb cyclical downturns, sustain dividends, and pursue opportunistic investments without refinancing stress.
Negative Factors
Negative operating and free cash flow in 2026
The 2026 reversal to negative operating and free cash flow highlights cash conversion volatility and working-capital strain. Persistent weak cash generation can force external financing for growth, constrain capex or dividends, and raise execution risk despite low leverage.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative balance sheet
An almost debt-free balance sheet and minimal leverage materially reduce financial risk and interest burden. This durability gives the company flexibility to fund operations, absorb cyclical downturns, sustain dividends, and pursue opportunistic investments without refinancing stress.
Read all positive factors
Tsubakimoto Kogyo Co., Ltd. (8052) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)
Market Cap
¥53.17B
Dividend Yield3%
Average Volume (3M)28.48K
Price to Earnings (P/E)10.2
Beta (1Y)0.71
Revenue Growth5.40%
EPS Growth8.39%
CountryJP
Employees757
SectorIndustrials
Sector Strength72
IndustryIndustrial - Distribution
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)287.98
Shares Outstanding19,493,908
10 Day Avg. Volume30,930
30 Day Avg. Volume28,476
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio1.16
Price to Book (P/B)1.00
Price to Sales (P/S)0.38
P/FCF Ratio-12.73
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
Tsubakimoto Kogyo Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Established in Osaka, Japan, in 1916, Tsubakimoto Kogyo Co., Ltd. is a prominent distributor of industrial machinery, equipment, and components across the Japanese market. The company, initially known as Tsubakimoto Shoten Co., Ltd., adopted its p...
How the Company Makes Money
Tsubakimoto Kogyo primarily makes money through (1) trading margins earned by purchasing industrial products from suppliers and reselling them to corporate customers, and (2) revenue from providing value-added services associated with those sales....
Tsubakimoto Kogyo Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
92
Very Positive
Cash Flow
52
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Mar 2026 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 130.31B | 131.03B | 124.32B | 113.50B | 107.96B | 96.89B |
| Gross Profit | 19.74B | 19.85B | 18.80B | 17.50B | 16.35B | 14.95B |
| EBITDA | 8.05B | 6.86B | 7.21B | 6.01B | 5.61B | 4.93B |
| Net Income | 5.33B | 5.02B | 4.69B | 4.00B | 3.67B | 3.18B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 96.66B | 100.06B | 100.67B | 94.76B | 84.47B | 76.77B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 29.20B | 24.10B | 28.95B | 26.86B | 22.93B | 17.60B |
| Total Debt | 251.00M | 65.00M | 80.00M | 32.00M | 20.00M | 40.00M |
| Total Liabilities | 52.51B | 49.86B | 56.65B | 54.38B | 50.43B | 46.01B |
| Stockholders Equity | 43.90B | 49.92B | 43.74B | 40.13B | 33.81B | 30.58B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 0.00 | -3.90B | 3.18B | 4.51B | 6.35B | 6.46B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 0.00 | -3.55B | 3.59B | 5.01B | 6.72B | 6.57B |
| Investing Cash Flow | 0.00 | 250.00M | 461.00M | -69.00M | -461.00M | -152.00M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 0.00 | -1.63B | -2.05B | -1.08B | -971.00M | -808.00M |
Tsubakimoto Kogyo Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis
Positive
2661.00
Price Trends
2705.68
Positive
2770.22
Negative
2741.32
Negative
Market Momentum
3.16
Negative
58.71
Neutral
68.49
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8052, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2661 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2679.85, below the 50-day MA of 2705.68, and below the 200-day MA of 2741.32, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 3.16 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.71 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 68.49 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:8052.
Tsubakimoto Kogyo Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
77 Outperform | ¥319.59B | 22.51 | ― | 1.68% | 8.46% | 26.58% | |
74 Outperform | ¥44.95B | 9.31 | ― | 3.87% | 1.79% | -12.61% | |
73 Outperform | ¥53.17B | 10.24 | ― | 3.00% | 5.40% | 8.39% | |
73 Outperform | ¥137.53B | 9.22 | ― | 1.72% | 46.71% | 77.54% | |
65 Neutral | ¥28.18B | 13.74 | ― | 2.98% | 2.25% | 40.42% | |
63 Neutral | $10.79B | 15.43 | 7.44% | 2.01% | 2.89% | -14.66% | |
61 Neutral | ¥150.68B | 9.61 | ― | 2.42% | 8.46% | -3.62% |
* Industrials Sector Average
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Tsubakimoto Kogyo Co., Ltd. Corporate Events
Tsubakimoto Kogyo Launches ATOM2028 Plan to Strengthen Earnings and ESG Focus
May 8, 2026
Tsubakimoto Kogyo has unveiled its new three-year medium-term management plan, ATOM2028, running from FY2026 to FY2028, aimed at building a stronger earnings base and upgrading its financial strategies. The plan follows ATOM2025, which exceeded fi...
Tsubakimoto Kogyo Overhauls Board and Executive Lineup to Strengthen Governance
May 8, 2026
Tsubakimoto Kogyo Co., Ltd. has announced a broad reshuffle of its directors and executive officers, to take effect following the June 26, 2026 shareholders meeting. The board plans to appoint Koji Suzuki as a new outside director while outside di...
Tsubakimoto Kogyo to Grant Restricted Treasury Shares to Employee Shareholding Association
May 8, 2026
Tsubakimoto Kogyo has approved the disposal of up to 88,000 treasury shares as restricted stock to its Employee Shareholding Association, with a reference disposal price of ¥2,920 per share and a potential total value of about ¥256.96 mi...
Tsubakimoto Kogyo Lifts Dividend and Adds Payout for 110th Anniversary
May 8, 2026
Tsubakimoto Kogyo’s board has approved a year-end dividend of ¥70 per share for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2026, comprising an ordinary dividend of ¥60 and a commemorative dividend of ¥10. This brings the total annual div...
Tsubakimoto Kogyo Lifts Dividend as Profits and Equity Base Strengthen
May 8, 2026
Tsubakimoto Kogyo reported consolidated net sales of ¥131.0 billion for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2026, up 5.4% year on year, with operating profit rising 8.2% to ¥6.5 billion and profit attributable to owners of parent increasing ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.