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Toshin Holdings Co., Ltd. (JP:9444)
:9444
Japanese Market

Toshin Holdings Co., Ltd. (9444) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:9444

Toshin Holdings Co., Ltd.

(9444)

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Neutral 41 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:41Neutral
Price Target:
¥316.00
▼(-48.45% Downside)
Action:DowngradedDate:12/11/25
Toshin Holdings Co., Ltd. has a low overall stock score due to significant financial challenges, including declining revenue and profitability, high leverage, and liquidity issues. The technical analysis indicates a bearish trend, and the valuation reflects poor earnings performance. These factors collectively contribute to a low investment attractiveness.
Positive Factors
Authorized distributor / recurring service model
The authorized-agent distributor model ties the company to recurring connectivity revenue and carrier relationships. Retail handset sales plus subscription attachments create ongoing service streams and customer support contracts, supporting steadier revenues and durable customer lifetime value.
Negative Factors
High leverage
A debt-to-equity ratio near 7x creates significant financial risk and constrains strategic options. High leverage increases interest expense, refinancing vulnerability and reduces capacity to fund investments or weather further revenue disruptions over the next several quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Authorized distributor / recurring service model
The authorized-agent distributor model ties the company to recurring connectivity revenue and carrier relationships. Retail handset sales plus subscription attachments create ongoing service streams and customer support contracts, supporting steadier revenues and durable customer lifetime value.
Read all positive factors

Toshin Holdings Co., Ltd. (9444) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Toshin Holdings Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Toshin Holdings Co.,Ltd engages in the mobile communication related business in Japan. It is involved in the mobile shop operation and sales, agency sales, shop management consignment, and corporate sales, real estate, and resort businesses. The c...
How the Company Makes Money
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Toshin Holdings Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Toshin Holdings Co., Ltd. is facing significant financial challenges. The income statement shows declining revenue and profitability, the balance sheet indicates high leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 6.91, and the cash flow statement reveals liquidity issues with negative free cash flow. These factors collectively indicate poor financial health.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
Cash Flow
30
Negative
BreakdownTTMApr 2024Apr 2023Apr 2023Apr 2022Apr 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue16.89B17.48B17.13B16.42B18.07B20.98B
Gross Profit2.10B2.89B3.65B3.21B3.59B3.28B
EBITDA-287.83M441.96M698.06M262.41M959.99M1.02B
Net Income-133.58M-84.53M142.18M-209.67M344.78M-657.75M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets24.31B24.53B24.19B22.74B23.37B23.42B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.35B3.08B2.08B2.34B2.73B3.58B
Total Debt16.60B16.50B17.04B15.25B15.35B14.44B
Total Liabilities21.15B22.11B21.56B20.12B20.40B20.64B
Stockholders Equity3.14B2.39B2.60B2.60B2.95B2.77B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-765.81M-1.97B-19.91M-1.63B607.84M
Operating Cash Flow0.00281.78M231.94M294.17M-212.13M1.28B
Investing Cash Flow0.001.58B-1.91B262.65M-1.14B-584.17M
Financing Cash Flow0.00-852.45M1.45B-356.56M773.12M-551.27M

Toshin Holdings Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price613.00
Price Trends
50DMA
396.96
Negative
100DMA
420.85
Negative
200DMA
520.25
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-18.25
Negative
RSI
26.53
Positive
STOCH
21.96
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9444, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 613 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 350.80, above the 50-day MA of 396.96, and above the 200-day MA of 520.25, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -18.25 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 26.53 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 21.96 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:9444.

Toshin Holdings Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
¥28.98B12.500.38%18.70%41.87%
67
Neutral
¥31.93B9.270.90%12.50%11.02%
65
Neutral
¥40.45B9.402.19%17.90%14.14%
64
Neutral
¥31.23B11.191.73%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
46
Neutral
¥7.52B-28.99-4.54%-261.55%
41
Neutral
¥2.18B2.744.81%2.44%88.27%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:9444
Toshin Holdings Co., Ltd.
337.00
-310.00
-47.91%
JP:2769
Village Vanguard Co., Ltd.
958.00
-74.00
-7.17%
JP:3093
Treasure Factory Co., Ltd.
1,688.00
-134.95
-7.40%
JP:3159
Maruzen CHI Holdings Co., Ltd.
345.00
28.68
9.07%
JP:6061
Universal Engeisha Co., Ltd.
2,948.00
891.47
43.35%
JP:9278
BOOKOFF GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED
1,780.00
295.73
19.92%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 11, 2025