GIFT HOLDINGS INC. (9279) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: ¥74.57B
• Dividend Yield: 0.67%
• Average Volume (3M): 95.54K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 34.1
• Beta (1Y): 0.71
• Revenue Growth: 26.01%
• EPS Growth: 16.33%
• Country: JP
• Employees: 643
• Sector: Consumer Cyclical
• Sector Strength: 84
• Industry: Restaurants
• EPS (TTM): 30.49
• Shares Outstanding: 20,018,131
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 65,370
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 95,543
• PEG Ratio: 1.80
• Price to Book (P/B): 6.24
• Price to Sales (P/S): 1.80
• P/FCF Ratio: -58.58
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 68 Neutral
• Price Target: ¥4,006.00 ▲(21.03% Upside)

GIFT HOLDINGS INC. shows strong financial performance with robust revenue growth and profitability. However, technical indicators suggest weak momentum, and the valuation appears high, which could limit upside potential. The lack of earnings call data and corporate events means these factors do not influence the score.

Positive Factors

Consistent Revenue Growth

Sustained revenue growth indicates stable demand and successful product-market fit across channels. For a diversified gifting business, recurring seasonal demand plus omni-channel distribution supports predictable top-line trends and scalability over the next several months.

Robust Profitability and Margins

Healthy gross and operating margins signal pricing power and cost control in core operations. Margin resilience enables the company to fund marketing, seasonal inventory and selective investments without immediately eroding profitability, supporting durable earnings quality.

Solid Capital Structure and Strong ROE

A moderate leverage stance paired with strong ROE reflects efficient use of shareholder capital and financial flexibility. This balance supports funding seasonal working capital and growth initiatives while limiting exposure to excessive leverage risks over the medium term.

Negative Factors

Negative Free Cash Flow

Negative free cash flow points to high capital spending or cash outflows that exceed operational cash generation. Over months, this can constrain reinvestment, require external financing for seasonal inventory, and pressure liquidity if cash generation doesn’t improve.

Rising Total Debt Trend

An upward trend in total debt raises concerns about interest and refinancing exposure. In a seasonal retail-led business, higher leverage reduces flexibility to smooth working capital swings and increases vulnerability if revenue growth moderates or costs rise.

Operational Efficiency — EBITDA Margin Lag

Below-optimal EBITDA margin signals opportunities to improve cost structure and operating leverage. Without efficiency gains, the company may struggle to convert revenue growth into sustainable cash profits, limiting long-term reinvestment and resilience to competitive pressure.

GIFT HOLDINGS INC. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Gift Holdings Inc. operates restaurants in Japan and internationally. As of October 31, 2021, it operated 455 stores in Japan and 13 stores overseas. The company was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in Machida, Japan.

How the Company Makes Money

GIFT HOLDINGS INC. generates revenue through multiple streams, including direct sales of its gifting products via online platforms and brick-and-mortar stores. The company also engages in wholesale distribution, supplying retailers with its merchandise. Additionally, GIFT HOLDINGS INC. offers customized gifting solutions for corporate clients, which contributes significantly to its revenue. Strategic partnerships with e-commerce giants and seasonal collaborations with popular brands enhance its market reach and sales volume. The company's emphasis on seasonal promotions and marketing campaigns also drives consumer demand, particularly during key gifting seasons such as holidays and special occasions.

GIFT HOLDINGS INC. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

GIFT HOLDINGS INC. demonstrates strong revenue growth and profitability, supported by a solid balance sheet. However, the negative free cash flow indicates potential challenges in cash management, which needs improvement to sustain growth.

Income Statement

GIFT HOLDINGS INC. has shown a consistent revenue growth rate of 5.54% in the latest year, indicating strong sales performance. The gross profit margin is robust, reflecting efficient cost management. The net profit margin and EBIT margin are healthy, suggesting good profitability. However, the EBITDA margin shows room for improvement in operational efficiency.

Balance Sheet

The company's debt-to-equity ratio is moderate, indicating a balanced approach to leveraging. Return on equity is strong, showcasing effective use of shareholder funds to generate profits. The equity ratio suggests a solid capital structure, but the increase in total debt over the years could pose a risk if not managed carefully.

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow is strong relative to net income, indicating good cash generation from operations. However, the negative free cash flow is a concern, suggesting high capital expenditures or other cash outflows. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting potential cash flow management issues.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2025	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	33.99B	35.88B	28.47B	22.98B	17.02B	13.47B
Gross Profit	22.79B	23.96B	19.33B	15.57B	11.84B	9.71B
EBITDA	4.06B	4.46B	3.60B	2.95B	2.71B	2.05B
Net Income	2.07B	2.19B	1.88B	1.60B	1.54B	1.08B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	20.82B	22.01B	17.10B	12.53B	9.91B	8.28B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	2.36B	2.43B	2.44B	2.22B	2.01B	1.87B
Total Debt	6.20B	5.80B	4.00B	2.30B	1.75B	1.81B
Total Liabilities	11.05B	11.63B	8.72B	5.76B	4.47B	4.16B
Stockholders Equity	9.73B	10.34B	8.37B	6.77B	5.43B	4.12B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	0.00	-1.10B	-788.30M	925.68M	635.22M	987.63M
Operating Cash Flow	0.00	4.09B	3.28B	2.53B	2.15B	2.40B
Investing Cash Flow	0.00	-5.50B	-4.34B	-2.96B	-1.81B	-1.71B
Financing Cash Flow	0.00	1.41B	1.32B	252.51M	-315.51M	-639.63M

GIFT HOLDINGS INC. Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 3310.00
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9279, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3310 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3753.75, below the 50-day MA of 3476.00, and below the 200-day MA of 3408.65, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 68.38 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 58.18 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 44.87 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:9279.

GIFT HOLDINGS INC. Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
9828	72 Outperform	¥54.19B	11.44	―	2.41%	6.49%	4.27%
9279	68 Neutral	¥74.57B	34.07	―	0.67%	26.01%	16.33%
8160	63 Neutral	¥71.28B	17.86	―	1.89%	1.49%	―
Sector *	61 Neutral	$18.38B	12.79	-2.54%	3.03%	1.52%	-15.83%
8200	59 Neutral	¥58.00B	54.22	―	0.56%	7.52%	3.37%
7421	58 Neutral	¥78.25B	60.25	―	0.32%	0.51%	4.92%
2752	53 Neutral	¥54.91B	1,217.46	―	0.17%	2.74%	―

GIFT HOLDINGS INC. Corporate Events

GIFT HOLDINGS Issues Restricted Stock to Align Management Pay With Shareholder Value

GIFT HOLDINGS INC. has approved the issuance of 26,770 new shares of common stock, worth a total of ¥101.19 million, as restricted stock compensation for four internal directors and one executive officer, with payment due on February 26, 2026. This move continues the restricted stock compensation framework introduced in 2019 and approved by shareholders in 2020, which aims to align management’s medium- to long-term incentives with shareholder value by tying compensation to share performance and imposing multi-year transfer restrictions, and the company has now expanded this approach with a dedicated restricted stock plan for its executive officer.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9279) stock is a Buy with a Yen4194.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on GIFT HOLDINGS INC. stock, see the JP:9279 Stock Forecast page.

GIFT HOLDINGS Posts 24.7% December Sales Surge as Store Network Expands

In December 2025, GIFT HOLDINGS reported robust trading at its Japanese company-owned restaurants, with all-store sales rising 24.7% year-on-year, driven by a 21.7% increase in customer numbers and a modest uplift in average check size. Same-store sales grew 4.9% and 4.0% excluding outlets closed for refurbishment, supported by strong customer traffic, selective price increases at Machida Shoten, and extended operating hours at brands such as Butayama and Ganso Aburado, while maintaining high QSCA standards. The company had no store refurbishments in December 2025 and none scheduled for January 2026, and its expanding store base from 226 in November 2024 to 276 in December 2025 underscores continued network growth and volume gains, although the latest monthly growth rates are somewhat lower than the exceptionally strong levels recorded in the previous fiscal year.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9279) stock is a Hold with a Yen3608.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on GIFT HOLDINGS INC. stock, see the JP:9279 Stock Forecast page.

GIFT HOLDINGS INC. Announces Executive Personnel Changes

GIFT HOLDINGS INC. has announced changes in its executive personnel, with a proposal to reappoint six incumbent directors at the upcoming General Meeting of Shareholders on January 28, 2026. The company also outlined the executive structure of its subsidiaries, indicating a focus on maintaining leadership continuity and stability within its operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9279) stock is a Hold with a Yen3666.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on GIFT HOLDINGS INC. stock, see the JP:9279 Stock Forecast page.

Gift Holdings Inc. Reports Strong Q4 but Misses Full-Year Targets

Gift Holdings Inc. reported a significant increase in sales and profit for the fourth quarter of the fiscal year ending October 31, 2025, attributed to improved cost management and reduced store downtime. However, the company fell short of its full-year plan due to advance expenses for international expansion and delays in domestic store openings. The company’s overseas operations showed mixed results, with strong performance in Switzerland and challenges in the U.S. and China. Efforts to optimize labor costs and introduce induction heating in stores aim to enhance operational efficiency and product quality.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9279) stock is a Hold with a Yen3666.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on GIFT HOLDINGS INC. stock, see the JP:9279 Stock Forecast page.

GIFT HOLDINGS INC. Reports Strong Financial Growth and Positive Outlook

GIFT HOLDINGS INC. reported a significant increase in its consolidated financial results for the fiscal year ended October 31, 2025, with a 26% rise in net sales and a 15.8% increase in operating profit compared to the previous year. The company forecasts continued growth for the fiscal year ending October 31, 2026, with expected net sales of ¥43,000 million and a 27.7% increase in operating profit, indicating a positive outlook for stakeholders and strengthening its position in the market.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9279) stock is a Hold with a Yen3666.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on GIFT HOLDINGS INC. stock, see the JP:9279 Stock Forecast page.