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ORIX JREIT Inc. (JP:8954)
:8954
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ORIX JREIT Inc. (8954) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:8954

ORIX JREIT Inc.

(8954)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
¥103,415
▼(-3.17% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:11/27/25
The overall stock score of 70.5 reflects strong financial performance and positive technical indicators. The company's stable profitability and efficient operations are significant strengths, although recent revenue declines and cash flow variability are concerns. The stock's valuation suggests it may be slightly overvalued, but the attractive dividend yield provides a compensating factor.
Positive Factors
Stable rental-income business model
ORIX JREIT’s core model—collecting contracted rental income across leased properties—creates recurring cash flows and predictable distributable income. Long-term leases and diversified property types support resilience versus cyclical revenue shocks and enable steady payout policies over months to years.
Negative Factors
Recent revenue decline and FCF variability
A demonstrable drop in free cash flow alongside a recent revenue decline undermines predictability of distributions and limits capacity for acquisitions or capital spending. Persistent FCF volatility can force asset sales or distribution cuts when cash shortfalls coincide with capex or debt maturities.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Stable rental-income business model
ORIX JREIT’s core model—collecting contracted rental income across leased properties—creates recurring cash flows and predictable distributable income. Long-term leases and diversified property types support resilience versus cyclical revenue shocks and enable steady payout policies over months to years.
Read all positive factors

ORIX JREIT Inc. (8954) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

ORIX JREIT Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
ORIX JREIT Inc. (OJR) began operations on September 10, 2001, and made its debut on the Tokyo Stock Exchange on June 12, 2002, marking it as the fourth Real Estate Investment Trust (JREIT) to be publicly traded in Japan. Functioning as an external...
How the Company Makes Money
ORIX JREIT Inc. generates earnings primarily from real estate operations and related investment activities. Its core revenue stream is rental income received from tenants occupying its properties under lease agreements; this includes base rent and...

ORIX JREIT Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
ORIX JREIT Inc. demonstrates strong profitability and efficient operations, with stable margins and a solid balance sheet. However, recent revenue declines and variability in free cash flow growth pose potential risks. Overall, the company maintains a robust financial position with areas for improvement in revenue generation and cash flow stability.
Income Statement
70
Positive
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
Cash Flow
65
Positive
BreakdownTTMFeb 2025Feb 2024Feb 2023Feb 2022Feb 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue66.58B56.99B55.01B51.37B49.86B47.22B
Gross Profit21.24B17.87B28.71B24.83B27.03B25.55B
EBITDA38.68B32.14B32.57B32.82B31.07B29.63B
Net Income26.90B23.51B23.05B19.05B21.13B19.46B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets743.35B685.77B685.00B677.84B682.98B684.45B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments17.54B26.80B21.15B42.07B50.41B48.97B
Total Debt347.70B296.20B297.09B292.09B294.54B297.64B
Total Liabilities389.71B335.48B335.18B329.96B332.30B335.54B
Stockholders Equity353.64B350.30B349.82B347.87B350.68B348.91B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-37.79B-15.97B-4.18B17.63B23.80B16.17B
Operating Cash Flow44.59B34.52B58.80B36.61B36.17B27.19B
Investing Cash Flow-81.80B-49.91B-59.78B-19.59B-12.33B-10.80B
Financing Cash Flow27.96B8.55B-16.14B-24.30B-22.45B-13.70B

ORIX JREIT Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price106800.00
Price Trends
50DMA
97106.00
Negative
100DMA
99498.39
Negative
200DMA
100157.31
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-841.94
Negative
RSI
42.99
Neutral
STOCH
46.67
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8954, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 106800 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 94350.00, above the 50-day MA of 97106.00, and above the 200-day MA of 100157.31, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -841.94 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 42.99 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 46.67 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:8954.

ORIX JREIT Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
¥135.97B17.586.26%-17.50%-15.10%
71
Outperform
¥517.78B19.194.10%5.25%19.44%
66
Neutral
¥827.41B22.216.59%3.83%-4.44%-3.43%
66
Neutral
¥1.07T24.595.94%3.40%-14.70%-7.58%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
64
Neutral
¥217.44B18.014.63%19.76%7.95%
62
Neutral
¥297.72B20.703.94%30.30%-25.37%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:8954
ORIX JREIT Inc.
94,900.00
4,189.38
4.62%
JP:8952
Japan Real Estate Investment
113,100.00
-1,638.69
-1.43%
JP:8951
Nippon Building
122,400.00
-5,534.11
-4.33%
JP:3295
Hulic Reit, Inc.
151,400.00
2,980.25
2.01%
JP:8975
Ichigo Office REIT Investment Corporation
90,800.00
2,701.65
3.07%
JP:8976
Daiwa Office Investment Corporation
319,500.00
13,933.78
4.56%

ORIX JREIT Inc. Corporate Events

ORIX JREIT Secures ¥10.2 Billion in Loans to Refinance Existing Debt
Jun 18, 2026
ORIX JREIT Inc. has arranged ¥10.2 billion in new loans from a syndicate of major Japanese lenders, including Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Bank, MUFG Bank, Development Bank of Japan and others, with a mix of floating and fixed rates and maturities r...
ORIX JREIT Secures ¥5 Billion Loan to Fund Osaka Residential Acquisitions
Apr 24, 2026
ORIX JREIT Inc. has arranged a total of ¥5 billion in new short-term loans from Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Bank and MUFG Bank, both on floating-rate terms tied to JBA JPY TIBOR and maturing in March 2027. The borrowings are unsecured, non-guarante...
ORIX JREIT Deploys ¥92.3 Billion in Acquisitions to Drive DPU Growth
Mar 31, 2026
ORIX JREIT Inc. has accelerated strategic transactions aimed at achieving distribution per unit growth of over 3%, using its diversified REIT structure to reshape its portfolio across office, hotel and residential properties. Since the fiscal peri...
ORIX JREIT to Acquire Two Osaka Residential Assets to Boost Portfolio Quality
Mar 31, 2026
ORIX JREIT Inc. will acquire two adjacent residential properties in Osaka, Baysidepark Osaka South Residences and Baysidepark Osaka North Residences, for a combined 6.4 billion yen, with both assets categorized as real estate trust beneficiary int...
ORIX JREIT Reveals Buyer of Hamamatsu Act Tower as Act Godo Kaisha
Mar 27, 2026
ORIX JREIT Inc. has identified Act Godo Kaisha as the previously undisclosed buyer of the Hamamatsu Act Tower property, following consent to release certain details. The buyer, a Japanese limited liability company established in February 2026, eng...
ORIX JREIT Secures ¥6 Billion Loan to Fund KAMATA PRIME Acquisition
Mar 24, 2026
ORIX JREIT Inc. has arranged a new ¥6 billion debt facility split evenly between Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Bank and MUFG Bank, with each loan carrying a floating rate based on the JBA 1‑month JPY TIBOR plus 0.3% and maturing in March 2027. ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 27, 2025