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Japan Retail Fund Investment Corporation (JP:8953)
:8953
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Japan Retail Investment (8953) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:8953

Japan Retail Investment

(OTC:8953)

Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
¥116,106
▲(5.07%Upside)
The overall stock score of 72 reflects a strong technical setup and attractive valuation, supported by a fundamentally solid financial performance. The primary strengths lie in strong market momentum and a healthy dividend yield. However, caution is advised due to potential overbought conditions and high debt levels that could impact financial stability if market conditions change.

Japan Retail Investment (8953) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Japan Retail Investment Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionJapan Retail Fund Investment Corporation (JRF) has been listed on the Real Estate Investment Trust ("REIT") Section on the Tokyo Stock Exchange (Securities code: 8953) since March 2002. It was the first investment corporation in Japan to specifically target retail property assets. As the largest J-REIT that specializes in retail properties, JRF will strive to secure stable distributions for its unitholders and steady increases in the value of its property portfolio through selective acquisitions of prime retail properties.
How the Company Makes MoneyJapan Retail Fund Investment Corporation generates revenue primarily through rental income derived from its portfolio of retail properties. The company leases space to various tenants, including retail stores, restaurants, and service providers, creating a steady stream of rental income. Additionally, the company may engage in property sales and acquisitions to optimize its portfolio and enhance value. Key partnerships with property managers and developers, as well as its ability to maintain high occupancy rates and favorable lease terms, significantly contribute to its earnings. The company also benefits from capital gains from the appreciation of its real estate assets over time.

Japan Retail Investment Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Japan Retail Investment presents a fundamentally solid financial profile. The income statement reflects strong profitability and efficient operations, though revenue growth could be more consistent. The balance sheet shows stability with a balanced capital structure, but high debt levels warrant caution. Cash flow management is generally effective, though free cash flow volatility highlights a need for careful liquidity management. Overall, the company is well-positioned but should focus on enhancing revenue growth and managing debt levels.
Income Statement
70
Positive
The company demonstrates strong profitability with a consistent gross profit margin above 55% and net profit margin around 39% over the years. Revenue growth has been modest with fluctuations, showing a slight decline in the most recent year. EBIT and EBITDA margins remain healthy, indicating efficient operations and stable earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a manageable debt-to-equity ratio of around 0.88. The equity ratio at approximately 50% indicates a balanced capital structure. Return on equity is robust, reflecting strong earnings relative to shareholder equity. However, the high debt level poses a potential risk if market conditions deteriorate.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
The company shows positive operating cash flow consistently, but free cash flow has been volatile, with significant fluctuations due to varying capital expenditures. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, suggesting efficient cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio indicates occasional pressure on liquidity.
BreakdownTTMSep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021Sep 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue92.09B81.72B82.74B81.71B70.88B62.86B
Gross Profit41.46B45.47B45.48B46.05B38.03B34.85B
EBITDA52.19B48.17B48.57B48.70B41.52B38.46B
Net Income35.50B31.71B32.02B32.65B25.45B24.92B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.32T1.25T1.25T1.25T1.24T903.46B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments47.47B18.39B37.37B41.23B64.82B47.71B
Total Debt600.64B553.64B550.64B549.64B538.67B411.73B
Total Liabilities675.72B627.23B624.85B624.19B612.05B469.74B
Stockholders Equity647.92B624.30B625.08B624.78B623.67B433.73B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-56.52B7.88B14.55B-29.48B554.94M6.00B
Operating Cash Flow41.94B42.27B40.40B41.65B34.58B30.40B
Investing Cash Flow-87.94B-27.00B-14.72B-41.40B-537.05M-12.32B
Financing Cash Flow37.14B-29.70B-31.03B-21.03B-28.93B-18.39B

Japan Retail Investment Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price110500.00
Price Trends
50DMA
103066.00
Positive
100DMA
99228.00
Positive
200DMA
94142.67
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1887.75
Negative
RSI
79.59
Negative
STOCH
90.23
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8953, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 110500 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 107140.00, above the 50-day MA of 103066.00, and above the 200-day MA of 94142.67, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1887.75 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 79.59 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 90.23 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:8953.

Japan Retail Investment Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$794.81B22.035.50%4.60%-8.21%9.33%
63
Neutral
$6.73B14.24-1.44%7.30%4.75%-35.88%
$5.04B22.945.46%4.75%
72
Outperform
¥547.31B24.30
3.84%-17.31%15.83%
70
Outperform
¥271.23B20.32
5.23%0.69%-3.93%
¥233.44B18.05
5.08%
66
Neutral
¥583.91B25.26
5.04%22.58%8.16%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:8953
Japan Retail Investment
110,500.00
27,718.37
33.48%
NMMRF
Nomura Real Estate Master
1,081.80
57.42
5.61%
JP:3292
AEON REIT Investment Corp.
129,000.00
11,657.37
9.93%
JP:8954
ORIX JREIT Inc.
198,300.00
60,196.72
43.59%
JP:8964
Frontier Real Estate Investment Corporation
86,300.00
8,938.38
11.55%
JP:8984
Daiwa House REIT Investment Corporation
254,400.00
37,045.23
17.04%

Japan Retail Investment Corporate Events

JMF Enhances Unitholder Value Through Strategic Property Dispositions
Jun 25, 2025

Japan Metropolitan Fund Investment Corporation has announced the disposition of two properties, JMF-Bldg. Jingumae 01 and JMF-Bldg. Toyocho 02, at prices above their book values, resulting in gains on sale. This strategic move aims to enhance the Net Asset Value (NAV) and maximize unitholder value by eliminating unrealized losses and returning gains to unitholders. The favorable yields from the booming office trading market have facilitated this decision, and JMF plans to reinvest the proceeds into new assets or its own investment units, continuing its strategy of returning gains to unitholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8953) stock is a Buy with a Yen100000.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Japan Retail Investment stock, see the JP:8953 Stock Forecast page.

JMF Announces Changes in Asset Management Structure
Jun 16, 2025

Japan Metropolitan Fund Investment Corporation (JMF) has announced changes in its asset management company, KJR Management, due to a restructuring aimed at simplifying the shareholding structure. As a result, KKR Group Assets Holdings III L.P. has become the wholly-owning parent company of KJRM Holdings, impacting the parent and affiliated companies of the Asset Management Company.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8953) stock is a Buy with a Yen100000.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Japan Retail Investment stock, see the JP:8953 Stock Forecast page.

Japan Metropolitan Fund Extends Commitment Line Contracts
May 30, 2025

Japan Metropolitan Fund Investment Corporation has extended the contract period of its commitment line, which involves significant financial agreements with major banks. This extension, which includes unsecured and unguaranteed loans totaling 75 billion yen, reflects the company’s strategic financial management, potentially enhancing its liquidity and operational flexibility.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8953) stock is a Buy with a Yen100000.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Japan Retail Investment stock, see the JP:8953 Stock Forecast page.

JMF Secures Interest Rate Stability with New Swap Agreements
May 14, 2025

JMF has entered into interest rate swap agreements totaling 9.3 billion yen to hedge against future interest rate fluctuations. This strategic move aims to stabilize the company’s financial operations and mitigate risks associated with variable interest rates, potentially strengthening its market position and providing assurance to stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8953) stock is a Buy with a Yen100000.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Japan Retail Investment stock, see the JP:8953 Stock Forecast page.

JMF Announces 5.3 Billion Yen Debt Refinancing
May 12, 2025

JMF announced a refinancing of 5.3 billion yen to manage its existing loans maturing in May 2025. This move is part of their strategic financial management, aiming to stabilize interest rates through potential interest rate swap agreements, which could impact their financial stability and stakeholder confidence.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 04, 2025