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Japan Retail Fund Investment Corporation (JP:8953)
:8953

Japan Retail Investment (8953) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:8953

Japan Retail Investment

(8953)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
¥127,891
▲(3.05% Upside)
The overall stock score is driven primarily by strong technical analysis, indicating bullish momentum, despite overbought signals. Financial performance is solid but faces challenges in cash flow and revenue growth. Valuation is mixed, with a high P/E ratio offset by an attractive dividend yield.

Japan Retail Investment (8953) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Japan Retail Investment Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionJapan Retail Fund Investment Corporation (JRF) has been listed on the Real Estate Investment Trust ("REIT") Section on the Tokyo Stock Exchange (Securities code: 8953) since March 2002. It was the first investment corporation in Japan to specifically target retail property assets. As the largest J-REIT that specializes in retail properties, JRF will strive to secure stable distributions for its unitholders and steady increases in the value of its property portfolio through selective acquisitions of prime retail properties.
How the Company Makes MoneyJapan Retail Investment generates revenue primarily through rental income from its portfolio of retail properties. The company leases spaces to a diverse range of tenants, including well-known retail brands, which provides a steady stream of cash flow. Additionally, the company may benefit from property appreciation over time, leading to potential profits when properties are sold. Strategic partnerships with retail operators and developers also contribute to its revenue, as these collaborations can enhance the company's investment opportunities and operational efficiency. Furthermore, the firm may engage in asset management services, providing consulting and management expertise to other retail property owners.

Japan Retail Investment Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Japan Retail Investment demonstrates strong profitability with a consistent gross profit margin and a stable balance sheet. However, challenges are evident in revenue growth and cash flow generation, with a significant decline in free cash flow growth and a negative revenue growth rate.
Income Statement
The income statement shows strong profitability with a consistent gross profit margin around 55% and a net profit margin close to 39%. However, there is a slight decline in revenue growth, with a negative growth rate of -1.42% in the most recent period, indicating potential challenges in revenue generation.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.89, indicating moderate leverage. The return on equity is relatively low at 5.08%, suggesting limited efficiency in generating returns from equity. The equity ratio is healthy, showing a balanced asset structure.
Cash Flow
Cash flow analysis reveals challenges with a significant decline in free cash flow growth at -436.17%. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is below 1, indicating potential issues in converting income into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is low, suggesting limited free cash flow relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue128.45B81.72B82.74B81.71B70.88B62.86B
Gross Profit22.98B45.47B45.48B46.05B38.03B34.85B
EBITDA58.70B47.12B47.64B48.70B40.36B38.46B
Net Income41.50B31.71B32.02B32.65B25.45B24.92B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.33T1.25T1.25T1.25T1.24T903.46B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments75.83B18.39B37.37B41.23B64.82B47.71B
Total Debt600.64B553.64B550.64B549.64B538.67B411.73B
Total Liabilities679.99B627.23B624.85B624.19B612.05B469.74B
Stockholders Equity649.38B624.30B625.08B624.78B623.67B433.73B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-38.79B7.88B14.55B-29.48B554.94M6.00B
Operating Cash Flow47.28B42.27B40.40B41.65B34.58B30.40B
Investing Cash Flow-44.07B-27.00B-14.72B-41.40B-537.05M-12.32B
Financing Cash Flow30.31B-29.70B-31.03B-21.03B-28.93B-18.39B

Japan Retail Investment Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price124100.00
Price Trends
50DMA
121994.00
Positive
100DMA
117956.29
Positive
200DMA
108142.05
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1009.84
Positive
RSI
54.73
Neutral
STOCH
57.88
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8953, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 124100 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 123700.00, above the 50-day MA of 121994.00, and above the 200-day MA of 108142.05, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1009.84 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 54.73 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 57.88 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:8953.

Japan Retail Investment Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
¥656.44B23.314.28%27.21%39.13%
73
Outperform
¥892.63B21.456.41%4.62%40.15%27.43%
72
Outperform
¥254.27B20.534.67%4.11%2.05%
71
Outperform
¥593.95B25.264.10%-31.88%2.02%
66
Neutral
¥293.73B21.084.96%0.59%3.29%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
60
Neutral
¥809.86B25.265.22%4.21%2.76%6.04%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:8953
Japan Retail Investment
124,100.00
39,019.56
45.86%
JP:3462
Nomura Real Estate Master
174,300.00
40,472.97
30.24%
JP:3292
AEON REIT Investment Corp.
139,700.00
22,357.37
19.05%
JP:8954
ORIX JREIT Inc.
107,600.00
30,295.73
39.19%
JP:8964
Frontier Real Estate Investment Corporation
94,000.00
20,658.52
28.17%
JP:8984
Daiwa House REIT Investment Corporation
143,000.00
35,025.46
32.44%

Japan Retail Investment Corporate Events

Japan Metropolitan Fund Locks In 1.691% Fixed Rate on ¥1 Billion Green Loan
Dec 24, 2025

Japan Metropolitan Fund Investment Corporation has finalized the interest rate for a previously announced green loan refinancing, securing a ¥1 billion unsecured and unguaranteed loan from The Bank of Iwate with a fixed interest rate of 1.691% over a 4.9-year term. The borrowing is scheduled for December 26, 2025, with a lump-sum repayment due on November 29, 2030, reinforcing the REIT’s use of green financing instruments to support its capital structure and potentially enhance its positioning among environmentally focused investors and lenders.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8953) stock is a Hold with a Yen113000.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Japan Retail Investment stock, see the JP:8953 Stock Forecast page.

Japan Metropolitan Fund to Sell Tokyo Office Asset Above Appraisal, Return Gain to Unitholders
Dec 19, 2025

Japan Metropolitan Fund Investment Corporation has agreed to dispose of its office property JMF-Bldg. Edogawabashi 01 in Tokyo for ¥4.55 billion, a price 30% above its appraisal value and above book value, generating an estimated gain of about ¥580 million and eliminating unrealized losses tied to the asset. The REIT plans to return the entire gain on sale to unitholders in the August 2026 fiscal period while using the remaining proceeds as replacement capital for higher-yield, growth-oriented assets, a move aimed at boosting NAV, improving portfolio profitability, and mitigating downside risk from a location deemed suboptimal for office use.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8953) stock is a Hold with a Yen113000.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Japan Retail Investment stock, see the JP:8953 Stock Forecast page.

Japan Metropolitan Fund Lifts August 2026 Distribution Outlook on Profitable Asset Disposition
Dec 19, 2025

Japan Metropolitan Fund Investment Corporation has revised upward its forecast for the August 2026 fiscal period distribution per unit (DPU) to 2,950 yen, driven by plans to return the entire estimated gain on the sale of a property to investors. The REIT will dispose of the office property JMF-Bldg. Edogawabashi 01, an asset previously carrying unrealized losses, at a planned sale price of 4.55 billion yen, above both its book value of 3.81 billion yen and appraisal value of 3.5 billion yen, generating an estimated gain on sale of 580 million yen, or about 80 yen per unit. This transaction is expected to boost NAV by crystallizing gains on an underperforming asset, while the sale proceeds will be redeployed into investment units of private REITs and other assets with stronger profitability and growth potential, supporting the company’s strategy of improving earnings power and distribution stability over time.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8953) stock is a Hold with a Yen113000.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Japan Retail Investment stock, see the JP:8953 Stock Forecast page.

Japan Metropolitan Fund to Boost Stakes in Two Private Residential REITs
Dec 19, 2025

Japan Metropolitan Fund Investment Corporation has decided to further expand its exposure to Japan’s residential real estate sector by acquiring additional investment units in two private residential REITs, Nisshin Private Residential Reit (NSPR) and Hoosiers Private REIT Investment Corporation (HPR), from Mizuho Securities. JMF will buy 960 new NSPR units for 1,199 million yen and 800 new HPR units for 877 million yen, funded with cash on hand, as part of capital increases by the two vehicles to finance the acquisition of a total of eight new residential properties. The move builds on JMF’s existing strategy of supporting the growth of these unlisted REITs through ongoing unit purchases, which has already led to expansion in their asset bases and improved dividend yields, and JMF expects the latest acquisitions to further strengthen the stability and growth of its own distributable income and enhance value for its unitholders while keeping its real estate ratio at or above 70% of total assets.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8953) stock is a Hold with a Yen113000.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Japan Retail Investment stock, see the JP:8953 Stock Forecast page.

Japan Metropolitan Fund Refinances ¥1 Billion Loan with New Green Financing
Dec 19, 2025

Japan Metropolitan Fund Investment Corporation has decided to refinance a ¥1 billion loan maturing on December 26, 2025 with a new unsecured, unguaranteed green loan from The Bank of Iwate, Ltd., carrying a 4.9-year term and a lump-sum repayment due on November 29, 2030. The transaction is structured under JMF’s Green Finance Framework and does not change the total amount of its interest-bearing debt, but it increases the share of green loans within its long-term borrowings, underscoring the REIT’s ongoing commitment to sustainable financing while maintaining overall leverage levels for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8953) stock is a Hold with a Yen113000.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Japan Retail Investment stock, see the JP:8953 Stock Forecast page.

Japan Metropolitan Fund Raises August 2026 Earnings and Distribution Forecasts
Dec 19, 2025

Japan Metropolitan Fund Investment Corporation has raised its forecast for operating results and distributions for the fiscal period ending August 2026, citing stronger-than-expected performance. Operating revenues are now projected at ¥50.24 billion and net income at ¥22.23 billion, both up modestly from previous estimates, lifting the forecast distribution per unit by ¥100 to ¥2,950. The upward revision is driven by higher gains on the sale of JMF-Bldg. Edogawabashi 01, increased dividend income from additional acquisitions of investment units in Nisshin Private Residential Reit and Hoosiers Private REIT Investment Corporation, and internal growth within its existing portfolio, signaling improving earnings momentum and potentially more attractive returns for unitholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8953) stock is a Hold with a Yen113000.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Japan Retail Investment stock, see the JP:8953 Stock Forecast page.

Japan Metropolitan Fund Sets Interest Rate for Debt Financing
Nov 26, 2025

Japan Metropolitan Fund Investment Corporation has announced the determination of the interest rate for its recent debt financing initiative. This decision, involving a loan from Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Bank, Limited, sets a fixed interest rate of 1.672% for a loan amount of ¥2,000 million over a term of 4.9 years, with a scheduled borrowing date of November 28, 2025, and a repayment date of October 31, 2030. The loan is unsecured and unguaranteed, with a lump sum repayment structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8953) stock is a Hold with a Yen113000.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Japan Retail Investment stock, see the JP:8953 Stock Forecast page.

Japan Metropolitan Fund Completes Real Estate Disposition
Oct 31, 2025

Japan Metropolitan Fund Investment Corporation, a player in the real estate investment sector, has completed the disposition of its trust beneficiary right in the JMF-Bldg. Akasaka 01 property. The company plans to use the gain from this sale, amounting to 3,139 million yen, as dividends over several fiscal periods, while the proceeds will be used to fund new property acquisitions and repay short-term borrowings.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8953) stock is a Hold with a Yen113000.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Japan Retail Investment stock, see the JP:8953 Stock Forecast page.

JMF Announces Amendments and Director Appointments
Oct 20, 2025

Japan Metropolitan Fund Investment Corporation announced amendments to its Articles of Incorporation to allow electronic record-keeping and signatures, enhancing management flexibility and operational efficiency. Additionally, the company plans to appoint new directors and alternates, with changes to be finalized at the upcoming General Meeting of Unitholders, potentially impacting its governance structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8953) stock is a Hold with a Yen113000.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Japan Retail Investment stock, see the JP:8953 Stock Forecast page.

JMF Launches Shopping Voucher Initiative for Retail Facilities
Oct 20, 2025

Japan Metropolitan Fund Investment Corporation has announced a promotional initiative to distribute shopping vouchers to its unitholders, aiming to boost sales and rent revenue at six of its retail facilities. This initiative, which will be reviewed for its effectiveness, is not expected to impact the company’s financial forecasts for the upcoming fiscal periods.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8953) stock is a Hold with a Yen113000.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Japan Retail Investment stock, see the JP:8953 Stock Forecast page.

JMF Expands Stake in Kyoto’s Kawaramachi OPA to Boost Returns
Oct 8, 2025

JMF has announced the acquisition of additional shares in the Kawaramachi OPA, a prominent retail property in Kyoto’s commercial district. This acquisition aims to increase JMF’s ownership to 94.4065%, enhancing liquidity, operational flexibility, and financial returns, while reducing unrealized losses by approximately 0.08 billion yen.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8953) stock is a Hold with a Yen113000.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Japan Retail Investment stock, see the JP:8953 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 21, 2025