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TOC Co., Ltd. (JP:8841)
:8841
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TOC Co., Ltd. (8841) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:8841

TOC Co., Ltd.

(8841)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
¥1,033.00
▲(22.10% Upside)
Action:Upgraded
Date:05/14/26
The score is driven primarily by very strong financial stability (low leverage) and supportive technical uptrend signals. These positives are tempered by relatively expensive valuation (high P/E with a low dividend yield) and inconsistent cash-flow conversion.
Positive Factors
Conservative Balance Sheet
Extremely low leverage and a large equity base give the company durable financial flexibility: it can withstand tenant downturns, absorb property capex, pursue selective acquisitions or refurbishments, and face lower refinancing risk, supporting long-term stability and optionality.
Negative Factors
Uneven Cash Generation
Irregular free cash flow undermines predictability of distributable earnings and reinvestment capacity. Negative FCF years and FCF materially below net income in 2026 show sensitivity to timing of receipts, capex or working capital, complicating capital allocation and long-term planning.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative Balance Sheet
Extremely low leverage and a large equity base give the company durable financial flexibility: it can withstand tenant downturns, absorb property capex, pursue selective acquisitions or refurbishments, and face lower refinancing risk, supporting long-term stability and optionality.
Read all positive factors

TOC Co., Ltd. (8841) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

TOC Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
TOC Co., Ltd. operates primarily within Japan, focusing predominantly on its real estate ventures. The company's property portfolio includes the leasing of diverse spaces such as commercial and retail units, corporate offices, parking facilities, ...
How the Company Makes Money
TOC Co., Ltd. primarily makes money by generating recurring rental income from leasing space in its owned commercial properties (e.g., office and facility tenants). Revenue is driven by occupancy levels, contracted rent rates, and the company’s ab...

TOC Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong balance sheet with extremely low leverage supports high financial stability, while 2026 shows a return to revenue growth and solid profitability. The main offsets are multi-year margin/earnings volatility and uneven free-cash-flow generation, which reduce visibility.
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
92
Very Positive
Cash Flow
63
Positive
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue13.62B15.15B13.15B13.71B15.69B16.34B
Gross Profit3.26B2.89B3.17B4.06B5.95B7.41B
EBITDA2.83B4.76B3.00B3.86B5.91B7.73B
Net Income1.82B2.32B1.79B5.12B3.26B3.11B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets115.01B122.23B114.90B118.55B116.33B112.93B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments28.43B31.15B29.55B39.33B31.65B33.53B
Total Debt1.04B899.00M1.12B1.53B2.01B2.35B
Total Liabilities13.60B17.50B14.07B15.73B15.93B17.78B
Stockholders Equity100.80B104.09B100.23B102.23B99.84B94.56B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.003.35B-1.01B1.56B-746.00M2.88B
Operating Cash Flow0.005.73B442.00M2.81B921.00M5.14B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-2.91B-5.32B7.23B-1.51B-2.29B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-1.10B-4.96B-2.36B-1.29B-1.52B

TOC Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price846.00
Price Trends
50DMA
999.76
Negative
100DMA
926.97
Positive
200DMA
878.61
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-11.74
Negative
RSI
45.06
Neutral
STOCH
64.32
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8841, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 846 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 977.45, below the 50-day MA of 999.76, and below the 200-day MA of 878.61, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -11.74 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 45.06 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 64.32 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:8841.

TOC Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
¥89.56B37.261.46%1.18%15.23%37.37%
67
Neutral
¥72.80B5.4393.14%254.99%
66
Neutral
¥99.86B22.132.19%3.42%7.64%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
63
Neutral
¥123.46B7.852.93%14.99%73.33%
61
Neutral
¥115.55B7.2615.81%2.93%12.51%12.42%
56
Neutral
¥75.76B6.733.08%23.38%19.73%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:8841
TOC Co., Ltd.
957.00
295.01
44.56%
JP:8934
Sun Frontier Fudousan Co
2,380.00
370.00
18.41%
JP:3465
KI-Star Real Estate Co., Ltd.
3,895.00
1,659.48
74.23%
JP:3479
TKP Corp
1,728.00
-83.00
-4.58%
JP:8818
Keihanshin Building Co., Ltd.
2,135.00
654.79
44.24%
JP:8877
ESLEAD CORPORATION
4,910.00
535.13
12.23%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 14, 2026