TOC Co., Ltd. (8841) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: €76.74B
• Dividend Yield: 1.22%
• Average Volume (3M): 113.88K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 41.6
• Beta (1Y): 0.35
• Revenue Growth: 2.97%
• EPS Growth: -62.10%
• Country: JP
• Employees: 147
• Sector: Real Estate
• Sector Strength: 52
• Industry: Real Estate - Services
• EPS (TTM): 4.69
• Shares Outstanding: 93,849,350
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 121,930
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 113,883
• PEG Ratio: N/A
• Price to Book (P/B): N/A
• Price to Sales (P/S): N/A
• P/FCF Ratio: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: €855.37
• Price Target Upside: 4.31% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 1

• Rating: 64 Neutral
• Price Target: ¥855.00 ▲(4.27% Upside)

The overall stock score of 64 reflects a stable financial position with strong technical momentum. However, high valuation metrics and challenges in cash flow generation and profitability weigh down the score. The stock's technical indicators suggest bullish momentum, but the high P/E ratio raises concerns about overvaluation.

TOC Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

TOC Co., Ltd. (8841) is a prominent company based in Japan, primarily engaged in the logistics and transportation sector. The company specializes in providing comprehensive supply chain solutions, including freight forwarding, warehousing, and distribution services. With a focus on optimizing logistics processes, TOC Co., Ltd. caters to various industries, ensuring efficient movement of goods and materials across domestic and international markets.

How the Company Makes Money

TOC Co., Ltd. generates revenue through multiple streams within the logistics and transportation sector. The primary source of income is derived from its freight forwarding services, where it charges clients for the transportation of goods via air, sea, and land. Additionally, the company earns revenue from warehousing services by offering storage solutions and inventory management to businesses. TOC Co., Ltd. also engages in value-added services such as customs clearance, packaging, and supply chain consulting, which further contribute to its earnings. The company has established significant partnerships with various shipping lines and carriers, enhancing its service offerings and operational efficiency. These collaborations enable TOC Co., Ltd. to negotiate favorable rates, thereby improving profit margins while maintaining competitive pricing for its clients.

TOC Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

TOC Co., Ltd. exhibits a stable financial position with low leverage and a strong equity base. However, challenges in revenue growth and cash flow generation, along with volatility in net profit margin, are concerning. The company needs to address cash flow inefficiencies and improve profitability.

Income Statement

TOC Co., Ltd. has shown a mixed performance in its income statement. The gross profit margin has decreased over the years, indicating potential cost pressures or pricing challenges. The net profit margin has been volatile, with a significant drop in the most recent year. Revenue growth has been inconsistent, with periods of decline. However, the company maintains a reasonable EBIT and EBITDA margin, suggesting operational efficiency.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet of TOC Co., Ltd. reflects a strong equity position with a low debt-to-equity ratio, indicating financial stability and low leverage risk. The return on equity has been moderate, showing room for improvement in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is healthy, suggesting a solid capital structure.

Cash Flow

The cash flow statement reveals challenges in free cash flow generation, with negative free cash flow in recent years. The operating cash flow to net income ratio has been low, indicating potential issues in converting income into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio has also been weak, suggesting inefficiencies in cash management.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	13.15B	13.15B	13.71B	15.69B	16.34B	16.09B
Gross Profit	3.17B	3.17B	4.06B	5.95B	7.41B	7.23B
EBITDA	2.71B	3.00B	3.86B	5.91B	7.73B	7.58B
Net Income	1.79B	1.79B	5.12B	3.26B	3.11B	4.13B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	114.90B	114.90B	118.55B	116.33B	112.93B	112.59B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	29.55B	29.55B	39.33B	31.65B	33.53B	32.20B
Total Debt	1.12B	1.12B	1.53B	2.01B	2.35B	2.86B
Total Liabilities	14.07B	14.07B	15.73B	15.93B	17.78B	18.82B
Stockholders Equity	100.23B	100.23B	102.23B	99.84B	94.56B	93.11B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	0.00	-1.01B	1.56B	-746.00M	2.88B	1.96B
Operating Cash Flow	0.00	442.00M	2.81B	921.00M	5.14B	3.72B
Investing Cash Flow	0.00	-5.32B	7.23B	-1.51B	-2.29B	-1.46B
Financing Cash Flow	0.00	-4.96B	-2.36B	-1.29B	-1.52B	-2.52B

TOC Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 820.00
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Negative
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8841, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 820 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 792.05, above the 50-day MA of 739.54, and above the 200-day MA of 673.18, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 21.80 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 71.28 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.44 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:8841.

TOC Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
8841	64 Neutral	€76.74B	41.57	1.87%	1.22%	2.97%	-62.10%
Sector *	63 Neutral	$7.09B	13.59	-0.50%	6.85%	4.08%	-25.24%
NFU	―	€157.66M	9.31	4.24%	―	―	―
8877	82 Outperform	¥81.62B	11.26		3.40%	-18.65%	-30.68%
8864	80 Outperform	¥53.19B	16.31		1.87%	28.90%	51.06%
8818	70 Outperform	¥74.56B	17.66		2.51%	3.73%	23.40%
8928	70 Outperform	¥23.21B	6.24		2.67%	-2.62%	-23.15%