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Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group (JP:8306)
:8306
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Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group (8306) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:8306

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group

(OTC:8306)

Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
¥2,551.00
▲(15.93% Upside)
The overall stock score of 75 reflects strong technical momentum and a reasonable valuation, supported by solid financial performance. However, high leverage and negative free cash flow are potential risks that need to be addressed. The absence of recent earnings call data and corporate events limits further insights.
Positive Factors
Dividends
FY24 dividend raised to JPY64/share; management sees higher dividends ahead.
Profit Targets
Management targets a new record net profit of JPY2tn in FY25F.
Share Repurchase
MUFG announced plans to repurchase approximately an additional JPY 300bn worth of MUFG shares during FY24F.
Negative Factors
Asset Quality
Worsening asset quality in Japan, US, and rest of Asia poses downside risks.
Currency Strength
A stronger yen presents potential downside risks for the company.
Interest Rates
Downside risks include decline in US and domestic interest rates.

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group (8306) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Inc. (MUFG) is a prominent financial services company headquartered in Tokyo, Japan. It operates across various sectors, including commercial banking, trust banking, securities, credit cards, and asset management. As one of the largest financial groups in the world, MUFG offers a comprehensive range of financial products and services to retail, corporate, and institutional clients globally. The company is known for its strong presence in Japan and its extensive network of branches and subsidiaries across the Americas, Asia, and Europe.
How the Company Makes MoneyMitsubishi UFJ Financial Group generates revenue through multiple channels. Its primary revenue streams include interest income from its commercial and retail banking operations, which involves lending activities such as personal loans, mortgages, and corporate financing. The company also earns fees and commissions from its trust banking, securities brokerage, and asset management services. Additionally, MUFG benefits from its credit card business, which generates transaction fees and interest income. Strategic partnerships and investments, such as those with other financial institutions and technology firms, further enhance its revenue base by expanding its service offerings and customer reach. The company's earnings are also influenced by factors such as interest rate fluctuations, economic conditions, and regulatory changes, which can impact its lending and investment activities.

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 30, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 17, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong performance for MUFG in the first half of FY'24, with record high net operating profits and net income, significant progress towards annual targets, and successful expense management. However, challenges in the treasury business, increased G&A expenses, and FX fluctuations were noted. Overall, the highlights significantly outweigh the lowlights.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record High Net Operating Profits
For the first half of FY'24, net operating profits were JPY1,305.3 billion, up by JPY219.5 billion year-on-year, marking the third consecutive year of record high first half profits.
Significant Increase in Net Income
Net income reached JPY1,258.1 billion, the highest profit since MUFG was established, and the first time profit exceeded JPY1 trillion in the first half.
Strong Progress Towards Annual Targets
Progress towards the JPY1.5 trillion target set at the beginning of the year is 83%, prompting an upward revision of the target for profits attributable to owners of parent to JPY1,750 billion.
Successful Expense Management
Expense ratio improved by 1.1 percentage points year-on-year to 55.1%, thanks to successful expense controls coupled with gross profit increase.
Increase in Dividends and Share Buybacks
Annual dividend forecast raised to JPY60, an increase of JPY19 compared to FY'23, along with additional share repurchase of up to JPY300 billion.
Negative Updates
Decline in Treasury Business Profits
Global markets business group's profits in the treasury business decreased due to the limited decline in US interest rates.
Increase in G&A Expenses
G&A expenses increased by JPY204.8 billion year-on-year due to overseas acquisitions, resource allocation for growth, and overseas compensation costs due to inflation.
Impact of FX Fluctuations
The FX impact resulted in a stronger Yen against the Dollar and weaker Yen against the Thai Baht, affecting gross profits and expenses.
Company Guidance
During the financial results briefing for the first half of the fiscal year ending March 31, 2025, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group (MUFG) provided updated performance metrics and revised targets. The Group recorded net operating profits of JPY1,305.3 billion, a year-on-year increase of JPY219.5 billion, marking its third consecutive year of record high first-half profits. Net income reached JPY1,258.1 billion, the highest since MUFG's establishment, and surpassed JPY1 trillion for the first time in the first half. Excluding changes in financial results closing dates for Morgan Stanley and Krungsri, profits increased by JPY391.5 billion. The Group achieved 83% progress towards its JPY1.5 trillion target set for the year. Key profit drivers included strong customer segment performance and gains on the sale of equity holdings. MUFG revised its net income target upwards by JPY250 billion to JPY1,750 billion and increased its annual dividend forecast to JPY60, alongside a JPY300 billion share repurchase plan. The Group's CET1 ratio stood at 11.2%, with a commitment to maintaining a target range of 9.5% to 10.5% while focusing on shareholder returns and intrinsic profit growth.

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group demonstrates solid profitability and efficiency with strong profit margins and ROE. However, high leverage and negative free cash flow in the latest period pose potential risks. The company should focus on improving cash flow management and stabilizing revenue growth to enhance financial stability.
Income Statement
75
Positive
The company shows a strong gross profit margin of 56.55% and a stable net profit margin of 14.98% for the most recent year. Revenue growth has been volatile with significant fluctuations, but the overall trend is positive. EBIT and EBITDA margins indicate solid operational efficiency despite past downturns.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The debt-to-equity ratio is high at 4.35, suggesting substantial leverage. However, the equity ratio is stable at 4.97%, reflecting a balanced asset structure. Return on equity is strong at 9.08%, indicating effective utilization of equity capital.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Operating cash flow is generally positive, but the free cash flow is negative for the latest period, raising concerns about capital expenditures and investment strategies. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy, yet negative free cash flow growth suggests potential liquidity constraints.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue12.43T12.43T10.89T8.43T5.25T5.33T
Gross Profit7.03T7.03T5.38T5.38T4.37T4.04T
EBITDA2.25T2.97T2.41T1.90T1.85T1.40T
Net Income1.86T1.86T1.49T1.12T1.13T777.02B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>
Total Debt89.40T89.40T25.75T47.28T19.11T18.09T
Total Liabilities10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>
Stockholders Equity20.52T20.52T19.59T17.23T17.02T16.80T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-450.29B-10.31T13.03T9.46T34.51T
Operating Cash Flow0.006.42B-9.84T13.43T9.84T34.90T
Investing Cash Flow0.00-186.95B3.99T-10.68T-2.20T-10.14T
Financing Cash Flow0.00-861.12B8.31B-977.14B-1.08T-436.07B

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2200.50
Price Trends
50DMA
2114.98
Positive
100DMA
1992.22
Positive
200DMA
1929.39
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
37.78
Positive
RSI
55.19
Neutral
STOCH
31.10
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8306, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2200.5 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2249.35, above the 50-day MA of 2114.98, and above the 200-day MA of 1929.39, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 37.78 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 55.19 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 31.10 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:8306.

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
¥25.70T14.229.43%2.91%0.95%27.41%
68
Neutral
$18.05B11.7310.24%3.73%9.66%1.70%
$23.48B16.008.46%1.60%
$45.99B16.274.73%3.09%
$81.90B13.778.69%2.87%
$21.08B8.7211.06%3.71%
$106.22B13.258.23%6.05%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:8306
Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group
2,247.50
810.53
56.41%
RSNHF
Resona Holdings
9.95
2.74
38.00%
JPSTF
Japan Post Bank Co
12.77
3.40
36.29%
MZHOF
Mizuho Financial Group
31.10
11.92
62.15%
NRSCF
Nomura Holdings
7.18
1.94
37.02%
SMFNF
Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group
27.50
6.42
30.46%

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Corporate Events

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Reports Interim Financial Results
Aug 7, 2025

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group announced the completion of an interim review of its quarterly consolidated financial statements for the three months ended June 30, 2025, under Japanese GAAP. The results showed a decline in ordinary income, ordinary profits, and profits attributable to owners compared to the previous year, reflecting challenges in the current economic and market environment. Despite this, the company maintains its earnings target for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, indicating a stable outlook amidst uncertainties.

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Reports Q1 2025 Financial Results
Aug 4, 2025

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group reported a decline in ordinary income, ordinary profits, and profits attributable to owners for the three months ending June 30, 2025, compared to the previous year. Despite this, the company maintains its earnings target for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, highlighting its resilience amid economic uncertainties. The financial report also notes a stable equity-to-asset ratio and an increase in dividend forecasts, indicating a commitment to shareholder returns.

MUFG Completes Significant Stock Repurchase
Aug 1, 2025

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group (MUFG) has completed a significant repurchase of its common stock, acquiring 39,775,700 shares for approximately ¥80 billion through market purchases on the Tokyo Stock Exchange. This repurchase is part of a broader resolution by the Board of Directors to buy back up to 175 million shares, aiming to enhance shareholder value and optimize capital structure. The move reflects MUFG’s strategic efforts to strengthen its market position and deliver value to its stakeholders.

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Aligns Fiscal Year-End for Timely Reporting
Jul 8, 2025

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group reported its consolidated financial results for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2025, under U.S. GAAP. The company made a significant change by aligning the fiscal year-end of its subsidiary, Bank of Ayudhya, with its own, which was applied retrospectively. The Group’s total revenue increased compared to the previous year, although net income slightly decreased. The financial condition showed an increase in total assets and shareholders’ equity, while cash flow from operating activities turned positive. These adjustments aim to enhance the timeliness and accuracy of financial reporting, potentially impacting stakeholders by providing more synchronized financial data.

MUFG Reports Progress on Stock Repurchase Program
Jun 2, 2025

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group (MUFG) has announced the progress of its common stock repurchase program, in which it has repurchased over 27 million shares at a cost exceeding ¥54 billion. This move is part of a larger initiative authorized by the Board of Directors to repurchase up to 175 million shares, valued at up to ¥250 billion, through market purchases on the Tokyo Stock Exchange. The repurchase is aimed at enhancing shareholder value and optimizing the company’s capital structure.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 29, 2025