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Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group (JP:8306)
:8306
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Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group (8306) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:8306

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group

(OTC:8306)

Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
¥2,195.00
▲(4.65%Upside)
Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group's stock is rated positively due to strong financial performance with high profit margins and effective equity utilization. Technical indicators suggest bullish momentum. Valuation appears reasonable with a good dividend yield. However, high leverage and challenges from rising credit costs and global market segment concerns temper the overall outlook.
Positive Factors
Dividends
FY24 dividend raised to JPY64/share; management sees higher dividends ahead.
Profit Targets
Management targets a new record net profit of JPY2tn in FY25F.
Share Repurchase
MUFG announced plans to repurchase approximately an additional JPY 300bn worth of MUFG shares during FY24F.
Negative Factors
Asset Quality
Worsening asset quality in Japan, US and rest of Asia poses a risk.
Currency Fluctuations
A stronger yen as well as higher capital requirements globally could negatively affect the stock.
Interest Rates
Downside risks include decline in US and domestic interest rates, changes in expectations for BOJ to normalise monetary policy.

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group (8306) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Inc. (MUFG) is a prominent financial services company headquartered in Tokyo, Japan. It operates across various sectors, including commercial banking, trust banking, securities, credit cards, and asset management. As one of the largest financial groups in the world, MUFG offers a comprehensive range of financial products and services to retail, corporate, and institutional clients globally. The company is known for its strong presence in Japan and its extensive network of branches and subsidiaries across the Americas, Asia, and Europe.
How the Company Makes MoneyMitsubishi UFJ Financial Group generates revenue through multiple channels. Its primary revenue streams include interest income from its commercial and retail banking operations, which involves lending activities such as personal loans, mortgages, and corporate financing. The company also earns fees and commissions from its trust banking, securities brokerage, and asset management services. Additionally, MUFG benefits from its credit card business, which generates transaction fees and interest income. Strategic partnerships and investments, such as those with other financial institutions and technology firms, further enhance its revenue base by expanding its service offerings and customer reach. The company's earnings are also influenced by factors such as interest rate fluctuations, economic conditions, and regulatory changes, which can impact its lending and investment activities.

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 15, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: 7.84%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 04, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted significant achievements such as record high profits and increased shareholder returns, but it also addressed rising credit costs and challenges in the Global Markets segment. While the highlights are notable, the lowlights reflect substantial challenges that could impact future performance.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Record High Net Operating Profit
Net operating profit increased by ¥249.4 billion, reaching ¥1,843.7 billion, the highest in MUFG's history.
Profit Increase Due to Morgan Stanley's Accounting Change
Profits attributable to owners of parent increased by ¥374.2 billion to ¥1,490.7 billion, aided by Morgan Stanley's change of closing date.
Reduction in General and Administrative Expenses
G&A expenses decreased by ¥19.9 billion year-on-year, despite inflation and yen depreciation.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns
Dividend per common stock forecast increased to ¥50, a ¥9 increase for two consecutive years. A ¥100 billion share repurchase was also announced.
Negative Updates
Increase in Total Credit Cost
Total credit cost amounted to ¥497.9 billion, reflecting increased overseas allowances and no reversal of reserves from the previous year.
Decline in Global Markets Profit
Global Markets segment posted a profit decrease due to increased foreign currency funding costs and portfolio rebalancing.
Challenges with Nonperforming Loans
Nonperforming loans increased, particularly due to individual overseas companies, resulting in a slight rise in the NPL ratio.
Company Guidance
In the Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group's fiscal year 2024 financial highlights briefing, significant metrics were discussed by CFO Jun Togawa. Gross profits increased by ¥229.5 billion year-on-year, with net operating profit reaching a record high of ¥1,843.7 billion. The expense ratio improved to 61%, down 3.5 percentage points year-on-year. Total credit cost amounted to ¥497.9 billion, reflecting changes in overseas allowances. Profits attributable to owners of parent rose by ¥374.2 billion to ¥1,490.7 billion, marking the highest profit in MUFG's history. The ROE was reported at 8.5% or 8.1% excluding effects from Morgan Stanley. The CET1 ratio stood at 10.1%, within the new MTBP target range. For fiscal year 2024, the target for profits attributable to owners of parent is ¥1.5 trillion, and the dividend per common stock is forecasted at ¥50, with a share repurchase of up to ¥100 billion. The new medium-term business plan aims for an ROE of around 9% by fiscal year 2026, with strategic focuses including expanding growth strategies and driving social and environmental progress.

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group exhibits strong profitability with a gross profit margin of 56.55% and a stable net profit margin of 14.98%. Solid ROE at 9.08% indicates effective equity use, but high leverage and negative free cash flow pose potential risks.
Income Statement
75
Positive
The company shows a strong gross profit margin of 56.55% and a stable net profit margin of 14.98% for the most recent year. Revenue growth has been volatile with significant fluctuations, but the overall trend is positive. EBIT and EBITDA margins indicate solid operational efficiency despite past downturns.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The debt-to-equity ratio is high at 4.35, suggesting substantial leverage. However, the equity ratio is stable at 4.97%, reflecting a balanced asset structure. Return on equity is strong at 9.08%, indicating effective utilization of equity capital.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Operating cash flow is generally positive, but the free cash flow is negative for the latest period, raising concerns about capital expenditures and investment strategies. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy, yet negative free cash flow growth suggests potential liquidity constraints.
BreakdownMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue12.43T5.22T4.00T5.25T5.33T
Gross Profit7.03T5.22T4.00T4.37T4.04T
EBITDA2.97T2.41T1.90T1.85T1.40T
Net Income1.86T1.49T1.12T1.13T777.02B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>
Total Debt89.40T61.23T47.28T19.11T18.09T
Total Liabilities10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>
Stockholders Equity20.52T19.59T17.23T17.02T16.80T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-450.29B-10.31T13.03T9.25T34.51T
Operating Cash Flow6.42B-9.84T13.43T9.64T34.90T
Investing Cash Flow-186.95B-1.27T-10.68T-2.20T-10.14T
Financing Cash Flow-861.12B8.31B-977.14B-875.97B-436.07B

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2097.50
Price Trends
50DMA
1972.78
Positive
100DMA
1909.52
Positive
200DMA
1832.51
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
17.21
Negative
RSI
70.31
Negative
STOCH
50.99
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8306, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2097.5 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1987.30, above the 50-day MA of 1972.78, and above the 200-day MA of 1832.51, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 17.21 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 70.31 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 50.99 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:8306.

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
¥15.53T12.677.92%3.05%5.50%24.85%
78
Outperform
¥2.90T8.859.88%3.71%13.94%109.60%
76
Outperform
$11.04T12.568.45%2.78%7.33%30.52%
75
Outperform
¥23.73T13.119.18%3.05%10.98%28.45%
74
Outperform
$6.14T14.584.38%3.38%-15.25%16.43%
68
Neutral
¥760.77B10.937.55%3.20%7.81%14.63%
66
Neutral
¥3.39T14.987.67%1.70%18.56%44.11%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:8306
Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group
2,171.50
551.22
34.02%
JP:8604
Nomura Holdings
991.60
158.41
19.01%
JP:8308
Resona Holdings
1,472.00
483.73
48.95%
JP:8316
Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group
4,002.00
640.60
19.06%
JP:8411
Mizuho Financial Group
4,553.00
1,423.72
45.50%
JP:7182
Japan Post Bank Co
1,717.00
283.03
19.74%

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Corporate Events

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Aligns Fiscal Year-End for Timely Reporting
Jul 8, 2025

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group reported its consolidated financial results for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2025, under U.S. GAAP. The company made a significant change by aligning the fiscal year-end of its subsidiary, Bank of Ayudhya, with its own, which was applied retrospectively. The Group’s total revenue increased compared to the previous year, although net income slightly decreased. The financial condition showed an increase in total assets and shareholders’ equity, while cash flow from operating activities turned positive. These adjustments aim to enhance the timeliness and accuracy of financial reporting, potentially impacting stakeholders by providing more synchronized financial data.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8306) stock is a Buy with a Yen2150.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group stock, see the JP:8306 Stock Forecast page.

MUFG Reports Progress on Stock Repurchase Program
Jun 2, 2025

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group (MUFG) has announced the progress of its common stock repurchase program, in which it has repurchased over 27 million shares at a cost exceeding ¥54 billion. This move is part of a larger initiative authorized by the Board of Directors to repurchase up to 175 million shares, valued at up to ¥250 billion, through market purchases on the Tokyo Stock Exchange. The repurchase is aimed at enhancing shareholder value and optimizing the company’s capital structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8306) stock is a Buy with a Yen2150.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group stock, see the JP:8306 Stock Forecast page.

MUFG Announces Stock Repurchase to Enhance Shareholder Returns
May 15, 2025

MUFG has announced a decision to repurchase up to 175 million of its common shares, representing 1.52% of its total outstanding shares, with a maximum repurchase price of ¥250 billion. This move is part of MUFG’s strategy to enhance shareholder returns and improve capital efficiency, considering its business performance, capital situation, and market conditions.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8306) stock is a Buy with a Yen2150.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group stock, see the JP:8306 Stock Forecast page.

MUFG Reports Strong Financial Growth for Fiscal Year 2025
May 15, 2025

MUFG reported a significant increase in its consolidated financial results for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2025, compared to the previous year. The rise in ordinary income, profits, and earnings per share was primarily driven by higher interest income from securities and receivables under resale agreements. This financial growth underscores MUFG’s strong market positioning and its ability to capitalize on interest income opportunities, potentially benefiting stakeholders and reinforcing its status as a leading financial group.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8306) stock is a Buy with a Yen2150.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group stock, see the JP:8306 Stock Forecast page.

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Reports Strong Fiscal Year 2025 Results
May 15, 2025

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group reported a significant increase in its financial performance for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2025, with a 14.6% rise in ordinary income and a 25% increase in profits attributable to owners of the parent. The company has also announced a higher dividend payout, reflecting its strong financial position and commitment to returning value to shareholders. These results indicate a positive impact on the company’s operations and its competitive positioning in the financial services industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8306) stock is a Buy with a Yen2150.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group stock, see the JP:8306 Stock Forecast page.

MUFG Board Opposes Shareholder Proposals on Audit and Climate Policy
May 15, 2025

MUFG’s Board of Directors has decided to oppose shareholder proposals presented for the upcoming Annual General Meeting. The proposals involve amendments to the Articles of Incorporation related to financial risk audits and climate change transition plans. The Board argues that existing audit processes and disclosures are sufficient and that stipulating such matters in the Articles of Incorporation is unnecessary. Additionally, while MUFG acknowledges the importance of assessing clients’ climate transition plans, it does not believe these should solely dictate financing decisions, emphasizing a broader risk management approach.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8306) stock is a Buy with a Yen2150.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group stock, see the JP:8306 Stock Forecast page.

MUFG Revises Earnings Target and Dividend Forecast for FY 2025
Apr 30, 2025

MUFG has revised its earnings target and dividend forecast for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2025, reflecting recent business performance trends. The company increased its earnings target by ¥110 billion to ¥1,860 billion due to one-time profits from the sale of equity holdings and loan loss provision reversals, despite a decrease in net operating profits. Additionally, MUFG raised its year-end dividend forecast from ¥35.00 to ¥39.00 per share, aiming for a stable increase in dividends through profit growth and maintaining a disciplined capital management approach.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 27, 2025