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Soda Nikka Co., Ltd. (JP:8158)
:8158
Japanese Market

Soda Nikka Co., Ltd. (8158) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:8158

Soda Nikka Co., Ltd.

(8158)

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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
¥1,207.00
▲(11.45% Upside)
Soda Nikka Co., Ltd. has a solid financial foundation with improving profitability and a strong balance sheet, which are significant strengths. However, the bearish technical indicators and fair valuation suggest caution. The lack of earnings call data and corporate events means these factors do not influence the score.
Positive Factors
Balance Sheet Strength
Very low leverage and rising equity provide durable financial flexibility. This conservative capital structure reduces refinancing risk, supports capex or M&A optionality, and underpins creditworthiness—helping the company weather cyclical downturns and invest in long-term growth.
Consistent Revenue Growth
Steady top-line expansion indicates persistent demand and stable market positioning. Predictable revenue growth enables better capacity planning, incremental scale benefits, and supports long-term product development and distribution investments versus volatile sales profiles.
Improving Profitability
Rising net margins and stable gross margins point to sustainable operational improvements and better cost control. Improved profitability enhances retained earnings and cash generation capacity, enabling reinvestment in brand, R&D, and distribution for continued secular competitiveness.
Negative Factors
Volatile Cash Flows
Inconsistent cash conversion creates uncertainty for funding capex, dividends, and working capital needs. Volatility raises the risk that management may need external financing during weak cash years, reducing the company’s ability to consistently fund strategic investments or return capital.
Declining EPS Trend
Negative EPS growth signals per-share earnings pressure despite revenue and margin gains. This may reflect one-off items, dilution, or operational volatility and can constrain long-term shareholder returns and limit management flexibility to pursue buybacks or raise distributions consistently.
Modest Return on Equity
While improving, a sub-10% ROE suggests only moderate capital efficiency. Sustaining attractive long-term shareholder value requires higher returns; modest ROE can limit the pace of equity-driven growth and make funding high-return investments or rewarding shareholders more challenging.

Soda Nikka Co., Ltd. (8158) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Soda Nikka Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSoda Nikka Co., Ltd. engages in the trading of chemicals in Japan, Indonesia, China, and the rest of Asia. It offers caustic soda, sodium carbonate, liquid chlorine, hydrochloric acid, sodium bicarbonate, calcium chloride, chlorate, sodium hypochlorite, sodium sulfate, sodium silicate, sodium sulfate compounds, ammonia, uric acid, thiourea, nitric acid, solvents, and petrochemical products; other secondary products from soda; inorganic chemicals; organic fine chemicals; paper pulp chemicals; environmental chemicals; heavy oils; fuel oils; oils and fats; plasticizers; metal soaps; kerosene; animal feed and fertilizers; stabilizers; lubricants; light oils; medicines; antioxidants; coke; salt; and flame retardants. The company also provides synthetic resin materials, synthetic resin products, synthetic resin sub-materials, film base materials and laminated products; printed circuit boards, primary cells and rechargeable batteries, capacitors, connectors, and switches; environment-related equipment, construction works, and materials; industrial waste treatment products; disaster preparedness tools and equipment; thermal insulation films, solar panels, and various systems; wood and metal products; and materials for logistics. In addition, it undertakes the design, manufacture, and contracting work of chemical industry facilities and equipment; and construction and civil engineering work. Soda Nikka Co., Ltd. was founded in 1947 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneySoda Nikka Co., Ltd. generates revenue mainly through the sale and distribution of industrial chemicals. The company's key revenue streams include the direct sale of chemical products to businesses in sectors such as pharmaceuticals, food and beverage, and electronics. Additionally, Soda Nikka Co., Ltd. might engage in strategic partnerships with chemical manufacturers, allowing them to act as distributors or agents for specific products, thereby earning commissions or fees. The company's earnings are also influenced by its ability to maintain competitive pricing, optimize supply chain logistics, and offer value-added services such as technical support and product customization, which help in building long-term customer relationships and driving repeat business.

Soda Nikka Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Soda Nikka Co., Ltd. demonstrates a positive financial trajectory with consistent revenue growth, improved profitability, and a strong balance sheet. The company has low leverage, enhancing financial stability, although cash flow consistency remains an area for improvement.
Income Statement
Soda Nikka Co., Ltd. has shown consistent revenue growth with a CAGR of approximately 2.7% over the past five years, recovering well from a peak in 2021. Gross profit margins have remained stable, averaging around 13.5%, indicating effective cost management. However, the net profit margin has improved from 0.8% in 2021 to 3.4% in 2025, reflecting better operational efficiency. EBITDA margins have also shown improvement, while EBIT margins have been stable, suggesting sound operational performance.
Balance Sheet
The company's balance sheet is strong, with a consistent increase in stockholders' equity and a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.11 in 2025, showcasing low leverage and financial stability. The equity ratio has improved, indicating a conservative capital structure. Return on equity has improved to 7.4% in 2025, reflecting enhanced profitability from equity investments.
Cash Flow
Cash flow analysis reveals fluctuating free cash flows, with a significant drop in 2023, but recovery in 2025. The operating cash flow to net income ratio has been volatile, showing inconsistent cash conversion. However, free cash flow to net income has improved, indicating better cash utilization strategies.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue65.40B65.15B64.13B62.74B55.51B94.59B
Gross Profit9.17B9.07B8.83B8.32B7.32B6.45B
EBITDA2.76B3.78B3.00B2.49B1.47B1.45B
Net Income1.59B2.19B1.85B1.51B1.37B800.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets72.22B73.20B79.50B69.29B60.85B61.44B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.53B7.23B9.70B8.40B7.48B10.83B
Total Debt4.21B3.17B6.17B4.76B2.77B5.04B
Total Liabilities42.65B43.66B50.04B42.85B35.63B35.44B
Stockholders Equity29.57B29.54B29.46B26.44B25.23B26.00B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00620.00M883.00M-574.00M293.00M1.00B
Operating Cash Flow0.003.29B3.43B215.00M452.00M1.26B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-1.84B-2.31B-669.00M594.00M-399.00M
Financing Cash Flow0.00-3.91B147.00M1.34B-4.42B-351.00M

Soda Nikka Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1083.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1037.72
Positive
100DMA
1048.30
Positive
200DMA
1042.17
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
23.31
Negative
RSI
69.01
Neutral
STOCH
70.93
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8158, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1083 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1076.75, above the 50-day MA of 1037.72, and above the 200-day MA of 1042.17, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 23.31 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 69.01 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 70.93 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:8158.

Soda Nikka Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
¥24.30B9.703.53%6.99%-0.30%
77
Outperform
¥7.53B6.491.96%8.43%2.99%
77
Outperform
¥12.93B11.643.89%-3.00%-29.83%
77
Outperform
¥39.30B8.163.53%-3.45%30.52%
66
Neutral
¥34.66B11.930.13%9.78%40.00%
64
Neutral
¥24.07B12.303.99%1.66%-31.23%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:8158
Soda Nikka Co., Ltd.
1,121.00
74.74
7.14%
JP:4025
Taki Chemical Co., Ltd.
4,005.00
845.22
26.75%
JP:4040
NANKAI CHEMICAL COMPANY LIMITED
3,230.00
982.74
43.73%
JP:4093
Toho Acetylene Co., Ltd.
370.00
17.96
5.10%
JP:4463
Nicca Chemical Co., Ltd.
1,542.00
477.55
44.86%
JP:5013
Yushiro Chemical Industry Co., Ltd.
2,888.00
901.99
45.42%

Soda Nikka Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Soda Nikka Co., Ltd. Announces Merger with Subsidiary NISSHIN Co., Ltd.
Nov 17, 2025

Soda Nikka Co., Ltd. has announced its decision to merge with its wholly owned subsidiary, NISSHIN Co., Ltd., effective April 1, 2026. This strategic move aims to enhance business value by concentrating and streamlining management resources. The merger will result in the dissolution of NISSHIN, with Soda Nikka as the surviving entity. This merger is expected to impact the company’s operational efficiency and market positioning positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8158) stock is a Hold with a Yen1128.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Soda Nikka Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:8158 Stock Forecast page.

Soda Nikka Co., Ltd. Announces Stable Interim Dividend
Nov 6, 2025

Soda Nikka Co., Ltd. has announced an interim dividend of 20 yen per share for the fiscal year ending March 2026, maintaining the same rate as their previous forecast. This decision reflects the company’s commitment to stable profit distribution and financial strengthening, with a total dividend payout of 459 million yen, highlighting an increase from the previous fiscal year’s interim dividend.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8158) stock is a Hold with a Yen1128.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Soda Nikka Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:8158 Stock Forecast page.

Soda Nikka Co., Ltd. Reports Strong Financial Performance for H1 2025
Nov 6, 2025

Soda Nikka Co., Ltd. reported its consolidated financial results for the six months ended September 30, 2025, showing a 3.7% increase in net sales and a 4.7% rise in operating profit compared to the previous year. Despite a slight decline in profit attributable to owners of the parent, the company experienced significant growth in comprehensive income, reflecting a strong financial position. The company plans to maintain its dividend payments and has forecasted continued growth for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8158) stock is a Hold with a Yen1128.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Soda Nikka Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:8158 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 01, 2025