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KOSAIDO Holdings Co.Ltd. (JP:7868)
:7868
Japanese Market
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KOSAIDO Holdings Co.Ltd. (7868) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:7868

KOSAIDO Holdings Co.Ltd.

(7868)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
¥706.00
▲(56.19% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/17/26
The score is driven primarily by improved profitability, reduced leverage, and strong 2026 free cash flow, tempered by revenue decline and prior cash-flow volatility. Technicals are supportive with a clear uptrend above major moving averages, while valuation appears reasonable with a moderate dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Improved Profitability
Material margin improvement to ~38% gross and ~19% operating in 2026 indicates the company has enhanced cost controls or a favorable revenue mix. Sustained higher margins increase operating leverage, improving long-term earnings resilience and cash generation across business cycles.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline / Top-line Volatility
Recent revenue contraction and multi-year top-line swings highlight demand or market-share challenges. Persistent or recurring declines constrain sustainable earnings growth, limit margin expansion benefits and may force cost measures that weaken long-term competitive positioning if not addressed.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Improved Profitability
Material margin improvement to ~38% gross and ~19% operating in 2026 indicates the company has enhanced cost controls or a favorable revenue mix. Sustained higher margins increase operating leverage, improving long-term earnings resilience and cash generation across business cycles.
Read all positive factors

KOSAIDO Holdings Co.Ltd. (7868) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

KOSAIDO Holdings Co.Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
KOSAIDO Holdings Co., Ltd. operates as a printing company in Japan. The company offers offset, newspaper, digital, and package printing services. It also provides human resource services, including recruitment media, human resource development/ ed...
How the Company Makes Money
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KOSAIDO Holdings Co.Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability and balance-sheet strength have improved (2026 gross margin ~38%, operating margin ~19%, debt-to-equity down to ~0.32), and 2026 cash generation is strong (FCF ~¥17.5B). Offsetting this, revenue declined ~3.9% in 2026 and cash flow has been volatile (negative OCF/FCF in 2025), reducing confidence in consistency.
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Cash Flow
66
Positive
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue37.69B36.23B38.30B35.46B36.67B35.36B
Gross Profit15.48B13.80B16.15B13.47B12.28B10.87B
EBITDA9.35B8.73B9.61B8.85B6.77B6.51B
Net Income4.06B4.74B4.46B4.34B4.04B3.64B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets75.30B71.97B77.26B77.41B71.13B73.74B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments13.98B22.42B15.71B22.97B18.70B21.66B
Total Debt21.36B15.93B23.02B22.91B24.06B29.32B
Total Liabilities27.20B22.43B29.31B30.43B29.70B36.21B
Stockholders Equity47.96B49.38B47.76B46.74B41.26B37.43B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.0017.55B-10.73B6.98B4.42B2.65B
Operating Cash Flow0.0020.85B-8.45B10.00B6.29B3.66B
Investing Cash Flow0.00676.00M4.09B-9.02B-3.94B-700.00M
Financing Cash Flow0.00-10.81B-2.94B-712.00M-5.40B5.54B

KOSAIDO Holdings Co.Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price452.00
Price Trends
50DMA
540.82
Positive
100DMA
507.08
Positive
200DMA
469.22
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
42.15
Negative
RSI
65.56
Neutral
STOCH
40.63
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:7868, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 452 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 615.90, below the 50-day MA of 540.82, and below the 200-day MA of 469.22, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 42.15 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.56 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 40.63 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:7868.

KOSAIDO Holdings Co.Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
¥98.63B14.212.88%-5.41%10.29%
70
Outperform
¥17.48B16.511.49%0.06%5.50%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
61
Neutral
¥34.34B18.142.59%0.68%33.74%
60
Neutral
¥66.07B10.292.18%6.54%140.15%
56
Neutral
¥6.17B16.242.29%-0.18%-65.47%
54
Neutral
¥16.72B30.451.13%3.36%-15.06%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:7868
KOSAIDO Holdings Co.Ltd.
690.00
243.09
54.39%
JP:9307
Sugimura Warehouse Co., Ltd.
1,055.00
285.45
37.09%
JP:9313
Maruhachi Warehouse Company Limited
1,036.00
177.23
20.64%
JP:9319
Chuo Warehouse Co., Ltd.
1,799.00
420.39
30.49%
JP:9322
Kawanishi Warehouse Co., Ltd.
2,188.00
1,143.49
109.48%
JP:9324
Yasuda Logistics Corporation
2,361.00
589.12
33.25%

KOSAIDO Holdings Co.Ltd. Corporate Events

KOSAIDO Holdings Raises Annual Dividend, Signaling Stronger Shareholder Returns
May 15, 2026
KOSAIDO Holdings has announced a year-end dividend of 6.67 yen per share for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2026, in line with its previous dividend forecast. The total dividend payout will be 986 million yen, sourced from retained earnings, with...
KOSAIDO Profit Rises for Sixth Year Despite Revenue Hit From One-Off Factors
May 15, 2026
KOSAIDO Holdings reported full-year results for FY03/26 showing declines in net sales and operating and ordinary profit compared with the previous year and its initial forecast, mainly due to a drop in the number of deaths in Tokyo and the absence...
KOSAIDO Posts Higher Profit Amid Lower Sales and Boosts Dividend, Sees Revenue Rebound in FY2027
May 15, 2026
KOSAIDO Holdings reported fiscal 2026 consolidated net sales of ¥36.2 billion, down 5.4% year on year, as operating and ordinary profit both declined by roughly 19%, but profit attributable to owners of parent rose 6.2% to ¥4.7 billion, ...
KOSAIDO Cuts Full-Year Forecast but Maintains Dividend as It Retools Funeral and Inheritance Businesses
Apr 28, 2026
KOSAIDO Holdings has revised its consolidated earnings forecast for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, cutting projected net sales from ¥39.75 billion to ¥36.22 billion and operating income from ¥8.35 billion to ¥6.74 billi...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 17, 2026