Nakamoto Packs Co. Ltd. (7811) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: ¥16.41B
• Dividend Yield: 3.62%
• Average Volume (3M): 17.88K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 6.6
• Beta (1Y): 0.37
• Revenue Growth: 7.07%
• EPS Growth: 79.18%
• Country: JP
• Employees: 924
• Sector: Industrials
• Sector Strength: 72
• Industry: Specialty Business Services
• EPS (TTM): 68.61
• Shares Outstanding: 8,920,791
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 31,720
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 17,876
• PEG Ratio: 0.10
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.78
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.31
• P/FCF Ratio: 12.71
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): 271.2
• Revenue Forecast (FY): ¥54.50B

• Rating: 83 Outperform
• Price Target: ¥2,246.00 ▲(16.13% Upside)
• Action: Reiterated Date: 07/26/25
• Date: Action: Reiterated 07/26/25

The overall stock score for Nakamoto Packs Co. Ltd. is strong, driven by its robust financial health, attractive valuation, and positive technical indicators. The company's low P/E ratio and high dividend yield highlight its undervaluation, while technical analysis suggests bullish momentum. Financial stability is supported by solid revenue growth and efficient cost management, despite some concerns over cash flow trends.

Positive Factors

Revenue and margin strength

Double-digit revenue growth (10.75%) combined with a solid gross margin (17.51%) and improving net margin indicates durable demand and effective cost control. Over the next several months this supports reinvestment, pricing power and operational resilience, underpinning sustainable earnings expansion.

Balanced capital structure

A nearly 50% equity ratio and modest debt-to-equity (0.43) reflect a conservative financing posture that preserves flexibility. With ROE at 10.41%, the company deploys capital efficiently. This balance supports medium-term capacity for capex, dividends or opportunistic M&A without overleveraging.

Positive free cash flow

Despite some weakening in operating cash flow, maintained positive free cash flow and a FCF-to-net-income ratio of 0.59 show ongoing cash generation and prudent capex. Sustained FCF provides a durable source to fund dividends, debt service and strategic investments while limiting reliance on external financing.

Negative Factors

Declining operating cash flow

A falling trend in operating cash flow and slowing free cash flow growth can erode liquidity buffers over months. If persistent, weaker cash conversion reduces internal funding for working capital and capex, may raise borrowing needs, and constrains the company's ability to execute longer-term strategic plans.

Rising total liabilities

Even with moderate leverage today, an uptick in total liabilities reduces financial headroom. Continued liabilities growth relative to earnings could elevate interest costs and refinancing risk, potentially tightening covenant and capital allocation flexibility over the medium term if earnings do not keep pace.

Relatively thin net margin

An absolute net margin near 4% leaves limited profit buffer against cost inflation or revenue pressure. Low margin levels constrain retained earnings available for reinvestment and make the business more sensitive to margin compression, reducing resilience to adverse industry or macro shocks over several months.

Nakamoto Packs Co. Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Nakamoto Packs Co.,Ltd. provides gravure printing services in Japan and internationally. The company offers double sided fixed position printing, coater processing, sheet printing, dry lamination, decorative sheets for building materials, flexible packaging materials, special bags, rotary screen-printing processing, and non-woven fiber printing. It also provides coatings for electronic components, pharmaceutical packaging materials, building materials, household goods, and automotive interior materials; special molding materials; electric conduction polymer coating; functional films; and synthesized paper, as well as engages in plate making activities. The company was founded in 1941 and is headquartered in Osaka, Japan.

How the Company Makes Money

Nakamoto Packs Co. Ltd. generates revenue primarily through the sale of its packaging products to businesses across multiple sectors. The company operates on a B2B model, providing custom packaging solutions tailored to clients' specifications. Key revenue streams include direct sales to manufacturers and retailers, long-term contracts with large corporations for bulk orders, and licensing agreements for proprietary packaging designs. Additionally, Nakamoto Packs may leverage partnerships with suppliers and distributors to enhance its market reach and efficiency, further contributing to its earnings. The emphasis on sustainable packaging also aligns with growing consumer demand for environmentally friendly products, providing a competitive advantage and potentially increasing sales.

Nakamoto Packs Co. Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Nakamoto Packs Co. Ltd. demonstrates strong financial health with growing revenues and efficient cost management. The balance sheet reflects stability with a balanced leverage approach, while the cash flow statement indicates effective cash management despite some recent declines. Continuous monitoring of cash flows and liabilities is recommended to sustain financial stability.

Income Statement

Nakamoto Packs Co. Ltd. shows strong revenue growth with a 10.75% increase from the previous year. The company maintains a robust gross profit margin of 17.51% and an improved net profit margin of 4.09%. EBIT and EBITDA margins also show positive trends, reflecting effective cost management and operational efficiency. These factors contribute to a solid income statement performance.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet displays a healthy equity position with an equity ratio of 48.32% and a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.43, indicating a balanced leverage strategy. Return on equity remains strong at 10.41%, showcasing efficient use of shareholder funds. Overall, the company maintains a stable financial position, although there is a slight increase in total liabilities that warrants monitoring.

Cash Flow

Nakamoto Packs Co. Ltd. has shown a decline in operating cash flow, but maintains a positive free cash flow, indicating prudent capital expenditure management. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.59, suggesting adequate cash generation relative to profit. However, the decrease in free cash flow growth rate highlights potential pressures on future cash reserves.

Breakdown	TTM	Feb 2025	Feb 2024	Feb 2023	Feb 2022	Feb 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	49.84B	49.13B	44.36B	43.13B	40.49B	36.03B
Gross Profit	8.96B	8.60B	6.65B	6.48B	6.89B	5.70B
EBITDA	4.55B	4.21B	3.03B	3.51B	3.80B	2.98B
Net Income	2.03B	2.01B	1.06B	1.29B	1.47B	1.32B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	40.11B	39.97B	38.48B	34.58B	33.93B	31.78B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	7.54B	7.64B	7.53B	5.10B	4.88B	3.72B
Total Debt	8.37B	8.28B	8.81B	8.19B	7.99B	8.09B
Total Liabilities	19.77B	19.66B	19.99B	18.11B	18.26B	17.56B
Stockholders Equity	19.35B	19.31B	17.57B	15.40B	14.33B	12.99B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	0.00	1.19B	2.37B	329.96M	1.78B	822.02M
Operating Cash Flow	0.00	2.35B	3.46B	1.55B	3.34B	2.44B
Investing Cash Flow	0.00	-1.16B	-2.53B	-775.72M	-1.63B	-1.73B
Financing Cash Flow	0.00	-1.24B	-32.69M	-683.88M	-782.85M	477.62M

Nakamoto Packs Co. Ltd. Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 1934.00
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:7811, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1934 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1937.75, below the 50-day MA of 1958.63, and above the 200-day MA of 1853.92, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -25.34 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 30.68 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 5.83 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:7811.

Nakamoto Packs Co. Ltd. Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
7811	83 Outperform	¥16.41B	6.60	―	3.62%	7.07%	79.18%
3551	80 Outperform	¥10.02B	2.00	―	2.83%	2.55%	44.60%
7912	75 Outperform	$1.43T	11.76	7.04%	1.47%	3.37%	-31.10%
7914	68 Neutral	¥41.21B	7.42	―	3.71%	-0.04%	93.95%
Sector *	63 Neutral	$10.79B	15.43	7.44%	2.01%	2.89%	-14.66%
4384	62 Neutral	¥115.05B	21.77	19.59%	0.16%	18.08%	136.77%
7916	61 Neutral	¥5.60B	-22.35	―	2.72%	-1.30%	―