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Three F Co., Ltd. (JP:7544)
:7544
Japanese Market

Three F Co., Ltd. (7544) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:7544

Three F Co., Ltd.

(7544)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
¥644.00
▲(13.58% Upside)
Action:N/ADate:01/04/26
The score is primarily driven by improving financial performance (strong 2025 revenue jump, return to profitability, and no debt), balanced by structurally thin margins and a history of earnings/cash-flow volatility. Technically, the stock is in an uptrend but appears overbought, while valuation is supportive with a moderate P/E and a ~2% dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Debt-free balance sheet
A zero-debt balance sheet materially lowers financial risk and preserves strategic optionality. Over a multi-month horizon this durability supports capital allocation for store investment, weathering demand shocks, and prioritizing cash returns or M&A without refinancing pressure.
Sharp 2025 revenue rebound
A ~47% revenue jump in 2025 and return to net profitability indicate improved top-line traction and recovery of core demand. Sustained revenue growth improves fixed-cost absorption and creates a platform for incremental operating leverage if the trend persists over coming quarters.
Supportive free cash flow profile
Consistent positive free cash flow in recent years strengthens internal funding for working capital, capex, and shareholder returns without adding debt. That recurring cash generation enhances long-term financial flexibility and reduces reliance on external financing.
Negative Factors
Structurally thin net margins
Persistently low net margins (~2.1%) constrain the firm's ability to reinvest, absorb cost inflation, or rapidly scale profitably. Over a 2–6 month horizon thin margins mean limited cushion against revenue hiccups and slower improvement in return metrics.
Earnings and cash-flow volatility
Historic swings between loss years and profit years reduce predictability of earnings and free cash flow. This structural volatility complicates planning, capital allocation, and sustaining dividends or consistent reinvestment over the medium term.
Working-capital sensitivity & inconsistent returns
Material sensitivity of cash flow to working-capital movements increases operational risk and can create funding gaps despite no debt. Combined with inconsistent shareholder returns, this signals weaker capital allocation consistency that may persist absent structural improvements.

Three F Co., Ltd. (7544) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Three F Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionThree F Co.,Ltd. engages in the management of convenience and franchise stores in Tokyo, Kanagawa, Chiba, and Saitama; Japan. The company was founded in 1979 and is headquartered in Yokohama, Japan.

Three F Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Revenue accelerated sharply in 2025 and profitability rebounded to positive net income, supported by generally positive free cash flow and a zero-debt balance sheet. Offsetting this, net margins remain thin (~2.1% in 2025) and results have been volatile with multiple recent loss years and uneven cash conversion.
Income Statement
64
Positive
Revenue has improved over time, with a strong jump in 2025 (annual revenue growth of ~47% after modest growth in 2024). Profitability has also recovered meaningfully versus 2021–2023 losses, with 2025 returning to positive net income and stronger operating profit than prior years. However, net margins remain thin (about ~2.1% in 2025), and the business has shown earnings volatility with multiple loss years in the recent history.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet is conservatively positioned with no debt reported across all periods, which materially lowers financial risk. Equity has remained relatively stable and supports the asset base, and returns on equity turned positive again in 2024–2025. The main weakness is that shareholder returns have been inconsistent over the cycle, including negative returns during the loss years.
Cash Flow
67
Positive
Cash generation is generally supportive: free cash flow is positive in most years and was strong in 2024 and 2025. Cash flow tracked earnings reasonably well in 2024–2025 (free cash flow close to net income), but the profile is volatile—2021 posted negative free cash flow, and 2023 operating cash flow was very weak, highlighting sensitivity to working-capital swings and/or uneven underlying cash conversion.
BreakdownTTMFeb 2024Feb 2023Feb 2022Feb 2021Feb 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue14.52B13.91B13.86B13.21B12.26B12.53B
Gross Profit11.47B11.09B10.80B10.13B9.63B9.73B
EBITDA1.28B1.01B941.00M213.00M263.00M223.00M
Net Income381.00M289.00M218.00M-163.00M-85.00M-24.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.49B5.11B4.99B4.35B4.88B5.07B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.34B4.16B4.08B3.41B3.84B3.76B
Total Debt0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Total Liabilities917.00M672.00M821.00M538.00M534.00M526.00M
Stockholders Equity4.06B3.85B3.64B3.49B3.73B3.90B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00473.00M818.00M38.00M323.00M-18.00M
Operating Cash Flow0.00519.00M818.00M38.00M331.00M41.00M
Investing Cash Flow0.00-40.00M35.00M11.00M22.00M-49.00M
Financing Cash Flow0.00-397.00M-185.00M-483.00M-269.00M-247.00M

Three F Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
¥2.42B16.774.73%2.93%-81.08%
78
Outperform
¥5.94B14.341.65%
69
Neutral
¥4.23B14.442.18%
63
Neutral
¥8.09B10.633.67%0.52%-3.78%
62
Neutral
¥3.83B-43.281.55%0.42%13.11%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
48
Neutral
¥4.08B25.110.67%5.74%14.35%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:7544
Three F Co., Ltd.
559.00
141.82
33.99%
JP:2687
CVS Bay Area Inc.
490.00
-38.14
-7.22%
JP:2735
Watts Co., Ltd.
627.00
-40.75
-6.10%
JP:2747
Hokuyu Lucky Co., Ltd.
3,030.00
76.30
2.58%
JP:4380
M-mart, Inc.
1,215.00
-36.35
-2.90%
JP:7515
Maruyoshi Center Inc.
4,390.00
375.52
9.35%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 04, 2026