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Watami Co., Ltd. (JP:7522)
:7522
Japanese Market

Watami Co., Ltd. (7522) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:7522

Watami Co., Ltd.

(7522)

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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
¥1,043.00
▲(13.37% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/19/26
The score is driven primarily by improving financial performance (return to profitability, better leverage, positive cash flow), tempered by still-thin margins and a recent decline in free cash flow. Technicals are only moderately supportive (above shorter-term averages but below the 200-day), while valuation is relatively reasonable due to the low P/E but with a modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Profitability recovery
Watami has moved from loss-making to sustained profitability, with positive EBIT and net margins and modest revenue growth. This recovery boosts operational resilience, supports reinvestment in stores and brands, and establishes a firmer earnings base for multi-quarter cash generation and planning.
Negative Factors
Thin and pressured margins
Despite recovery, margins remain narrow and have slipped from prior-year peaks. Thin margins limit the buffer against input cost inflation or volume shocks, constrain reinvestment capacity, and mean earnings are sensitive to small changes in traffic or commodity/labor costs over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Profitability recovery
Watami has moved from loss-making to sustained profitability, with positive EBIT and net margins and modest revenue growth. This recovery boosts operational resilience, supports reinvestment in stores and brands, and establishes a firmer earnings base for multi-quarter cash generation and planning.
Read all positive factors

Watami Co., Ltd. (7522) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Watami Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Watami Co., Ltd. engages in the food, home food, and agriculture services business in Japan and internationally. The company operates restaurants. It also engages in organic farming, livestock, and dairy businesses; and development, construction, ...
How the Company Makes Money
Watami Co., Ltd. generates revenue primarily through its restaurant operations, which include a wide range of izakaya and other dining establishments across Japan. The company capitalizes on the growing demand for dining out and socializing, attra...

Watami Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Solid turnaround with positive operating and net margins (EBIT ~4.3%, net ~4.2%) and modest revenue growth (~2.1%). Balance sheet is improving (debt-to-equity near ~1.0; ROE ~14.7%), but leverage remains meaningful. Cash flow is positive (FCF ~¥4.0B) yet less consistent with a sharp TTM FCF decline (~-22%) and weaker cash conversion (~0.73x net income).
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
66
Positive
Cash Flow
62
Positive
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue91.94B88.71B82.30B77.92B64.36B60.85B
Gross Profit51.30B48.36B46.63B42.18B32.96B29.58B
EBITDA7.22B7.03B5.55B3.29B-1.37B-7.29B
Net Income3.70B3.52B4.19B1.67B-1.84B-11.56B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets70.47B71.49B64.23B57.05B52.22B44.89B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments38.78B46.13B40.64B35.71B30.83B20.40B
Total Debt23.78B29.08B26.76B24.68B25.02B26.60B
Total Liabilities41.11B44.35B42.06B39.24B37.59B41.49B
Stockholders Equity29.02B26.80B21.89B17.68B14.47B3.24B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.95B5.52B2.80B5.10B-692.00M-6.85B
Operating Cash Flow6.50B6.89B4.74B6.68B1.02B-4.32B
Investing Cash Flow-3.40B-6.56B-3.06B-4.99B-15.37B-3.41B
Financing Cash Flow-1.06B-13.00M59.00M-1.54B10.10B11.64B

Watami Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price920.00
Price Trends
50DMA
953.27
Positive
100DMA
948.84
Positive
200DMA
963.46
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
13.73
Negative
RSI
66.48
Neutral
STOCH
75.72
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:7522, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 920 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 957.26, below the 50-day MA of 953.27, and below the 200-day MA of 963.46, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 13.73 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.48 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 75.72 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:7522.

Watami Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
¥134.20B14.742.09%5.78%10.26%
66
Neutral
¥185.28B27.131.65%9.59%8.08%
65
Neutral
¥41.36B3.961.04%5.47%61.89%
63
Neutral
¥750.98B45.719.53%0.55%15.58%60.90%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
61
Neutral
¥217.02B72.520.69%10.75%-14.28%
53
Neutral
¥383.63B34.660.24%9.19%43.90%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:7522
Watami Co., Ltd.
1,019.00
-7.33
-0.71%
JP:3197
Skylark Holdings Co
3,301.00
369.39
12.60%
JP:3087
Doutor Nichires Holdings Co., Ltd.
3,035.00
709.31
30.50%
JP:3397
TORIDOLL Holdings Corporation
4,366.00
309.25
7.62%
JP:9861
Yoshinoya Holdings Co., Ltd.
3,356.00
313.52
10.30%
JP:9936
Ohsho Food Service Corp.
3,070.00
-73.98
-2.35%

Watami Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Watami Posts Higher Nine-Month Profit and Confirms Modest Full-Year Outlook
Feb 13, 2026
Watami reported consolidated net sales of ¥69.3 billion for the nine months to December 31, 2025, up 4.9% year on year, with operating profit rising 4.9% to ¥4.2 billion and profit attributable to owners of parent increasing 4.1% to &#16...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 19, 2026