tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Net Protections Holdings, Inc. (JP:7383)
:7383
Japanese Market

Net Protections Holdings, Inc. (7383) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
1 Followers

Top Page

JP:7383

Net Protections Holdings, Inc.

(7383)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
¥550.00
▼(-35.29% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/19/26
The score is driven primarily by improved financial performance (sharp TTM growth, profitability restored, and strong free cash flow). This is tempered by mixed-to-weak technical signals (below key longer-term moving averages and negative MACD) and a relatively high P/E that limits valuation support.
Positive Factors
Free cash flow quality
Sustained operating and free cash flow roughly equal to reported earnings indicates high earnings quality and internal funding capacity. This durable cash generation supports reinvestment, potential debt paydown, and strategic flexibility over the next several quarters.
Revenue and profitability turnaround
A sharp TTM revenue rebound and restored positive margins reflect improved product-market fit and operating execution. Sustained growth and positive operating profitability provide a stronger foundation for scaling and margin expansion if the company maintains execution discipline.
Manageable leverage and improving returns
Moderate leverage alongside equity growth and a return-to-positive ROE reduces immediate solvency risk and increases financial resilience. This balance-sheet profile supports strategic investment and cushions cyclical swings over a medium-term horizon.
Negative Factors
Profitability volatility
Historical swings from losses to profit indicate execution and demand sensitivity, making future earnings less predictable. Persistent volatility complicates planning, weakens confidence in sustainable margins, and raises the risk of setbacks if growth slows.
Declining FCF growth
A meaningful decline in FCF growth reduces the pace at which cash can be redeployed for growth, debt reduction, or shareholder returns. If the trend continues, it could constrain strategic options and signal that recent cash strength may be less durable.
Sizable absolute debt exposure
Even with moderate leverage ratios, a large absolute debt load increases vulnerability to earnings reversals through interest and refinancing risk. Material debt obligations can limit capital allocation and raise downside risk during cyclical or execution challenges.

Net Protections Holdings, Inc. (7383) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Net Protections Holdings, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNet Protections Holdings, Inc. (7383) is a leading Japanese fintech company specializing in providing payment solutions and credit services. The company primarily operates in the e-commerce sector, offering services such as deferred payment options and credit screening to both consumers and merchants. With a focus on enhancing the online shopping experience, Net Protections aims to streamline transactions and reduce payment-related friction, catering to the needs of a growing digital marketplace.
How the Company Makes MoneyNet Protections Holdings generates revenue through its core service offerings, which include transaction fees charged to merchants for processing deferred payment solutions and interest income from consumers utilizing their credit services. The company partners with various e-commerce platforms and retailers to integrate its payment solutions, expanding its reach and customer base. Additionally, Net Protections benefits from data analytics and risk assessment tools that enhance their credit screening processes, potentially leading to increased adoption and usage of their services. Their revenue model is primarily transactional, with fees collected based on the volume of transactions processed.

Net Protections Holdings, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong TTM turnaround with revenue up 64.4%, restored profitability (net margin ~7.7%, EBIT margin ~10.5%), and solid free cash flow (~¥9.13B) closely matching earnings (~1.0x). Offsetting factors are multi-year volatility (losses in 2023–2024), declining FCF growth (-18.2%), and some sensitivity due to sizable absolute debt despite manageable leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.49).
Income Statement
74
Positive
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) results show a strong rebound: revenue grew 64.4% with positive profitability (net margin ~7.7%, EBIT margin ~10.5%). The latest annual period also improved versus the prior year, swinging from losses in 2023–2024 to positive net income in 2025, indicating materially better operating performance. Offsetting this, profitability has been volatile over the last several years (loss-making in 2023 and 2024), and current net margins remain moderate for the growth rate, suggesting execution risk if growth normalizes.
Balance Sheet
71
Positive
Leverage looks manageable: debt-to-equity is ~0.49 in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), and equity has grown versus earlier periods, supporting balance-sheet stability. Returns on equity improved to ~9.4% TTM after being negative in 2023–2024, consistent with the earnings turnaround. The main weakness is that total debt remains sizable in absolute terms, and historical profitability swings make the balance sheet more sensitive if earnings soften.
Cash Flow
77
Positive
Cash generation is a clear strength in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months): operating cash flow (~¥9.15B) and free cash flow (~¥9.13B) are both strong, with free cash flow roughly matching reported earnings (about 1.0x), supporting earnings quality. However, free cash flow growth is down (-18.2%) versus the prior period, and cash flow has been inconsistent historically (notably negative operating and free cash flow in 2023), which raises predictability risk.
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue24.07B23.03B20.84B19.33B18.66B18.11B
Gross Profit14.21B23.03B20.84B19.33B18.66B18.11B
EBITDA4.38B3.86B1.00B979.00M2.21B2.55B
Net Income1.92B1.35B-828.00M-443.00M235.00M574.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets90.51B70.85B60.28B55.40B53.04B44.92B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments23.12B17.04B10.81B10.56B12.12B8.30B
Total Debt7.96B10.54B8.54B8.46B5.68B6.88B
Total Liabilities69.58B51.62B42.50B36.94B34.40B34.41B
Stockholders Equity20.87B19.17B17.70B18.37B18.64B10.51B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow9.13B5.02B191.00M-4.07B143.00M5.66B
Operating Cash Flow9.15B6.57B1.93B-2.63B951.00M6.35B
Investing Cash Flow-1.71B-1.51B-1.76B-1.76B-767.00M-894.00M
Financing Cash Flow1.56B1.21B75.00M2.84B3.63B-1.89B

Net Protections Holdings, Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price850.00
Price Trends
50DMA
515.38
Positive
100DMA
611.67
Negative
200DMA
661.09
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
2.46
Negative
RSI
52.94
Neutral
STOCH
56.53
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:7383, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 850 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 489.75, above the 50-day MA of 515.38, and above the 200-day MA of 661.09, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 2.46 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.94 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 56.53 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:7383.

Net Protections Holdings, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
84
Outperform
¥83.29B22.182.02%13.52%7.75%
81
Outperform
¥26.02B16.282.50%16.70%22.23%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
64
Neutral
¥51.82B26.8713.25%1251.39%
57
Neutral
¥9.59B-22.1812.25%-1134.27%
56
Neutral
¥73.77B15.432.44%15.20%-16.02%
54
Neutral
¥3.25B18.692.04%12.86%-63.06%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:7383
Net Protections Holdings, Inc.
521.00
108.00
26.15%
JP:5258
Transaction Media Networks Inc.
323.00
-19.00
-5.56%
JP:7183
Anshin Guarantor Service Co., Ltd.
181.00
34.85
23.85%
JP:7191
Entrust Inc.
1,163.00
402.19
52.86%
JP:7199
Premium Group Co., Ltd.
1,837.00
-294.67
-13.82%
JP:8771
eGuarantee, Inc.
1,736.00
2.81
0.16%

Net Protections Holdings, Inc. Corporate Events

Net Protections Bets on B2B Growth With Sumitomo Mitsui Card Alliance
Feb 16, 2026

Net Protections Holdings, Inc. outlined how its new partnership with Sumitomo Mitsui Card will focus on the B2B domain, complementing Sumitomo Mitsui Card’s existing B2C alliance with GMO and reinforcing a clear division of roles across those segments. Management emphasized that the company’s rich data assets and broad customer base are a key attraction in B2B and are expected to help partners more effectively access the SMB market.

Executives disclosed that discussions with Sumitomo Mitsui Card have been underway intensively for four to five months, alongside efforts with major B2B merchant Otsuka Corporation, to which top sales resources were dedicated. While the full-year forecast remains unchanged and the quantitative impact is not yet specified, the company expects these partnerships to have a significant positive effect on performance from the fiscal year ending March 2028 onward, potentially strengthening its medium-term growth trajectory and competitive position in B2B payments.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:7383) stock is a Hold with a Yen485.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Net Protections Holdings, Inc. stock, see the JP:7383 Stock Forecast page.

Net Protections CEO Opens Nine-Month FY2025 Results Briefing
Feb 13, 2026

Net Protections Holdings CEO Shibata opened a financial results presentation covering the nine months ended December 31, 2025, outlining the structure of the briefing for investors and stakeholders. The session is set to first review key financial highlights and then move to management topics, signaling a focus on both recent performance and strategic direction, though specific figures and initiatives were not disclosed in this excerpt.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:7383) stock is a Hold with a Yen532.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Net Protections Holdings, Inc. stock, see the JP:7383 Stock Forecast page.

Net Protections Ties Up With Sumitomo Mitsui Card to Expand B2B Payment Services
Feb 13, 2026

Net Protections Holdings’ subsidiary Net Protections has signed a memorandum of understanding for a business alliance with Sumitomo Mitsui Card Company to expand B2B payment services in Japan. The partnership combines Net Protections’ “NP Kakebarai” platform and credit-screening expertise with Sumitomo Mitsui Card’s corporate cards, e-commerce processing and other cashless solutions, targeting rising demand for digital and compliant billing infrastructure.

Under the alliance, Sumitomo Mitsui Card will promote NP Kakebarai to the SMBC Group’s extensive corporate client base, while both firms explore cross-selling Sumitomo Mitsui Card’s financial products to NP Kakebarai users and linking factoring and other payment products to Net Protections’ systems. The move is expected to deepen Net Protections’ access to large corporate customers, enhance its role in Japan’s B2B cashless ecosystem and create new value-added services, with only a minor impact on the company’s near-term financial results.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:7383) stock is a Hold with a Yen532.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Net Protections Holdings, Inc. stock, see the JP:7383 Stock Forecast page.

Net Protections Launches Shareholder Perk Tied to BNPL Service Usage
Feb 13, 2026

Net Protections Holdings has approved the launch of a shareholder benefit program that awards NP Points, its proprietary loyalty currency, to investors holding at least 100 shares as of March 31, 2026. The tiered scheme grants between 1,000 and 5,000 points, equivalent to the same amount in yen, which can be redeemed for discounts on atone BNPL purchases, merchandise at atone shops, or prize entries, with application details to be sent alongside the June 2026 shareholder meeting notice.

By linking shareholder rewards directly to usage of its atone service, the company aims both to express gratitude to existing investors and to promote broader, longer-term shareholding while driving engagement with its BNPL ecosystem. Future continuation of the special benefit has not yet been decided and will depend on factors such as the business environment, performance, and financial conditions, signaling a flexible capital return policy that balances investor incentives with operational and market considerations.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:7383) stock is a Hold with a Yen532.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Net Protections Holdings, Inc. stock, see the JP:7383 Stock Forecast page.

Net Protections Delivers Strong Nine-Month Profit Growth and Confirms Fiscal 2026 Outlook
Feb 13, 2026

Net Protections Holdings reported solid growth for the nine months ended December 31, 2025, with operating revenue rising 9.7% year on year to ¥18.96 billion and operating profit jumping 42.7% to ¥2.53 billion. Profit attributable to owners of the parent climbed 56.3% to ¥1.58 billion, while non-GAAP metrics also showed strength, with GMV up 19.3% to ¥570.83 billion, gross profit up 16.0% and EBITDA up 28.8%, highlighting improved scale and profitability in its payment services business.

The company’s balance sheet expanded, with total assets increasing to ¥90.51 billion, though the equity ratio declined to 23.1%, and it maintained a no-dividend policy for the current and prior fiscal years. For the full year to March 31, 2026, Net Protections forecasts continued double-digit top-line and earnings growth, projecting operating revenue of ¥25.40 billion and profit attributable to owners of the parent of ¥1.60 billion, underscoring expectations of sustained expansion in GMV and operating efficiency but signaling continued reinvestment over shareholder payouts.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:7383) stock is a Hold with a Yen532.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Net Protections Holdings, Inc. stock, see the JP:7383 Stock Forecast page.

Net Protections Strikes B2B Payment Alliance MOU With Sumitomo Mitsui Card
Feb 13, 2026

Net Protections Holdings said its subsidiary Net Protections, Inc. has signed a memorandum of understanding for a business alliance in B2B payments with Sumitomo Mitsui Card Company, aiming to jointly develop high-impact cashless services for corporate clients. The partners plan to strengthen joint sales by offering NP Kakebarai to SMBC Group’s corporate customers and, in turn, promote Sumitomo Mitsui Card’s corporate cards and digital financial platform to NP Kakebarai users, while also exploring system and operational integration, though the company expects only a minor short-term impact on its current fiscal results.

The collaboration will focus on addressing manual billing burdens, credit risk and regulatory compliance pressures that are hampering productivity in Japan’s B2B market, by linking Net Protections’ credit-screening and payment infrastructure with Sumitomo Mitsui Card’s existing payment and factoring solutions. By combining their respective strengths in B2B credit management and cashless settlement, the alliance is positioned to enhance both firms’ reach in the domestic corporate payments space and could deepen their roles in Japan’s broader drive toward digitalization of back-office functions.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:7383) stock is a Hold with a Yen532.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Net Protections Holdings, Inc. stock, see the JP:7383 Stock Forecast page.

Net Protections Launches Shareholder Perk Tied to BNPL Loyalty Points
Feb 13, 2026

Net Protections Holdings has approved the introduction of a new shareholder benefit program that grants NP Points, its proprietary loyalty points, to investors holding at least 100 shares as of March 31, 2026. The benefit is structured on a sliding scale from 1,000 to 5,000 points, equivalent to the same value in yen, and can be redeemed for discounts on atone payments, merchandise at atone shops, or prize entries, reinforcing both shareholder engagement and usage of its BNPL ecosystem.

Guidance on how to claim the benefits will be sent to eligible shareholders with the notice of the June 2026 general meeting, with points valid for six months from issuance and requiring member registration. The company has not yet decided whether this special benefit will continue beyond this implementation and says future shareholder returns, including any continuation of such programs, will be determined after considering business conditions, performance, and financial status.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:7383) stock is a Hold with a Yen532.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Net Protections Holdings, Inc. stock, see the JP:7383 Stock Forecast page.

Net Protections Delivers Double-Digit Profit Growth and Affirms Full-Year Outlook
Feb 13, 2026

Net Protections Holdings reported consolidated operating revenue of ¥18.96 billion for the nine months ended December 31, 2025, up 9.7% year-on-year, with operating profit surging 42.7% to ¥2.53 billion and profit attributable to owners of the parent jumping 56.3% to ¥1.58 billion. Non-GAAP GMV rose 19.3% to ¥570.83 billion and EBITDA climbed 28.8%, while total assets expanded to ¥90.51 billion, the equity ratio eased to 23.1%, the dividend remains at zero, and full-year guidance was maintained with continued double-digit growth projected in revenue, GMV, gross profit and earnings.

The company’s non-GAAP gross profit reached ¥9.09 billion, a 16.0% increase, reflecting rising transaction volumes in its payment services and improved profitability, which supports its positioning as a scalable fintech platform. Management kept its full-year forecast unchanged, targeting ¥25.4 billion in operating revenue and ¥1.6 billion in profit attributable to owners, underscoring confidence in sustained expansion despite a slightly lower equity ratio, a stance that signals a continued focus on growth over cash returns for shareholders in the current period.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:7383) stock is a Hold with a Yen532.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Net Protections Holdings, Inc. stock, see the JP:7383 Stock Forecast page.

Net Protections and JCB Forge Strategic Alliance to Expand B2B Payment Services
Feb 6, 2026

Net Protections Holdings has signed a memorandum of understanding with its subsidiary Net Protections, Inc. and card giant JCB Co., Ltd. to form a strategic business alliance in B2B payments, aiming to jointly capture the expanding corporate payment market and strengthen their competitive position. The partners plan to develop JCB-branded corporate cards by September 2027, enable NP Kakebarai invoices to be settled via credit card by December 2027, and deepen collaboration on corporate portal services, moves that are expected to enhance customer value and corporate productivity while having only a minor short-term impact on Net Protections’ current fiscal results.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:7383) stock is a Hold with a Yen435.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Net Protections Holdings, Inc. stock, see the JP:7383 Stock Forecast page.

Net Protections Holdings Reports Strong H1 2025 Performance
Nov 19, 2025

Net Protections Holdings, Inc. reported an increase in gross profit for the first half of 2025, driven by better-than-expected GMV performance and cost reductions. Despite a year-over-year decline in GMV for NP Atobarai and other services in the second quarter, the company remains optimistic about future growth, citing strong performance from NP Atobarai air and a promising pipeline for NP Atobarai. The leadership believes the current forecasts accurately reflect the company’s strength, with potential for further upside.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:7383) stock is a Hold with a Yen663.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Net Protections Holdings, Inc. stock, see the JP:7383 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 19, 2026