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Hino MotorsLtd (JP:7205)
:7205

Hino Motors (7205) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:7205

Hino Motors

(7205)

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Underperform 39 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:39Underperform
Price Target:
¥432.00
▼(-5.47% Downside)
Action:DowngradedDate:10/11/25
Hino Motors faces significant financial challenges, with high leverage and negative profitability impacting its financial performance score. The technical analysis indicates a bearish trend, and the valuation is poor due to negative earnings. These factors collectively result in a low overall stock score.
Positive Factors
Recurring after-sales revenue
Hino's business generates recurring revenue from genuine parts and after-sales services tied to its installed fleet. This creates durable, annuity-like cash inflows that smooth demand cyclicality, support service-margin stability, and sustain customer relationships over multiple years.
Healthy gross profit margin
A ~17.4% gross margin indicates solid unit economics at the manufacturing level, implying the company can cover direct costs and contribute to fixed overhead. Sustained gross profitability provides a base for operating leverage and a pathway to net profitability if SG&A and financing costs are managed.
Top-line recovery
An 11.9% year-over-year revenue increase signals recovering demand or market share gains in core commercial-vehicle markets. Durable revenue growth enhances scale, supports the recurring parts/service business, and improves the potential to dilute fixed costs across higher volumes over the medium term.
Negative Factors
High leverage
A debt-to-equity ratio near 2.4 and low equity ratio constrain financial flexibility, raise interest burden, and increase refinancing and covenant risk. High leverage limits the firm's ability to fund capex, R&D, or dealer/support expansion without raising costly external capital, stressing long-term competitiveness.
Negative net profitability
Persistent net losses and a negative net margin erode retained earnings and undermine return on equity. Ongoing unprofitability reduces internal funding for growth initiatives, may necessitate restructuring or asset sales, and weakens stakeholder confidence in management's ability to restore lasting profitability.
Weak cash conversion
Negative free cash flow and poor conversion of income into cash indicate operational cash strain and reliance on non-cash accounting items. This constrains reinvestment in product development and service networks, increases dependence on external funding, and heightens liquidity risk over the medium term.

Hino Motors (7205) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Hino Motors Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHino Motors, Ltd. manufactures and sells large commercial vehicles under the Hino brand worldwide. It offers trucks and buses; and light commercial vehicles and passenger vehicles, as well as automotive and industrial diesel engines, vehicle parts, and others. The company was founded in 1910 and is headquartered in Hino, Japan. Hino Motors, Ltd. is a subsidiary of Toyota Motor Corporation.
How the Company Makes MoneyHino Motors generates revenue primarily through the manufacturing and sale of commercial vehicles, including trucks and buses, which comprise a significant portion of its product lineup. The company has multiple revenue streams, including direct vehicle sales, parts sales, and after-sales services. Hino also engages in financing solutions for customers purchasing their vehicles, which adds an additional revenue component. Key partnerships, particularly with Toyota, enhance Hino's market reach and technological capabilities, allowing for collaborative development in areas such as hybrid technology. Furthermore, Hino's focus on expanding its global presence, particularly in emerging markets, contributes to its overall earnings by tapping into new customer bases and increasing market penetration.

Hino Motors Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Hino Motors is experiencing financial difficulties, with significant net losses and high leverage. Despite an 11.9% revenue growth, profitability remains a challenge with negative net profit margins and cash flow issues.
Income Statement
40
Negative
Hino Motors has shown inconsistent profitability over the years, with a net income loss in recent periods. The gross profit margin for 2025 is approximately 17.4%, showing adequate operational profitability. However, a significant net loss in 2025 results in a negative net profit margin. Revenue growth from 2024 to 2025 was 11.9%, indicating some top-line improvement.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The company's balance sheet reflects high leverage, with a debt-to-equity ratio of approximately 2.37 in 2025, indicating significant financial risk. The equity ratio is about 12.1%, suggesting a moderate level of equity financing relative to total assets. Return on equity is negative due to net losses, highlighting challenges in generating returns for shareholders.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
Hino Motors faces cash flow difficulties with negative free cash flow in recent periods, though there was a minimal improvement in operating cash flow in 2025. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, suggesting inefficiencies in converting income into cash. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is significantly positive in 2025, due to a high level of non-cash expenses.
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.65T1.70T1.52T1.51T1.46T1.50T
Gross Profit294.21B295.71B233.58B239.66B250.51B212.83B
EBITDA-106.41B-117.73B111.18B-25.44B26.32B56.98B
Net Income-203.98B-217.75B17.09B-117.66B-84.73B-7.49B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.33T1.48T1.46T1.36T1.26T1.23T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments92.19B193.60B76.95B82.15B66.25B56.19B
Total Debt407.64B422.47B389.68B305.78B170.99B182.14B
Total Liabilities1.07T1.23T1.00T928.33B742.35B626.62B
Stockholders Equity194.41B178.47B392.05B367.91B458.17B554.25B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-60.86B-186.21B-108.06B45.21B49.41B
Operating Cash Flow0.001.13B-110.41B-40.80B106.71B108.43B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-4.60B39.24B-60.26B-62.18B-56.21B
Financing Cash Flow0.0029.74B55.64B114.21B-39.15B-38.41B

Hino Motors Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price457.00
Price Trends
50DMA
422.16
Positive
100DMA
400.52
Positive
200DMA
397.99
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
6.79
Positive
RSI
57.35
Neutral
STOCH
29.89
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:7205, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 457 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 458.60, above the 50-day MA of 422.16, and above the 200-day MA of 397.99, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 6.79 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 57.35 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 29.89 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:7205.

Hino Motors Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
¥49.85T13.5012.89%2.78%6.44%11.88%
71
Outperform
¥2.00T15.303.74%-5.66%-28.73%
66
Neutral
¥625.65B175.71-0.65%3.33%-0.87%-105.50%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
56
Neutral
¥149.81B22.071.29%28.98%
47
Neutral
¥1.51T-1.63-16.69%-3.01%-755.71%
39
Underperform
¥262.33B3.3612.52%-0.99%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:7205
Hino Motors
457.00
-24.50
-5.09%
JP:7203
Toyota Motor
3,825.00
1,121.01
41.46%
JP:7211
Mitsubishi Motors
429.10
21.55
5.29%
JP:7202
Isuzu Motors
2,918.50
1,021.50
53.85%
JP:7201
Nissan Motor Co
433.20
2.40
0.56%
JP:7222
Nissan Shatai Co., Ltd.
1,106.00
70.51
6.81%

Hino Motors Corporate Events

Hino Motors to Cancel Treasury Shares Ahead of ARCHION-Led Integration
Feb 27, 2026

Hino Motors, Ltd. said its board has approved the cancellation of all treasury shares it holds immediately before ARCHION Corporation acquires all issued Hino shares on April 1, 2026, via a previously agreed share exchange. The move is a procedural step tied to Hino’s business integration with Mitsubishi Fuso Truck and Bus Corporation, under a broader deal involving parent companies Toyota Motor Corporation and Daimler Truck AG, and will also cover any shares repurchased from dissenting shareholders exercising appraisal rights.

The cancellation will eliminate roughly 0.07% of Hino’s issued shares currently held in treasury, streamlining the capital structure ahead of the integration under holding company ARCHION. While the absolute number of shares is small, the action underscores the finalization of the share exchange framework and marks further progress toward combining Hino and Mitsubishi Fuso’s truck and bus operations, with implications for competitive dynamics in the global commercial vehicle industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:7205) stock is a Sell with a Yen416.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hino Motors stock, see the JP:7205 Stock Forecast page.

Hino Motors Wins Conditional Antitrust Clearance for Mitsubishi Fuso Integration
Feb 26, 2026

Hino Motors has received a notice from the Japan Fair Trade Commission that it will not issue a cease and desist order against the planned business integration with Mitsubishi Fuso Truck and Bus Corporation, provided certain remedial measures are implemented. With this conditional antitrust clearance secured, Hino, Mitsubishi Fuso, Toyota, and Daimler Truck plan to move forward with preparations to complete the integration on April 1, 2026, a step expected to reshape Japan’s commercial vehicle landscape and strengthen their competitive position.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:7205) stock is a Sell with a Yen416.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hino Motors stock, see the JP:7205 Stock Forecast page.

Hino Motors Swings Back to Profit Despite Lower Sales and Lifts Full-Year Earnings Outlook
Feb 5, 2026

Hino Motors has reported consolidated net sales of ¥1,141.2 billion for the third quarter of the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, down 10.9% year on year, but delivered a sharp recovery in profitability, with operating income up 39.3% to ¥62.8 billion and ordinary income up 179.2% to ¥55.0 billion, resulting in profit attributable to owners of parent of ¥30.6 billion versus a large loss a year earlier. The company’s equity ratio improved to 15.8% from 12.1%, and while it continues to pay no interim dividends, it has revised its full-year forecast to net sales of ¥1.55 trillion (down 8.7% from the previous year) and profit attributable to owners of parent of ¥75.0 billion, signaling ongoing earnings recovery despite softer top-line growth and suggesting a gradual strengthening of its financial position following prior losses.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:7205) stock is a Sell with a Yen406.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hino Motors stock, see the JP:7205 Stock Forecast page.

Hino Motors Reshapes Top Management Ahead of Mitsubishi Fuso Integration
Jan 29, 2026

Hino Motors has announced a change in its representative director as part of a broader reorganization tied to its upcoming business integration with Mitsubishi Fuso Truck and Bus Corporation in April 2026, which will make Hino a wholly owned subsidiary of the newly established ARCHION Corporation. Effective April 1, 2026, Senior Managing Officer and current board member Naoki Sato will become a Representative Director, supporting the transition as President and Representative Director Satoshi Ogiso steps down and Satyakam Arya assumes the presidency, signaling a leadership reshuffle aimed at driving corporate transformation and strengthening Hino’s global business under the new group management structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:7205) stock is a Sell with a Yen369.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hino Motors stock, see the JP:7205 Stock Forecast page.

Hino Motors Sharply Raises Full-Year Earnings Forecast on Pricing Gains and Asset Sale
Jan 29, 2026

Hino Motors has revised upward its full-year earnings forecast for the fiscal year ending March 2026, projecting higher net sales, operating income, ordinary income, and profit attributable to owners of the parent compared with its November guidance. The company now expects net sales of ¥1.55 trillion and profit attributable to owners of the parent of ¥75 billion, a sharp recovery from the previous fiscal year’s large loss, driven by improved pricing in Japan and overseas, the impact of yen depreciation, cost reductions, and an anticipated gain on the sale of investment securities in HOTAI MOTOR CO., LTD., signaling a stronger earnings rebound and improved financial footing for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:7205) stock is a Sell with a Yen369.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hino Motors stock, see the JP:7205 Stock Forecast page.

Hino Motors Returns to Profit in Q3 FY2026 Despite Lower Sales, Lifts Full-Year Earnings Outlook
Jan 29, 2026

Hino Motors reported consolidated net sales of ¥1,141.2 billion for the third quarter of the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, a 10.9% decline from the prior-year period, but significantly improved profitability with operating income up 39.3% to ¥62.8 billion and ordinary income up 179.2% to ¥55.0 billion. Profit attributable to owners of the parent swung from a loss of ¥265.4 billion a year earlier to a profit of ¥30.6 billion, while equity capital and the equity ratio also strengthened, lifting net assets to ¥291.8 billion and the equity ratio to 15.8%. Despite this earnings recovery, the company maintained a zero-dividend stance to date in FY2026 and left the full-year dividend forecast undecided, signaling continued balance-sheet prudence. Hino revised its full-year outlook, now projecting FY2026 net sales of ¥1,550.0 billion, down 8.7% year on year, but expecting operating income of ¥75.0 billion and profit attributable to owners of the parent of ¥75.0 billion, underscoring a focus on restoring sustainable profitability even amid softer top-line growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:7205) stock is a Sell with a Yen369.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hino Motors stock, see the JP:7205 Stock Forecast page.

Hino Motors to Sell Hotai Motor Stake to Toyota, Booking ¥30 Billion Extraordinary Gain
Jan 16, 2026

Hino Motors has approved the sale of its entire 2.0% stake in Taiwan-based HOTAI MOTOR CO., LTD. to its parent company Toyota Motor Corporation, a transaction expected to generate approximately ¥30.1 billion in extraordinary income and bolster Hino’s financial position ahead of its planned business integration with Mitsubishi Fuso Truck and Bus Corporation. Because the deal constitutes a transaction with a controlling shareholder, Hino sought oversight from a special committee of independent outside directors, excluded a conflicted director associated with Toyota from deliberations, and engaged external legal advisors, asserting that these governance measures ensure fairness and protect minority shareholders’ interests in line with its stated corporate governance policy.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:7205) stock is a Hold with a Yen390.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hino Motors stock, see the JP:7205 Stock Forecast page.

Hino Motors Reaches NZ$10.9 Million In-Principle Settlement in New Zealand Class Action
Dec 25, 2025

Hino Motors has reached an in-principle agreement to settle a class action in New Zealand relating to losses allegedly suffered by owners of Hino diesel vehicles due to the company’s historic misconduct. The proposed settlement, covering people who acquired certain Hino diesel vehicles in New Zealand between March 2010 and March 2025, amounts to NZD 10.9 million (about JPY 980 million) and will be recorded as a special loss in the company’s third-quarter fiscal 2026 results, subject to approval by the High Court of New Zealand; while the agreement involves no admission of liability, Hino says the move is intended to avoid prolonged litigation and limit the impact of the dispute on its business and stakeholders, and it will disclose any further financial implications once its analysis is complete.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:7205) stock is a Hold with a Yen390.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hino Motors stock, see the JP:7205 Stock Forecast page.

Hino Backs SPARX-Led Buyout of Key Supplier SAWAFUJI ELECTRIC
Dec 19, 2025

Hino Motors’ board has approved definitive agreements with ARTS-4 Inc., a SPARX Group–backed vehicle, and SAWAFUJI ELECTRIC under which Hino will not tender its shares in SAWAFUJI ELECTRIC into a takeover bid and SAWAFUJI will instead be taken private and made a wholly owned subsidiary of ARTS-4. The transaction, implemented via share consolidation and a treasury share acquisition following the tender offer, will remove SAWAFUJI ELECTRIC from Hino’s equity-method affiliates, while Hino expects the new ownership structure and SPARX’s support through the Japan Monozukuri Mirai Fund and Toyota Production System know-how to strengthen SAWAFUJI’s production and management systems, accelerate its development of technologies for electrified power sources and fuel cells, and ultimately enhance its corporate value and ability to supply high-quality, cost-competitive products to the Hino group.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:7205) stock is a Hold with a Yen390.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hino Motors stock, see the JP:7205 Stock Forecast page.

Hino Motors Transfers Control of Key Sales Subsidiaries to Partners Ahead of Mitsubishi Fuso Integration
Dec 18, 2025

Hino Motors has decided to transfer managerial control of six domestic sales subsidiaries—Higashi Hokkaido Hino Motors, Hokkaido Hino Motors, Miyagi Hino Motors, Fukushima Hino Motors, Minami Kanto Hino Motors, and Shizuoka Hino Motors—by selling majority stakes to long-standing partners HO TAI MOTOR of Taiwan and Aichi Hino Motors. The move, aligned with Hino’s planned business integration with Mitsubishi Fuso Truck and Bus Corporation, is intended to preserve competition in sales operations, address potential competition law concerns, and maintain a healthy commercial environment for commercial vehicle customers. Hino expects to book extraordinary income from gains on the sale of shares from April 2026 onward, and aims to reinforce its management base and long‑term competitiveness with the support of these partners, while also considering related real estate transactions for some Minami Kanto Hino Motors locations.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:7205) stock is a Hold with a Yen390.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hino Motors stock, see the JP:7205 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 11, 2025