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Seiko Epson Corp. (JP:6724)
:6724

Seiko Epson (6724) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:6724

Seiko Epson

(6724)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
¥2,267.00
▲(13.10% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:02/05/26
The score reflects solid technical strength (price above major moving averages with positive momentum) and a supportive valuation (P/E ~15 with ~3.66% yield), offset by mixed fundamentals—profitability and returns have declined versus prior years and cash conversion has weakened despite a resilient balance sheet.
Positive Factors
Recurring consumables/installed-base monetization
Epson’s business model captures durable recurring revenue from consumables tied to a large installed base. High-frequency purchases of ink and supplies create a predictable, repeat revenue stream that smooths cycles and supports long-term gross-margin stability and cash flow visibility.
Low and improving leverage / strong equity cushion
Leverage has materially improved versus prior years, leaving a relatively low debt-to-equity ratio and sizable equity base. This balance-sheet strength provides durable financial flexibility to fund capex, sustain dividends, or weather cyclical pressure without forcing rapid deleveraging.
Positive operating and free cash flow
Epson generates positive operating and free cash flow in absolute terms, supplying internal funding for investment, maintenance of the installed base, and shareholder payouts. Even if conversion has weakened, sustained positive FCF underpins medium-term financial resilience and strategic optionality.
Negative Factors
Compressed net margins
Net margin erosion versus prior years signals reduced earnings power. Sustained margin compression—whether from pricing pressure, mix shifts toward lower-margin segments, or higher input costs—diminishes long-term free cash flow potential and constrains the company’s ability to restore prior returns.
Weaker cash conversion (FCF vs. earnings)
Free cash flow at ~40% of net income represents a meaningful step down in cash conversion. Lower conversion reduces discretionary cash available for reinvestment or shareholder returns and may indicate higher working-capital needs or heavier reinvestment requirements over the medium term.
Modest revenue growth and cooling returns
Top-line growth is only modest while ROE has declined meaningfully, reflecting weaker profitability and slower business momentum. Persistently low growth and reduced returns make it harder to accelerate scale-driven margin improvement or justify higher reinvestment without structural product or market shifts.

Seiko Epson (6724) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Seiko Epson Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSeiko Epson Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, sells, and provides services for products in the printing solutions, visual communications, manufacturing-related and wearables, and other businesses. It operates through three segments: Printing Solutions, Visual Communications, and Manufacturing-related and Wearables segments. The Printing Solutions segment offers home and office inkjet printers, serial impact dot matrix printers, page printers, color image scanners, dry process office papermaking systems, commercial and industrial inkjet printers, inkjet printheads, printers for use in POS systems, label printers, printer consumables, and others. The Visual Communications segment provides 3LCD projectors for business, education, the home, and event; smart glasses; and others. The Manufacturing-related and Wearables segment offers wristwatches, watch movements, and others; factory automation products, industrial robots, compact injection molders, and other production systems; and crystal units, crystal oscillators, quartz sensors, and others for consumer, automotive, and industrial equipment applications. This segment also provides CMOS LSIs and other chips primarily for consumer electronics and automotive applications; and metal powders for use as raw materials in the production of electronic components, etc., as well as value-added surface finishing in a range of industrial fields. The company also sells PCs, etc. It has operations in Japan, the Philippines, the United States, Indonesia, China, and internationally. The company was incorporated in 1942 and is headquartered in Suwa, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneySeiko Epson generates revenue through multiple key streams. The largest portion comes from its printer business, which includes sales of inkjet and laser printers, along with consumables such as ink cartridges and paper. The company also earns significant income from its projector division, which sells a range of visual display technologies for both home and professional use. Additionally, Epson has a growing industrial solutions segment, which includes manufacturing robots and precision machinery for various industries. Strategic partnerships with other technology firms and OEMs enhance its market reach and revenue potential. The company invests in research and development to innovate and maintain competitive advantages, which also contributes to its overall earnings.

Seiko Epson Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Balance sheet is comparatively strong with moderate/improving leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.26) and a solid equity cushion, but operating performance has softened: net margin is down to ~3.1% TTM (vs ~4.0% FY2024 and ~8.2% FY2022) and ROE has cooled to ~5.3% TTM. Cash conversion is also weaker, with free cash flow about ~40% of net income.
Income Statement
58
Neutral
Revenue has been relatively stable with modest growth in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) (~2%), but profitability has compressed versus prior years: net margin is ~3.1% in TTM versus ~4.0% in FY2024 and ~8.2% in FY2022. Operating profitability is still positive (TTM EBIT margin ~5.3%), yet down meaningfully from FY2022–FY2023 levels, pointing to weaker pricing/premix and/or higher costs. Overall: steady top line, but a clear downshift in earnings power.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
Leverage appears moderate and improving: debt-to-equity is ~0.26 in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), better than the ~0.48 level seen in FY2021 and below FY2022–FY2023. Equity base is sizable relative to assets, supporting balance-sheet resilience. Returns on equity are positive but have cooled (TTM ~5.3% vs ~10.3% in FY2023 and ~13.9% in FY2022), suggesting weaker profitability rather than balance-sheet strain.
Cash Flow
53
Neutral
Cash generation is positive but less supportive recently. TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) operating cash flow (~¥91B) and free cash flow (~¥36B) are solidly positive, and TTM free cash flow growth is positive, but free cash flow is low relative to reported earnings (TTM free cash flow is ~40% of net income). This is a step down from FY2022–FY2024, when free cash flow more consistently tracked earnings, implying higher reinvestment needs and/or working-capital drag.
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.38T1.36T1.31T1.33T1.13T995.94B
Gross Profit496.04B493.03B456.67B466.65B418.45B352.38B
EBITDA150.10B153.43B140.70B173.67B162.94B131.51B
Net Income43.24B55.18B52.62B75.04B92.29B30.92B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.52T1.46T1.41T1.34T1.27T1.16T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments253.97B267.00B328.48B267.38B335.24B305.16B
Total Debt222.55B224.71B204.78B233.28B243.15B265.91B
Total Liabilities668.67B651.57B601.96B614.10B600.68B608.37B
Stockholders Equity855.96B804.75B810.99B727.35B665.63B550.92B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow36.27B78.71B108.98B2.21B66.96B77.35B
Operating Cash Flow91.46B138.07B165.57B61.31B110.80B133.22B
Investing Cash Flow-62.89B-150.79B-58.98B-61.60B-44.08B-57.45B
Financing Cash Flow-42.34B-45.13B-65.39B-79.35B-51.77B23.15B

Seiko Epson Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2004.50
Price Trends
50DMA
2040.16
Positive
100DMA
1991.90
Positive
200DMA
1930.21
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
21.72
Positive
RSI
58.36
Neutral
STOCH
64.13
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:6724, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2004.5 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2093.28, below the 50-day MA of 2040.16, and above the 200-day MA of 1930.21, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 21.72 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 58.36 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 64.13 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:6724.

Seiko Epson Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
¥148.33B22.801.92%7.46%-8.01%
69
Neutral
¥4.57T12.973.27%4.02%-41.52%
69
Neutral
¥93.75B18.894.76%1.81%9.07%
67
Neutral
¥677.58B15.696.07%3.69%0.48%6.92%
66
Neutral
¥77.14B17.874.01%0.31%-11.70%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
55
Neutral
¥177.76B-28.23-6.22%1.61%-4.91%-136.94%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:6724
Seiko Epson
2,117.00
-330.94
-13.52%
JP:6588
Toshiba Tec Corp.
3,230.00
278.27
9.43%
JP:6413
Riso Kagaku Corporation
1,270.00
-61.56
-4.62%
JP:6737
EIZO Corp.
2,291.00
228.72
11.09%
JP:7739
Canon Electronics Inc.
3,630.00
1,137.74
45.65%
JP:7751
Canon Inc.
4,736.00
-255.75
-5.12%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 05, 2026