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Nikkiso Co., Ltd. (JP:6376)
:6376

Nikkiso Co., Ltd. (6376) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:6376

Nikkiso Co., Ltd.

(6376)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
¥2,781.00
▲(76.35% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/18/26
The score is driven primarily by improved financial performance in 2025 (growth and margin recovery) but tempered by historically volatile profits and especially inconsistent cash flows. Technicals add support via a clear uptrend, though extreme overbought readings increase near-term risk. Valuation is supportive with a low P/E and modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
2025 revenue & margin rebound
A sharp revenue jump and margin recovery in 2025 indicate the company can scale higher‑margin work and convert backlog into profit. Sustained execution of this recovery would improve earnings resilience, underwriting better cash generation and funding for investment or deleveraging over the next 2–6 months.
Improved cash flow in 2025
Restored positive free cash flow that covered a large portion of net income demonstrates improved cash conversion and operational discipline. If sustained, stronger FCF reduces reliance on external financing, supports maintenance capex and aftermarket service investments, and increases balance sheet flexibility.
Aftermarket recurring revenue
A meaningful aftermarket service stream tied to installed equipment provides recurring revenue, higher lifetime customer value, and stickiness versus one‑time project sales. This business mix smooths cyclicality and supports margins through service premiums and parts sales over multiple years.
Negative Factors
Historic cash flow volatility
Intermittent negative operating and free cash flow in prior years highlights working‑capital swings and project timing risks. This inconsistency weakens the company's ability to reliably fund capex, dividends, or debt reduction and raises execution and liquidity risk if margins or orders slip.
Low, volatile profitability
Even after improvement, net margins remain modest and historically oscillating. Low, volatile margins limit internal reinvestment capacity, make returns sensitive to order mix and cost inflation, and provide little cushion against demand slowdowns or margin compression in capital‑intensive industrial markets.
Debt trend uncertainty
Although leverage improved from peak levels, the recent uptick in debt introduces refinancing and interest‑cost sensitivity. Renewed borrowing while margins are only mid‑single digits narrows financial flexibility and raises downside risk if cash flows revert to prior weak years or capex needs increase.

Nikkiso Co., Ltd. (6376) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Nikkiso Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNikkiso Co., Ltd. (6376) is a Japan-based company specializing in the manufacturing of precision equipment and systems primarily for the aerospace, medical, and industrial sectors. The company's core products include cryogenic pumps, gas and liquid pumps, and various components for medical applications, particularly in the fields of hemodialysis and blood purification. Nikkiso also provides integrated systems and solutions that leverage its technological expertise in fluid management and control.
How the Company Makes MoneyNikkiso generates revenue through the sale of its advanced pumping systems and components, which are utilized in a variety of high-demand applications across its target sectors. Key revenue streams include the sale of cryogenic pumps and systems to the aerospace and industrial markets, as well as medical equipment and consumables for healthcare facilities. Additionally, the company engages in service contracts and maintenance for its products, providing ongoing support to its customers. Strategic partnerships with major players in the aerospace and medical fields further enhance Nikkiso's market reach and contribute to its financial performance.

Nikkiso Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong 2025 rebound with sharp revenue growth and improved margins, and leverage has moderated versus 2020–2021. Offsetting this, profitability and cash generation have been volatile across the period, with cash flows notably inconsistent (including negative operating/free cash flow in 2024) and only mid-single-digit net margins even after the rebound.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Revenue has expanded steadily from 2021–2025, with a particularly sharp jump in 2025 (revenue growth ~79%). Profitability improved meaningfully in 2024–2025 as net margin rose from ~3.7% (2024) to ~6.3% (2025) and EBIT margin improved to ~6.9% (2025). Strengths are the upward trajectory in earnings and improved margins versus prior years. Key weaknesses are volatility in results across the period (very low net margin in 2021, uneven operating profitability historically) and only mid-single-digit net margins even after the 2025 rebound.
Balance Sheet
63
Positive
Leverage is moderate: debt-to-equity improved substantially from elevated levels in 2020–2021 (>1.5x) to ~0.85x in 2025, reflecting a healthier capital structure. Equity and asset base have grown, and returns on equity recovered to ~8.6% in 2025 from weaker years. The main concern is debt has risen again in 2024–2025 (while still manageable), and overall returns remain solid but not strong for an industrial company, leaving less cushion if profitability softens.
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
Cash generation is mixed. Operating cash flow and free cash flow rebounded strongly in 2025 (free cash flow ~12.5B vs negative in 2024), and free cash flow covered a meaningful portion of net income in 2025 (~71%). However, cash flow has been volatile, including negative operating and free cash flow in 2024 and negative free cash flow in multiple earlier years, which raises questions around working-capital swings and consistency of cash conversion. Overall, the direction in 2025 is encouraging, but stability is still a key weakness.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue215.64B213.38B192.63B177.11B167.76B
Gross Profit65.01B58.00B50.96B45.64B51.15B
EBITDA26.16B17.60B22.85B43.50B15.10B
Net Income13.65B7.96B9.07B13.64B221.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets358.13B325.56B296.23B286.60B298.96B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments44.58B36.71B32.30B48.80B29.36B
Total Debt133.63B107.21B81.05B89.34B147.46B
Total Liabilities197.90B183.56B169.94B170.84B204.76B
Stockholders Equity158.18B140.07B124.43B114.23B92.20B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow12.48B-12.60B4.81B658.00M-8.63B
Operating Cash Flow17.62B-6.57B14.24B8.38B3.59B
Investing Cash Flow133.00M-4.99B-9.22B76.76B-14.56B
Financing Cash Flow-9.79B13.36B-14.55B-68.68B9.45B

Nikkiso Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1577.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1891.79
Positive
100DMA
1703.55
Positive
200DMA
1509.54
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
172.47
Negative
RSI
74.27
Negative
STOCH
58.60
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:6376, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1577 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2181.15, below the 50-day MA of 1891.79, and above the 200-day MA of 1509.54, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 172.47 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 74.27 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 58.60 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:6376.

Nikkiso Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
¥64.73B14.882.79%2.85%3.17%
75
Outperform
¥69.80B16.943.95%-1.67%-4.39%
72
Outperform
¥187.69B16.4010.44%2.77%2.74%7.86%
70
Outperform
¥149.70B11.898.17%2.04%1.48%58.59%
70
Outperform
¥69.83B14.833.09%6.35%-34.20%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
55
Neutral
¥13.20B242.291.65%3.96%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:6376
Nikkiso Co., Ltd.
2,452.00
1,247.77
103.62%
JP:6498
Kitz
2,162.00
1,039.19
92.55%
JP:6237
Iwaki Co. Ltd.
2,955.00
555.36
23.14%
JP:6363
Torishima Pump Mfg.Co., Ltd.
2,660.00
514.77
24.00%
JP:6381
ANEST IWATA Corp.
1,754.00
557.36
46.58%
JP:6495
Miyairi Valve Mfg.Co., Ltd.
275.00
179.88
189.11%

Nikkiso Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Nikkiso Launches New Medium‑Term Plan “NIKKISO 2028” After Exceeding Profit Target
Feb 13, 2026

Nikkiso Co., Ltd. announced that its board has approved a new three‑year medium‑term business plan, “NIKKISO 2028 – Toward a Healthier World,” to begin in the fiscal year ending December 2026. The plan follows the successful “Nikkiso 2025 Phase 2” program, during which restructuring of unprofitable operations and robust industrial demand lifted operating profit above the JPY 14.0 billion target.

The new plan is positioned as a milestone toward the group’s 2035 long‑term vision and reflects an environment of rising geopolitical risk and evolving market conditions. By seeking growth beyond existing business models and leveraging recovering aerospace and medical operations alongside its low‑carbon strengths, Nikkiso aims to secure sustainable expansion and reinforce its strategic position in key industrial and healthcare markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:6376) stock is a Hold with a Yen1989.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nikkiso Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:6376 Stock Forecast page.

Nikkiso Launches J-ESOP to Align Employee Incentives With Share Performance
Feb 13, 2026

Nikkiso Co., Ltd. has approved the introduction of an Employee Stock Benefit Trust (J-ESOP) that will grant company shares and equivalent cash to employees of the parent company and its domestic subsidiaries under defined stock grant rules. The scheme, modeled on a U.S.-style ESOP and administered via a trust established with Mizuho Trust & Banking, is intended to align employee incentives with share price and business performance while funding share acquisitions in advance through trust contributions.

By linking compensation to equity performance, Nikkiso aims to deepen employees’ sense of ownership, strengthen engagement, and support execution of its “NIKKISO 2028 – Toward a Healthier World” medium-term plan. The company expects the plan to reinforce efforts to improve profitability and share value, thereby potentially enhancing its competitive positioning and creating closer economic alignment between employees and shareholders over the coming years.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:6376) stock is a Hold with a Yen1989.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nikkiso Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:6376 Stock Forecast page.

Nikkiso Lifts Year-End Dividend and Sets Higher Payout Targets Under New 2028 Plan
Feb 13, 2026

Nikkiso Co., Ltd. has approved a year-end dividend of ¥22 per share for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025, up from its prior forecast of ¥18 and last year’s ¥15, bringing the total annual dividend to ¥40 per share. The increase reflects the company’s achievement of its operating profit target under the “Nikkiso 2025 Phase 2” plan, supported by higher overall profitability and expansion in its core businesses.

Alongside the dividend hike, Nikkiso issued a dividend forecast of ¥50 per share for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, split evenly between interim and year-end payments. Under its new medium-term plan “NIKKISO 2028 – Toward a Healthier World,” the company has adopted a progressive dividend policy tied to improving earnings, targeting a dividend-on-equity ratio of about 2.5% by 2028 and around 3% over the longer term to enhance shareholder returns.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:6376) stock is a Hold with a Yen1989.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nikkiso Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:6376 Stock Forecast page.

Nikkiso Delivers Profit Surge, Hikes Dividend and Signals Steady 2026 Growth
Feb 13, 2026

Nikkiso Co., Ltd. reported modest revenue growth but a sharp rebound in profitability for the fiscal year ended 31 December 2025, with revenue up 1.1% to ¥215.6 billion and operating profit surging 139.6% to ¥15.3 billion. Profit attributable to owners of the parent jumped 71.6% to ¥13.7 billion, lifting basic earnings per share to ¥206.22 and improving margins and return on equity, while operating cash flow swung to a positive ¥17.6 billion and cash and cash equivalents rose to ¥44.6 billion.

The company strengthened its balance sheet, with total assets increasing to ¥358.1 billion and equity attributable to owners climbing to ¥158.2 billion, raising the equity ratio to 44.2%. Reflecting improved performance, Nikkiso raised its annual dividend for 2025 to ¥40 per share from ¥30 and is forecasting a further increase to ¥50 in 2026, while guiding for 2026 revenue growth of 8.3% but a slight year-on-year decline in profit attributable to owners as margins normalize and the group’s scope of consolidation is streamlined by the exclusion of eight companies.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:6376) stock is a Hold with a Yen1989.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nikkiso Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:6376 Stock Forecast page.

Nikkiso Escalates CFC Tax Dispute to Japan’s Supreme Court
Feb 10, 2026

Nikkiso Co., Ltd. is contesting a tax reassessment imposed under Japan’s controlled foreign company tax rules on three overseas subsidiaries within its Clean Energy & Industrial Gases Group, which impacted fiscal 2018 income at subsidiary Nikkiso International Co., Ltd. After losing challenges before the National Tax Tribunal, Tokyo District Court and Tokyo High Court, the board has resolved to escalate the case by filing an appeal and petition for acceptance to the Supreme Court on February 10, 2026.

The company has already booked and paid about ¥1.7 billion in corporate income tax related to this dispute in the fiscal year ended December 31, 2021, so it expects no impact on results for the year ending December 31, 2026 under current assumptions. However, Nikkiso acknowledges that the eventual Supreme Court outcome could affect earnings in 2026 or later periods, leaving some financial and legal uncertainty for shareholders and other stakeholders until the litigation is finally resolved.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:6376) stock is a Hold with a Yen1989.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nikkiso Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:6376 Stock Forecast page.

Nikkiso Loses Tokyo High Court Appeal Over CFC Tax Reassessment
Jan 29, 2026

Nikkiso Co., Ltd. has lost its appeal at the Tokyo High Court over a tax reassessment related to Japan’s Controlled Foreign Company (CFC) tax regime, concerning three foreign subsidiaries within its Clean Energy & Industrial Gases Group. Tax authorities had previously determined that these subsidiaries did not meet CFC exemption requirements, triggering a reassessment of fiscal 2018 business income at Nikkiso International Co., Ltd. and subsequent penalties. After an unfavorable ruling from the National Tax Tribunal and the Tokyo District Court, the High Court has now also dismissed Nikkiso’s claims, leaving the reassessment in place. The company expressed regret and indicated it finds the decisions difficult to accept, and it will scrutinize the ruling and consider its next steps, signaling potential ongoing legal or administrative responses and continued uncertainty for stakeholders until a final course of action is determined.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:6376) stock is a Hold with a Yen1922.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nikkiso Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:6376 Stock Forecast page.

Nikkiso Revamps Board Lineup Ahead of March 2026 Shareholders’ Meeting
Jan 13, 2026

Nikkiso Co., Ltd. has announced a slate of director and Audit & Supervisory Board candidates to be submitted for approval at its 85th Ordinary General Meeting of Shareholders on March 27, 2026, signalling a measured refresh of its governance structure while maintaining continuity in top management. Representative Director, President and CEO Koichi Kato and several incumbent directors, including independent outside directors, are nominated for reelection, while Executive Officer and Head of Corporate Unit Masaharu Murakami is set to join the board as a new director and Hiroaki Asakura, currently a director and general manager at the company’s Chinese dialysis equipment affiliate, is nominated as a new Audit & Supervisory Board member. The company is also reappointing Naoshi Ogasawara as an outside Audit & Supervisory Board member and maintaining Makoto Suzuki as a substitute outside Audit & Supervisory Board member, while Chairman and Director Toshihiko Kai and Audit & Supervisory Board Member Motohiro Takeuchi are scheduled to retire on March 27, 2026, underscoring an orderly leadership transition and a continued emphasis on outside oversight in its governance framework.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:6376) stock is a Hold with a Yen1695.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nikkiso Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:6376 Stock Forecast page.

Nikkiso Keeps Core Leadership Intact in 2026 Executive Lineup
Dec 23, 2025

Nikkiso Co., Ltd. announced a series of officer appointments and role confirmations effective January 1, 2026, as approved by its Board of Directors. The resolution largely maintains continuity in top management, with President and CEO Koichi Kato and key business heads in the medical, industrial, aerospace, corporate, and R&D units retaining their current positions, while formalizing Executive Officer status for Kazuhiko Sugimoto as head of the Medical Factory at the Kanazawa Plant. The move underscores organizational stability across Nikkiso’s main business segments and reinforces its governance structure as it continues to manage its diversified portfolio, including its U.S.-based cryogenic subsidiary, without signaling major strategic or operational shifts for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:6376) stock is a Buy with a Yen1766.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nikkiso Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:6376 Stock Forecast page.

Nikkiso Co., Ltd. Completes Strategic Share Repurchase
Dec 8, 2025

Nikkiso Co., Ltd. announced the completion of a share repurchase transaction, acquiring 1,000,000 shares for 1,544,000,000 yen through the Tokyo Stock Exchange’s ToSTNeT-3 system. This move aims to enhance shareholder returns and improve capital efficiency, reflecting the company’s strategic focus on optimizing its financial structure and delivering value to its stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:6376) stock is a Buy with a Yen1780.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nikkiso Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:6376 Stock Forecast page.

Nikkiso Co., Ltd. Announces Strategic Share Repurchase Plan
Dec 5, 2025

Nikkiso Co., Ltd. has announced a share repurchase plan as part of its strategy to enhance capital efficiency and provide stable returns to shareholders. The company plans to buy back up to 1,000,000 shares, representing 1.51% of its outstanding shares, at a total cost of up to 1,544,000,000 yen. This move aligns with their medium-term business plan, aiming for a total payout ratio of 35% by 2025, and reflects their commitment to improving business profitability and shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:6376) stock is a Buy with a Yen1780.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nikkiso Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:6376 Stock Forecast page.

Nikkiso Reports Strong Profit Growth and Dividend Increase for Q3 2025
Nov 21, 2025

Nikkiso Co., Ltd. reported a modest increase in revenue for the nine months ending September 30, 2025, with significant improvements in operating profit and profit before tax compared to the previous year. The company also announced a dividend increase, reflecting its positive financial outlook and stable market position, despite excluding six subsidiaries from its consolidation scope.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:6376) stock is a Buy with a Yen1780.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nikkiso Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:6376 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 18, 2026