Nippon Gear Co., Ltd. (6356) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: ¥25.97B
• Dividend Yield: 0.92%
• Average Volume (3M): 116.20K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 6.7
• Beta (1Y): 0.55
• Revenue Growth: -1.79%
• EPS Growth: -8.54%
• Country: JP
• Employees: 393
• Sector: Consumer Cyclical
• Sector Strength: 84
• Industry: Auto - Parts
• EPS (TTM): 32.00
• Shares Outstanding: 14,280,000
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 161,780
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 116,203
• PEG Ratio: 6.22
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.55
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.72
• P/FCF Ratio: 8.63
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 77 Outperform
• Price Target: ¥2,070.00 ▲(142.67% Upside)
• Action: Reiterated Date: 03/07/26
• Date: Action: Reiterated 03/07/26

The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (growth, profitability, and cash conversion) and an attractive low P/E valuation. This is tempered by technical indicators showing overbought conditions despite a clear uptrend, which increases near-term downside risk.

Positive Factors

Revenue growth trend

Sustained, material top-line growth indicates durable demand for Nippon Gear’s motion and drive products among OEMs and industrial customers. Over a 2–6 month horizon this momentum supports higher capacity utilization, stronger OEM relationships and predictable revenue streams that underpin medium-term planning and reinvestment.

Robust operating margins

Consistently healthy gross and improving net margins, plus strong EBIT/EBITDA performance, point to durable operational efficiency in manufacturing and cost control. This margin profile supports resilience to input cost variability and provides a sustainable buffer for reinvestment, R&D and long-term competitiveness.

Strong cash generation & FCF growth

High operating cash conversion and notable free cash flow growth show the company converts earnings into liquidity reliably. That durable cash generation strengthens capacity to fund capex, service obligations, support aftermarket development and finance selective growth initiatives without relying heavily on external funding.

Negative Factors

Subpar return on equity

A high equity ratio and conservative leverage have produced a lower ROE than desirable, signaling less efficient use of shareholder capital. Over months this can limit shareholder returns and suggest opportunities to improve asset deployment, margin leverage or capital structure to enhance long-term investor outcomes.

OEM/end-market cyclicality risk

Dependence on OEM contracts and customer production volumes exposes revenue and utilization to auto and industrial cycle swings. This structural customer concentration and end-market cyclicality can create earnings variability and underutilized capacity risk across a 2–6 month horizon if OEM demand weakens.

Limited scale (headcount)

A relatively small workforce suggests limited scale versus larger global component suppliers. Over the medium term this can constrain R&D throughput, production scaling, supplier leverage and the ability to absorb supply-chain shocks, potentially hindering competitive positioning and margin expansion.

Nippon Gear Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Nippon Gear Co., Ltd. designs, produces, and sells valve actuators, screw jacks, gear drives, and gears in Japan and internationally. The company offers valve actuators for a range of applications in petroleum, nuclear, generating plants, and water/sewer pipelines; jacks for use in lifting/lowering, inclines, pulling, opening/closing, adjustment, and holding; gear drives for power plant, chemical plant, waste water treatment plant, and other applications; and gears for automotive, railroad, industrial machine, and other industries. It also provides equipment for communication, control, and detection, including control equipment and control systems, sensor control, and condition monitoring systems. In addition, the company constructs and installs machine instruments; and designs, supervises, operates, and installs electric works. Nippon Gear Co., Ltd. was founded in 1938 and is headquartered in Fujisawa, Japan.

How the Company Makes Money

Nippon Gear Co., Ltd. generates revenue through the production and sale of its core products, which include precision gears and mechanical components used in various applications, such as industrial machinery and automotive systems. The company operates on a business-to-business (B2B) model, supplying their products to manufacturers and industries that require high-quality mechanical solutions. Key revenue streams include direct sales of gear products, custom manufacturing services, and long-term contracts with major industrial clients. Additionally, Nippon Gear may benefit from strategic partnerships with other manufacturers and technology firms, which can enhance its market reach and drive additional sales through collaborative projects or joint ventures. The company also focuses on research and development to innovate and improve its product offerings, which in turn helps maintain competitiveness and customer loyalty.

Nippon Gear Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong income statement performance with improving net margins and robust EBIT/EBITDA margins (Income Statement Score: 85). Balance sheet is stable with low leverage and a high equity ratio, though ROE is an area to improve (Balance Sheet Score: 75). Cash generation is solid with strong operating cash flow conversion and impressive free cash flow growth (Cash Flow Score: 80).

Income Statement

Nippon Gear Co., Ltd. has shown a strong revenue growth trend over the years, marking a significant increase from 2023 to 2024. The company maintains a healthy gross profit margin, and its net profit margin has improved, reflecting effective cost control and operational efficiency. EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust, suggesting strong operating performance.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet is strong, with a low debt-to-equity ratio indicating conservative leverage. The equity ratio is high, demonstrating stability with significant stockholders' equity relative to total assets. However, the company's return on equity could be more robust, pointing to potential areas for enhancing shareholder returns.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis shows a positive trend, with strong operating cash flow relative to net income, indicating good cash generation capabilities. The free cash flow growth rate is impressive, signaling effective management of capital expenditures and operational efficiency. The company’s ability to convert earnings into free cash flow is commendable.

Breakdown	TTM	Mar 2025	Mar 2024	Mar 2023	Mar 2022	Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	9.20B	9.56B	9.62B	7.52B	7.57B	7.72B
Gross Profit	4.23B	4.27B	4.43B	3.14B	2.27B	2.23B
EBITDA	2.10B	2.52B	2.37B	1.20B	683.82M	707.07M
Net Income	1.31B	1.55B	1.54B	685.13M	295.83M	312.53M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	14.10B	15.23B	14.68B	12.72B	11.37B	11.34B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	4.64B	4.80B	4.48B	4.30B	3.53B	2.95B
Total Debt	402.97M	109.80M	366.46M	511.92M	658.37M	726.48M
Total Liabilities	3.52B	2.67B	3.58B	3.28B	2.57B	2.79B
Stockholders Equity	10.58B	12.56B	11.10B	9.44B	8.79B	8.55B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	370.63M	795.46M	421.68M	977.46M	706.17M	590.73M
Operating Cash Flow	370.63M	1.29B	748.94M	1.27B	803.87M	721.47M
Investing Cash Flow	0.00	-884.92M	-331.61M	-297.71M	-100.26M	-169.18M
Financing Cash Flow	0.00	-384.31M	-245.05M	-201.18M	-125.11M	-274.49M

Nippon Gear Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 853.00
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Negative
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:6356, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 853 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1153.05, below the 50-day MA of 1004.50, and above the 200-day MA of 770.11, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 164.43 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 80.77 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.25 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:6356.

Nippon Gear Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
6356	77 Outperform	¥25.97B	6.66	―	0.92%	-1.79%	-8.54%
7296	74 Outperform	¥174.81B	13.70	―	4.47%	2.01%	25.09%
7220	71 Outperform	¥185.92B	-8.32	―	1.93%	-3.23%	24.93%
7231	71 Outperform	¥79.11B	3.21	―	3.66%	-6.79%	303.74%
7278	69 Neutral	¥215.83B	10.65	6.56%	5.39%	-2.26%	―
6473	63 Neutral	¥606.43B	15.03	2.51%	3.18%	0.44%	-11.36%
Sector *	61 Neutral	$18.38B	12.79	-2.54%	3.03%	1.52%	-15.83%