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Exedy Corporation (JP:7278)
:7278

Exedy Corporation (7278) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:7278

Exedy Corporation

(7278)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
¥6,198.00
▲(10.48% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:01/30/26
The score is driven primarily by solid financial stability and strong cash generation, supported by an attractive dividend yield. Offsetting these positives are weak near-term business momentum (TTM revenue contraction) and mixed technicals with subdued short-term price strength.
Positive Factors
Strong free cash flow generation
Robust operating and free cash flow in the trailing twelve months provide enduring funding for dividends, capex and working capital without relying on new debt. Sustained FCF strengthens financial resilience and supports shareholder returns and reinvestment over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Top-line contraction
Material TTM revenue decline signals weakening demand or lost volumes from OEMs/aftermarket. For a supplier tied to vehicle production, prolonged top‑line contraction can erode operating leverage, pressure margins and reduce sustainable earnings and cash flow over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong free cash flow generation
Robust operating and free cash flow in the trailing twelve months provide enduring funding for dividends, capex and working capital without relying on new debt. Sustained FCF strengthens financial resilience and supports shareholder returns and reinvestment over the medium term.
Read all positive factors

Exedy Corporation (7278) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Exedy Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
EXEDY Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells manual and automatic transmission vehicle parts in Japan. The company provides manual and automatic transmission parts for passenger vehicles, trucks, and buses, which inclu...
How the Company Makes Money
Exedy Corporation generates revenue primarily through the sale of its automotive components to OEMs and aftermarket retailers. The company's revenue model is centered on manufacturing and distributing high-performance clutch systems and related pr...

Exedy Corporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall financials are solid: profitability rebounded sharply (FY2025 returned to net profit), leverage is conservative (debt-to-equity ~0.30), and cash generation is strong with sizable TTM free cash flow. The primary risk is business momentum—revenue was flat in FY2025 and contracted materially in TTM, which could pressure earnings if it persists.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
Cash Flow
77
Positive
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue302.63B309.56B308.34B285.64B261.10B227.42B
Gross Profit61.28B57.68B51.69B42.60B45.80B38.04B
EBITDA36.63B37.26B35.69B31.80B36.76B31.41B
Net Income13.66B12.74B-10.02B4.59B12.48B4.98B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets313.79B303.91B321.94B331.88B332.79B312.74B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments70.31B68.16B74.04B59.54B55.41B51.57B
Total Debt54.74B57.73B31.18B34.69B38.86B43.22B
Total Liabilities110.00B109.64B88.39B91.97B96.76B96.01B
Stockholders Equity188.75B180.48B218.55B225.56B221.76B203.93B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow33.49B23.93B28.71B15.25B14.50B13.44B
Operating Cash Flow41.20B31.50B37.61B27.22B28.43B30.11B
Investing Cash Flow-9.25B-8.72B-13.41B-12.79B-15.49B-16.77B
Financing Cash Flow-34.65B-28.72B-11.41B-11.18B-10.54B-8.45B

Exedy Corporation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price5610.00
Price Trends
50DMA
5859.80
Negative
100DMA
5659.30
Positive
200DMA
5201.74
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-64.98
Positive
RSI
46.74
Neutral
STOCH
34.00
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:7278, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5610 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5834.00, below the 50-day MA of 5859.80, and above the 200-day MA of 5201.74, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -64.98 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.74 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 34.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:7278.

Exedy Corporation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
¥162.70B13.704.47%2.01%25.09%
71
Outperform
¥172.09B-8.321.93%-3.23%24.93%
69
Neutral
¥211.08B10.657.50%5.39%-2.26%
68
Neutral
¥577.80B28.263.52%1.43%83.34%
63
Neutral
¥554.22B15.033.35%3.18%0.44%-11.36%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
54
Neutral
¥1.72T14.238.34%2.03%4.33%524.86%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:7278
Exedy Corporation
5,780.00
1,357.44
30.69%
JP:7259
Aisin Seiki Co
2,288.50
462.98
25.36%
JP:6473
JTEKT
1,741.00
569.95
48.67%
JP:6471
NSK Ltd.
1,182.00
527.59
80.62%
JP:7220
Musashi Seimitsu Industry Co., Ltd.
2,625.00
-293.66
-10.06%
JP:7296
F.C.C.Co., Ltd.
3,360.00
225.91
7.21%

Exedy Corporation Corporate Events

EXEDY Lifts Dividend as Profits Climb Despite Softer FY2025 Sales
Jan 28, 2026
EXEDY Corporation reported consolidated revenue of ¥226.4 billion for the first nine months of FY2025, down 3.0% year on year, but achieved higher profitability, with operating profit up 3.4% to ¥16.7 billion and profit attributable to o...
Exedy Overhauls Governance With Shift to Nominating Committee Structure
Jan 28, 2026
Exedy Corporation will transition from a company with a board of corporate auditors to a company with a nominating committee, subject to shareholder approval at the June 2026 ordinary general meeting, in a bid to accelerate decision-making and str...
Exedy Lifts Full-Year Profit Outlook and Commits to Aggressive Payout Policy
Jan 28, 2026
Exedy Corporation reported that third-quarter net sales declined, mainly due to lower orders for automatic transmission products in the Americas and Japan and adverse foreign exchange effects, but operating profit rose, supported by the exit from ...
EXEDY Upgrades Full-Year Earnings Outlook on Weaker Yen and Strong Q3
Jan 28, 2026
EXEDY Corporation has raised its full-year consolidated earnings forecast for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, citing a weaker-than-expected yen and stronger-than-forecast third-quarter results. The company now expects revenue of ¥300 b...
Exedy Raises ROE Ambitions in Updated Capital Efficiency and Valuation Strategy
Dec 23, 2025
Exedy Corporation announced an update to its cost of capital and stock price‑conscious management initiative following a Board of Directors meeting on December 23, 2025. Building on its mid- to long-term strategy launched in April 2024 and a...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 30, 2026