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Komatsu Ltd. (JP:6301)
:6301
Japanese Market

Komatsu Ltd. (6301) AI Stock Analysis

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JP

Komatsu Ltd.

(6301)

Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
¥5,006.00
▲(15.32%Upside)
Komatsu Ltd. achieves a strong overall score driven by robust financial performance and favorable valuation metrics. The company's solid fundamentals are complemented by positive technical indicators, suggesting continued growth potential. However, careful monitoring of the stock's technical indicators is advised due to potential overbought conditions.

Komatsu Ltd. (6301) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Komatsu Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKomatsu Ltd. manufactures and sells construction, mining, and utility equipment; and forest and industrial machinery worldwide. The company operates through three segments: Construction, Mining and Utility Equipment; Retail Finance; and Industrial Machinery and Others. It offers construction and mining equipment, including electric rope shovels, continuous miners, hydraulic excavators, wheel loaders, bulldozers, motor graders, dump trucks, mini excavators, utility equipment, and other mining equipment. The company also provides forklift trucks; forestry equipment, including harvesters, forwarders, and feller bunchers, as well as forestry-specific machines based on construction equipment; recycling equipment, such as mobile crushers, soil recyclers, and mobile tub grinders; tunneling machines, which comprise shield and tunnel-boring machines, as well as small diameter pipe jacking machines; and diesel engines, hydraulic equipment, and iron and steel castings products. In addition, it offers metal forging and stamping presses, including large presses, and small and medium-sized presses; sheet-metal machines, such as press brakes, shears, laser cutting machines, and fine plasma cutting machines; machine tools, which comprise crankshaft millers, transfer machines, machining centers, grinding machines, and wire saws; excimer lasers for semiconductor lithography tools; thermoelectric modules and temperature-control equipment for semiconductor manufacturing; and defense-related equipment, as well as provides warehousing and packing services. Further, the company provides other specific equipment for demolition, metal recycle, and slag handling; wear parts, periodic replacement parts, attachments, and remanufacturing parts; and retail financing for construction and mining equipment. Komatsu Ltd. was founded in 1884 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyKomatsu Ltd. generates revenue primarily through the sale and leasing of its construction and mining equipment. The company has a diverse revenue model that includes manufacturing and selling heavy machinery, providing aftermarket parts and services, and offering rental and leasing options. Key revenue streams include sales of new equipment, which account for a significant portion of the company's earnings, and the aftermarket segment, which includes parts, maintenance, and repair services. Komatsu also benefits from strategic partnerships and collaborations with other industry players to enhance its product offerings and expand its market reach. The company's focus on innovation and technology, such as autonomous vehicles and smart construction solutions, also contributes to its growth and revenue generation.

Komatsu Ltd. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 28, 2025
(Q3-2024)
|
% Change Since: 7.58%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 25, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a generally positive sentiment with record-high financial results and strategic advancements in electrification and battery technology. Despite challenges in specific segments and regions, the overall business performance and future outlook remain strong.
Q3-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-High Financial Metrics
Net sales increased by 5.6% year-on-year to JPY972 billion with operating income rising 15.9% to JPY156.4 billion. Net income saw a significant increase of 42.4% to JPY98.7 billion, marking record highs for net sales, segment profit, and operating income in the third quarter.
Construction, Mining, and Utility Equipment Growth
Sales in this segment increased by 6.3% to JPY918.2 billion with segment profit advancing by 22.2% to JPY149.1 billion, showing a strong segment profit ratio improvement to 16.2%.
Positive Impact of Foreign Exchange Rates
The depreciation of the yen against major currencies contributed to a positive impact on net sales and operating income.
Expansion into Electrified Equipment
Introduction of a 13-ton class PC138E-11 electric excavator with lithium-ion battery to the market, aiming to accelerate toward carbon neutrality by 2050.
Acquisition of American Battery Solutions
Strategic acquisition to enhance battery technology capabilities, crucial for developing electrified construction and mining equipment.
Negative Updates
Decline in Retail Finance and Industrial Machinery Profits
Retail finance segment profit decreased by 10.6% to JPY5.7 billion and industrial machinery segment profit declined by 72.8% to JPY1.3 billion.
Decreased Sales in Key Regions
Sales decreased in Asia, CIS, and Europe, with a significant demand decrease in the Chinese market by 51% year-on-year for hydraulic excavators.
Challenging Market Conditions in Europe and Southeast Asia
Europe saw a 15% decrease in Q3 demand due to higher interest rates and energy prices, while Southeast Asia experienced an 11% drop due to economic uncertainties.
Company Guidance
During the call, Komatsu provided detailed financial and operational guidance for fiscal year 2023, particularly focusing on the third quarter. The company reported a 5.6% year-on-year increase in net sales to JPY972 billion, with operating income rising by 15.9% to JPY156.4 billion. The operating income to net sales ratio improved by 1.4 percentage points to 16.1%, while net income surged by 42.4% to JPY98.7 billion. Komatsu highlighted that the construction, mining, and utility equipment segment saw a 6.3% rise in net sales to JPY918.2 billion, with segment profit growing by 22.2% to JPY149.1 billion. Despite a challenging environment, including the Noto Peninsula earthquake, Komatsu maintained its annual forecast, leveraging improved selling prices and favorable foreign exchange rates. The company also addressed demand trends, expecting a decrease in overall fiscal 2023 demand by 10% to 15%, with notable declines in Europe and China, while the North American market demonstrated resilience. Additionally, Komatsu discussed strategic initiatives such as the introduction of electrified construction equipment and the acquisition of battery technology to drive future growth and profitability.

Komatsu Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Komatsu Ltd. is in a strong financial position with consistent revenue and profit growth, effective cost management, and substantial cash flow generation. The company's stable balance sheet and efficient use of capital underline its resilience and potential for future expansion, though vigilant monitoring of debt levels is advisable.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Komatsu Ltd. demonstrates strong revenue growth and profitability. The Gross Profit Margin for 2025 is 32.21%, with an impressive Net Profit Margin of 10.71%. The Revenue Growth Rate from 2024 to 2025 is 6.19%, showcasing a consistent upward trajectory. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy at 16.16% and 20.11%, respectively, indicating operational efficiency and robust earnings performance.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a stable financial structure with a Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 0.38, reflecting moderate leverage. Return on Equity (ROE) is strong at 13.84%, suggesting efficient use of equity. The Equity Ratio stands at 54.98%, indicating a solid equity base relative to total assets, though the increase in total debt warrants careful monitoring.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Komatsu's cash flow generation is robust, with a Free Cash Flow Growth Rate of 34.23% from 2024 to 2025, reflecting improved capital efficiency. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 1.18, indicating strong cash generation relative to net profits. A Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 0.71 supports the company's capability to fund operations and growth initiatives.
Breakdown
Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income StatementTotal Revenue
4.10T3.87T3.54T2.80T2.19T
Gross Profit
1.32T1.21T1.04T779.58B581.05B
EBIT
663.53B607.19B490.69B317.01B167.33B
EBITDA
825.44B787.01B658.49B473.14B309.67B
Net Income Common Stockholders
439.26B393.43B326.40B224.93B106.24B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
385.57B403.18B289.98B316.67B243.13B
Total Assets
5.77T5.64T4.88T4.35T3.78T
Total Debt
1.22T1.27T1.12T1.01T965.85B
Net Debt
835.13B867.24B826.58B692.46B724.04B
Total Liabilities
2.43T2.44T2.20T1.99T1.77T
Stockholders Equity
3.17T3.03T2.54T2.23T1.91T
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
311.31B231.83B22.94B138.01B172.58B
Operating Cash Flow
517.17B434.78B206.47B300.97B354.13B
Investing Cash Flow
-210.67B-204.42B-169.52B-143.57B-163.06B
Financing Cash Flow
-321.42B-122.04B-66.61B-93.87B-199.67B

Komatsu Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price4341.00
Price Trends
50DMA
4215.74
Positive
100DMA
4320.40
Positive
200DMA
4140.54
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
48.67
Positive
RSI
61.12
Neutral
STOCH
59.13
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:6301, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 4341 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4367.15, above the 50-day MA of 4215.74, and above the 200-day MA of 4140.54, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 48.67 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 61.12 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 59.13 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:6301.

Komatsu Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
¥4.01T9.17
4.38%5.97%13.78%
66
Neutral
$4.48B12.265.32%248.53%4.10%-12.36%
$6.47B12.239.99%3.77%
$12.79B10.428.29%2.79%
DETN0
€745.16M14.754.46%2.37%
¥216.97B8.24
4.39%
65
Neutral
¥224.66B25.90
1.14%-5.15%-68.51%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:6301
Komatsu Ltd.
4,470.00
45.30
1.02%
HTCMF
Hitachi Construction Machinery Co
30.83
5.19
20.24%
KUBTF
Kubota
11.65
-2.10
-15.27%
DE:TN0
TADANO
5.95
-0.47
-7.32%
JP:6432
Takeuchi Mfg.Co., Ltd.
4,555.00
-1,041.40
-18.61%
JP:7105
Mitsubishi Logisnext Co., Ltd.
2,115.00
717.69
51.36%

Komatsu Ltd. Corporate Events

Komatsu Ltd. Updates on Share Buyback Progress
Jun 2, 2025

Komatsu Ltd. has announced the status of its share buyback program, revealing that it repurchased 3,832,300 shares of common stock for a total of 16,573,351,277 yen between May 1 and May 31, 2025. This move is part of a broader strategy approved by the Board of Directors to buy back up to 40 million shares, aiming to enhance shareholder value and optimize capital structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:6301) stock is a Hold with a Yen4600.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Komatsu Ltd. stock, see the JP:6301 Stock Forecast page.

Komatsu Ltd. Announces Share Buyback Status
May 7, 2025

Komatsu Ltd. announced the status of its share buyback program, repurchasing 222,200 common shares at a total cost of 909,758,503 yen. This move is part of a broader plan approved by the Board of Directors to buy back up to 40 million shares, aiming to enhance shareholder value and optimize the company’s capital structure.

Komatsu Announces Share Buyback and Treasury Stock Cancellation
Apr 28, 2025

Komatsu Ltd. has announced a strategic move to repurchase up to 40 million shares of its common stock, representing 4.3% of its outstanding shares, with a maximum purchase price of 100 billion yen. This decision, along with the cancellation of the repurchased shares, aims to enhance corporate value and improve shareholder returns by optimizing capital efficiency and maintaining financial soundness.

Komatsu Ltd. Increases Year-End Dividend Amid Strategic Financial Planning
Apr 28, 2025

Komatsu Ltd. has announced a decision to increase its year-end dividend per share to JPY 107, up from the previously projected JPY 84, reflecting a commitment to maintaining a stable dividend payout ratio of 40% or higher. This move is part of Komatsu’s strategy to sustain corporate value growth by considering consolidated business results and future investment plans, despite a projected decrease in net income for the next fiscal year.

Komatsu Ltd. Reports Strong Financial Performance for Fiscal Year 2025
Apr 28, 2025

Komatsu Ltd. reported an increase in net sales and operating income for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2025, with net sales rising by 6.2% and operating income by 8.2% compared to the previous year. Despite a decline in comprehensive income, the company maintained a stable return on equity and increased its annual dividends, reflecting a strong financial position and commitment to shareholder returns.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.