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Howa Machinery, Ltd. (JP:6203)
:6203
Japanese Market

Howa Machinery, Ltd. (6203) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:6203

Howa Machinery, Ltd.

(6203)

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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
¥1,875.00
▲(57.30% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/11/26
The score is driven primarily by improving financial performance (strong revenue growth and recovering margins) but held back by weak cash flow conversion and negative free cash flow. Technically, the stock shows strong trend momentum above key moving averages, though overbought signals add near-term risk. Valuation is the main downside, with a high P/E and only modest dividend support.
Positive Factors
Revenue growth
A 25.5% year-over-year revenue gain signals durable demand and expanding commercial traction in core machine-tool and production-equipment markets. Sustained top-line growth supports reinvestment in capacity and product development, strengthening medium-term competitive position.
Negative Factors
Negative free cash flow
Persistent negative free cash flow constrains the firm's ability to fund capex, pay down debt, or return cash to shareholders without external financing. Over the medium term this impairs financial flexibility and increases reliance on working capital improvements or capital raises to sustain growth.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue growth
A 25.5% year-over-year revenue gain signals durable demand and expanding commercial traction in core machine-tool and production-equipment markets. Sustained top-line growth supports reinvestment in capacity and product development, strengthening medium-term competitive position.
Read all positive factors

Howa Machinery, Ltd. (6203) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Howa Machinery, Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Howa Machinery, Ltd. provides machine tools, pneumatic and hydraulic equipment, electronic machines, sweepers, metal joinery fittings, and firearms in Japan. The company's machine tools include machining centers, transfer lines, and standard machi...
How the Company Makes Money
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Howa Machinery, Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong revenue growth (25.5% from 2024 to 2025) and improved profitability (net margin back to 3.0%, EBIT margin 5.0%) support the score. Balance sheet leverage is moderate (debt-to-equity 0.43; equity ratio 55.0%), but cash generation is the key drag with negative free cash flow and a very low operating cash flow to net income ratio (0.07).
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue25.46B24.83B19.79B19.74B19.70B18.77B
Gross Profit4.49B4.20B3.49B3.63B3.96B3.48B
EBITDA2.14B1.72B-189.00M1.14B1.42B1.41B
Net Income894.00M749.00M-873.00M524.00M1.06B968.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets34.44B34.05B30.29B27.62B27.67B26.46B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.71B2.92B3.90B3.33B4.42B3.46B
Total Debt7.73B7.97B6.24B3.52B3.27B4.15B
Total Liabilities15.64B15.31B12.95B10.27B10.78B10.34B
Stockholders Equity18.79B18.74B17.33B17.35B16.89B16.11B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-2.32B-2.23B-1.14B2.38B-2.02B
Operating Cash Flow0.0055.00M-1.07B-506.00M3.05B-1.27B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-2.55B-871.00M-608.00M-544.00M-635.00M
Financing Cash Flow0.001.49B2.48B22.00M-1.61B1.88B

Howa Machinery, Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1192.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1608.86
Negative
100DMA
1417.40
Positive
200DMA
1302.12
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-19.67
Positive
RSI
37.01
Neutral
STOCH
1.93
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:6203, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1192 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1725.10, below the 50-day MA of 1608.86, and below the 200-day MA of 1302.12, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -19.67 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 37.01 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 1.93 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:6203.

Howa Machinery, Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
¥81.20B136.935.02%3.23%-10.00%-51.92%
74
Outperform
¥58.17B24.262.54%2.00%39.80%
69
Neutral
¥64.04B10.787.00%3.02%15.78%
65
Neutral
¥18.13B8.121.73%26.09%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
62
Neutral
¥26.60B-53.893.56%-3.85%-45.64%
61
Neutral
¥278.18B8.887.67%0.91%9.03%10.76%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:6203
Howa Machinery, Ltd.
1,517.00
207.26
15.82%
JP:6135
Makino Milling Machine Co
11,500.00
-1.28
-0.01%
JP:6143
Sodick
1,302.00
457.63
54.20%
JP:6104
Shibaura Machine Co., Ltd.
3,830.00
125.69
3.39%
JP:6118
Aida Engineering,Ltd.
1,088.00
267.83
32.66%
JP:6125
Okamoto Machine Tool Works,Ltd.
4,040.00
242.42
6.38%

Howa Machinery, Ltd. Corporate Events

Howa Machinery Posts Lower Profits but Stronger Balance Sheet in Q3 FY2025
Feb 12, 2026
Howa Machinery, Ltd. reported consolidated net sales of ¥16.8 billion for the quarter ended December 2025, a modest 1.5% increase from a year earlier, while operating profit fell 21.6% to ¥810 million and profit attributable to owners of...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 11, 2026