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Value HR Co., Ltd. (JP:6078)
:6078
Japanese Market

Value HR Co., Ltd. (6078) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:6078

Value HR Co., Ltd.

(6078)

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Neutral 58 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
¥1,493.00
▼(-6.10% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/18/26
The score is mainly supported by consistent revenue growth and generally healthy free cash flow, but it is held back by clear profitability deterioration. Technical indicators point to a weak trend, and valuation is a significant headwind given the high P/E alongside declining net income.
Positive Factors
Consistent revenue growth
The company has delivered multi-year top-line expansion with annual revenue growth ranging ~5–23% through 2025, indicating sustained demand for its HR services. Durable top-line momentum supports scale, reinvestment capacity, and strategic planning over a 2–6 month horizon and beyond.
Healthy free cash flow
Consistent positive free cash flow across recent years shows the business converts earnings into spendable cash, supporting operational resilience and funding for capex or deleveraging. Solid cash generation reduces reliance on external financing and strengthens strategic flexibility.
Improving leverage profile
Material decline in debt-to-equity over several years reflects balance sheet repair and improved financial resilience. A lower leverage ratio enhances borrowing capacity and reduces interest burden risk, bolstering the company’s ability to fund growth or weather cycles over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Declining profitability and margins
Material earnings and margin deterioration over recent years signals rising costs, pricing pressure, or mix shifts that erode long-run profitability. Persistent margin compression can limit reinvestment, reduce returns on capital, and make growth less value-accretive without structural cost fixes.
Absolute debt remains sizable
Despite improving ratios, large absolute debt balances keep financial flexibility constrained and raise refinancing and interest-rate exposure. Elevated nominal leverage can pressure cash flow during downturns and limit ability to fund M&A or sizable strategic investments.
Earnings and cashflow volatility
Notable year-to-year swings in free cash flow and material EPS contraction indicate earnings are not fully stable, which complicates forecasting and long-term planning. Volatility undermines the reliability of cash returns and heightens execution risk for margin recovery initiatives.

Value HR Co., Ltd. (6078) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Value HR Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionValue HR Co.,Ltd. provides healthcare services in Japan. The company engages in the planning, development, operation, and management of Value Cafeteria welfare support system. It also provides medical checkup agency, industrial health-related, welfare support, and health insurance association establishment support consulting services for enterprises; administrative outsourcing, temporary staffing, health management and data health support, probate agency, and electronic application system services for health insurance society and health checkup institutions; and metabo countermeasure web support system, stress check system, and medical expense detail notification system services. The company was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyValue HR Co., Ltd. generates revenue primarily through its diverse range of HR services. Key revenue streams include fees from recruitment services, which involve sourcing and placing candidates for client companies, and consulting fees for tailored HR solutions and strategic advisory services. Additionally, the company earns income from training programs designed to develop employee skills and enhance workforce capabilities. Strategic partnerships with technology providers may also contribute to its earnings by allowing Value HR Co., Ltd. to offer integrated HR software solutions, further diversifying its revenue sources.

Value HR Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Steady revenue growth supports demand, and free cash flow has been consistently positive and generally tracks earnings. However, profitability has weakened materially over the last two years with falling net income and margin compression, and the company remains meaningfully levered despite improved debt-to-equity.
Income Statement
66
Positive
Revenue has grown steadily each year (about 5% to 23% annually) through 2025, indicating solid demand. However, profitability has weakened materially: net income fell from 970M (2023) to 791M (2024) and 629M (2025), and margins compressed sharply from 2022–2024 levels (gross margin ~42% in 2022–2023 down to ~35% in 2024). The combination of continued top-line growth but declining earnings suggests rising costs and/or lower pricing power, tempering the overall quality of the growth.
Balance Sheet
63
Positive
Leverage has improved over time, with debt-to-equity declining from 2.41x (2020) to 0.84x (2024), supported by a stronger equity base. That said, absolute debt remains sizable (about 5.6B in 2024 and 5.1B in 2025) and the business is still meaningfully levered. Returns on equity also moderated from mid-teens (2022–2023) to ~11.8% (2024), consistent with the recent earnings pressure.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Cash generation is a relative strength: free cash flow is positive and healthy in recent years (1.56B in 2022, 0.97B in 2023, 1.87B in 2024, 1.30B in 2025), with operating cash flow also consistently positive. Free cash flow has generally tracked net income well (free cash flow to net income ~0.72x in 2023 and ~0.93x in 2024), though year-to-year volatility is notable (including negative free cash flow in 2020 and a decline in 2023). Overall, cash conversion looks solid despite fluctuations.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue9.15B10.07B8.38B7.10B6.17B5.53B
Gross Profit2.90B2.91B2.92B2.94B2.58B2.23B
EBITDA1.41B1.35B1.55B1.84B1.67B1.26B
Net Income617.51M629.02M791.08M970.02M880.81M662.56M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets16.08B18.22B17.86B17.23B16.78B16.54B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.15B4.93B5.49B5.40B5.13B5.09B
Total Debt5.24B5.09B5.61B6.12B6.63B7.13B
Total Liabilities9.48B11.32B11.17B10.91B11.14B11.27B
Stockholders Equity6.60B6.90B6.69B6.32B5.64B5.27B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.001.30B1.87B971.40M1.56B584.93M
Operating Cash Flow0.001.54B2.02B1.35B1.86B1.14B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-712.77M-713.95M-179.43M-1.12B-472.13M
Financing Cash Flow0.00-1.22B-1.22B-894.16M-1.01B1.70B

Value HR Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1590.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1458.65
Negative
100DMA
1573.37
Negative
200DMA
1585.26
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-9.61
Negative
RSI
41.49
Neutral
STOCH
54.98
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:6078, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1590 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1415.30, above the 50-day MA of 1458.65, and above the 200-day MA of 1585.26, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -9.61 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 41.49 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 54.98 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:6078.

Value HR Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
¥147.45B20.562.09%7.27%13.10%
70
Outperform
¥1.11T22.4212.15%1.01%33.50%17.26%
58
Neutral
¥37.80B59.291.53%18.40%-31.90%
52
Neutral
¥7.53B29.3641.16%2750.91%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
51
Neutral
¥58.33B58.128.79%31.95%-40.95%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:6078
Value HR Co., Ltd.
1,396.00
4.01
0.29%
JP:2413
M3
1,639.00
-130.51
-7.38%
JP:4480
Medley
1,782.00
-1,188.00
-40.00%
JP:2175
SMS Co., Ltd.
1,684.00
523.88
45.16%
JP:9218
Mental Health Technologies Co. Ltd.
721.00
-27.35
-3.65%
JP:366A
Wellness Communications Corporation
960.00
-870.00
-47.54%

Value HR Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Value HR Posts Higher Sales but Lower Profit, Projects Strong Earnings Rebound in 2026
Feb 12, 2026

Value HR Inc. reported consolidated net sales of ¥10.07 billion for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025, up 20.2% year on year, while operating profit fell 21.0% to ¥883 million and profit attributable to owners of parent declined 20.5% to ¥629 million. Despite pressure on margins, total assets and net assets edged higher, and the company maintained shareholder returns, raising the annual dividend to ¥26 per share with a consolidated payout ratio of 110.5%.

For 2026, Value HR forecasts net sales of ¥11.0 billion, a 9.3% increase, and expects a strong recovery in profitability with operating profit projected to jump 86.9% to ¥1.65 billion and profit attributable to owners of parent to rise 66.9% to ¥1.05 billion. The company plans a further dividend increase to ¥27 per share, signaling confidence in earnings growth and a continued focus on balancing business expansion with stable shareholder returns.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:6078) stock is a Hold with a Yen1501.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Value HR Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:6078 Stock Forecast page.

Value HR Unveils 2025 Results, 2026 Outlook and Capital Efficiency Focus
Feb 12, 2026

Value HR Co., Ltd. announced its financial results for the full year ended December 31, 2025 and outlined its business outlook. The company presented its forecast for the 2026 fiscal year, a future growth strategy, shareholder return initiatives, and a management policy focused on capital costs and share price, signaling an emphasis on enhancing corporate value for investors.

Management highlighted plans to balance growth investments with returns to shareholders while strengthening its competitive position in healthcare and HR services. The disclosed policies suggest that Value HR aims to improve capital efficiency, refine its strategic focus, and support sustainable expansion that benefits both corporate clients and stakeholders over the medium to long term.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:6078) stock is a Hold with a Yen1501.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Value HR Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:6078 Stock Forecast page.

Value HR Reshapes Executive Roles and Cafeteria Leadership
Feb 12, 2026

Value HR Co., Ltd. has announced an organizational restructuring that reallocates executive oversight while keeping President and CEO Michio Fujita as President and Representative Director, now formally in charge of the Cafeteria Business Division, Business Planning Department, Friendship Business Division, Human Resources Division, and the Women’s Empowerment Promotion Office. The company also appointed Tomonari Uchikawa, formerly Head of the East Japan Division in the HR Management Business Headquarters, as Head of the Cafeteria Division, signaling a refinement of management roles intended to strengthen operational control and support future business development.

These changes, effective February 13, 2026, align executive responsibilities more clearly with key business units and strategic initiatives, particularly in cafeteria services and human resources functions. By consolidating oversight under top management and elevating leadership in the cafeteria arm, Value HR appears to be tightening its governance framework and reinforcing its focus on core business segments and diversity-related initiatives, which may improve execution and organizational responsiveness for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:6078) stock is a Hold with a Yen1501.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Value HR Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:6078 Stock Forecast page.

Value HR Raises Shareholder Payouts With Higher Dividends for 2025 and 2026
Feb 12, 2026

Value HR’s board has approved an interim dividend of 13 yen per share with a record date of December 31, 2025, funded from retained earnings and in line with its policy of prioritizing stable and continuous shareholder returns. Combined with the previously paid interim dividend of 13 yen, this brings the total dividend for fiscal 2025 to 26 yen per share, broadly continuing the company’s recent trend of dividend increases.

For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, Value HR plans to raise its annual dividend to 27 yen per share, split equally between interim and year-end payments of 13.5 yen each. Historical figures show a steady climb in dividends and a DOE consistently around or above 10%, underscoring management’s commitment to shareholder remuneration even as payout ratios fluctuate with earnings performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:6078) stock is a Hold with a Yen1501.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Value HR Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:6078 Stock Forecast page.

Value HR Reports No Progress on Authorized Share Buyback in January
Feb 6, 2026

Value HR Co., Ltd. announced that it did not acquire any of its own shares in January 2026 under its ongoing share buyback program, leaving total treasury share purchases at zero shares and zero yen in cost as of January 31, 2026. Despite having board authorization to repurchase up to 700,000 shares, or 2.62% of its outstanding stock, for up to ¥1.0 billion through March 31, 2026, the company has yet to execute on the buyback, signaling that management may be waiting for more favorable market conditions or reassessing capital allocation priorities, which could affect shareholder expectations regarding capital returns and stock price support.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:6078) stock is a Hold with a Yen1501.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Value HR Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:6078 Stock Forecast page.

Value HR Leaves Authorized Share Buyback Untapped Through Year-End 2025
Jan 7, 2026

Value HR Co., Ltd. reported that it did not acquire any of its own shares during the period from December 1 to December 31, 2025, despite having an active board authorization for a share buyback program. Under a resolution approved in November 2025, the company is permitted to repurchase up to 700,000 shares, or 2.62% of its outstanding shares, for a total of up to ¥1.0 billion through March 31, 2026, but as of December 31, 2025, no treasury shares had been acquired and no funds had been deployed, indicating that the buyback capacity remains entirely unused and leaving investors to watch whether and when management will begin executing the program.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:6078) stock is a Hold with a Yen1864.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Value HR Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:6078 Stock Forecast page.

Value HR Co., Ltd. Reports No Treasury Share Acquisitions
Dec 8, 2025

Value HR Co., Ltd. announced that it has not acquired any treasury shares during the specified period from November 14 to November 30, 2025, despite having a resolution in place to purchase up to 700,000 shares. This lack of acquisition may indicate a strategic decision or market conditions affecting the company’s planned buyback, potentially impacting its stock market performance and shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:6078) stock is a Hold with a Yen1864.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Value HR Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:6078 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 18, 2026