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CK San-Etsu Co., Ltd. (JP:5757)
:5757
Japanese Market

CK San-Etsu Co., Ltd. (5757) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:5757

CK San-Etsu Co., Ltd.

(5757)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
¥5,227.00
▲(26.56% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:10/29/25
CK San-Etsu Co., Ltd. scores well due to its strong financial performance and attractive valuation, with a low P/E ratio and reasonable dividend yield. However, technical analysis indicates a bearish short-term trend, which slightly offsets the overall score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth Trend
Sustained revenue growth near 12-13% shows expanding sales and demand for its copper/alloy products across industrial end-markets. This pace supports predictable topline expansion, enabling steady capacity planning and investment over the next several quarters.
Balance Sheet Strength
A strong equity base and very low leverage provide financial flexibility to withstand metal-price cycles and fund capex or working capital. Improved ROE near 10% signals efficient capital use, helping sustain operations and support strategic investments.
Improving Cash Generation
Material free cash flow improvement and solid operating-cash-to-net-income indicate stronger cash conversion. Reliable cash generation supports reinvestment, dividend continuity and debt reduction, strengthening the firm's ability to fund higher-value product development.
Negative Factors
Low Net Profit Margin
Although improving, a net margin around 4% is thin for sustaining long-term competitiveness. Limited margin cushion reduces resilience to cost inflation or pricing pressure, constraining the company's ability to invest in higher-margin R&D or absorb commodity shocks.
EPS Volatility
A steep year-over-year EPS decline signals earnings volatility that can impair retained earnings and strategic consistency. Persistent EPS swings complicate long-range planning, capital allocation and investor confidence, requiring management to stabilise underlying profitability.
Commodity Price Exposure
Business depends on pass-through of copper and alloy cost swings; adverse metal cycles can compress spreads and margins. Structural commodity exposure makes profitability sensitive to procurement effectiveness and hedging, limiting predictable margin expansion.

CK San-Etsu Co., Ltd. (5757) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

CK San-Etsu Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCK SAN-ETSU Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells brass rod and wire products in Japan, China, and Taiwan. It also offers precision parts through forging and cutting activities; piping equipment under the CK brand; and hot-dip galvanized metal products. The company was formerly known as SAN-ETSU METALS Co., Ltd. and changed its name to CK SAN-ETSU Co., Ltd. in October 2011. CK SAN-ETSU Co., Ltd. was founded in 1919 and is based in Takaoka, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyCK San-Etsu generates revenue through the sale of its semiconductor materials and chemical products to a diverse customer base, including major electronics manufacturers and automotive companies. The company's revenue model is primarily based on direct sales, where it supplies bulk quantities of its products to clients. Key revenue streams include the sale of specialty chemicals for semiconductor fabrication, which are essential for the production of integrated circuits and other electronic components. Additionally, CK San-Etsu benefits from long-term partnerships with leading technology firms, which provide a stable demand for its products. The company may also engage in research and development collaborations, enhancing its product offerings and driving innovation, which further contributes to its earnings.

CK San-Etsu Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
CK San-Etsu Co., Ltd. exhibits a healthy financial profile with consistent revenue growth, stable profit margins, and a strong equity position. The income statement and cash flow metrics are commendable, though ongoing efforts to improve net profit margins and manage leverage are crucial for sustained financial health.
Income Statement
75
Positive
CK San-Etsu Co., Ltd. shows a solid income statement with consistent revenue growth, highlighted by a 12.3% increase in revenue from 2024 to 2025. Gross profit margins remain stable at around 12%, and the net profit margin improved to 4.16% in 2025 from 3.42% the previous year. EBIT and EBITDA margins have also shown improvement, indicating efficient cost management and operational effectiveness. However, the company must continue enhancing its net profit margin to remain competitive.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet of CK San-Etsu Co., Ltd. is relatively strong with a solid equity base, as seen in the equity ratio of 60.1% in 2025. The debt-to-equity ratio is manageable at 0.16, reflecting moderate leverage. Return on equity (ROE) has improved to approximately 9.97%, showcasing effective utilization of shareholder funds. While the company maintains a healthy financial position, careful monitoring of debt levels is advisable to prevent potential risks associated with increased leverage.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
The cash flow statement highlights a positive trajectory with a significant increase in free cash flow to ¥3,016 million in 2025, up from ¥970 million in 2024. The operating cash flow to net income ratio remains robust at 1.02, suggesting strong cash generation capabilities relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio has improved, indicating better cash management. Continued focus on enhancing free cash flow will support future investments and debt reduction.
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue130.19B125.11B111.43B123.84B115.34B69.13B
Gross Profit14.53B15.42B13.02B13.24B15.55B9.50B
EBITDA11.42B10.37B8.17B10.92B9.14B2.64B
Net Income6.93B5.21B3.81B5.32B4.31B174.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets98.82B86.97B77.14B75.45B71.10B66.14B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.42B3.70B981.00M1.03B679.00M1.74B
Total Debt19.47B8.50B8.22B9.23B9.72B12.71B
Total Liabilities37.90B27.93B23.53B26.31B27.21B25.73B
Stockholders Equity52.91B52.27B47.44B43.38B38.52B35.22B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.003.02B970.00M836.00M4.10B-9.62B
Operating Cash Flow0.005.31B3.70B3.24B6.28B-5.40B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-2.32B-2.68B-2.54B-2.63B-7.37B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-279.00M-1.07B-553.00M-4.71B10.21B

CK San-Etsu Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price4130.00
Price Trends
50DMA
4290.60
Positive
100DMA
4133.15
Positive
200DMA
3986.77
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
71.12
Negative
RSI
70.14
Negative
STOCH
84.61
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:5757, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 4130 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4441.50, below the 50-day MA of 4290.60, and above the 200-day MA of 3986.77, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 71.12 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 70.14 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.61 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:5757.

CK San-Etsu Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
¥30.44B14.382.96%9.16%-21.26%
76
Outperform
¥23.75B10.472.78%2.63%-3.96%
72
Outperform
¥16.90B7.442.87%2.38%-5.80%
71
Outperform
¥39.75B25.982.25%12.79%-15.37%
66
Neutral
¥37.15B10.664.92%-7.06%-31.96%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
54
Neutral
¥23.85B10.254.33%5.12%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:5757
CK San-Etsu Co., Ltd.
4,730.00
892.69
23.26%
JP:5644
Metalart Corporation
5,590.00
2,405.64
75.55%
JP:5852
Ahresty Corporation
943.00
329.69
53.76%
JP:5922
NASU DENKI-TEKKO CO., LTD.
20,360.00
7,203.16
54.75%
JP:7414
Onoken Co., Ltd.
1,495.00
70.94
4.98%
JP:7637
Hakudo Co., Ltd.
2,684.00
410.27
18.04%

CK San-Etsu Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

CK San-Etsu Books Heavy Derivative Losses After Copper Price Surge
Feb 13, 2026

CK San-Etsu has booked substantial non-operating expenses in the consolidated cumulative third quarter of the fiscal year ending March 2026, recording a 2.046 billion yen derivative loss and a 5.719 billion yen loss on valuation of derivatives. These losses stem from hedging activities tied to sharp copper price increases since October 2025, highlighting the company’s exposure to commodity market volatility and the material impact of its risk management strategy on quarterly earnings.

Management noted that gains or losses on derivative valuations will continue to fluctuate with raw material market trends, and directed stakeholders to its latest third-quarter financial summary and revised full-year earnings forecasts for further details. The announcement underscores both the importance and potential income-statement volatility of derivative-based hedging for manufacturers dependent on copper and zinc, with investors needing to monitor how future price movements may affect profitability and balance-sheet stability.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:5757) stock is a Buy with a Yen5118.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CK San-Etsu Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:5757 Stock Forecast page.

Nippon Shindo Raises Sales Outlook but Cuts Profit Forecast on Copper Derivative Losses
Feb 13, 2026

CK San-Etsu Co., Ltd. announced that its subsidiary Nippon Shindo Co., Ltd. has revised its earnings forecast for the fiscal year ending March 2026 in response to recent business performance trends. The parent company indicated that its own consolidated earnings outlook has also been updated in light of the subsidiary’s changes.

Nippon Shindo now expects full-year net sales and operating profit to significantly exceed prior guidance, driven mainly by higher-than-planned copper prices boosting revenues. However, the sharp rise in copper prices since October 2025 has generated derivative valuation losses booked as non-operating expenses, leading the company to cut its forecasts for ordinary profit and net profit despite stronger top-line performance.

The revision underscores the dual impact of commodity volatility on metals processors, as elevated raw material prices support sales but increase financial risk through hedging activities. For investors and other stakeholders, the new outlook highlights both improved operating momentum and heightened earnings sensitivity to swings in copper markets, which could shape future risk management and pricing strategies.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:5757) stock is a Buy with a Yen5118.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CK San-Etsu Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:5757 Stock Forecast page.

CK San-Etsu Raises Sales Outlook but Cuts Profit Forecast on Copper Derivative Losses
Feb 13, 2026

CK San-Etsu has revised its full-year consolidated earnings forecast for the fiscal year ending March 2026, projecting higher net sales and operating profit than previously expected, driven by increased sales volumes in its copper and brass business after acquiring MITANI SHINDO and by higher-than-planned copper prices. However, a sharp rise in copper prices since October 2025 has led to derivative-related non-operating losses aimed at hedging commodity price risks, resulting in downward revisions to ordinary profit and profit attributable to owners of the parent, underscoring both the growth in its core operations and the earnings volatility tied to raw material price movements.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:5757) stock is a Buy with a Yen5118.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CK San-Etsu Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:5757 Stock Forecast page.

CK San-Etsu Posts Higher Sales but Profit Slump and Weakens Outlook Quality
Feb 13, 2026

CK San-Etsu reported consolidated net sales of ¥105.3 billion for the nine months to December 31, 2025, up 12.6% year on year, while operating profit was flat at ¥8.18 billion. Ordinary profit and profit attributable to owners of parent plunged about 87% to ¥845 million and ¥499 million respectively, dragging basic earnings per share down to ¥60 as comprehensive income fell sharply.

The company’s balance sheet showed total assets rising to ¥104.1 billion but the equity ratio declining to 49.3%, reflecting a weaker capital structure compared with March 2025. Despite profit pressure, CK San-Etsu kept its dividend policy intact, paying ¥45 per share at the second quarter and forecasting a full-year total of ¥90, while revising its full-year outlook to higher sales and operating profit but much lower ordinary profit and net income, signaling ongoing earnings headwinds for shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:5757) stock is a Buy with a Yen5118.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CK San-Etsu Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:5757 Stock Forecast page.

CK San-Etsu Books ¥7.8 Billion in Derivative Losses on Copper Price Surge
Feb 13, 2026

CK San-Etsu has booked substantial non-operating expenses in the consolidated cumulative third quarter of the fiscal year ending March 2026, driven by losses linked to its commodity hedging activities. The company recorded a derivative loss of ¥2.046 billion and a loss on valuation of derivatives of ¥5.719 billion, reflecting the sharp rise in copper prices since October 2025 and highlighting the financial impact of its risk management strategy.

These losses underline the sensitivity of CK San-Etsu’s earnings to fluctuations in global copper and zinc markets, as the firm uses derivatives to hedge inventory price risks. Investors are directed to the firm’s third-quarter financial summary and its revised earnings forecast for more detail, signaling that the derivative valuation swings could continue to influence results depending on future raw material price trends.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:5757) stock is a Buy with a Yen5118.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CK San-Etsu Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:5757 Stock Forecast page.

Nippon Shindo Lifts Sales Outlook but Cuts Profit Forecast on Copper-Linked Derivative Losses
Feb 13, 2026

CK San-Etsu said its subsidiary Nippon Shindo has revised its full-year earnings outlook for the fiscal year ending March 2026, prompting investors to look to CK San-Etsu’s own updated consolidated forecasts released the same day. The disclosure underscores the parent’s reliance on the performance of Nippon Shindo, whose results are shaped by swings in copper prices and related financial instruments.

Nippon Shindo raised its net sales and operating profit forecasts, citing higher-than-expected copper prices that lifted revenue and core earnings. However, sharp copper price increases since October 2025 triggered derivative valuation losses booked as non-operating expenses, leading the company to cut its projections for ordinary profit and bottom-line profit despite stronger sales.

The new guidance calls for net sales of ¥29.8 billion, up 14.6% from the prior forecast, and operating profit of ¥2.63 billion, more than doubling the earlier estimate. By contrast, ordinary profit is now seen falling about 27% versus the previous outlook to ¥850 million, while profit is expected to drop roughly 24% to ¥620 million, driving forecast earnings per share down to ¥290.13 from ¥383.72.

Compared with the year ended March 2025, Nippon Shindo now expects higher net sales and operating profit but significantly weaker ordinary profit and net profit. The revisions highlight how commodity hedging and derivative positions can offset gains from favorable price movements in the underlying metal, a dynamic that may concern shareholders focused on earnings stability and risk management.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:5757) stock is a Buy with a Yen5118.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CK San-Etsu Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:5757 Stock Forecast page.

CK San-Etsu Lifts Sales Outlook but Cuts Profit Forecast on Copper Derivative Losses
Feb 13, 2026

CK San-Etsu Co., Ltd. has revised its full-year consolidated earnings forecasts for the fiscal year ending March 2026, reflecting stronger-than-expected performance in its copper and brass operations. Net sales are now projected to rise to 145 billion yen and operating profit to 13 billion yen, driven by increased sales volume following the consolidation of MITANI SHINDO Co., Ltd. and higher copper prices than initially assumed.

Despite this operational strength, the company expects ordinary profit and profit attributable to owners of the parent to fall sharply versus previous forecasts, as recent rapid increases in copper prices have triggered significant derivative losses and valuation losses on hedging transactions. These non-operating expenses, recorded on derivatives used to manage commodity price risk on inventories, are set to weigh heavily on bottom-line results, underscoring the earnings volatility tied to raw material price swings for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:5757) stock is a Buy with a Yen5118.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CK San-Etsu Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:5757 Stock Forecast page.

CK San-Etsu Grows Sales but Profit Slumps on Lower Non-Operating Income
Feb 13, 2026

CK San-Etsu reported consolidated net sales of ¥105.3 billion for the nine months to December 31, 2025, up 12.6% year on year, while operating profit was flat at ¥8.18 billion and ordinary profit and profit attributable to owners plunged about 87%, reflecting a sharp drop in non-operating income. Basic earnings per share fell to ¥60 from ¥489.77, equity ratio declined to 49.3% as total assets expanded, but the company kept its dividend plan unchanged at ¥90 per share for the full year and revised its full-year forecast to higher sales and operating profit but markedly lower ordinary profit and net earnings, signaling margin and income pressure despite top-line growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:5757) stock is a Buy with a Yen5118.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CK San-Etsu Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:5757 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 29, 2025