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Ame Kaze Taiyo,Inc. (JP:5616)
:5616
Japanese Market

Ame Kaze Taiyo,Inc. (5616) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:5616

Ame Kaze Taiyo,Inc.

(5616)

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Underperform 39 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:39Underperform
Price Target:
¥711.00
▼(-19.20% Downside)
Action:DowngradedDate:03/24/26
The score is held down primarily by weak financial quality—ongoing losses and historically negative operating/free cash flow—despite a meaningful 2025 improvement toward break-even and reduced cash burn. Technically, the stock remains in a clear downtrend (below key moving averages with negative MACD), with oversold readings offering only tentative support. Valuation provides little support given the negative P/E and lack of dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
Revenue growth trend
Sustained multi-year revenue growth shows expanding customer traction and demand in the core grocery business. That trajectory reduces execution risk and supports a multi-month outlook for operational recovery as fixed costs leverage higher top-line levels, aiding long-term margin improvement.
Negative Factors
Ongoing historical losses
Multi-year net and operating losses indicate the business has not yet proven sustained profitability. Even with 2025 improvement, persistent historical losses mean the firm remains vulnerable to demand shocks and cost pressure, requiring continued progress to earn durable investor and creditor confidence.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue growth trend
Sustained multi-year revenue growth shows expanding customer traction and demand in the core grocery business. That trajectory reduces execution risk and supports a multi-month outlook for operational recovery as fixed costs leverage higher top-line levels, aiding long-term margin improvement.
Read all positive factors

Ame Kaze Taiyo,Inc. (5616) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Ame Kaze Taiyo,Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Ame Kaze Taiyo, Inc. engages in providing food related services. It operates an app Pocket Marché, cooperating with local governments to implement initiatives to grow sales pipes for producers and providing study programs with producers. The compa...

Ame Kaze Taiyo,Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement trends are improving but still weak: revenue growth and high gross margins are positives, yet the company has been loss-making with only a 2025 move toward near break-even. The balance sheet looks manageable with moderate leverage and declining debt, but equity has weakened and ROE remains negative. Cash flow is the main drag, with consistently negative operating and free cash flow despite a notable improvement in 2025.
Income Statement
38
Negative
Balance Sheet
52
Neutral
Cash Flow
30
Negative
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.03B1.02B956.52M635.99M445.31M
Gross Profit674.80M659.72M569.00M478.24M322.88M
EBITDA-672.00K-159.75M-228.41M-473.05M-643.21M
Net Income-4.15M-163.87M-182.52M-322.18M-568.22M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.01B1.04B1.29B683.55M606.44M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments458.16M543.39M882.97M400.17M322.19M
Total Debt250.00M290.00M350.00M115.02M3.19M
Total Liabilities661.17M696.97M840.89M550.51M442.69M
Stockholders Equity345.80M345.95M449.83M133.04M163.75M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-16.46M-255.39M-241.76M-315.14M-617.12M
Operating Cash Flow-4.45M-250.02M-241.76M-313.41M-615.98M
Investing Cash Flow-44.78M-89.50M2.21M-11.90M-1.42M
Financing Cash Flow-36.00M-60.00K722.35M403.30M3.33M

Ame Kaze Taiyo,Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price880.00
Price Trends
50DMA
830.52
Negative
100DMA
885.92
Negative
200DMA
1017.63
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-5.30
Negative
RSI
53.22
Neutral
STOCH
83.09
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:5616, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 880 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 784.90, above the 50-day MA of 830.52, and below the 200-day MA of 1017.63, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -5.30 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.22 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 83.09 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:5616.

Ame Kaze Taiyo,Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
¥2.52B16.774.73%2.93%-81.08%
72
Outperform
¥5.81B14.341.65%
69
Neutral
¥4.17B14.442.18%
62
Neutral
¥3.88B-43.281.55%0.42%13.11%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
48
Neutral
¥4.24B25.110.67%5.74%14.35%
39
Underperform
¥1.96B-513.50-2.07%76.07%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:5616
Ame Kaze Taiyo,Inc.
816.00
-199.00
-19.61%
JP:2687
CVS Bay Area Inc.
486.00
-32.48
-6.26%
JP:2747
Hokuyu Lucky Co., Ltd.
3,110.00
185.83
6.36%
JP:4380
M-mart, Inc.
1,188.00
-1.57
-0.13%
JP:7515
Maruyoshi Center Inc.
4,520.00
575.07
14.58%
JP:7544
Three F Co., Ltd.
543.00
127.76
30.77%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 24, 2026